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2015 Virginia advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Virginia Cavaliers (ACC Coastal)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.0 (0.0) | S&P+ Rk: 73
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
5-Sep at UCLA 23 16-34 L 0% -21.1 50% 34% 18%
12-Sep Notre Dame 8 27-34 L 19% -7.1 90% 67% 40%
19-Sep William & Mary N/A 35-29 W 68% 3.7 44% 38% 35%
25-Sep Boise State 41 14-56 L 2% -15.8 64% 53% 46%
10-Oct at Pittsburgh 40 19-26 L 1% -17.3 7% 26% 16%
17-Oct Syracuse 71 44-38 W 60% 2.1 35% 38% 71%
24-Oct at North Carolina 29 13-26 L 1% -18.8 20% 20% 55%
31-Oct Georgia Tech 68 27-21 W 85% 8.4 51% 65% 55%
7-Nov at Miami-FL 51 21-27 L 8% -11.1 21% 46% 23%
14-Nov at Louisville 28 31-38 L 15% -8.3 32% 67% 26%
21-Nov Duke 75 42-34 W 97% 14.6 86% 84% 63%
28-Nov Virginia Tech 59 20-23 L 40% -1.9 43% 52% 50%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 30.7 54 31.1 86
Points Per Game 25.8 89 32.2 96
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.27 64 1.32 96 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.8% 76 44.2% 93 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 26.7 122 32.1 113 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.98 49 4.83 84 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.38 50 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-4.74
ACTUAL -9 110
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 94.5 100 99.1 70 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.0% 94 46.4% 103 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.08 61 1.04 56 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 97.1 85 104.4 45 100.0
Opportunity Rate 35.4% 105 41.3% 99 38.9%
Power Success Rate 62.1% 90 69.0% 90 66.3%
Stuff Rate 22.0% 96 24.0% 15 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Taquan Mizzell TB 5'10, 195 JR 164 664 4 4.0 4.1 32.9% 5 (3)
Albert Reid TB 5'9, 210 JR 66 360 3 5.5 9.9 28.8% 0 (0)
Daniel Hamm TB 5'10, 200 SO 56 249 1 4.4 4.5 30.4% 0 (0)
Matt Johns QB 6'5, 210 JR 42 213 1 5.1 3.0 47.6% 6 (2)
Olamide Zaccheaus TB 5'8, 190 FR 33 262 1 7.9 6.3 60.6% 1 (1)
Jordan Ellis TB 5'11, 205 FR 24 74 2 3.1 9.0 16.7% 0 (0)
T.J. Thorpe WR 6'0, 200 SR 5 28 1 5.6 10.3 40.0% 0 (0)
Nicholas Conte P 6'3, 225 JR 2 20 0 10.0 3.8 100.0% 0 (0)
Jack English OT 6'5, 300 SO 1 7 0 7.0 1.5 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 105.1 52 93.3 87 100.0
Passing Success Rate 41.5% 56 42.0% 79 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.44 80 1.62 109 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 118.4 41 89.9 82 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Matt Johns 6'5, 210 JR 247 403 2810 20 17 61.3% 20 4.7% 6.4
Connor Brewer 6'2, 215 JR 4 8 34 0 1 50.0% 1 11.1% 3.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Taquan Mizzell TB 5'10, 195 JR 99 75 719 4 9.6 7.3 75.8% 47.5% 25.6%
Canaan Severin WR 6'2, 205 SR 74 54 761 8 14.1 10.3 73.0% 58.1% 19.1%
T.J. Thorpe WR 6'0, 200 SR 55 23 321 1 14.0 5.8 41.8% 32.7% 14.2%
Olamide Zaccheaus TB 5'8, 190 FR 33 21 216 1 10.3 6.6 63.6% 39.4% 8.5%
Evan Butts TE 6'4, 240 FR 23 16 182 3 11.4 7.9 69.6% 65.2% 5.9%
Keeon Johnson WR 6'3, 210 JR 22 13 173 1 13.3 7.9 59.1% 50.0% 5.7%
Charlie Hopkins TE 6'6, 255 SR 22 11 90 2 8.2 4.1 50.0% 40.9% 5.7%
Daniel Hamm TB 5'10, 200 SO 18 14 174 0 12.4 9.7 77.8% 50.0% 4.7%
Albert Reid TB 5'9, 210 JR 18 12 47 0 3.9 2.6 66.7% 22.2% 4.7%
Doni Dowling WR 6'1, 215 SO 6 1 -1 0 -1.0 -0.2 16.7% 0.0% 1.6%
Andre Levrone WR 6'3, 215 SO 5 2 16 0 8.0 3.2 40.0% 40.0% 1.3%
Connor Wingo-Reeves FB 6'3, 230 JR 4 4 31 1 7.8 7.8 100.0% 75.0% 1.0%
Vincent Croce FB 6'4, 260 SR 3 2 3 0 1.5 1.0 66.7% 33.3% 0.8%
David Eldridge WR 6'1, 170 FR 2 2 88 0 44.0 44.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.5%
Ryan Santoro WR 6'2, 215 SO 1 1 34 0 34.0 34.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Brendan Marshall TE 6'5, 245 SO 1 1 5 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 99.5 74 98.5 68 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.7% 62 48.0% 81 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.04 93 1.23 109 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.80 75 2.88 67 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.6% 59 4.5% 85 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 103.8 58 92.5 92 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.0% 80 34.8% 109 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.98 21 1.65 34 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.92 99 3.56 100 3.20
PD Sack Rate 6.0% 38 6.9% 76 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 105.0 60 98.8 64
Q2 S&P+ 104.3 60 95.9 80
Q3 S&P+ 95.5 87 99.0 71
Q4 S&P+ 97.5 86 98.4 75
1st Down S&P+ 98.7 80 96.8 79
2nd Down S&P+ 97.1 83 99.0 74
3rd Down S&P+ 109.5 47 96.0 89
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.1% 70 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 29.8% 79 34.0%
Adj. Pace -2.5 81 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.0% 90 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 56.8% 102 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 31.0% 89 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 17.2% 43 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 7.2% 17 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.8% 108 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.5% 58 6.3%
PD to INC 31.2% 75 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Quin Blanding FS 6'2, 205 SO 91.5 14.9% 1.0 0.0 1 3 1 0
Micah Kiser ILB 6'2, 240 SO 90.5 14.7% 13.0 7.5 0 2 3 1
Kelvin Rainey SS 6'1, 195 JR 55.0 8.9% 3.0 0.0 0 3 0 0
Zach Bradshaw OLB 6'3, 235 JR 38.5 6.3% 3.5 1.5 0 0 1 0
David Dean DT 6'1, 290 SR 34.5 5.6% 8.0 3.5 0 3 1 0
Maurice Canady CB 6'2, 195 SR 34.5 5.6% 3.0 0.0 0 6 1 0
Mike Moore DE 6'4, 265 SR 34.0 5.5% 12.5 7.0 0 3 3 0
Tim Harris CB 6'2, 200 JR 30.0 4.9% 3.0 0.0 1 6 0 0
Demetrious Nicholson CB 5'11, 180 SR 29.5 4.8% 2.5 0.0 0 4 1 0
Wilfred Wahee SS 5'10, 200 JR 29.5 4.8% 1.0 0.0 0 4 0 2
Trent Corney DE 6'3, 255 SR 27.5 4.5% 9.0 2.0 0 0 1 0
Kwontie Moore DE 6'2, 280 SR 22.5 3.7% 6.0 2.0 0 0 2 1
Darious Latimore CB 6'0, 165 FR 13.0 2.1% 0.0 0.0 2 4 1 0
Mark Hall OLB 6'2, 245 JR 10.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Chris Peace DE 6'1, 240 FR 9.5 1.5% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Donte Wilkins DT 6'1, 290 JR 8.5 1.4% 1.5 0.5 0 0 0 0
LaChaston Smith TB 6'0, 235 JR 5.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Vincent Croce FB 6'4, 260 SR 5.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Andrew Brown DT 6'4, 280 SO 4.5 0.7% 2.5 1.0 0 2 0 0
T.J. Thorpe WR 6'0, 200 SR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Andre Miles-Redmond DT 6'4, 280 JR 3.5 0.6% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Mason Thomas SS 6'0, 205 SR 3.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Daniel Hamm TB 5'10, 200 SO 3.5 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Albert Reid TB 5'9, 210 JR 3.0 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Doni Dowling WR 6'1, 215 SO 3.0 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.3 57
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.14 47
Punt Success Rate 57.7% 51
Kickoff Success Rate 79.0% 34
Punt Return Success Rate 40.0% 97
Kick Return Success Rate 25.6% 120
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Ian Frye 6'6, 215 SR 34-35 17-22 77.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Nicholas Conte 6'3, 225 JR 52 44.7 5 11 10 40.4%
James Coleman 6'2, 215 JR 1 31.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Dylan Sims 6'0, 190 JR 60 63.3 30 50.0% 0 1 0 0
Nicholas Conte 6'3, 225 JR 2 59.0 0 0.0% 0 1 0 0
Ian Frye 6'6, 215 SR 0 0.0 0 0.0% 0 0 2 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Maurice Canady 6'2, 195 SR 5 25.2 1 8 0 (0)
Olamide Zaccheaus 5'8, 190 FR 5 6.8 0 9 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Olamide Zaccheaus 5'8, 190 FR 28 19.3 0 0 0 (0)
Taquan Mizzell 5'10, 195 JR 7 13.7 0 0 0 (0)
T.J. Thorpe 6'0, 200 SR 2 16.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics