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2015 Colorado State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Colorado State Rams (MWC Mountain)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.2 (0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 81
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Savannah State N/A 65-13 W 100% 73.8 75% 81% 69%
12-Sep Minnesota 37 20-23 L 60% 2.0 77% 42% 66%
19-Sep vs. Colorado 98 24-27 L 53% 0.5 55% 39% 54%
26-Sep at UTSA 113 33-31 W 32% -3.7 39% 61% 8%
3-Oct at Utah State 46 18-33 L 3% -15.6 37% 37% 27%
10-Oct Boise State 41 10-41 L 0% -31.8 15% 36% 23%
17-Oct Air Force 52 38-23 W 99% 19.1 85% 88% 86%
31-Oct San Diego State 45 17-41 L 16% -7.9 39% 90% 12%
7-Nov at Wyoming 114 26-7 W 100% 32.1 68% 59% 92%
14-Nov UNLV 106 49-35 W 98% 16.8 49% 84% 33%
21-Nov at New Mexico 101 28-21 W 92% 11.3 51% 68% 59%
28-Nov at Fresno State 100 34-31 W 16% -8.1 10% 23% 21%
29-Dec vs. Nevada 99 23-28 L 55% 1.0 25% 71% 27%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 29.5 60 31.6 88
Points Per Game 29.6 62 27.2 64
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.20 96 1.34 101 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 47.1% 17 40.7% 62 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.7 48 27.4 21 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.58 84 4.78 76 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -8.64 118 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.29
ACTUAL -12 117
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 108.3 40 89.3 102 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 48.7% 12 42.1% 66 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.99 103 1.23 113 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 112 16 94.4 89 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.5% 24 40.5% 89 38.9%
Power Success Rate 72.5% 30 58.8% 27 66.3%
Stuff Rate 18.2% 45 22.7% 33 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Dalyn Dawkins RB 5'9, 175 SO 170 867 2 5.1 4.3 43.5% 5 (5)
Jasen Oden, Jr. RB 5'11, 220 SR 154 746 6 4.8 4.1 34.4% 2 (2)
Izzy Matthews RB 6'0, 215 FR 97 590 5 6.1 5.6 46.4% 0 (0)
Nick Stevens QB 6'3, 205 SO 30 128 3 4.3 2.6 46.7% 4 (2)
Deionte Gaines WR 5'8, 180 SO 12 138 2 11.5 6.8 83.3% 2 (0)
Craig Leonard QB 6'4, 225 JR 9 43 0 4.8 1.6 55.6% 0 (0)
Deron Thompson RB 5'10, 178 SO 7 49 0 7.0 5.1 57.1% 0 (0)
Coleman Key QB 6'4, 220 FR 7 32 0 4.6 2.6 57.1% 4 (2)
Treyous Jarrells RB 5'7, 185 SR 7 28 0 4.0 6.5 14.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 105.6 50 92.5 91 100.0
Passing Success Rate 45.1% 25 38.7% 46 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.50 59 1.50 76 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 170.9 17 92.8 78 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Nick Stevens 6'3, 205 SO 211 347 2679 21 12 60.8% 15 4.1% 7.1
Coleman Key 6'4, 220 FR 21 44 251 3 3 47.7% 2 4.3% 5.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Rashard Higgins WR 6'2, 190 JR 106 75 1062 8 14.2 10.0 70.8% 63.2% 28.7%
Joe Hansley WR 5'10, 180 SR 56 28 415 6 14.8 7.4 50.0% 41.1% 15.2%
Kivon Cartwright TE 6'4, 245 SR 35 18 279 2 15.5 8.0 51.4% 45.7% 9.5%
Dalyn Dawkins RB 5'9, 175 SO 34 24 178 1 7.4 5.2 70.6% 32.4% 9.2%
Xavier Williams WR 6'4, 215 SO 33 19 231 2 12.2 7.0 57.6% 45.5% 8.9%
Steven Walker TE 6'2, 238 SR 22 15 240 1 16.0 10.9 68.2% 54.5% 6.0%
Jordon Vaden WR 6'3, 195 JR 22 11 184 0 16.7 8.4 50.0% 40.9% 6.0%
Deionte Gaines WR 5'8, 180 SO 19 13 112 1 8.6 5.9 68.4% 36.8% 5.1%
Sammie Long IV WR 6'3, 195 SO 9 5 60 0 12.0 6.7 55.6% 44.4% 2.4%
Jasen Oden, Jr. RB 5'11, 220 SR 8 8 51 1 6.4 6.4 100.0% 75.0% 2.2%
Nu'uvali Fa'apito FB 6'0, 230 SR 6 5 19 0 3.8 3.2 83.3% 50.0% 1.6%
Izzy Matthews RB 6'0, 215 FR 5 4 43 0 10.8 8.6 80.0% 60.0% 1.4%
Elroy Masters, Jr. WR 6'2, 210 SO 3 3 35 0 11.7 11.7 100.0% 66.7% 0.8%
Nolan Peralta TE 6'3, 245 JR 3 2 26 0 13.0 8.7 66.7% 33.3% 0.8%
Danny Nwosu FB 6'3, 245 JR 3 2 20 1 10.0 6.7 66.7% 66.7% 0.8%
Olabisi Johnson WR 6'0, 185 FR 3 2 15 1 7.5 5.0 66.7% 66.7% 0.8%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 107.6 40 94.4 88 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 51.6% 19 44.2% 48 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.11 62 1.15 83 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.34 9 2.82 55 2.90
SD Sack Rate 2.3% 16 5.7% 42 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 100.9 69 77.3 124 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 35.9% 23 33.2% 98 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.55 116 1.88 99 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.58 32 3.25 69 3.20
PD Sack Rate 5.6% 27 7.0% 74 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 114.3 38 92.7 92
Q2 S&P+ 101.4 73 88.2 104
Q3 S&P+ 108.4 42 91.5 102
Q4 S&P+ 107.5 45 93.2 96
1st Down S&P+ 109.2 37 102.3 59
2nd Down S&P+ 102.2 66 74.5 126
3rd Down S&P+ 111.4 40 103.5 58
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.7% 44 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 38.9% 33 34.0%
Adj. Pace +0.1 59 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.1% 89 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 67.7% 9 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.6% 32 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.8% 63 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.4% 103 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 7.2% 7 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.3% 98 6.3%
PD to INC 24.8% 125 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Kevin Davis LB 6'3, 240 JR 74.5 10.6% 14.0 3.0 1 2 0 0
Kevin Pierre-Louis DB 6'1, 215 SR 67.0 9.5% 4.5 0.0 1 2 1 0
Trent Matthews S 6'3, 210 SR 62.5 8.9% 3.5 0.0 2 2 0 0
Deonte Clyburn LB 6'1, 230 JR 57.0 8.1% 7.0 0.5 0 0 2 0
Cory James LB 6'0, 245 SR 46.5 6.6% 10.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Tyree Simmons DB 5'11, 185 JR 34.0 4.8% 3.5 0.0 1 8 2 0
Tre Thomas LB 6'1, 215 FR 31.0 4.4% 5.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kiel Robinson LB 6'2, 225 SO 30.5 4.3% 5.5 3.0 0 0 1 0
Preston Hodges DB 5'11, 200 JR 28.5 4.0% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Josh Watson LB 6'2, 230 FR 28.0 4.0% 6.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Joe Kawulok DL 6'6, 250 SR 27.0 3.8% 7.5 4.5 0 2 1 0
Nick Januska DB 6'2, 210 SR 27.0 3.8% 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 0
DeAndre Elliott DB 6'1, 185 SR 26.5 3.8% 0.0 0.0 2 4 0 0
SteveO Michel LB 6'1, 230 SR 25.5 3.6% 9.5 2.5 0 0 0 0
Martavius Foster DL 6'4, 270 SR 21.0 3.0% 8.0 5.5 0 3 1 0
Terry Jackson DL 6'1, 295 SR 18.0 2.5% 4.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jake Schlager S 6'0, 205 SO 14.0 2.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Josh Lovingood DL 6'4, 290 SO 11.5 1.6% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Braylin Scott DB 6'3, 185 FR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Colton Foster DL 6'3, 285 FR 6.5 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Justin Hansen DL 6'5, 305 SR 6.0 0.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Justin Sweet DB 5'10, 190 SO 5.5 0.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Nu'uvali Fa'apito FB 6'0, 230 SR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jakob Buys DL 6'4, 265 SO 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Eric Williams RB 5'9, 205 JR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.2 60
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.19 96
Punt Success Rate 71.7% 9
Kickoff Success Rate 76.0% 44
Punt Return Success Rate 56.0% 41
Kick Return Success Rate 41.2% 79
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Wyatt Bryan 6'0, 175 FR 43-46 16-22 72.7%
Braxton Davis 5'11, 170 FR 0-0 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Hayden Hunt 5'11, 220 JR 52 46.0 1 18 23 78.8%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Braxton Davis 5'11, 170 FR 69 62.7 26 37.7% 0 3 0 0
Kyle Jacobs 5'8, 175 FR 4 62.3 1 25.0% 0 0 0 0
Wyatt Bryan 6'0, 175 FR 2 59.5 0 0.0% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Joe Hansley 5'10, 180 SR 21 12.8 2 15 0 (0)
Preston Hodges 5'11, 200 JR 3 6.3 0 0 0 (0)
Deionte Gaines 5'8, 180 SO 1 26.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Deionte Gaines 5'8, 180 SO 18 23.4 0 0 2 (0)
Jordon Vaden 6'3, 195 JR 7 31.4 0 0 1 (1)
Kevin Nutt, Jr. 5'10, 190 SO 6 31.2 1 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics