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2015 Southern Miss advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Conference USA West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 9-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 58
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Mississippi State 16 16-34 L 16% -8.0 60% 34% 64%
12-Sep Austin Peay N/A 52-6 W 100% 32.8 11% 17% 22%
19-Sep at Texas State 112 56-50 W 83% 7.8 70% 75% 18%
26-Sep at Nebraska 48 28-36 L 9% -10.8 40% 56% 14%
3-Oct North Texas 128 49-14 W 100% 34.7 86% 79% 54%
9-Oct at Marshall 64 10-31 L 1% -20.1 20% 39% 37%
17-Oct UTSA 113 32-10 W 100% 35.4 85% 83% 94%
24-Oct at Charlotte 124 44-10 W 100% 34.7 74% 73% 76%
31-Oct UTEP 126 34-13 W 99% 20.0 61% 61% 66%
14-Nov at Rice 119 65-10 W 100% 53.9 86% 81% 99%
21-Nov Old Dominion 110 56-31 W 99% 19.2 62% 88% 45%
28-Nov at Louisiana Tech 54 58-24 W 100% 26.0 92% 96% 92%
5-Dec at Western Kentucky 11 28-45 L 18% -7.3 42% 52% 84%
26-Dec vs. Washington 12 31-44 L 2% -16.6 14% 64% 20%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 32.9 41 27.9 62
Points Per Game 39.9 13 25.6 49
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.50 1 1.37 108 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.7% 53 38.2% 35 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 33.3 7 28.4 40 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.18 29 4.31 34 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -1.69 86 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.25
ACTUAL -1 74
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 103.9 61 98.0 76 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.3% 78 38.4% 37 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.25 11 1.18 105 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 99.1 77 99.6 64 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.9% 66 34.9% 29 38.9%
Power Success Rate 60.9% 100 69.4% 91 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.5% 70 24.5% 13 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jalen Richard RB 5'8, 210 SR 185 1098 14 5.9 6.2 41.6% 7 (5)
Ito Smith RB 5'9, 195 SO 171 1128 10 6.6 9.3 36.3% 2 (2)
Justice Hayes RB 5'10, 194 SR 52 204 2 3.9 5.0 26.9% 0 (0)
Delaunte' Thornton RB 5'8, 205 FR 25 131 0 5.2 2.9 56.0% 0 (0)
Nick Mullens QB 6'1, 196 JR 20 102 3 5.1 4.1 45.0% 7 (4)
Tyler Matthews QB 6'4, 215 JR 7 76 1 10.9 7.8 71.4% 0 (0)
Daythan Davis FB 6'1, 225 SO 3 5 0 1.7 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Tyler Sarrazin P 6'3, 204 JR 2 7 1 3.5 2.2 50.0% 0 (0)
Dylan Bradley DL 6'1, 265 JR 2 1 0 0.5 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 105.9 49 96.0 77 100.0
Passing Success Rate 43.8% 37 38.1% 39 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.68 15 1.54 87 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 98.3 65 115.2 39 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Nick Mullens 6'1, 196 JR 331 521 4476 38 12 63.5% 24 4.4% 7.9
Tyler Matthews 6'4, 215 JR 5 7 112 1 0 71.4% 1 12.5% 12.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Mike Thomas WR 6'1, 200 SR 112 71 1391 14 19.6 12.4 63.4% 57.1% 22.2%
Casey Martin WR 5'10, 180 SR 105 80 925 7 11.6 8.8 76.2% 51.4% 20.8%
D.J. Thompson WR 6'3, 200 JR 93 55 779 6 14.2 8.4 59.1% 47.3% 18.4%
Ito Smith RB 5'9, 195 SO 71 49 515 3 10.5 7.3 69.0% 40.8% 14.1%
Jalen Richard RB 5'8, 210 SR 34 31 295 2 9.5 8.7 91.2% 50.0% 6.7%
Taylor Marini TE 6'4, 237 SO 19 6 65 1 10.8 3.4 31.6% 26.3% 3.8%
Korey Robertson WR 6'1, 210 FR 17 14 200 3 14.3 11.8 82.4% 70.6% 3.4%
Jordan Mitchell WR 6'3, 202 FR 17 7 105 1 15.0 6.2 41.2% 29.4% 3.4%
Daythan Davis FB 6'1, 225 SO 12 10 86 0 8.6 7.2 83.3% 66.7% 2.4%
Ricky Parks DL 6'3, 270 JR 7 5 88 0 17.6 12.6 71.4% 71.4% 1.4%
Justice Hayes RB 5'10, 194 SR 7 4 49 0 12.3 7.0 57.1% 28.6% 1.4%
Jay'Shawn Washington TE 6'1, 240 FR 2 2 50 1 25.0 25.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.4%
Curtis Mikell DB 5'8, 170 SO 2 2 23 0 11.5 11.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Tyre'oune Holmes WR 5'11, 170 SO 2 1 3 0 3.0 1.5 50.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Jarell Aaron WR 6'5, 203 JR 1 1 47 1 47.0 47.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Xavier Thigpen DL 6'5, 240 SO 1 1 6 1 6.0 6.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 103.2 54 100.0 61 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.1% 86 42.3% 28 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.38 2 1.19 100 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.05 42 2.65 34 2.90
SD Sack Rate 3.7% 37 4.3% 93 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 114.8 37 93.4 90 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 37.2% 15 30.8% 66 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.85 47 1.82 80 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.94 97 2.96 44 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.6% 74 9.4% 25 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 99.8 77 98.6 65
Q2 S&P+ 107.8 46 123.3 11
Q3 S&P+ 108.1 45 92.6 94
Q4 S&P+ 124.5 8 91.4 104
1st Down S&P+ 113.6 26 99.6 70
2nd Down S&P+ 99.7 76 98.2 75
3rd Down S&P+ 113.7 28 107.8 45
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.8% 102 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 20.8% 123 34.0%
Adj. Pace +1.1 47 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 80.6% 21 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 56.5% 106 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 30.4% 97 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 18.2% 28 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.2% 56 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 6.5% 12 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.4% 61 6.3%
PD to INC 32.6% 67 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
D'Nerius Antoine LB 6'0, 215 JR 89.0 11.5% 7.5 1.5 2 5 4 0
Brian Anderson LB 5'10, 240 SR 62.5 8.0% 13.5 4.0 0 2 1 0
Kalan Reed DB 5'11, 195 SR 53.0 6.8% 4.0 0.0 4 17 2 1
Picasso Nelson Jr. DB 5'10, 195 SO 50.5 6.5% 5.0 0.0 0 5 1 0
Cornell Armstrong DB 5'11, 180 SO 42.0 5.4% 1.0 0.0 2 10 0 0
Elijah Parker LB 6'2, 220 JR 38.5 5.0% 7.5 1.0 0 3 3 0
Dylan Bradley DL 6'1, 265 JR 37.0 4.8% 12.5 6.5 0 2 0 0
Devonta Foster DB 6'0, 190 JR 32.0 4.1% 0.0 0.0 1 2 2 0
Terrick Wright LB 6'2, 225 SR 30.0 3.9% 2.5 0.0 1 0 1 1
Anthony Swain LB 6'2, 250 SR 27.5 3.5% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Curtis Mikell DB 5'8, 170 SO 26.0 3.3% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Trae Collins DB 5'11, 184 SO 25.5 3.3% 0.0 0.0 0 2 1 0
Andrew Bolton DL 6'3, 304 SR 24.5 3.2% 3.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Darian Yancey LB 6'1, 250 FR 23.5 3.0% 6.0 1.5 1 0 0 0
Xavier Thigpen DL 6'5, 240 SO 19.5 2.5% 4.5 4.5 0 2 0 0
Michael Smith DL 6'4, 285 SR 19.0 2.4% 4.5 4.0 0 1 0 0
Sherrod Ruff LB 5'10, 215 SO 19.0 2.4% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Naim Mustafaa DL 6'4, 250 SO 18.0 2.3% 4.0 1.5 1 1 0 0
Deshadrick Truly DB 6'0, 195 JR 18.0 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0 3 0 0
Draper Riley DL 6'4, 289 SO 15.5 2.0% 5.0 1.5 0 0 0 0
Evan Osborne LB 6'3, 210 JR 12.5 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 1
LaDarius Harris DL 6'1, 280 FR 11.5 1.5% 2.5 2.0 0 0 0 0
Quincy Russell DL 6'4, 330 SR 10.0 1.3% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Ja'Boree Poole DL 6'2, 250 JR 9.5 1.2% 4.0 4.0 0 2 0 0
Rod Crayton DL 6'1, 287 SO 7.5 1.0% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.2 110
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.34 114
Punt Success Rate 51.0% 90
Kickoff Success Rate 64.3% 95
Punt Return Success Rate 51.9% 55
Kick Return Success Rate 64.3% 10
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Stephen Brauchle 6'1, 205 JR 48-52 11-14 78.6%
Parker Shaunfield 6'0, 170 FR 22-22 2-5 40.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Tyler Sarrazin 6'3, 204 JR 45 39.8 3 1 17 40.0%
Matthew Moseley 5'10, 163 SR 4 31.5 0 3 2 125.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Stephen Brauchle 6'1, 205 JR 95 59.5 16 16.8% 3 3 5 3
Delaunte' Thornton 5'8, 205 FR 1 61.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Parker Shaunfield 6'0, 170 FR 1 50.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jalen Richard 5'8, 210 SR 20 4.4 0 12 3 (2)
Casey Martin 5'10, 180 SR 5 4.4 0 8 1 (0)
Picasso Nelson Jr. 5'10, 195 SO 1 20.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Mike Thomas 6'1, 200 SR 15 20.7 0 0 0 (0)
Ito Smith 5'9, 195 SO 11 21.2 0 0 0 (0)
Curtis Mikell 5'8, 170 SO 7 20.1 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics