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Ohio State 52, Maryland 24
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Maryland | Ohio State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 64 | 77 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 72.3% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 19.7 | 44.6 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 14 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
4 | 11 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 6.00 | 4.09 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 43.8% | 61.0% | 68.4% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.395 | 0.654 | 0.508 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Maryland | Ohio State | |
| Total | 18.7 | 38.8 | |
| Rushing | 6.5 | 18.7 | |
| Passing | 12.2 | 20.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Maryland | Ohio State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 34.1% | 58.6% | 42.2% |
| Rushing (close) | 42.9% | 60.0% | 43.6% |
| Passing (close) | 30.0% | 56.5% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 42.9% | 61.7% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 18.8% | 45.5% | 30.7% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Maryland | Ohio State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.61 | 0.93 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.70 | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.56 | 1.51 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.51 | 0.86 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.03 | 1.30 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Maryland | Ohio State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.00 | 3.83 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 11.8% | 18.8% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Maryland | Ohio State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 4 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Ohio State +4 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Maryland +0.14 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Ohio State +4.14 | |
| TO Points Margin | Ohio State +20.5 points | |
| Situational | Maryland | Ohio State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.334 | 0.701 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.400 | 0.603 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.576 | 0.656 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.540 | 0.496 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.492 | 0.648 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.378 | 0.572 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.517 | 0.653 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Ohio State by 40.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Ohio State by 28 | ||
This was a popular game among the handicappers, mainly because no set of numbers was going to be too high on Ohio State, and after wrecking an Indiana team that had just beaten Missouri (and after narrowly falling to a WVU team the numbers also like), Maryland's stats were plumped up a little bit.
Yeah, Ohio State was apparently a little offended by this. They jumped on the Terps early, they started picking off every pass late, they outran Maryland, outpassed Maryland, out-efficiency'd Maryland, out-(while we're making up words)bigplayed Maryland. They domoinated on the lines, they dominated on first down, they dominated in the first half. They were a little bit lucky from a turnovers perspective -- they recovered both of the game's fumbles, and they had four picks to only two break-ups (usually the ratio for six passes defensed would be closer to one pick and five breakups) -- but they were the far better team.
Oh, and J.T. Barrett is starting to look GOOD. He takes a Braxton Millerian level of sacks (four in 27 attempts on Saturday), but when you're otherwise completing 78 percent of your passes at 14.8 yards per completion, you're allowed a few takedowns.