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Study Hall: California 60, Washington State 59

James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

California 60, Washington State 59

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics California Washington State Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 71 95
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 23.3 28.9 29.7
Possessions 13 15
Scoring Opportunities*
8 11
Points Per Opportunity 6.00 5.36 4.69
Leverage Rate** 69.0% 69.5% 68.4%
Close S&P*** 0.621 0.632 0.508
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) California Washington State
Total 39.6 54.7
Rushing 5.0 6.5
Passing 34.6 48.2
Success Rate (what's this?) California Washington State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 49.3% 50.5% 42.2%
Rushing (close) 47.1% 40.0% 43.6%
Passing (close) 50.0% 54.3% 40.7%
Standard Downs 51.0% 51.5% 47.5%
Passing Downs 45.5% 48.3% 30.7%
IsoPPP (what's this?) California Washington State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.13 1.14 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.62 0.65 0.73
Passing (close) 1.28 1.27 0.99
Standard Downs 0.89 1.12 0.77
Passing Downs 1.73 1.18 1.14
Line Stats California Washington State Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.85 1.94 2.93
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 5.0% 0.0% 7.3%
Turnovers California Washington State
Turnovers 0 0
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 0.0
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin Washington State +1.32
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) California +1.32
TO Points Margin +0
Situational California Washington State
Q1 S&P 0.351 0.626
Q2 S&P 0.518 0.610
Q3 S&P 1.003 0.711
Q4 S&P 0.700 0.582
1st Down S&P 0.540 0.599
2nd Down S&P 0.728 0.683
3rd Down S&P 0.594 0.614
Projected Scoring Margin: Washington State by 15.1
Actual Scoring Margin: California by 1

Twenty-eight possessions! Nineteen combined scoring opportunities! This game was played on a different planet than the one that produced Miami-Georgia Tech or Florida-Tennessee. This was a different sport.

And yeah, Wazzu was projected to have won by 15 points; what accounts for the 16-point difference there? Maybe two Cal kick-return scores and a missed chipshot field goal? Maybe?

At some point, Sonny Dykes will have to figure out the whole "defense" thing if he's going to win big at Cal; for now, however, his offense is good enough to make games ridiculous and entertaining. I'll take it.