Updated on 1/13/2017
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Got position corrections? Note them here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
2015 | 2016
Boise State Broncos (MWC Mountain)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.2 (0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 19 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 3-Sep | at UL-Lafayette | 102 | 45-10 | W | 100% | 51.7 | 97% | 98% | 93% |
| 10-Sep | Washington State | 41 | 31-28 | W | 50% | -0.1 | 61% | 56% | 62% |
| 24-Sep | at Oregon State | 65 | 38-24 | W | 100% | 20.7 | 88% | 76% | 76% |
| 1-Oct | Utah State | 70 | 21-10 | W | 96% | 13.6 | 79% | 60% | 80% |
| 7-Oct | at New Mexico | 81 | 49-21 | W | 98% | 17.0 | 83% | 91% | 70% |
| 15-Oct | Colorado State | 38 | 28-23 | W | 47% | -0.5 | 63% | 53% | 66% |
| 20-Oct | BYU | 37 | 28-27 | W | 99% | 18.6 | 91% | 87% | 90% |
| 29-Oct | at Wyoming | 61 | 28-30 | L | 52% | 0.4 | 54% | 57% | 39% |
| 4-Nov | San Jose State | 112 | 45-31 | W | 93% | 11.4 | 61% | 82% | 26% |
| 12-Nov | at Hawaii | 97 | 52-16 | W | 100% | 35.9 | 94% | 91% | 74% |
| 18-Nov | UNLV | 110 | 42-25 | W | 98% | 15.5 | 71% | 67% | 67% |
| 25-Nov | at Air Force | 62 | 20-27 | L | 84% | 7.8 | 73% | 74% | 84% |
| 27-Dec | vs. Baylor | 50 | 12-31 | L | 1% | -20.0 | 16% | 32% | 38% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 37.8 | 19 | 26.0 | 39 |
| Points Per Game | 33.8 | 38 | 23.3 | 29 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.36 | 26 | 1.12 | 6 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 47.4% | 15 | 40.1% | 42 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 26.6 | 124 | 28.2 | 41 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 5.07 | 16 | 3.87 | 21 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -0.98 | 79 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -3.08 |
||
| ACTUAL | -9 | 116 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 104.3 | 56 | 121.7 | 13 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 45.9% | 40 | 42.4% | 63 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.03 | 81 | 0.92 | 7 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 103.7 | 56 | 110.3 | 30 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 39.8% | 68 | 41.0% | 86 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 73.5% | 31 | 86.8% | 128 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.6% | 30 | 16.9% | 98 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Jeremy McNichols | RB | 5'9, 212 | JR | 314 | 1709 | 23 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 40.4% | 5 (2) |
| Alexander Mattison | RB | 5'11, 206 | FR | 67 | 328 | 4 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 40.3% | 0 (0) |
| Brett Rypien | QB | 6'2, 200 | SO | 30 | 100 | 2 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 23.3% | 6 (3) |
| Devan Demas | RB | 5'8, 174 | SR | 15 | 57 | 0 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 46.7% | 0 (0) |
| Ryan Wolpin | RB | 5'8, 189 | JR | 13 | 39 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 30.8% | 0 (0) |
| Thomas Sperbeck | WR | 6'0, 180 | SR | 11 | 53 | 0 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 54.5% | 2 (2) |
| Cory Young | RB | 5'10, 195 | SO | 10 | 48 | 0 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Akilian Butler | WR | 5'10, 183 | SO | 3 | 33 | 0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 66.7% | 2 (2) |
| Cedrick Wilson | WR | 6'3, 183 | JR | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 33.3% | 4 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 121.4 | 17 | 110.5 | 30 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 48.9% | 10 | 37.8% | 35 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.69 | 15 | 1.34 | 14 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 147.9 | 20 | 91.7 | 80 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Brett Rypien | 6'2, 200 | SO | 244 | 394 | 3646 | 24 | 8 | 61.9% | 19 | 4.6% | 8.5 |
| Thomas Stuart | 5'11, 203 | JR | 3 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 60.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 10.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Thomas Sperbeck | WR | 6'0, 180 | SR | 125 | 80 | 1272 | 9 | 15.9 | 10.2 | 64.0% | 56.0% | 31.6% |
| Cedrick Wilson | WR | 6'3, 183 | JR | 95 | 56 | 1129 | 11 | 20.2 | 11.9 | 58.9% | 53.7% | 24.1% |
| Chaz Anderson | WR | 5'10, 193 | SR | 56 | 30 | 386 | 0 | 12.9 | 6.9 | 53.6% | 48.2% | 14.2% |
| Jeremy McNichols | RB | 5'9, 212 | JR | 43 | 38 | 490 | 4 | 12.9 | 11.4 | 88.4% | 44.2% | 10.9% |
| Alec Dhaenens | TE | 6'3, 245 | JR | 17 | 15 | 119 | 2 | 7.9 | 7.0 | 88.2% | 70.6% | 4.3% |
| Jake Roh | TE | 6'3, 227 | JR | 13 | 10 | 113 | 0 | 11.3 | 8.7 | 76.9% | 46.2% | 3.3% |
| Sean Modster | WR | 5'11, 190 | SO | 11 | 8 | 135 | 0 | 16.9 | 12.3 | 72.7% | 72.7% | 2.8% |
| Akilian Butler | WR | 5'10, 183 | SO | 8 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 2.0% |
| Jake Knight | TE | 6'4, 232 | SO | 6 | 2 | 56 | 0 | 28.0 | 9.3 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Mattison | RB | 5'11, 206 | FR | 6 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 10.8 | 9.0 | 83.3% | 50.0% | 1.5% |
| A.J. Richardson | WR | 6'0, 210 | SO | 5 | 2 | 42 | 1 | 21.0 | 8.4 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 1.3% |
| Bubba Ogbebor | WR | 6'0, 187 | FR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% |
| Chase Blakley | TE | 6'4, 246 | SO | 2 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0.5% |
| Brett Rypien | QB | 6'2, 200 | SO | 1 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 33.0 | 33.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
| Devan Demas | RB | 5'8, 174 | SR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
| Steven Baggett | OL | 6'3, 288 | SR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 112.0 | 27 | 109.8 | 31 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 50.6% | 29 | 47.4% | 64 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.26 | 17 | 1.00 | 11 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.03 | 60 | 3.13 | 90 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 3.8% | 39 | 3.7% | 98 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 116.4 | 25 | 131.8 | 9 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 39.1% | 9 | 24.9% | 12 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.71 | 76 | 1.61 | 19 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.63 | 28 | 2.79 | 26 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 4.6% | 18 | 8.3% | 50 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 112.4 | 39 | 111.8 | 32 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 121.4 | 15 | 118.3 | 23 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 105.7 | 49 | 120.2 | 16 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 111.1 | 28 | 99.3 | 67 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 111.6 | 33 | 112.4 | 26 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 118.2 | 23 | 113.7 | 28 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 115.6 | 29 | 110.5 | 43 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 61.0% | 63 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 26.1% | 109 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | -2.4 | 85 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 78.6% | 30 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 59.2% | 72 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 30.2% | 102 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 14.7% | 86 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.9% | 61 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 1.8% | 126 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 5.7% | 85 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 34.5% | 52 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Ben Weaver | WLB | 6'0, 222 | SR | 83.0 | 10.6% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Chanceller James | S | 6'2, 208 | SR | 64.5 | 8.2% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Darren Lee | MLB | 6'1, 228 | SR | 60.0 | 7.7% | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tanner Vallejo | SLB | 6'1, 223 | SR | 54.0 | 6.9% | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Hartsfield | S | 5'10, 196 | JR | 52.0 | 6.6% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Jonathan Moxey | CB | 5'10, 185 | SR | 46.5 | 5.9% | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| Sam McCaskill | DE | 6'3, 259 | SR | 40.0 | 5.1% | 14.0 | 6.5 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Jabril Frazier | STUD | 6'4, 239 | SO | 33.0 | 4.2% | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Horton | CB | 5'11, 178 | SO | 31.5 | 4.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| Durrant Miles | DE | 6'5, 244 | SO | 27.5 | 3.5% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blake Whitlock | LB | 6'1, 208 | JR | 27.5 | 3.5% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Raymond Ford | CB | 5'10, 191 | SR | 25.5 | 3.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Leighton Vander Esch | WLB | 6'4, 236 | SO | 25.0 | 3.2% | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| David Moa | NT | 6'3, 271 | SO | 23.5 | 3.0% | 10.5 | 8.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Dylan Sumner-Gardner | S | 6'1, 201 | SO | 21.0 | 2.7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyson Maeva | MLB | 6'0, 219 | FR | 19.0 | 2.4% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joe Martarano | MLB | 6'3, 238 | JR | 18.0 | 2.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kekoa Nawahine | S | 6'2, 195 | FR | 17.5 | 2.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Elliot Hoyte | DT | 6'4, 279 | SR | 14.5 | 1.8% | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| DeAndre Pierce | CB | 5'11, 168 | FR | 14.0 | 1.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Kameron Miles | LB | 6'1, 208 | JR | 8.0 | 1.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reid Harrison-Ducros | CB | 5'10, 170 | FR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sonatane Lui | NT | 6'1, 293 | FR | 7.0 | 0.9% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Auelua | DT | 6'2, 293 | JR | 6.5 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Joe Provenzano | MLB | 5'11, 220 | SO | 6.0 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.2 | 76 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.30 | 108 |
| Punt Success Rate | 73.1% | 10 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 88.6% | 13 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 33.3% | 116 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 32.3% | 109 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Tyler Rausa | 5'9, 189 | SR | 58-58 | 9-13 | 69.2% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Sean Wale | 6'2, 193 | SR | 50 | 45.0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 82.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Tyler Rausa | 5'9, 189 | SR | 79 | 63.4 | 40 | 50.6% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Akilian Butler | 5'10, 183 | SO | 13 | 1.4 | 0 | 16 | 2 (2) |
| Cedrick Wilson | 6'3, 183 | JR | 10 | 13.2 | 0 | 12 | 3 (0) |
| Jonathan Moxey | 5'10, 185 | SR | 1 | 9.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Cedrick Wilson | 6'3, 183 | JR | 13 | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
| Jonathan Moxey | 5'10, 185 | SR | 12 | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Jeremy McNichols | 5'9, 212 | JR | 4 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics