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2015 Army advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Army Black Knights (Independents)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.6 (1.6) | S&P+ Rk: 123
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
4-Sep Fordham N/A 35-37 L 71% 4.4 16% 57% 19%
12-Sep at Connecticut 87 17-22 L 38% -2.5 49% 63% 21%
19-Sep Wake Forest 92 14-17 L 29% -4.4 25% 18% 40%
26-Sep at Eastern Michigan 121 58-36 W 62% 2.5 24% 82% 7%
3-Oct at Penn State 30 14-20 L 28% -4.7 57% 53% 40%
10-Oct Duke 75 3-44 L 0% -54.8 5% 4% 7%
17-Oct Bucknell N/A 21-14 W 66% 3.3 0% 7% 5%
24-Oct at Rice 119 31-38 L 23% -5.8 15% 32% 21%
7-Nov at Air Force 52 3-20 L 0% -25.7 14% 11% 59%
14-Nov Tulane 120 31-34 L 37% -2.7 11% 40% 21%
21-Nov Rutgers 105 21-31 L 7% -11.7 5% 18% 23%
12-Dec vs. Navy 20 17-21 L 3% -15.3 16% 36% 62%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 18.5 115 39.5 120
Points Per Game 22.1 109 27.8 75
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.26 66 1.33 99 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.5% 70 42.1% 71 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.8 111 31.8 107 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.73 71 5.06 102 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -13.18 126 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.91
ACTUAL -11 113
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 97.5 87 93.3 88 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.6% 65 41.6% 63 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.09 53 1.09 72 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 96.6 86 99.1 66 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.1% 63 39.6% 81 38.9%
Power Success Rate 69.4% 40 61.9% 39 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.1% 59 18.5% 87 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Ahmad Bradshaw QB 5'11, 198 SO 127 510 5 4.0 4.6 39.4% 11 (4)
Aaron Kemper RB 5'6, 210 JR 101 544 3 5.4 9.8 25.7% 0 (0)
A.J. Schurr QB 6'0, 209 SR 94 428 7 4.6 4.9 38.3% 7 (3)
Matt Giachinta RB 6'1, 220 SR 61 286 1 4.7 3.4 36.1% 1 (1)
Drue Harris RB 6'0, 220 FR 46 176 2 3.8 4.4 23.9% 0 (0)
Chris Carter QB 5'11, 170 FR 38 160 1 4.2 4.5 34.2% 5 (2)
John Trainor RB 5'11, 190 SO 31 280 2 9.0 7.9 61.3% 1 (0)
Jordan Asberry RB 5'9, 185 FR 30 213 0 7.1 5.4 56.7% 1 (1)
Joe Walker RB 6'0, 204 JR 27 203 1 7.5 7.5 59.3% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 104.5 57 80.5 123 100.0
Passing Success Rate 36.0% 101 42.8% 89 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 2.36 3 1.64 111 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 48.2 128 72.1 109 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Ahmad Bradshaw 5'11, 198 SO 23 48 429 5 2 47.9% 7 12.7% 7.0
A.J. Schurr 6'0, 209 SR 11 29 300 3 4 37.9% 4 12.1% 7.8
Chris Carter 5'11, 170 FR 13 21 348 2 2 61.9% 4 16.0% 12.7
Luke Langdon 5'10, 170 FR 0 1 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Edgar Poe WR 6'4, 215 JR 32 16 441 6 27.6 13.8 50.0% 50.0% 33.7%
John Trainor RB 5'11, 190 SO 12 8 176 1 22.0 14.7 66.7% 66.7% 12.6%
DeAndre Bell WR 6'1, 224 SR 12 7 166 1 23.7 13.8 58.3% 50.0% 12.6%
Kelvin White TE 6'3, 258 SR 8 3 48 0 16.0 6.0 37.5% 25.0% 8.4%
Nicholas Black RB 5'8, 188 FR 7 3 41 0 13.7 5.9 42.9% 28.6% 7.4%
Joe Walker RB 6'0, 204 JR 6 3 85 2 28.3 14.2 50.0% 33.3% 6.3%
Jordan Asberry RB 5'9, 185 FR 5 2 40 0 20.0 8.0 40.0% 40.0% 5.3%
Matt Giachinta RB 6'1, 220 SR 4 1 5 0 5.0 1.3 25.0% 0.0% 4.2%
Tyler Campbell RB 5'11, 170 FR 3 3 57 0 19.0 19.0 100.0% 66.7% 3.2%
Xavier Moss DB 6'2, 197 JR 1 1 26 0 26.0 26.0 100.0% 100.0% 1.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw QB 5'11, 198 SO 1 1 25 0 25.0 25.0 100.0% 100.0% 1.1%
Darnell Woolfolk RB 5'9, 220 FR 1 1 18 0 18.0 18.0 100.0% 100.0% 1.1%
Jeff Ejekam WR 6'2, 199 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Aaron Kemper RB 5'6, 210 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Christian Drake RB 5'10, 178 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 93.0 101 85.8 119 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.9% 47 46.9% 68 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.10 69 1.18 97 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.99 50 2.87 65 2.90
SD Sack Rate 6.4% 94 6.1% 29 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 83.5 107 85.2 109 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 26.6% 100 31.6% 78 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.96 23 1.83 83 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.54 111 2.61 12 3.20
PD Sack Rate 15.6% 127 3.7% 119 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 81.4 113 82.5 117
Q2 S&P+ 96.0 81 78.3 124
Q3 S&P+ 83.1 112 91.8 99
Q4 S&P+ 106.4 49 96.5 80
1st Down S&P+ 96.0 90 84.6 120
2nd Down S&P+ 81.7 114 87.3 107
3rd Down S&P+ 94.3 90 89.3 107
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 90.3% 1 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 69.1% 1 34.0%
Adj. Pace -4.9 110 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.7% 67 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 65.7% 17 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.2% 34 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.1% 114 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 2.6% 122 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 4.7% 52 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.5% 90 6.3%
PD to INC 27.5% 112 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Andrew King LB 6'0, 246 JR 73.5 12.6% 16.5 4.5 0 0 0 0
Jeremy Timpf LB 6'1, 225 JR 70.5 12.1% 5.0 1.5 1 2 1 0
Brandon Jackson DB 6'0, 170 FR 56.0 9.6% 5.5 2.0 3 5 0 0
Rhyan England DB 5'10, 192 SO 51.5 8.8% 3.0 0.0 0 4 0 0
Xavier Moss DB 6'2, 197 JR 50.0 8.5% 0.0 0.0 1 5 0 0
John Voit DL 6'3, 247 SO 41.5 7.1% 4.5 2.0 0 0 1 0
Jordan Smith DL 6'3, 258 JR 33.0 5.6% 2.5 0.0 0 1 2 0
T.J. Atimalala DL 5'11, 268 SR 28.0 4.8% 6.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Tevin Long DB 5'11, 192 JR 26.5 4.5% 2.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Alex Aukerman LB 6'1, 228 SO 26.0 4.4% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Chris Carnegie DB 6'0, 200 SR 26.0 4.4% 2.0 1.0 1 6 0 0
Bayle Wolf LB 6'0, 221 SO 23.5 4.0% 2.0 2.0 0 0 1 0
Kenneth Brinson LB 6'2, 225 FR 13.5 2.3% 3.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Scott Washle LB 6'1, 238 SO 8.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Steven Johnson DB 6'0, 191 JR 8.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Justin Fahn LB 6'1, 217 SR 7.5 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Cole Macek LB 5'11, 220 FR 5.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Eddy Ruzga DL 6'3, 241 JR 5.0 0.9% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Calen Holt LB 6'0, 210 FR 5.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Gibby Gibson DB 6'1, 200 FR 3.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Max Regan DB 6'2, 185 FR 3.0 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Marcus Hyatt DB 5'10, 170 FR 2.5 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Michael McFadden DB 6'1, 201 SR 2.5 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Andy Davidson LB 6'2, 220 FR 2.5 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kelvin White TE 6'3, 258 SR 2.0 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.6 90
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.22 101
Punt Success Rate 60.4% 36
Kickoff Success Rate 75.0% 49
Punt Return Success Rate 45.5% 77
Kick Return Success Rate 40.5% 82
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Daniel Grochowski 6'1, 220 SR 31-31 6-9 66.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Alex Tardieu 6'4, 218 SR 50 40.2 2 16 10 52.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Daniel Grochowski 6'1, 220 SR 51 61.5 21 41.2% 0 1 2 1
Cale Brewer 6'0, 193 SR 1 65.0 1 100.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Edgar Poe 6'4, 215 JR 18 5.8 0 16 2 (1)
Nicholas Black 5'8, 188 FR 3 -1.3 0 1 2 (1)
Andy Davidson 6'2, 220 FR 1 14.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Marcus Hyatt 5'10, 170 FR 29 19.8 0 0 1 (0)
Nicholas Black 5'8, 188 FR 5 19.4 0 0 0 (0)
Cole Macek 5'11, 220 FR 1 1.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics