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2016 Boise State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Boise State Broncos (MWC Mountain)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.2 (0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 19
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy		 Adj. Scoring
Margin		 Percentile
Performance		 Off.
Percentile		 Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at UL-Lafayette 102 45-10 W 100% 51.7 97% 98% 93%
10-Sep Washington State 41 31-28 W 50% -0.1 61% 56% 62%
24-Sep at Oregon State 65 38-24 W 100% 20.7 88% 76% 76%
1-Oct Utah State 70 21-10 W 96% 13.6 79% 60% 80%
7-Oct at New Mexico 81 49-21 W 98% 17.0 83% 91% 70%
15-Oct Colorado State 38 28-23 W 47% -0.5 63% 53% 66%
20-Oct BYU 37 28-27 W 99% 18.6 91% 87% 90%
29-Oct at Wyoming 61 28-30 L 52% 0.4 54% 57% 39%
4-Nov San Jose State 112 45-31 W 93% 11.4 61% 82% 26%
12-Nov at Hawaii 97 52-16 W 100% 35.9 94% 91% 74%
18-Nov UNLV 110 42-25 W 98% 15.5 71% 67% 67%
25-Nov at Air Force 62 20-27 L 84% 7.8 73% 74% 84%
27-Dec vs. Baylor 50 12-31 L 1% -20.0 16% 32% 38%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 37.8 19 26.0 39
Points Per Game 33.8 38 23.3 29
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.36 26 1.12 6 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 47.4% 15 40.1% 42 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 26.6 124 28.2 41 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.07 16 3.87 21 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -0.98 79 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.08
ACTUAL -9 116
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 104.3 56 121.7 13 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.9% 40 42.4% 63 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.03 81 0.92 7 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 103.7 56 110.3 30 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.8% 68 41.0% 86 39.7%
Power Success Rate 73.5% 31 86.8% 128 67.9%
Stuff Rate 16.6% 30 16.9% 98 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry		 Hlt Yds/
Opp.		 Opp.
Rate		 Fumbles
(Lost)
Jeremy McNichols RB 5'9, 212 JR 314 1709 23 5.4 5.5 40.4% 5 (2)
Alexander Mattison RB 5'11, 206 FR 67 328 4 4.9 3.3 40.3% 0 (0)
Brett Rypien QB 6'2, 200 SO 30 100 2 3.3 2.0 23.3% 6 (3)
Devan Demas RB 5'8, 174 SR 15 57 0 3.8 3.2 46.7% 0 (0)
Ryan Wolpin RB 5'8, 189 JR 13 39 0 3.0 1.8 30.8% 0 (0)
Thomas Sperbeck WR 6'0, 180 SR 11 53 0 4.8 2.7 54.5% 2 (2)
Cory Young RB 5'10, 195 SO 10 48 0 4.8 1.8 50.0% 0 (0)
Akilian Butler WR 5'10, 183 SO 3 33 0 11.0 10.9 66.7% 2 (2)
Cedrick Wilson WR 6'3, 183 JR 3 7 0 2.3 1.2 33.3% 4 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 121.4 17 110.5 30 100.0
Passing Success Rate 48.9% 10 37.8% 35 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.69 15 1.34 14 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 147.9 20 91.7 80 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate		 Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brett Rypien 6'2, 200 SO 244 394 3646 24 8 61.9% 19 4.6% 8.5
Thomas Stuart 5'11, 203 JR 3 5 50 0 0 60.0% 0 0.0% 10.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch		 Yds/
Target		 Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Thomas Sperbeck WR 6'0, 180 SR 125 80 1272 9 15.9 10.2 64.0% 56.0% 31.6%
Cedrick Wilson WR 6'3, 183 JR 95 56 1129 11 20.2 11.9 58.9% 53.7% 24.1%
Chaz Anderson WR 5'10, 193 SR 56 30 386 0 12.9 6.9 53.6% 48.2% 14.2%
Jeremy McNichols RB 5'9, 212 JR 43 38 490 4 12.9 11.4 88.4% 44.2% 10.9%
Alec Dhaenens TE 6'3, 245 JR 17 15 119 2 7.9 7.0 88.2% 70.6% 4.3%
Jake Roh TE 6'3, 227 JR 13 10 113 0 11.3 8.7 76.9% 46.2% 3.3%
Sean Modster WR 5'11, 190 SO 11 8 135 0 16.9 12.3 72.7% 72.7% 2.8%
Akilian Butler WR 5'10, 183 SO 8 3 25 0 8.3 3.1 37.5% 37.5% 2.0%
Jake Knight TE 6'4, 232 SO 6 2 56 0 28.0 9.3 33.3% 33.3% 1.5%
Alexander Mattison RB 5'11, 206 FR 6 5 54 0 10.8 9.0 83.3% 50.0% 1.5%
A.J. Richardson WR 6'0, 210 SO 5 2 42 1 21.0 8.4 40.0% 40.0% 1.3%
Bubba Ogbebor WR 6'0, 187 FR 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.8%
Chase Blakley TE 6'4, 246 SO 2 2 31 0 15.5 15.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Brett Rypien QB 6'2, 200 SO 1 1 33 1 33.0 33.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Devan Demas RB 5'8, 174 SR 1 1 5 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Steven Baggett OL 6'3, 288 SR 1 1 4 0 4.0 4.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 112.0 27 109.8 31 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 50.6% 29 47.4% 64 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.26 17 1.00 11 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.03 60 3.13 90 2.98
SD Sack Rate 3.8% 39 3.7% 98 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 116.4 25 131.8 9 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 39.1% 9 24.9% 12 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.71 76 1.61 19 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.63 28 2.79 26 3.24
PD Sack Rate 4.6% 18 8.3% 50 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 112.4 39 111.8 32
Q2 S&P+ 121.4 15 118.3 23
Q3 S&P+ 105.7 49 120.2 16
Q4 S&P+ 111.1 28 99.3 67
1st Down S&P+ 111.6 33 112.4 26
2nd Down S&P+ 118.2 23 113.7 28
3rd Down S&P+ 115.6 29 110.5 43
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.0% 63 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 26.1% 109 34.6%
Adj. Pace -2.4 85 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.6% 30 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.2% 72 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 30.2% 102 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.7% 86 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.9% 61 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 1.8% 126 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.7% 85 6.4%
PD to INC 34.5% 52 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Ben Weaver WLB 6'0, 222 SR 83.0 10.6% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0
Chanceller James S 6'2, 208 SR 64.5 8.2% 3.5 0.0 3 1 0
Darren Lee MLB 6'1, 228 SR 60.0 7.7% 6.5 3.0 0 1 1
Tanner Vallejo SLB 6'1, 223 SR 54.0 6.9% 6.0 1.0 0 0 0
Cameron Hartsfield S 5'10, 196 JR 52.0 6.6% 2.0 0.0 0 3 0
Jonathan Moxey CB 5'10, 185 SR 46.5 5.9% 4.5 0.0 0 13 0
Sam McCaskill DE 6'3, 259 SR 40.0 5.1% 14.0 6.5 0 5 0
Jabril Frazier STUD 6'4, 239 SO 33.0 4.2% 5.0 4.0 0 0 0
Tyler Horton CB 5'11, 178 SO 31.5 4.0% 0.0 0.0 1 9 0
Durrant Miles DE 6'5, 244 SO 27.5 3.5% 4.5 1.0 0 0 0
Blake Whitlock LB 6'1, 208 JR 27.5 3.5% 4.0 2.0 0 2 0
Raymond Ford CB 5'10, 191 SR 25.5 3.3% 0.0 0.0 1 5 0
Leighton Vander Esch WLB 6'4, 236 SO 25.0 3.2% 3.5 1.0 1 0 0
David Moa NT 6'3, 271 SO 23.5 3.0% 10.5 8.5 0 4 0
Dylan Sumner-Gardner S 6'1, 201 SO 21.0 2.7% 0.5 0.0 1 0 0
Tyson Maeva MLB 6'0, 219 FR 19.0 2.4% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Joe Martarano MLB 6'3, 238 JR 18.0 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Kekoa Nawahine S 6'2, 195 FR 17.5 2.2% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0
Elliot Hoyte DT 6'4, 279 SR 14.5 1.8% 4.5 1.5 0 1 0
DeAndre Pierce CB 5'11, 168 FR 14.0 1.8% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0
Kameron Miles LB 6'1, 208 JR 8.0 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Reid Harrison-Ducros CB 5'10, 170 FR 7.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Sonatane Lui NT 6'1, 293 FR 7.0 0.9% 0.5 0.5 0 0 0
Daniel Auelua DT 6'2, 293 JR 6.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Joe Provenzano MLB 5'11, 220 SO 6.0 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

 Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.2 76
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.30 108
Punt Success Rate 73.1% 10
Kickoff Success Rate 88.6% 13
Punt Return Success Rate 33.3% 116
Kick Return Success Rate 32.3% 109
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Tyler Rausa 5'9, 189 SR 58-58 9-13 69.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Sean Wale 6'2, 193 SR 50 45.0 3 23 18 82.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches		 Onside
Att		 Onside
Success
Tyler Rausa 5'9, 189 SR 79 63.4 40 50.6% 0 2 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Akilian Butler 5'10, 183 SO 13 1.4 0 16 2 (2)
Cedrick Wilson 6'3, 183 JR 10 13.2 0 12 3 (0)
Jonathan Moxey 5'10, 185 SR 1 9.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Cedrick Wilson 6'3, 183 JR 13 21.3 0 0 1 (0)
Jonathan Moxey 5'10, 185 SR 12 21.5 0 0 0 (0)
Jeremy McNichols 5'9, 212 JR 4 18.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics