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Arizona 31, Oregon 24
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Arizona | Oregon | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 86 | 74 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 29.1 | 21.8 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 12 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.43 | 4.00 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 74.4% | 66.2% | 68.4% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.484 | 0.495 | 0.508 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Arizona | Oregon | |
| Total | 29.8 | 26.9 | |
| Rushing | 13.9 | 7.0 | |
| Passing | 15.9 | 19.9 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arizona | Oregon | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 37.2% | 37.8% | 42.2% |
| Rushing (close) | 33.3% | 25.0% | 43.6% |
| Passing (close) | 42.9% | 50.0% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 37.5% | 36.7% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 36.4% | 40.0% | 30.7% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arizona | Oregon | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.93 | 0.96 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.06 | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.73 | 0.89 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.55 | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Arizona | Oregon | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.97 | 3.15 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 5.3% | 12.5% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 18.8% | 14.3% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Arizona | Oregon |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 7.1 | 8.2 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oregon +0.15 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Arizona +0.15 | |
| TO Points Margin | Arizona +1.1 points | |
| Situational | Arizona | Oregon |
| Q1 S&P | 0.392 | 0.365 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.399 | 0.514 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.689 | 0.596 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.396 | 0.538 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.413 | 0.456 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.475 | 0.575 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.653 | 0.390 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Arizona by 4.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Arizona by 7 | ||
Describe to me all of the offensive line issues Oregon is having at the moment, and I'd still assume there's no way the Ducks end a game with a 25 percent rushing success rate. It's Oregon! That boggles the mind.
And while the narrative I had going in my head was that Oregon's offense got rolling a bit in the second half while Arizona's offense simply rolled more, that's not necessarily the case. Oregon's offense improved a BIT in the second half, and Arizona's offense perked up in the third quarter. Otherwise it was mostly the same.
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