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2015 Ole Miss advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Ole Miss Rebels (SEC West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.9 (0.9) | S&P+ Rk: 5
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Tennessee-Martin N/A 76-3 W 100% 56.8 77% 92% 80%
12-Sep Fresno State 100 73-21 W 100% 49.4 88% 98% 88%
19-Sep at Alabama 1 43-37 W 92% 11.3 100% 94% 95%
26-Sep Vanderbilt 83 27-16 W 91% 10.8 86% 70% 51%
3-Oct at Florida 18 10-38 L 0% -30.8 24% 22% 10%
10-Oct New Mexico State 116 52-3 W 100% 49.2 91% 91% 96%
17-Oct at Memphis 55 24-37 L 44% -1.1 43% 59% 59%
24-Oct Texas A&M 42 23-3 W 100% 26.1 91% 64% 98%
31-Oct at Auburn 35 27-19 W 83% 7.5 58% 74% 57%
7-Nov Arkansas 15 52-53 L 83% 7.7 72% 95% 39%
21-Nov LSU 9 38-17 W 99% 18.4 90% 96% 82%
28-Nov at Mississippi State 16 38-27 W 97% 15.5 81% 90% 75%
1-Jan vs. Oklahoma State 33 48-20 W 100% 24.1 93% 91% 93%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 41.6 10 20.5 22
Points Per Game 40.8 8 22.6 33
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.36 26 1.18 26 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 50.4% 4 38.2% 34 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.8 70 30.1 72 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.36 15 3.97 19 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 4.11 29 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.58
ACTUAL 0 66
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 113.6 24 117.7 17 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 47.1% 23 37.5% 23 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.01 92 0.97 31 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 108.7 34 110.8 30 100.0
Opportunity Rate 43.9% 14 33.0% 11 38.9%
Power Success Rate 44.4% 127 49.1% 5 66.3%
Stuff Rate 22.2% 101 22.5% 34 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jaylen Walton RB 5'8, 172 SR 142 730 5 5.1 5.3 38.7% 4 (2)
Chad Kelly QB 6'2, 215 JR 90 646 10 7.2 5.3 57.8% 8 (2)
Akeem Judd RB 5'11, 222 JR 78 425 3 5.4 4.0 46.2% 0 (0)
Jordan Wilkins RB 6'1, 214 SO 72 379 4 5.3 5.7 41.7% 1 (1)
Eugene Brazley RB 5'9, 189 SO 21 219 3 10.4 18.1 38.1% 1 (1)
DeVante Kincade QB 6'0, 184 SO 8 95 0 11.9 8.1 75.0% 0 (0)
D.K. Buford RB 5'11, 221 FR 7 78 1 11.1 11.6 57.1% 1 (1)
Robert Nkemdiche DT 6'4, 296 JR 4 2 2 0.5 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Jeremy Liggins TE 6'3, 302 JR 4 1 0 0.3 0.0 0.0% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 145.9 2 114.6 23 100.0
Passing Success Rate 52.8% 2 38.7% 45 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.59 33 1.34 27 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 151 25 98.1 68 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Chad Kelly 6'2, 215 JR 298 458 4042 31 13 65.1% 18 3.8% 8.2
DeVante Kincade 6'0, 184 SO 9 15 79 1 0 60.0% 1 6.3% 4.4
Ryan Buchanan 6'3, 218 SO 8 13 96 2 1 61.5% 0 0.0% 7.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Laquon Treadwell WR 6'2, 210 JR 122 83 1165 11 14.0 9.6 68.0% 58.2% 26.2%
Damore'ea Stringfellow WR 6'2, 220 SO 58 36 503 5 14.0 8.7 62.1% 51.7% 12.5%
Cody Core WR 6'3, 205 SR 57 37 644 4 17.4 11.3 64.9% 57.9% 12.3%
Quincy Adeboyejo WR 6'3, 195 JR 56 38 604 7 15.9 10.8 67.9% 51.8% 12.0%
Evan Engram TE 6'3, 227 JR 55 38 464 2 12.2 8.4 69.1% 52.7% 11.8%
Markell Pack WR 6'2, 193 SO 40 31 380 3 12.3 9.5 77.5% 62.5% 8.6%
Jaylen Walton RB 5'8, 172 SR 32 23 164 0 7.1 5.1 71.9% 37.5% 6.9%
Akeem Judd RB 5'11, 222 JR 11 9 54 0 6.0 4.9 81.8% 45.5% 2.4%
Derrick Jones WR 6'2, 189 JR 9 6 120 1 20.0 13.3 66.7% 55.6% 1.9%
Jordan Wilkins RB 6'1, 214 SO 6 5 75 0 15.0 12.5 83.3% 50.0% 1.3%
Taz Zettergren TE 6'3, 218 JR 6 4 38 0 9.5 6.3 66.7% 50.0% 1.3%
Hunter Thurley TE 6'4, 232 JR 3 2 44 0 22.0 14.7 66.7% 66.7% 0.6%
Collins Moore WR 6'1, 201 SR 3 2 19 0 9.5 6.3 66.7% 0.0% 0.6%
Jeremy Liggins TE 6'3, 302 JR 2 1 18 0 18.0 9.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Robert Nkemdiche DT 6'4, 296 JR 1 1 31 1 31.0 31.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Dillon Barrett TE 6'4, 235 SR 1 1 15 0 15.0 15.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 129.6 2 111.9 25 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 53.9% 7 43.2% 41 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.28 8 1.01 22 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.70 99 2.45 12 2.90
SD Sack Rate 2.6% 20 3.3% 108 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 137.3 7 117.8 20 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 41.2% 3 29.3% 49 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.61 100 1.60 27 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 4.42 1 3.71 114 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.5% 72 8.6% 40 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 145.4 1 126.0 14
Q2 S&P+ 122.5 17 120.1 17
Q3 S&P+ 124.7 17 108.1 46
Q4 S&P+ 124.9 7 120.3 15
1st Down S&P+ 122.6 12 117.7 17
2nd Down S&P+ 147.2 1 123.0 13
3rd Down S&P+ 116.5 24 111.7 37
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 49.0% 115 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 26.6% 105 34.0%
Adj. Pace +0.7 55 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 76.9% 45 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.4% 116 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 28.9% 108 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 20.0% 11 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.5% 28 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 3.5% 86 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 10.0% 1 6.3%
PD to INC 40.9% 5 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
DeMarquis Gates LB 6'2, 217 SO 61.0 7.6% 2.0 0.0 0 4 2 0
Mike Hilton DB 5'9, 184 SR 59.5 7.4% 12.5 1.5 2 13 1 0
Trae Elston DB 5'11, 195 SR 57.0 7.1% 5.0 0.0 4 14 0 0
Denzel Nkemdiche LB 5'11, 208 SR 44.5 5.5% 6.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Marquis Haynes DE 6'3, 220 SO 36.0 4.5% 16.5 10.0 0 2 3 0
Kendarius Webster DB 5'11, 180 SO 35.5 4.4% 3.0 0.0 1 11 0 0
C.J. Johnson LB 6'2, 225 SR 34.0 4.2% 3.0 2.0 2 1 1 1
Tony Bridges DB 6'0, 183 JR 32.5 4.0% 2.0 0.0 3 9 0 0
D.J. Jones DT 6'0, 324 JR 31.5 3.9% 5.5 4.0 0 0 1 0
Terry Caldwell LB 6'1, 216 JR 28.5 3.5% 2.0 1.0 0 0 2 0
Channing Ward DE 6'4, 279 SR 28.0 3.5% 6.5 3.0 0 3 1 0
Christian Russell LB 6'0, 232 SR 27.0 3.4% 4.5 0.0 1 0 1 0
C.J. Hampton DB 6'0, 179 SO 25.0 3.1% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Fadol Brown DE 6'4, 280 JR 23.5 2.9% 4.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Breeland Speaks DT 6'3, 313 FR 23.0 2.9% 5.5 1.0 0 2 0 0
Woodrow Hamilton DT 6'3, 319 SR 22.5 2.8% 3.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Robert Nkemdiche DT 6'4, 296 JR 21.0 2.6% 7.0 3.0 0 2 0 0
Zedrick Woods DB 5'11, 197 FR 20.5 2.5% 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Chief Brown DB 6'1, 202 SR 20.0 2.5% 0.5 0.0 1 3 0 0
A.J. Moore DB 6'0, 199 SO 19.0 2.4% 1.0 1.0 0 0 2 0
Carlos Davis DB 5'8, 171 JR 18.5 2.3% 1.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
John Youngblood DE 6'3, 255 JR 15.5 1.9% 1.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
C.J. Moore DB 5'11, 190 SO 15.5 1.9% 0.5 0.0 0 2 0 0
Tony Conner DB 6'0, 215 JR 12.5 1.6% 4.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Victor Evans DE 6'3, 238 FR 12.0 1.5% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.0 72
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.03 65
Punt Success Rate 57.7% 51
Kickoff Success Rate 91.6% 3
Punt Return Success Rate 30.0% 118
Kick Return Success Rate 23.5% 123
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Gary Wunderlich 6'0, 188 SO 63-63 19-25 76.0%
Andy Pappanastos 5'11, 194 SO 3-3 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Will Gleeson 6'3, 197 SO 43 40.7 1 15 9 55.8%
Gary Wunderlich 6'0, 188 SO 9 46.9 0 1 4 55.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Nathan Noble 6'3, 224 JR 94 64.2 54 57.4% 0 1 1 1
Andy Pappanastos 5'11, 194 SO 1 64.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Collins Moore 6'1, 201 SR 15 1.4 0 15 0 (0)
Carlos Davis 5'8, 171 JR 13 5.5 0 9 4 (2)
D.K. Buford 5'11, 221 FR 1 0.0 0 0 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jaylen Walton 5'8, 172 SR 27 18.3 0 0 2 (1)
Carlos Davis 5'8, 171 JR 3 13.0 0 0 0 (0)
Eugene Brazley 5'9, 189 SO 2 21.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics