Updated on 8/20/2016
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2015 | 2016
Ole Miss Rebels (SEC West)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.9 (0.9) | S&P+ Rk: 5 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 5-Sep | Tennessee-Martin | N/A | 76-3 | W | 100% | 56.8 | 77% | 92% | 80% |
| 12-Sep | Fresno State | 100 | 73-21 | W | 100% | 49.4 | 88% | 98% | 88% |
| 19-Sep | at Alabama | 1 | 43-37 | W | 92% | 11.3 | 100% | 94% | 95% |
| 26-Sep | Vanderbilt | 83 | 27-16 | W | 91% | 10.8 | 86% | 70% | 51% |
| 3-Oct | at Florida | 18 | 10-38 | L | 0% | -30.8 | 24% | 22% | 10% |
| 10-Oct | New Mexico State | 116 | 52-3 | W | 100% | 49.2 | 91% | 91% | 96% |
| 17-Oct | at Memphis | 55 | 24-37 | L | 44% | -1.1 | 43% | 59% | 59% |
| 24-Oct | Texas A&M | 42 | 23-3 | W | 100% | 26.1 | 91% | 64% | 98% |
| 31-Oct | at Auburn | 35 | 27-19 | W | 83% | 7.5 | 58% | 74% | 57% |
| 7-Nov | Arkansas | 15 | 52-53 | L | 83% | 7.7 | 72% | 95% | 39% |
| 21-Nov | LSU | 9 | 38-17 | W | 99% | 18.4 | 90% | 96% | 82% |
| 28-Nov | at Mississippi State | 16 | 38-27 | W | 97% | 15.5 | 81% | 90% | 75% |
| 1-Jan | vs. Oklahoma State | 33 | 48-20 | W | 100% | 24.1 | 93% | 91% | 93% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 41.6 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 |
| Points Per Game | 40.8 | 8 | 22.6 | 33 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.36 | 26 | 1.18 | 26 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 50.4% | 4 | 38.2% | 34 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.8 | 70 | 30.1 | 72 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.36 | 15 | 3.97 | 19 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 4.11 | 29 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -1.58 |
||
| ACTUAL | 0 | 66 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 113.6 | 24 | 117.7 | 17 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 47.1% | 23 | 37.5% | 23 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.01 | 92 | 0.97 | 31 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 108.7 | 34 | 110.8 | 30 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 43.9% | 14 | 33.0% | 11 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 44.4% | 127 | 49.1% | 5 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.2% | 101 | 22.5% | 34 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Jaylen Walton | RB | 5'8, 172 | SR | 142 | 730 | 5 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 38.7% | 4 (2) |
| Chad Kelly | QB | 6'2, 215 | JR | 90 | 646 | 10 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 57.8% | 8 (2) |
| Akeem Judd | RB | 5'11, 222 | JR | 78 | 425 | 3 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 46.2% | 0 (0) |
| Jordan Wilkins | RB | 6'1, 214 | SO | 72 | 379 | 4 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 41.7% | 1 (1) |
| Eugene Brazley | RB | 5'9, 189 | SO | 21 | 219 | 3 | 10.4 | 18.1 | 38.1% | 1 (1) |
| DeVante Kincade | QB | 6'0, 184 | SO | 8 | 95 | 0 | 11.9 | 8.1 | 75.0% | 0 (0) |
| D.K. Buford | RB | 5'11, 221 | FR | 7 | 78 | 1 | 11.1 | 11.6 | 57.1% | 1 (1) |
| Robert Nkemdiche | DT | 6'4, 296 | JR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| Jeremy Liggins | TE | 6'3, 302 | JR | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 1 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 145.9 | 2 | 114.6 | 23 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 52.8% | 2 | 38.7% | 45 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.59 | 33 | 1.34 | 27 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 151 | 25 | 98.1 | 68 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Chad Kelly | 6'2, 215 | JR | 298 | 458 | 4042 | 31 | 13 | 65.1% | 18 | 3.8% | 8.2 |
| DeVante Kincade | 6'0, 184 | SO | 9 | 15 | 79 | 1 | 0 | 60.0% | 1 | 6.3% | 4.4 |
| Ryan Buchanan | 6'3, 218 | SO | 8 | 13 | 96 | 2 | 1 | 61.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 7.4 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Laquon Treadwell | WR | 6'2, 210 | JR | 122 | 83 | 1165 | 11 | 14.0 | 9.6 | 68.0% | 58.2% | 26.2% |
| Damore'ea Stringfellow | WR | 6'2, 220 | SO | 58 | 36 | 503 | 5 | 14.0 | 8.7 | 62.1% | 51.7% | 12.5% |
| Cody Core | WR | 6'3, 205 | SR | 57 | 37 | 644 | 4 | 17.4 | 11.3 | 64.9% | 57.9% | 12.3% |
| Quincy Adeboyejo | WR | 6'3, 195 | JR | 56 | 38 | 604 | 7 | 15.9 | 10.8 | 67.9% | 51.8% | 12.0% |
| Evan Engram | TE | 6'3, 227 | JR | 55 | 38 | 464 | 2 | 12.2 | 8.4 | 69.1% | 52.7% | 11.8% |
| Markell Pack | WR | 6'2, 193 | SO | 40 | 31 | 380 | 3 | 12.3 | 9.5 | 77.5% | 62.5% | 8.6% |
| Jaylen Walton | RB | 5'8, 172 | SR | 32 | 23 | 164 | 0 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 71.9% | 37.5% | 6.9% |
| Akeem Judd | RB | 5'11, 222 | JR | 11 | 9 | 54 | 0 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 81.8% | 45.5% | 2.4% |
| Derrick Jones | WR | 6'2, 189 | JR | 9 | 6 | 120 | 1 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 66.7% | 55.6% | 1.9% |
| Jordan Wilkins | RB | 6'1, 214 | SO | 6 | 5 | 75 | 0 | 15.0 | 12.5 | 83.3% | 50.0% | 1.3% |
| Taz Zettergren | TE | 6'3, 218 | JR | 6 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 1.3% |
| Hunter Thurley | TE | 6'4, 232 | JR | 3 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 22.0 | 14.7 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.6% |
| Collins Moore | WR | 6'1, 201 | SR | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| Jeremy Liggins | TE | 6'3, 302 | JR | 2 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.4% |
| Robert Nkemdiche | DT | 6'4, 296 | JR | 1 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Barrett | TE | 6'4, 235 | SR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 129.6 | 2 | 111.9 | 25 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 53.9% | 7 | 43.2% | 41 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.28 | 8 | 1.01 | 22 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.70 | 99 | 2.45 | 12 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 2.6% | 20 | 3.3% | 108 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 137.3 | 7 | 117.8 | 20 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 41.2% | 3 | 29.3% | 49 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.61 | 100 | 1.60 | 27 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 4.42 | 1 | 3.71 | 114 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 7.5% | 72 | 8.6% | 40 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 145.4 | 1 | 126.0 | 14 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 122.5 | 17 | 120.1 | 17 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 124.7 | 17 | 108.1 | 46 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 124.9 | 7 | 120.3 | 15 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 122.6 | 12 | 117.7 | 17 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 147.2 | 1 | 123.0 | 13 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 116.5 | 24 | 111.7 | 37 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 49.0% | 115 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 26.6% | 105 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | +0.7 | 55 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 76.9% | 45 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 54.4% | 116 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 28.9% | 108 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 20.0% | 11 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 6.5% | 28 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.5% | 86 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 10.0% | 1 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 40.9% | 5 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| DeMarquis Gates | LB | 6'2, 217 | SO | 61.0 | 7.6% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Mike Hilton | DB | 5'9, 184 | SR | 59.5 | 7.4% | 12.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| Trae Elston | DB | 5'11, 195 | SR | 57.0 | 7.1% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| Denzel Nkemdiche | LB | 5'11, 208 | SR | 44.5 | 5.5% | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Marquis Haynes | DE | 6'3, 220 | SO | 36.0 | 4.5% | 16.5 | 10.0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Kendarius Webster | DB | 5'11, 180 | SO | 35.5 | 4.4% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| C.J. Johnson | LB | 6'2, 225 | SR | 34.0 | 4.2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Tony Bridges | DB | 6'0, 183 | JR | 32.5 | 4.0% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Jones | DT | 6'0, 324 | JR | 31.5 | 3.9% | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Terry Caldwell | LB | 6'1, 216 | JR | 28.5 | 3.5% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Channing Ward | DE | 6'4, 279 | SR | 28.0 | 3.5% | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Christian Russell | LB | 6'0, 232 | SR | 27.0 | 3.4% | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| C.J. Hampton | DB | 6'0, 179 | SO | 25.0 | 3.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Fadol Brown | DE | 6'4, 280 | JR | 23.5 | 2.9% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Breeland Speaks | DT | 6'3, 313 | FR | 23.0 | 2.9% | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Woodrow Hamilton | DT | 6'3, 319 | SR | 22.5 | 2.8% | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Nkemdiche | DT | 6'4, 296 | JR | 21.0 | 2.6% | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Zedrick Woods | DB | 5'11, 197 | FR | 20.5 | 2.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chief Brown | DB | 6'1, 202 | SR | 20.0 | 2.5% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Moore | DB | 6'0, 199 | SO | 19.0 | 2.4% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Carlos Davis | DB | 5'8, 171 | JR | 18.5 | 2.3% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| John Youngblood | DE | 6'3, 255 | JR | 15.5 | 1.9% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| C.J. Moore | DB | 5'11, 190 | SO | 15.5 | 1.9% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Conner | DB | 6'0, 215 | JR | 12.5 | 1.6% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Victor Evans | DE | 6'3, 238 | FR | 12.0 | 1.5% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 0.0 | 72 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.03 | 65 |
| Punt Success Rate | 57.7% | 51 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 91.6% | 3 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 30.0% | 118 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 23.5% | 123 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Gary Wunderlich | 6'0, 188 | SO | 63-63 | 19-25 | 76.0% |
| Andy Pappanastos | 5'11, 194 | SO | 3-3 | 0-0 | #DIV/0! |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Will Gleeson | 6'3, 197 | SO | 43 | 40.7 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 55.8% |
| Gary Wunderlich | 6'0, 188 | SO | 9 | 46.9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 55.6% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Nathan Noble | 6'3, 224 | JR | 94 | 64.2 | 54 | 57.4% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Andy Pappanastos | 5'11, 194 | SO | 1 | 64.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Collins Moore | 6'1, 201 | SR | 15 | 1.4 | 0 | 15 | 0 (0) |
| Carlos Davis | 5'8, 171 | JR | 13 | 5.5 | 0 | 9 | 4 (2) |
| D.K. Buford | 5'11, 221 | FR | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Jaylen Walton | 5'8, 172 | SR | 27 | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 (1) |
| Carlos Davis | 5'8, 171 | JR | 3 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Eugene Brazley | 5'9, 189 | SO | 2 | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics