clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Study Hall: Notre Dame 17, Stanford 14

New, 4 comments
Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

Notre Dame 17, Stanford 14

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Notre Dame Stanford Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 75 68
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 34.9 29.9 29.7
Possessions 14 15
Scoring Opportunities*
7 3
Points Per Opportunity 2.43 4.67 4.69
Leverage Rate** 49.3% 57.4% 68.4%
Close S&P*** 0.426 0.367 0.508
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Notre Dame Stanford
Total 21.2 12.6
Rushing 7.3 7.0
Passing 14.0 5.6
Success Rate (what's this?) Notre Dame Stanford Nat'l Avg
All (close) 26.7% 30.9% 42.2%
Rushing (close) 16.7% 32.1% 43.6%
Passing (close) 33.3% 30.0% 40.7%
Standard Downs 18.9% 41.0% 47.5%
Passing Downs 34.2% 17.2% 30.7%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Notre Dame Stanford Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.06 0.60 0.85
Rushing (close) 1.45 0.78 0.73
Passing (close) 0.93 0.47 0.99
Standard Downs 0.64 0.36 0.77
Passing Downs 1.29 1.37 1.14
Line Stats Notre Dame Stanford Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.66 2.24 2.93
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 9.5% 15.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 5.0% 7.3%
Turnovers Notre Dame Stanford
Turnovers 2 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 10.4 5.2
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin Notre Dame +0.22
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Stanford +0.22
TO Points Margin Stanford +5.2 points
Situational Notre Dame Stanford
Q1 S&P 0.338 0.404
Q2 S&P 0.556 0.280
Q3 S&P 0.359 0.242
Q4 S&P 0.434 0.492
1st Down S&P 0.302 0.324
2nd Down S&P 0.454 0.379
3rd Down S&P 0.460 0.479
Projected Scoring Margin: Notre Dame by 3.5
Actual Scoring Margin: Notre Dame by 3

The tables turned in this one. Stanford lost the field position battle but kept things close by closing out scoring opportunities with points. It had been mostly the opposite this season. But while Notre Dame was able to make up for a lack of efficiency with occasional big plays, the big plays just never came for the Cardinal. This Stanford team is becoming more of a caricature by the day -- the defense just gets better, and the offense just gets worse.

Meanwhile, Notre Dame keeps figuring out ways to win, just as it did in 2012.