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2016 Louisville advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Louisville Cardinals (ACC Atlantic)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 9-4 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.6 (0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 12
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
1-Sep Charlotte 125 70-14 W 100% 56.3 96% 99% 92%
9-Sep at Syracuse 76 62-28 W 100% 28.2 91% 89% 45%
17-Sep Florida State 6 63-20 W 100% 32.3 99% 96% 96%
24-Sep at Marshall 118 59-28 W 100% 41.8 94% 84% 85%
1-Oct at Clemson 2 36-42 L 23% -5.8 73% 87% 40%
14-Oct Duke 72 24-14 W 98% 16.0 81% 63% 73%
22-Oct NC State 25 54-13 W 100% 53.4 100% 97% 98%
29-Oct at Virginia 88 32-25 W 90% 9.9 65% 51% 52%
5-Nov at Boston College 86 52-7 W 100% 50.0 98% 94% 86%
12-Nov Wake Forest 60 44-12 W 100% 29.3 94% 84% 96%
17-Nov at Houston 39 10-36 L 0% -24.6 18% 24% 46%
26-Nov Kentucky 67 38-41 L 51% 0.2 54% 84% 21%
31-Dec vs. LSU 4 9-29 L 0% -26.3 29% 2% 48%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 39.2 10 21.0 19
Points Per Game 42.5 6 23.8 31
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.44 7 1.30 94 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 49.2% 8 36.2% 15 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.9 22 30.2 85 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.00 19 4.16 38 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -5.09 106 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.73
ACTUAL -7 107
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 151.4 1 119.5 17 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 54.0% 2 33.6% 4 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.30 11 1.10 71 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 133.1 2 113.6 17 100.0
Opportunity Rate 49.6% 1 30.9% 4 39.7%
Power Success Rate 74.4% 25 69.0% 78 67.9%
Stuff Rate 15.7% 15 26.0% 5 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Lamar Jackson QB 6'3, 205 SO 214 1896 21 8.9 7.8 59.3% 8 (5)
Brandon Radcliff RB 5'9, 210 SR 138 903 6 6.5 6.4 46.4% 4 (4)
Jeremy Smith RB 6'2, 224 JR 57 382 8 6.7 10.8 33.3% 2 (2)
Malik Williams RB 6'3, 220 JR 19 145 1 7.6 8.6 42.1% 2 (2)
Malin Jones RB 6'0, 225 SR 15 66 0 4.4 1.4 46.7% 0 (0)
Trey Smith RB 6'0, 220 FR 11 28 0 2.5 1.0 18.2% 0 (0)
Traveon Samuel WR 5'7, 170 SO 8 54 1 6.8 6.0 62.5% 0 (0)
Reggie Bonnafon WR 6'3, 208 JR 5 7 0 1.4 1.3 40.0% 1 (0)
L.J. Scott RB 6'0, 225 JR 3 15 0 5.0 11.7 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 118.5 21 98.9 67 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.5% 33 38.8% 46 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.59 30 1.48 72 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 81.9 101 101 62 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Lamar Jackson 6'3, 205 SO 230 409 3543 30 9 56.2% 46 10.1% 7.1
Kyle Bolin 6'2, 210 JR 18 27 234 2 1 66.7% 1 3.6% 8.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Jamari Staples WR 6'4, 195 SR 72 36 615 2 17.1 8.5 50.0% 47.2% 17.8%
Cole Hikutini TE 6'5, 248 SR 70 50 668 8 13.4 9.5 71.4% 64.3% 17.3%
James Quick WR 6'1, 180 SR 67 45 769 6 17.1 11.5 67.2% 53.7% 16.5%
Jaylen Smith WR 6'4, 210 SO 46 27 599 6 22.2 13.0 58.7% 54.3% 11.4%
Reggie Bonnafon WR 6'3, 208 JR 30 13 159 5 12.2 5.3 43.3% 40.0% 7.4%
Traveon Samuel WR 5'7, 170 SO 26 18 230 1 12.8 8.9 69.2% 53.8% 6.4%
Jeremy Smith RB 6'2, 224 JR 24 18 227 1 12.6 9.5 75.0% 50.0% 5.9%
Seth Dawkins WR 6'3, 201 FR 21 11 191 1 17.4 9.1 52.4% 47.6% 5.2%
Brandon Radcliff RB 5'9, 210 SR 11 9 86 1 9.6 7.8 81.8% 63.6% 2.7%
Charles Standberry TE 6'3, 242 JR 10 4 46 0 11.5 4.6 40.0% 30.0% 2.5%
Keith Towbridge TE 6'5, 265 SR 7 2 22 0 11.0 3.1 28.6% 28.6% 1.7%
Devante Peete WR 6'6, 206 SO 6 4 70 0 17.5 11.7 66.7% 66.7% 1.5%
L.J. Scott RB 6'0, 225 JR 6 4 42 1 10.5 7.0 66.7% 50.0% 1.5%
Javonte Bagley WR 6'3, 190 JR 3 3 21 0 7.0 7.0 100.0% 66.7% 0.7%
Micky Crum TE 6'4, 250 SO 3 1 7 0 7.0 2.3 33.3% 33.3% 0.7%
Malin Jones RB 6'0, 225 SR 2 2 18 0 9.0 9.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 134.8 1 108.8 35 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 55.4% 5 40.6% 13 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.36 3 1.14 84 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.67 1 2.41 12 2.98
SD Sack Rate 10.4% 126 5.6% 48 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 121.7 16 109.4 37 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 34.0% 32 28.7% 38 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.73 71 1.70 48 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.41 49 3.03 43 3.24
PD Sack Rate 7.9% 65 8.0% 53 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 148.0 1 133.5 7
Q2 S&P+ 120.1 18 102.7 57
Q3 S&P+ 125.7 13 125.4 9
Q4 S&P+ 131.7 2 115.1 24
1st Down S&P+ 135.6 1 112.3 27
2nd Down S&P+ 122.6 14 123.5 11
3rd Down S&P+ 123.1 20 123.6 13
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.0% 92 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 35.1% 53 34.6%
Adj. Pace +1.7 47 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 77.5% 37 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.3% 90 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 38.1% 27 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 18.3% 23 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.4% 72 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 7.4% 8 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.6% 52 6.4%
PD to INC 31.0% 89 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Keith Kelsey LB 6'1, 236 SR 70.0 9.4% 4.5 1.0 0 2 3
Stacy Thomas LB 6'1, 232 JR 67.0 9.0% 7.5 1.0 1 3 0
Chucky Williams S 6'2, 210 JR 61.5 8.3% 2.0 0.0 3 3 0
Zykiesis Cannon CB 6'0, 195 JR 51.5 6.9% 4.0 0.5 1 3 0
Josh Harvey-Clemons S 6'5, 228 SR 49.5 6.7% 4.0 2.0 0 2 0
Drew Bailey DL 6'5, 285 JR 45.5 6.1% 9.0 2.0 0 0 0
Dee Smith S 6'1, 200 SO 36.5 4.9% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
James Hearns LB 6'3, 249 JR 36.0 4.8% 10.0 8.0 0 2 5
Jaire Alexander CB 5'11, 188 SO 35.0 4.7% 1.0 0.0 5 9 1
Devonte Fields LB 6'4, 242 SR 34.5 4.6% 9.0 6.0 1 3 0
DeAngelo Brown DT 6'1, 310 SR 32.5 4.4% 14.0 3.0 0 0 1
Trumaine Washington CB 5'10, 180 JR 28.5 3.8% 1.0 0.0 2 6 0
Chris Williams DL 6'1, 285 JR 19.5 2.6% 5.5 1.0 0 0 2
Isaac Stewart LB 6'2, 245 SO 19.5 2.6% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0
Ronald Walker CB 6'1, 198 JR 18.0 2.4% 0.5 0.0 1 1 0
Jonathan Greenard LB 6'4, 252 FR 15.0 2.0% 7.0 2.5 1 2 0
De'Asian Richardson DE 6'3, 335 JR 15.0 2.0% 4.0 0.0 0 1 0
Khane Pass S 6'1, 208 FR 15.0 2.0% 1.5 0.0 0 1 0
Lamar Atkins FB 5'11, 236 SR 13.5 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Gio Pascascio WR 6'3, 195 SR 12.5 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Kyle Shortridge DT 6'2, 288 JR 11.0 1.5% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0
Henry Famurewa OLB 6'2, 252 SO 8.0 1.1% 3.0 2.0 0 0 0
Devante Peete WR 6'6, 206 SO 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Shaq Wiggins CB 5'10, 172 JR 7.0 0.9% 1.0 0.0 0 3 0
Malik Williams RB 6'3, 220 JR 6.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.2 73
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.06 77
Punt Success Rate 61.8% 38
Kickoff Success Rate 57.1% 107
Punt Return Success Rate 69.2% 18
Kick Return Success Rate 45.0% 57
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Blanton Creque 5'11, 188 SO 39-40 16-19 84.2%
Evan O'Hara 6'0, 202 SO 29-29 3-6 50.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Mason King 6'3, 205 FR 55 43.9 1 27 13 72.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Blanton Creque 5'11, 188 SO 59 59.9 8 13.6% 0 2 0 0
Anthony George 6'1, 190 SR 38 60.3 3 7.9% 0 1 0 0
Evan O'Hara 6'0, 202 SO 6 53.2 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jaire Alexander 5'11, 188 SO 20 10.5 1 26 4 (2)
Traveon Samuel 5'7, 170 SO 2 -2.0 0 0 0 (0)
Khane Pass 6'1, 208 FR 2 -1.5 0 2 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Malik Williams 6'3, 220 JR 14 22.5 0 0 2 (2)
Seth Dawkins 6'3, 201 FR 14 21.9 0 0 0 (0)
Traveon Samuel 5'7, 170 SO 11 17.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics