California 60, Washington State 59
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Basics||California||Washington State||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||23.3||28.9||29.7|
|Points Per Opportunity||6.00||5.36||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||California||Washington State|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||California||Washington State||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||California||Washington State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||California||Washington State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.85||1.94||2.93|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||5.0%||0.0%||7.3%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||0.0||0.0|
|Exp. TO Margin||Washington State +1.32|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||California +1.32|
|TO Points Margin||+0|
|1st Down S&P||0.540||0.599|
|2nd Down S&P||0.728||0.683|
|3rd Down S&P||0.594||0.614|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Washington State by 15.1|
|Actual Scoring Margin: California by 1|
Twenty-eight possessions! Nineteen combined scoring opportunities! This game was played on a different planet than the one that produced Miami-Georgia Tech or Florida-Tennessee. This was a different sport.
And yeah, Wazzu was projected to have won by 15 points; what accounts for the 16-point difference there? Maybe two Cal kick-return scores and a missed chipshot field goal? Maybe?
At some point, Sonny Dykes will have to figure out the whole "defense" thing if he's going to win big at Cal; for now, however, his offense is good enough to make games ridiculous and entertaining. I'll take it.