Arizona 31, Oregon 24
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||29.1||21.8||29.7|
|Points Per Opportunity||4.43||4.00||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Arizona||Oregon|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Arizona||Oregon||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Arizona||Oregon||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Arizona||Oregon||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.97||3.15||2.93|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||5.3%||12.5%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||18.8%||14.3%||7.3%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||7.1||8.2|
|Exp. TO Margin||Oregon +0.15|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Arizona +0.15|
|TO Points Margin||Arizona +1.1 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.413||0.456|
|2nd Down S&P||0.475||0.575|
|3rd Down S&P||0.653||0.390|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Arizona by 4.0|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Arizona by 7|
Describe to me all of the offensive line issues Oregon is having at the moment, and I'd still assume there's no way the Ducks end a game with a 25 percent rushing success rate. It's Oregon! That boggles the mind.
And while the narrative I had going in my head was that Oregon's offense got rolling a bit in the second half while Arizona's offense simply rolled more, that's not necessarily the case. Oregon's offense improved a BIT in the second half, and Arizona's offense perked up in the third quarter. Otherwise it was mostly the same.