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2015 Kentucky advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Kentucky Wildcats (SEC East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.0 (0.0) | S&P+ Rk: 95
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep UL-Lafayette 107 40-33 W 90% 10.2 84% 83% 42%
12-Sep at South Carolina 88 26-22 W 23% -5.9 40% 35% 13%
19-Sep Florida 18 9-14 L 4% -13.9 51% 20% 58%
26-Sep Missouri 85 21-13 W 92% 11.3 90% 94% 14%
3-Oct Eastern Kentucky N/A 34-27 W 69% 4.0 28% 23% 42%
15-Oct Auburn 35 27-30 L 58% 1.5 34% 70% 35%
24-Oct at Mississippi State 16 16-42 L 0% -26.1 14% 35% 15%
31-Oct Tennessee 22 21-52 L 0% -26.2 15% 29% 23%
7-Nov at Georgia 32 3-27 L 0% -31.0 13% 8% 37%
14-Nov at Vanderbilt 83 17-21 L 61% 2.2 21% 38% 52%
21-Nov Charlotte 124 58-10 W 100% 31.5 76% 69% 73%
28-Nov Louisville 28 24-38 L 1% -18.5 13% 31% 31%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 23.2 104 30.1 80
Points Per Game 24.7 95 27.4 69
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.26 65 1.18 27 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 37.4% 108 44.2% 94 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.6 113 32.0 111 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.77 66 4.27 31 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.62 46 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.93
ACTUAL -2 83
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 107.7 42 89.7 99 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.4% 89 45.9% 98 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.14 35 1.00 39 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 96 91 88.2 114 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.8% 71 35.8% 36 38.9%
Power Success Rate 62.2% 89 78.3% 117 66.3%
Stuff Rate 23.9% 113 14.2% 121 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Stanley Boom Williams RB 5'9, 196 SO 121 855 6 7.1 10.6 41.3% 3 (1)
Jojo Kemp RB 5'10, 200 JR 98 555 6 5.7 5.5 42.9% 1 (0)
Mikel Horton RB 6'1, 226 SO 82 318 3 3.9 3.8 30.5% 3 (2)
Patrick Towles QB 6'5, 240 JR 46 223 5 4.8 4.2 39.1% 1 (0)
Drew Barker QB 6'3, 225 FR 20 77 1 3.9 3.1 35.0% 0 (0)
Sihiem King RB 5'9, 172 FR 11 127 1 11.5 12.5 54.5% 0 (0)
Ryan Timmons WR 5'10, 192 JR 2 1 0 0.5 0.0 0.0% 2 (1)
Garrett Johnson WR 5'11, 182 SO 1 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 91.2 91 86.8 109 100.0
Passing Success Rate 34.8% 109 42.1% 80 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.39 89 1.43 57 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 86.8 82 59.3 122 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Patrick Towles 6'5, 240 JR 183 326 2148 9 14 56.1% 25 7.1% 5.7
Drew Barker 6'3, 225 FR 35 70 364 1 2 50.0% 5 6.7% 4.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Dorian Baker WR 6'3, 208 SO 96 55 608 3 11.1 6.3 57.3% 41.7% 26.6%
Garrett Johnson WR 5'11, 182 SO 80 46 694 2 15.1 8.7 57.5% 43.8% 22.2%
Jeff Badet WR 6'0, 182 SO 49 29 430 2 14.8 8.8 59.2% 42.9% 13.6%
Blake Bone WR 6'5, 208 SO 28 20 210 1 10.5 7.5 71.4% 60.7% 7.8%
Ryan Timmons WR 5'10, 192 JR 24 12 114 1 9.5 4.8 50.0% 25.0% 6.6%
Stanley Boom Williams RB 5'9, 196 SO 22 13 74 0 5.7 3.4 59.1% 27.3% 6.1%
C.J. Conrad TE 6'5, 245 FR 21 15 149 1 9.9 7.1 71.4% 47.6% 5.8%
Mikel Horton RB 6'1, 226 SO 10 10 140 0 14.0 14.0 100.0% 70.0% 2.8%
Charles Walker WR 5'11, 203 SO 10 5 61 0 12.2 6.1 50.0% 40.0% 2.8%
Jojo Kemp RB 5'10, 200 JR 7 4 12 0 3.0 1.7 57.1% 14.3% 1.9%
Sihiem King RB 5'9, 172 FR 5 4 6 0 1.5 1.2 80.0% 0.0% 1.4%
Alexander Montgomery WR 6'2, 210 SO 4 3 18 0 6.0 4.5 75.0% 50.0% 1.1%
T.V. Williams WR 5'10, 155 SO 3 1 -5 0 -5.0 -1.7 33.3% 0.0% 0.8%
Patrick Towles QB 6'5, 240 JR 1 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
David Bouvier WR 5'9, 163 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 95.4 91 87.7 115 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 42.2% 111 48.7% 86 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.04 95 1.08 57 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.60 109 3.10 96 2.90
SD Sack Rate 6.2% 88 2.6% 116 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 109.3 43 90.1 98 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.2% 78 33.8% 102 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.82 54 1.51 9 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.82 103 3.69 112 3.20
PD Sack Rate 8.2% 84 6.1% 88 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 113.8 40 103.3 49
Q2 S&P+ 87.0 110 82.5 116
Q3 S&P+ 107.7 48 87.3 111
Q4 S&P+ 112.1 28 93.6 95
1st Down S&P+ 105.3 52 92.3 99
2nd Down S&P+ 96.3 87 89.9 103
3rd Down S&P+ 110.6 43 93.5 96
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.7% 88 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 32.5% 64 34.0%
Adj. Pace -4.6 105 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.0% 83 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.5% 26 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 35.1% 57 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.2% 96 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.5% 72 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 3.5% 88 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.1% 72 6.3%
PD to INC 40.1% 11 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Josh Forrest LB 6'3, 255 SR 66.0 9.5% 6.0 3.5 2 5 1 0
A.J. Stamps S 6'0, 205 SR 52.0 7.5% 0.5 0.0 1 8 0 0
Marcus McWilson S 6'0, 208 JR 49.0 7.0% 1.5 1.0 0 2 1 0
Khalid Henderson LB 6'1, 235 SR 48.0 6.9% 6.5 2.0 1 2 1 0
Cory Johnson DT 6'3, 300 SR 47.0 6.7% 8.0 2.0 1 1 1 1
Ryan Flannigan LB 6'2, 225 SR 39.0 5.6% 0.5 0.0 0 2 0 0
Farrington Huguenin DE 6'4, 282 SR 38.5 5.5% 4.0 1.5 0 2 0 0
Mike Edwards S 6'0, 200 FR 32.0 4.6% 2.0 0.0 1 2 1 0
Denzil Ware DE 6'2, 255 FR 30.5 4.4% 5.5 1.0 0 0 1 0
Chris Westry DB 6'4, 185 FR 29.5 4.2% 1.5 1.0 2 8 0 0
Jason Hatcher DE 6'3, 252 JR 28.0 4.0% 5.5 2.0 0 3 0 0
Blake McClain CB 5'11, 195 JR 25.0 3.6% 1.0 0.0 0 5 1 0
Regie Meant DT 6'4, 302 SO 22.5 3.2% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
J.D. Harmon CB 6'2, 197 JR 20.5 2.9% 0.0 0.0 3 2 1 0
Jabari Johnson DE 6'1, 272 SR 19.0 2.7% 2.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Derrick Baity DB 6'3, 180 FR 16.5 2.4% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Matt Elam DT 6'7, 360 SO 16.5 2.4% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Cody Quinn CB 5'10, 180 SR 16.0 2.3% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Darius West S 6'0, 206 FR 14.5 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Melvin Lewis DT 6'4, 332 SR 14.0 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Joey Herrick WR 6'1, 203 SR 10.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kendall Randolph CB 6'0, 180 SO 8.5 1.2% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Courtney Miggins DT 6'5, 250 JR 8.5 1.2% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jordan Jones LB 6'2, 215 FR 6.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Adrian Middleton DT 6'3, 295 FR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.6 48
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.28 34
Punt Success Rate 56.1% 59
Kickoff Success Rate 66.1% 85
Punt Return Success Rate 54.5% 48
Kick Return Success Rate 40.0% 83
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Austin MacGinnis 5'10, 175 SO 22-23 13-17 76.5%
Miles Butler 5'9, 171 FR 11-12 4-4 100.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Landon Foster 6'1, 178 SR 61 40.3 2 16 10 42.6%
Bryan Kirshe 6'0, 150 FR 1 31.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Austin MacGinnis 5'10, 175 SO 37 61.5 14 37.8% 1 0 0 0
Miles Butler 5'9, 171 FR 25 59.6 2 8.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ryan Timmons 5'10, 192 JR 8 7.4 0 12 1 (1)
Charles Walker 5'11, 203 SO 3 7.3 0 14 0 (0)
Tavin Richardson 6'3, 218 FR 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Sihiem King 5'9, 172 FR 23 21.7 0 1 0 (0)
J.D. Harmon 6'2, 197 JR 4 32.0 0 0 0 (0)
Jabari Johnson 6'1, 272 SR 1 6.0 0 1 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics