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2015 Arkansas advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Arkansas Razorbacks (SEC West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.6 (0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 15
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep UTEP 126 48-13 W 100% 42.2 94% 93% 79%
12-Sep vs. Toledo 21 12-16 L 66% 3.3 96% 76% 85%
19-Sep Texas Tech 62 24-35 L 17% -7.7 65% 55% 22%
26-Sep vs. Texas A&M 42 21-28 L 35% -3.1 80% 89% 18%
3-Oct at Tennessee 22 24-20 W 97% 14.9 94% 88% 85%
10-Oct at Alabama 1 14-27 L 7% -11.8 47% 57% 85%
24-Oct Auburn 35 54-46 W 86% 8.7 66% 70% 68%
31-Oct Tennessee-Martin N/A 63-28 W 100% 28.7 38% 96% 8%
7-Nov at Ole Miss 5 53-52 W 17% -7.7 53% 95% 21%
14-Nov at LSU 9 31-14 W 99% 17.8 91% 95% 80%
21-Nov Mississippi State 16 50-51 L 37% -2.6 47% 89% 26%
27-Nov Missouri 85 28-3 W 100% 29.7 92% 94% 83%
2-Jan vs. Kansas State 84 45-23 W 99% 18.6 77% 81% 52%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 43.7 2 28.4 67
Points Per Game 35.9 27 27.4 68
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.28 59 1.21 41 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 51.7% 2 47.9% 119 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 33.0 12 28.0 29 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.37 14 4.94 96 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.81 59 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.38
ACTUAL 7 27
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 124.1 5 102.0 59 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 52.4% 2 46.3% 102 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.98 105 0.91 5 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 121.5 6 112.5 23 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.1% 27 38.4% 68 38.9%
Power Success Rate 68.3% 48 80.5% 123 66.3%
Stuff Rate 17.1% 27 21.4% 46 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Alex Collins RB 5'11, 215 JR 271 1577 20 5.8 5.5 43.5% 5 (2)
Kody Walker RB 6'2, 256 JR 90 394 6 4.4 3.2 40.0% 2 (0)
Rawleigh Williams III RB 5'10, 215 FR 56 254 1 4.5 5.1 28.6% 0 (0)
Brandon Allen QB 6'2, 210 SR 42 195 1 4.6 2.9 45.2% 4 (1)
Jared Cornelius WR 5'11, 202 SO 7 112 2 16.0 15.3 71.4% 0 (0)
Denzell Evans RB 5'11, 222 SO 6 48 0 8.0 8.9 50.0% 0 (0)
Damon Mitchell WR 6'2, 207 SO 4 29 0 7.3 2.8 75.0% 0 (0)
Dominique Reed WR 6'3, 180 JR 4 24 1 6.0 2.2 75.0% 0 (0)
Drew Morgan WR 6'0, 195 JR 4 20 0 5.0 2.3 50.0% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 150.7 1 84.6 115 100.0
Passing Success Rate 50.9% 4 49.4% 125 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.63 21 1.46 62 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 170 18 78.9 100 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brandon Allen 6'2, 210 SR 244 370 3440 30 8 65.9% 14 3.6% 8.7
Austin Allen 6'1, 210 SO 1 3 35 1 0 33.3% 0 0.0% 11.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Drew Morgan WR 6'0, 195 JR 80 63 843 10 13.4 10.5 78.8% 66.2% 22.3%
Hunter Henry TE 6'5, 253 JR 74 52 799 3 15.4 10.8 70.3% 58.1% 20.7%
Dominique Reed WR 6'3, 180 JR 47 28 535 6 19.1 11.4 59.6% 46.8% 13.1%
Jeremy Sprinkle TE 6'6, 255 JR 45 28 408 6 14.6 9.1 62.2% 53.3% 12.6%
Jared Cornelius WR 5'11, 202 SO 36 24 393 3 16.4 10.9 66.7% 61.1% 10.1%
Keon Hatcher WR 6'2, 210 SR 23 13 198 2 15.2 8.6 56.5% 52.2% 6.4%
Alex Collins RB 5'11, 215 JR 14 13 64 0 4.9 4.6 92.9% 28.6% 3.9%
JoJo Robinson WR 5'11, 190 FR 10 6 53 0 8.8 5.3 60.0% 40.0% 2.8%
Damon Mitchell WR 6'2, 207 SO 7 6 84 1 14.0 12.0 85.7% 57.1% 2.0%
Kendrick Edwards WR 6'5, 212 SO 6 4 51 0 12.8 8.5 66.7% 50.0% 1.7%
Rawleigh Williams III RB 5'10, 215 FR 6 5 26 0 5.2 4.3 83.3% 33.3% 1.7%
Cody Hollister WR 6'4, 208 JR 5 4 65 0 16.3 13.0 80.0% 80.0% 1.4%
Kody Walker RB 6'2, 256 JR 3 1 4 0 4.0 1.3 33.3% 0.0% 0.8%
Brandon Allen QB 6'2, 210 SR 1 1 11 0 11.0 11.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
JaMichael Winston DL 6'4, 262 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 125.9 6 90.2 106 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 54.9% 4 52.1% 113 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.11 60 1.11 70 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.36 7 2.79 48 2.90
SD Sack Rate 1.9% 11 4.2% 97 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 157.7 1 95.3 85 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 42.7% 2 38.2% 122 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.88 36 1.54 17 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.89 10 2.98 46 3.20
PD Sack Rate 6.2% 43 4.4% 114 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 136.7 2 96.6 80
Q2 S&P+ 143.7 1 87.1 106
Q3 S&P+ 133.9 5 92.7 93
Q4 S&P+ 117.1 18 101.6 64
1st Down S&P+ 131.8 1 84.6 121
2nd Down S&P+ 135.2 4 109.6 38
3rd Down S&P+ 125.7 11 93.3 98
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 65.0% 33 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 23.2% 119 34.0%
Adj. Pace -2.9 85 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 67.3% 113 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.8% 112 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 29.3% 106 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.6% 69 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.6% 27 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.6% 112 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.3% 67 6.3%
PD to INC 34.6% 48 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Brooks Ellis LB 6'2, 242 JR 73.5 11.0% 8.0 1.5 1 3 0 1
Dre Greenlaw LB 6'0, 222 FR 70.5 10.5% 3.5 1.0 0 1 2 0
Rohan Gaines DB 5'11, 195 SR 55.5 8.3% 1.5 0.0 1 1 0 0
Henre’ Toliver DB 6'1, 186 SO 49.0 7.3% 4.0 0.0 1 8 0 0
Josh Liddell DB 6'1, 210 SO 40.0 6.0% 1.5 0.0 2 3 1 0
Jeremiah Ledbetter DL 6'3, 280 JR 39.5 5.9% 7.5 2.0 0 1 0 0
Jared Collins DB 5'11, 172 JR 36.5 5.5% 0.5 0.0 1 9 1 0
Kevin Richardson II DB 6'0, 175 SO 33.0 4.9% 0.0 0.0 1 3 0 0
Santos Ramirez DB 6'2, 202 FR 28.5 4.3% 0.0 0.0 1 3 0 0
DJ Dean DB 5'11, 202 JR 28.0 4.2% 1.5 0.5 2 3 0 0
Deatrich Wise Jr. DL 6'5, 272 JR 24.0 3.6% 10.5 8.0 0 3 3 0
DeMarcus Hodge DL 6'1, 340 SR 21.5 3.2% 8.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Tevin Beanum DL 6'4, 280 SO 20.5 3.1% 7.0 2.0 0 1 0 0
Taiwan Johnson DL 6'2, 290 JR 20.0 3.0% 5.0 1.5 0 2 0 1
JaMichael Winston DL 6'4, 262 JR 15.0 2.2% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Josh Williams LB 6'1, 237 JR 10.5 1.6% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Karl Roesler DL 6'1, 255 SO 9.5 1.4% 3.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Mitchell Loewen DL 6'5, 275 SR 9.0 1.3% 1.5 1.5 0 0 0 0
Dwayne Eugene LB 6'1, 235 SO 8.5 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Ryan Pulley DB 5'11, 210 FR 8.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 1 2 0 0
De’Andre Coley DB 6'1, 202 SO 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Josh Harris LB 5'10, 220 FR 7.0 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Khalia Hackett LB 6'2, 230 SO 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Willie Sykes DB 6'0, 180 FR 6.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Bijhon Jackson DL 6'2, 325 SO 5.0 0.7% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.2 114
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.43 118
Punt Success Rate 67.4% 18
Kickoff Success Rate 60.3% 106
Punt Return Success Rate 64.3% 21
Kick Return Success Rate 23.7% 122
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Cole Hedlund 5'10, 165 FR 58-58 9-15 60.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Toby Baker 6'3, 202 JR 43 41.2 2 16 15 72.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Lane Saling 5'8, 170 SO 70 60.6 11 15.7% 1 1 0 0
Cole Hedlund 5'10, 165 FR 4 36.8 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Adam McFain 6'0, 187 JR 2 57.5 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
DJ Dean 5'11, 202 JR 7 13.3 0 4 0 (0)
Jared Cornelius 5'11, 202 SO 7 13.3 0 6 0 (0)
Luke Rossi 5'11, 203 FR 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Eric Hawkins 5'11, 180 JR 10 22.3 0 0 0 (0)
Dominique Reed 6'3, 180 JR 10 22.2 0 0 0 (0)
JoJo Robinson 5'11, 190 FR 8 19.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics