clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2015 Texas A&M advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Texas A&M Aggies (SEC West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.8 (-0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 42
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep vs. Arizona State 57 38-17 W 96% 13.9 92% 30% 95%
12-Sep Ball State 111 56-23 W 99% 20.2 89% 77% 58%
19-Sep Nevada 99 44-27 W 98% 16.1 95% 85% 82%
26-Sep vs. Arkansas 15 28-21 W 65% 3.1 90% 80% 58%
3-Oct Mississippi State 16 30-17 W 99% 17.6 92% 83% 87%
17-Oct Alabama 1 23-41 L 14% -8.6 54% 61% 91%
24-Oct at Ole Miss 5 3-23 L 0% -26.1 19% 8% 80%
31-Oct South Carolina 88 35-28 W 91% 10.9 54% 82% 22%
7-Nov Auburn 35 10-26 L 2% -17.3 10% 21% 17%
14-Nov Western Carolina N/A 41-17 W 95% 13.0 5% 20% 27%
21-Nov at Vanderbilt 83 25-0 W 100% 35.3 87% 82% 93%
28-Nov at LSU 9 7-19 L 8% -11.3 20% 4% 89%
30-Dec vs. Louisville 28 21-27 L 9% -10.6 24% 62% 24%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 30.4 55 22.7 30
Points Per Game 27.8 71 22.0 28
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.18 106 1.25 66 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 43.0% 47 38.7% 40 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.3 56 28.0 30 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.40 90 3.97 17 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -4.12 103 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.72
ACTUAL -6 102
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 116.0 16 95.8 82 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 48.0% 17 43.9% 81 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.99 100 1.17 101 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 122 5 101 56 100.0
Opportunity Rate 43.5% 19 42.6% 109 38.9%
Power Success Rate 62.1% 90 54.1% 11 66.3%
Stuff Rate 15.6% 11 23.3% 23 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Tra Carson RB 6'0, 235 SR 243 1165 7 4.8 3.8 39.9% 2 (2)
James White RB 6'0, 220 SO 55 196 1 3.6 2.4 34.5% 0 (0)
Kyler Murray QB 5'11, 188 FR 45 387 1 8.6 6.9 62.2% 3 (1)
Kyle Allen QB 6'3, 210 SO 43 258 2 6.0 4.1 51.2% 8 (2)
Brice Dolezal RB 5'9, 180 SR 38 191 1 5.0 2.9 47.4% 0 (0)
Kwame Etwi RB 5'9, 190 FR 21 151 0 7.2 8.7 38.1% 1 (0)
Christian Kirk WR 5'11, 200 FR 11 54 0 4.9 2.2 54.5% 3 (3)
Jake Hubenak QB 6'3, 195 SO 9 53 0 5.9 2.0 66.7% 2 (1)
Koda Martin OL 6'6, 300 FR 2 1 1 0.5 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 96.0 81 138.7 2 100.0
Passing Success Rate 38.6% 82 31.5% 4 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.39 91 1.42 51 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 93.6 71 142.5 10 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Kyle Allen 6'3, 210 SO 160 283 2210 17 7 56.5% 23 7.5% 6.7
Kyler Murray 5'11, 188 FR 72 121 686 5 7 59.5% 8 6.2% 4.9
Jake Hubenak 6'3, 195 SO 40 75 399 3 1 53.3% 6 7.4% 4.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Christian Kirk WR 5'11, 200 FR 129 80 1009 7 12.6 7.8 62.0% 45.0% 28.2%
Josh Reynolds WR 6'4, 195 JR 85 51 907 5 17.8 10.7 60.0% 52.9% 18.6%
Ricky Seals-Jones WR 6'5, 240 SO 75 45 560 4 12.4 7.5 60.0% 49.3% 16.4%
Speedy Noil WR 5'11, 192 SO 46 21 226 2 10.8 4.9 45.7% 39.1% 10.0%
Tra Carson RB 6'0, 235 SR 33 29 183 1 6.3 5.6 87.9% 39.4% 7.2%
Damion Ratley WR 6'1, 190 SO 32 15 200 2 13.3 6.3 46.9% 34.4% 7.0%
Jeremy Tabuyo WR 5'11, 192 JR 15 9 102 3 11.3 6.8 60.0% 53.3% 3.3%
Edward Pope WR 6'4, 170 JR 12 8 65 0 8.1 5.4 66.7% 50.0% 2.6%
Sabian Holmes WR 5'11, 170 SR 6 2 5 0 2.5 0.8 33.3% 16.7% 1.3%
Boone Niederhofer WR 6'0, 207 JR 4 2 7 0 3.5 1.8 50.0% 25.0% 0.9%
James White RB 6'0, 220 SO 4 2 6 0 3.0 1.5 50.0% 25.0% 0.9%
Caden Smith TE 6'3, 260 SR 4 1 3 0 3.0 0.8 25.0% 0.0% 0.9%
Brice Dolezal RB 5'9, 180 SR 3 2 13 0 6.5 4.3 66.7% 33.3% 0.7%
Jordan Davis TE 6'4, 251 FR 3 2 7 1 3.5 2.3 66.7% 33.3% 0.7%
Kwame Etwi RB 5'9, 190 FR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Jamal Jeffery WR 5'9, 180 SO 2 2 -1 0 -0.5 -0.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 105.5 46 107.4 39 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.7% 53 46.9% 71 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.08 77 1.03 30 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.32 10 2.96 81 2.90
SD Sack Rate 7.0% 103 5.6% 46 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 98.8 74 126.2 13 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.1% 56 22.6% 5 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.54 117 2.18 126 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.96 6 3.58 102 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.3% 62 12.0% 7 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 122.9 16 95.6 83
Q2 S&P+ 111.3 37 125.7 10
Q3 S&P+ 78.6 119 107.7 47
Q4 S&P+ 106.1 50 123.3 10
1st Down S&P+ 105.3 51 100.9 65
2nd Down S&P+ 111.6 39 126.2 10
3rd Down S&P+ 95.3 87 114.4 28
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.8% 101 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 31.7% 71 34.0%
Adj. Pace +3.8 29 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 68.4% 111 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 68.0% 8 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 39.1% 22 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 20.4% 8 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 9.5% 2 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 3.4% 89 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 7.5% 25 6.3%
PD to INC 38.7% 20 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Armani Watts DB 5'11, 200 SO 104.5 13.6% 6.0 0.0 1 2 2 0
Justin Evans DB 6'1, 195 JR 62.5 8.2% 1.0 0.0 1 3 0 0
Shaan Washington LB 6'3, 235 JR 55.0 7.2% 7.5 1.0 0 4 1 0
Donovan Wilson DB 6'1, 205 SO 49.5 6.5% 8.5 2.0 5 3 3 0
Myles Garrett DL 6'5, 262 SO 48.0 6.3% 19.5 12.5 1 2 5 0
A.J. Hilliard LB 6'2, 245 JR 41.5 5.4% 4.0 1.0 0 1 1 0
Daeshon Hall DL 6'6, 260 JR 37.5 4.9% 14.5 7.0 0 2 2 0
Brandon Williams DB 6'0, 205 SR 31.5 4.1% 1.0 0.0 0 7 0 0
Richard Moore LB 6'0, 215 FR 31.0 4.0% 7.5 1.0 0 1 0 0
De'Vante Harris DB 5'11, 185 SR 28.0 3.7% 1.0 0.0 2 8 0 0
Nick Harvey DB 5'10, 180 SO 24.0 3.1% 2.0 0.0 0 4 0 0
Daylon Mack DL 6'1, 335 FR 23.5 3.1% 9.5 0.0 0 0 1 0
Zaycoven Henderson DL 6'1, 297 SO 22.0 2.9% 6.5 3.0 0 0 0 0
Alonzo Williams DL 6'4, 305 SR 18.0 2.3% 6.0 1.0 0 2 1 0
Julien Obioha DL 6'4, 280 SR 18.0 2.3% 3.5 1.5 0 2 1 0
Justin Dunning DB 6'4, 220 FR 16.5 2.2% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0 0
Jarrett Johnson DL 6'3, 260 SO 15.0 2.0% 3.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Qualen Cunningham DL 6'3, 240 SO 14.0 1.8% 3.5 2.0 0 0 0 0
Claude George LB 6'2, 235 JR 14.0 1.8% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Noel Ellis DB 5'10, 185 SO 13.5 1.8% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 0
Josh Walker LB 6'1, 240 SO 13.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Riley Garner LB 6'3, 230 FR 12.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Devonta Burns DB 6'0, 211 SR 12.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Sam Moeller DB 5'11, 195 SR 12.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Hardreck Walker DL 6'2, 305 JR 7.5 1.0% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.0 29
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.12 49
Punt Success Rate 62.3% 29
Kickoff Success Rate 86.7% 13
Punt Return Success Rate 57.9% 34
Kick Return Success Rate 38.9% 87
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Taylor Bertolet 5'9, 188 SR 38-38 22-31 71.0%
Daniel LaCamera 6'4, 210 FR 3-3 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Drew Kaser 6'3, 215 SR 60 47.5 9 12 18 50.0%
Shane Tripucka 6'3, 210 SO 2 44.0 1 0 1 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Taylor Bertolet 5'9, 188 SR 71 62.6 32 45.1% 0 1 0 0
Daniel LaCamera 6'4, 210 FR 4 63.0 2 50.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Christian Kirk 5'11, 200 FR 14 24.4 2 25 1 (1)
Speedy Noil 5'11, 192 SO 2 8.5 0 2 0 (0)
Myles Garrett 6'5, 262 SO 1 3.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Christian Kirk 5'11, 200 FR 20 19.3 0 0 2 (2)
Speedy Noil 5'11, 192 SO 11 21.9 0 0 0 (0)
Justin Evans 6'1, 195 JR 2 23.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics