Notre Dame 17, Stanford 14
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Basics||Notre Dame||Stanford||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||34.9||29.9||29.7|
|Points Per Opportunity||2.43||4.67||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Notre Dame||Stanford|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Notre Dame||Stanford||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Notre Dame||Stanford||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Notre Dame||Stanford||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.66||2.24||2.93|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||9.5%||15.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||5.0%||7.3%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||10.4||5.2|
|Exp. TO Margin||Notre Dame +0.22|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Stanford +0.22|
|TO Points Margin||Stanford +5.2 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.302||0.324|
|2nd Down S&P||0.454||0.379|
|3rd Down S&P||0.460||0.479|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Notre Dame by 3.5|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Notre Dame by 3|
The tables turned in this one. Stanford lost the field position battle but kept things close by closing out scoring opportunities with points. It had been mostly the opposite this season. But while Notre Dame was able to make up for a lack of efficiency with occasional big plays, the big plays just never came for the Cardinal. This Stanford team is becoming more of a caricature by the day -- the defense just gets better, and the offense just gets worse.
Meanwhile, Notre Dame keeps figuring out ways to win, just as it did in 2012.