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Oregon State 36, Colorado 31
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Colorado | Oregon State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 77 | 69 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 26.8 | 28.3 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 12 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 6.20 | 5.29 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 72.7% | 71.0% | 68.4% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.578 | 0.551 | 0.508 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Colorado | Oregon State | |
| Total | 28.2 | 27.9 | |
| Rushing | 8.9 | 14.2 | |
| Passing | 19.3 | 13.7 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Colorado | Oregon State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 55.8% | 47.8% | 42.2% |
| Rushing (close) | 73.1% | 50.0% | 43.6% |
| Passing (close) | 47.1% | 46.2% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 57.1% | 59.2% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 52.4% | 20.0% | 30.7% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Colorado | Oregon State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.66 | 0.84 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.47 | 0.95 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.80 | 0.76 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.57 | 0.83 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.90 | 0.98 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Colorado | Oregon State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 4.04 | 3.57 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Colorado | Oregon State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 6.2 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Oregon State +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oregon State +0.44 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Oregon State +0.56 | |
| TO Points Margin | Oregon State +6.2 points | |
| Situational | Colorado | Oregon State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.589 | 0.693 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.679 | 0.395 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.408 | 0.504 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.530 | 0.585 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.558 | 0.627 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.695 | 0.483 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.459 | 0.463 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Oregon State by 5.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Oregon State by 5 | ||
Somehow this was just about the least compelling Pac-12 game of the day...
Oregon State needed turnovers to get ahead in this one; Colorado was incredibly efficient (anything over a 50% success rate is quite good), especially on the ground -- Michael Adkins and Phillip Lindsay had 18 carries for 108 yards. But while they were really good at carving out five to six yards at a time, the successful plays weren't huge, and Oregon State was able to prevent seven of 12 possessions from becoming scoring opportunities. (That's a good thing, as Colorado cashed in on almost every opportunity.)
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