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2015 Alabama advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/20/2016

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2015 | 2016

Alabama Crimson Tide (SEC West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 14-1 | Second-order wins (diff.): 13.1 (-0.9) | S&P+ Rk: 1
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep vs. Wisconsin 31 35-17 W 100% 20.6 97% 97% 78%
12-Sep Middle Tennessee 82 37-10 W 100% 26.4 92% 69% 96%
19-Sep Ole Miss 5 37-43 L 8% -11.3 89% 58% 64%
26-Sep UL-Monroe 122 34-0 W 100% 47.3 92% 47% 99%
3-Oct at Georgia 32 38-10 W 100% 25.9 98% 96% 89%
10-Oct Arkansas 15 27-14 W 93% 11.8 86% 42% 98%
17-Oct at Texas A&M 42 41-23 W 86% 8.6 76% 55% 81%
24-Oct Tennessee 22 19-14 W 85% 8.4 84% 70% 90%
7-Nov LSU 9 30-16 W 93% 12.0 88% 66% 93%
14-Nov at Mississippi State 16 31-6 W 100% 22.2 89% 75% 95%
21-Nov Charleston Southern N/A 56-6 W 100% 56.1 71% 53% 96%
28-Nov at Auburn 35 29-13 W 98% 17.2 86% 75% 90%
5-Dec vs. Florida 18 29-15 W 100% 24.9 92% 83% 93%
31-Dec vs. Michigan State 13 38-0 W 100% 31.6 98% 91% 99%
11-Jan vs. Clemson 2 45-40 W 43% -1.3 89% 93% 53%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 37.9 24 7.9 1
Points Per Game 35.1 30 15.1 3
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.25 69 1.27 75 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 43.8% 42 29.7% 2 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 33.2 10 27.6 22 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.01 46 3.78 9 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 17.19 1 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.40
ACTUAL 10 13
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 114.9 20 152.9 1 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.1% 38 29.1% 2 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.05 73 0.97 25 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 116.3 12 132.8 2 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.5% 33 28.6% 3 38.9%
Power Success Rate 75.0% 24 50.0% 6 66.3%
Stuff Rate 17.4% 34 25.5% 8 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Derrick Henry RB 6'3, 242 JR 395 2219 28 5.6 5.4 41.3% 4 (3)
Kenyan Drake RB 6'1, 210 SR 77 408 1 5.3 5.3 45.5% 1 (1)
Jake Coker QB 6'5, 232 SR 49 261 2 5.3 3.7 49.0% 3 (1)
Damien Harris RB 5'11, 205 FR 46 157 1 3.4 4.6 28.3% 1 (0)
Bo Scarbrough RB 6'2, 240 FR 18 104 1 5.8 3.6 50.0% 0 (0)
Derrick Gore RB 5'11, 210 SO 6 15 0 2.5 2.6 16.7% 0 (0)
Ronnie Clark DB 6'2, 228 FR 5 20 0 4.0 2.0 40.0% 0 (0)
ArDarius Stewart WR 6'1, 204 SO 5 14 0 2.8 1.7 60.0% 1 (1)
Cooper Bateman QB 6'3, 220 SO 4 10 0 2.5 1.2 50.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 122.3 15 148.1 1 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.2% 46 30.2% 2 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.52 53 1.49 72 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 116.9 42 195.6 2 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Jake Coker 6'5, 232 SR 263 393 3110 21 8 66.9% 25 6.0% 7.0
Cooper Bateman 6'3, 220 SO 37 52 291 1 2 71.2% 1 1.9% 5.5
Alec Morris 6'3, 233 JR 1 1 6 0 0 100.0% 0 0.0% 6.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Calvin Ridley WR 6'1, 188 FR 126 89 1059 7 11.9 8.4 70.6% 49.2% 29.2%
ArDarius Stewart WR 6'1, 204 SO 99 63 700 4 11.1 7.1 63.6% 39.4% 22.9%
Richard Mullaney WR 6'3, 208 SR 60 38 390 5 10.3 6.5 63.3% 48.3% 13.9%
O.J. Howard TE 6'6, 242 JR 47 38 602 2 15.8 12.8 80.9% 61.7% 10.9%
Kenyan Drake RB 6'1, 210 SR 40 29 262 1 9.0 6.6 72.5% 37.5% 9.3%
Derrick Henry RB 6'3, 242 JR 17 11 91 0 8.3 5.4 64.7% 23.5% 3.9%
Robert Foster WR 6'2, 194 SO 12 10 116 2 11.6 9.7 83.3% 58.3% 2.8%
Cam Sims WR 6'5, 209 SO 11 6 46 0 7.7 4.2 54.5% 36.4% 2.5%
TY Flournoy-Smith TE 6'3, 247 SR 4 3 48 0 16.0 12.0 75.0% 50.0% 0.9%
Chris Black WR 6'0, 192 JR 4 2 23 0 11.5 5.8 50.0% 50.0% 0.9%
Damien Harris RB 5'11, 205 FR 4 4 13 0 3.3 3.3 100.0% 25.0% 0.9%
Xavian Marks RB 5'8, 160 FR 2 2 19 0 9.5 9.5 100.0% 100.0% 0.5%
Daylon Charlot WR 6'0, 195 FR 2 2 9 0 4.5 4.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Michael Nysewander TE 6'1, 237 SR 1 1 19 1 19.0 19.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Dakota Ball TE 6'3, 254 JR 1 1 8 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Hale Hentges TE 6'5, 235 FR 1 1 5 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 117.9 14 145.5 1 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 50.6% 27 33.8% 1 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.06 89 1.11 74 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.01 45 2.28 7 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.4% 55 7.6% 7 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 115.4 36 148.3 3 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.6% 82 23.8% 9 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.04 11 1.61 28 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.79 16 2.55 9 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.8% 77 13.3% 3 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 120.0 24 152.5 1
Q2 S&P+ 117.2 25 169.9 1
Q3 S&P+ 125.0 16 152.2 1
Q4 S&P+ 114.0 24 112.2 28
1st Down S&P+ 119.0 16 141.8 2
2nd Down S&P+ 121.7 19 153.8 1
3rd Down S&P+ 110.0 44 133.5 7
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.5% 46 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 39.2% 32 34.0%
Adj. Pace +1.5 46 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 76.0% 53 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.0% 117 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 23.8% 126 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 22.9% 1 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.2% 39 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 8.2% 5 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 8.6% 10 6.3%
PD to INC 40.4% 9 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Reggie Ragland LB 6'2, 252 SR 81.0 11.3% 6.5 2.5 0 7 2 0
Geno Matias-Smith DB 6'0, 196 SR 61.5 8.6% 1.0 0.0 1 1 1 0
Reuben Foster LB 6'1, 240 JR 60.5 8.4% 8.0 1.0 0 9 0 0
Marlon Humphrey DB 6'1, 192 FR 40.0 5.6% 3.5 0.0 3 8 2 0
Eddie Jackson DB 6'0, 194 JR 40.0 5.6% 3.0 0.0 6 2 1 0
Minkah Fitzpatrick DB 6'1, 195 FR 37.5 5.2% 3.0 2.0 2 11 0 0
Jarran Reed DL 6'4, 313 SR 37.0 5.2% 4.5 1.0 0 2 0 0
Cyrus Jones DB 5'10, 196 SR 33.0 4.6% 4.0 0.0 2 7 2 1
A'Shawn Robinson DL 6'4, 312 JR 32.0 4.5% 7.5 3.5 0 2 0 1
Ryan Anderson LB 6'2, 249 JR 29.0 4.0% 11.5 6.0 0 0 2 0
Jonathan Allen DL 6'3, 283 JR 27.5 3.8% 14.5 12.0 0 4 2 0
Dalvin Tomlinson DL 6'3, 294 JR 23.0 3.2% 0.5 0.0 0 6 0 0
Dillon Lee LB 6'4, 242 SR 21.5 3.0% 1.5 1.0 2 1 0 0
Shaun Dion Hamilton LB 6'0, 229 SO 20.5 2.9% 1.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Denzel Devall LB 6'2, 252 SR 18.0 2.5% 5.0 1.0 0 2 0 0
Tim Williams LB 6'4, 230 JR 16.0 2.2% 12.5 10.5 0 1 0 0
D.J. Pettway DL 6'2, 270 SR 14.5 2.0% 5.0 2.0 0 2 0 0
Ronnie Harrison DB 6'3, 218 FR 14.0 2.0% 1.0 1.0 2 6 1 0
Tony Brown DB 6'0, 195 SO 14.0 2.0% 1.0 0.0 0 2 1 0
Bradley Sylve DB 6'0, 180 SR 12.5 1.7% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Da'Shawn Hand DL 6'4, 273 SO 11.5 1.6% 6.5 3.0 0 0 0 0
Maurice Smith DB 6'0, 199 JR 11.0 1.5% 1.0 1.0 0 1 1 0
Daron Payne DL 6'2, 315 FR 9.5 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0 1 1 0
Rashaan Evans LB 6'3, 225 SO 8.5 1.2% 4.0 4.0 0 0 0 0
Keith Holcombe LB 6'4, 223 FR 7.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.1 61
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.14 91
Punt Success Rate 59.2% 43
Kickoff Success Rate 87.1% 11
Punt Return Success Rate 68.1% 11
Kick Return Success Rate 45.9% 64
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Adam Griffith 5'10, 192 JR 62-62 23-32 71.9%
JK Scott 6'5, 195 SO 1-1 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
JK Scott 6'5, 195 SO 70 44.2 9 18 17 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Adam Griffith 5'10, 192 JR 100 63.5 55 55.0% 3 1 2 2
JK Scott 6'5, 195 SO 1 57.0 0 0.0% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Cyrus Jones 5'10, 196 SR 42 12.6 4 31 2 (1)
Richard Mullaney 6'3, 208 SR 2 15.0 0 0 0 (0)
Ronnie Harrison 6'3, 218 FR 1 8.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Kenyan Drake 6'1, 210 SR 19 26.6 1 0 1 (1)
Damien Harris 5'11, 205 FR 9 19.3 0 0 1 (0)
ArDarius Stewart 6'1, 204 SO 2 15.0 0 0 1 (1)

Stats via SportSource Analytics