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2017 Buffalo advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Buffalo Bulls (MAC East)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 6-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 75
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
31-Aug at Minnesota 97 7-17 L 0% -25.2 9% 2% 63%
9-Sep at Army 59 17-21 L 37% -2.9 45% 36% 60%
16-Sep Colgate N/A 33-10 W 100% 31.5 90% 74% 93%
23-Sep Florida Atlantic 11 34-31 W 12% -10.7 29% 72% 20%
30-Sep at Kent State 126 27-13 W 55% 1.1 51% 31% 64%
7-Oct Western Michigan 74 68-71 L 26% -6.0 36% 92% 4%
14-Oct Northern Illinois 54 13-14 L 19% -8.1 35% 15% 65%
21-Oct at Miami-OH 56 14-24 L 18% -8.5 34% 20% 67%
28-Oct at Akron 112 20-21 L 19% -8.2 30% 30% 51%
7-Nov Bowling Green 109 38-28 W 92% 12.9 74% 88% 39%
16-Nov at Ball State 122 40-24 W 93% 13.8 76% 91% 39%
24-Nov Ohio 22 31-24 W 86% 9.9 74% 63% 62%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 29.6 53 28.7 72
Points Per Game 28.5 73 24.8 41
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.3% 70 44.9% 99 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.26 24 1.05 15 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.7 36 29.6 67 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.52 61 4.28 53 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -1.1 79 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.88
ACTUAL 1 59
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 81.6 123 96.3 77 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 38.6% 103 47.6% 110 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.79 115 0.78 14 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 92.1 108 92.9 94 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.2% 78 39.6% 84 38.5%
Power Success Rate 71.1% 42 76.9% 112 67.7%
Stuff Rate 18.2% 49 14.4% 123 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Emmanuel Reed RB 5'8, 190 SO 199 840 9 4.2 3.3 34.7% 3 (3)
Theo Anderson RB 5'10, 220 FR 97 419 2 4.3 3.7 35.1% 1 (1)
Tyree Jackson QB 6'7, 245 SO 38 263 4 6.9 5.7 55.3% 1 (1)
Johnathan Hawkins RB 5'11, 208 JR 35 127 1 3.6 1.7 34.3% 0 (0)
Drew Anderson QB 6'5, 230 JR 9 102 1 11.3 18.0 44.4% 0 (0)
Kameron Pickett RB 5'9, 202 FR 7 13 0 1.9 0.7 28.6% 0 (0)
K.J. Osborn WR 6'0, 200 SO 4 22 1 5.5 4.7 50.0% 0 (0)
Anthony Johnson WR 6'2, 207 JR 4 -5 0 -1.3 0.0 0.0% 1 (0)
Jamarl Eiland WR 5'11, 192 SR 3 25 0 8.3 3.8 66.7% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 107.5 38 85.6 115 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.0% 32 41.1% 73 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.67 17 1.47 76 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 136.1 27 69.1 108 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyree Jackson 6'7, 245 SO 143 237 2096 12 3 60.3% 9 3.7% 8.3
Drew Anderson 6'5, 230 JR 66 106 1039 10 1 62.3% 2 1.9% 9.5
Kyle Vantrease 6'3, 232 FR 25 57 355 2 2 43.9% 6 9.5% 4.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Anthony Johnson WR 6'2, 207 JR 127 76 1356 14 17.8 10.7 59.8% 48.0% 33.2%
K.J. Osborn WR 6'0, 200 SO 56 35 493 4 14.1 8.8 62.5% 50.0% 14.6%
Kamathi Holsey WR 6'4, 215 SR 55 33 565 1 17.1 10.3 60.0% 50.9% 14.4%
Tyler Mabry TE 6'3, 250 SO 35 24 242 1 10.1 6.9 68.6% 45.7% 9.1%
Jacob Martinez WR 6'0, 190 SR 26 17 241 1 14.2 9.3 65.4% 53.8% 6.8%
Antonio Nunn WR 5'11, 193 FR 25 15 301 1 20.1 12.0 60.0% 48.0% 6.5%
Jamarl Eiland WR 5'11, 192 SR 20 12 93 0 7.8 4.7 60.0% 40.0% 5.2%
Emmanuel Reed RB 5'8, 190 SO 17 11 116 1 10.6 6.8 64.7% 41.2% 4.4%
Zac Lefebvre TE 6'6, 255 FR 11 5 51 1 10.2 4.6 45.5% 36.4% 2.9%
Theo Anderson RB 5'10, 220 FR 3 3 24 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 66.7% 0.8%
Johnathan Hawkins RB 5'11, 208 JR 3 1 -2 0 -2.0 -0.7 33.3% 0.0% 0.8%
Andrew Gray TE 6'3, 235 JR 2 2 19 0 9.5 9.5 100.0% 100.0% 0.5%
Ishmael Hargrove LB 6'1, 227 SR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Kameron Pickett RB 5'9, 202 FR 1 1 8 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 92.0 106 95.2 91 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.7% 93 49.6% 100 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.13 33 0.93 14 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.78 84 3.16 98 2.92
SD Sack Rate 4.3% 49 2.8% 113 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 104.0 58 88.2 107 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 34.0% 31 33.2% 96 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.64 35 1.47 54 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.39 51 3.68 105 3.22
PD Sack Rate 3.8% 12 8.3% 44 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 117.3 32 98.7 71
Q2 S&P+ 95.1 92 94.3 89
Q3 S&P+ 86.5 114 87.6 107
Q4 S&P+ 94.0 95 86.8 121
1st Down S&P+ 86.3 122 87.1 112
2nd Down S&P+ 103.8 57 96.5 83
3rd Down S&P+ 118.7 23 95.1 88
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 56.2% 77 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 36.0% 53 35.3%
Adj. Pace +0.6 75 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.3% 26 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.4% 24 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 43.8% 7 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.2% 122 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.7% 92 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 3.4% 96 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 5.1% 109 6.5%
PD to INC 29.2% 109 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Khalil Hodge LB 6'1, 235 JR 110.0 6.5 (3) 12 2 (2) 2 51.9%
Chuck Harris DE 6'4, 265 JR 58.5 7 (4) 4 0 (0) 2 42.5%
Ryan Williamson S 6'0, 195 SR 58.0 1 (0) 3 3 (4) 0 68.0%
Jarrett Franklin LB 6'1, 220 SR 53.5 5.5 (0) 7 0 (1) 0 42.4%
Tim Roberts S 6'1, 205 SR 51.5 1 (0) 0 1 (1) 1 73.4%
Jordan Collier LB 5'11, 217 JR 47.5 6 (1) 10 0 (1) 0 46.0%
Demone Harris DE 6'4, 272 SR 42.0 9.5 (5) 13 0 (1) 2 40.0%
Brandon Williams CB 5'11, 180 JR 35.5 0 (0) 0 1 (4) 1 64.1%
Cameron Lewis CB 5'11, 185 JR 30.5 1 (0) 4 1 (4) 3 51.4%
Ishmael Hargrove LB 6'1, 227 SR 28.0 2 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 54.3%
Justin Brandon DL 6'1, 305 JR 26.5 4 (0) 8 0 (0) 1 19.4%
Tatum Slack CB 5'9, 190 JR 23.0 1 (0) 2 0 (9) 1 62.1%
Chris Ford DT 6'3, 310 SR 21.0 1 (1) 2 0 (0) 0 35.7%
Kobe Green S 5'11, 192 FR 14.0 1.5 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 50.0%
Myles Nicholas DE 6'2, 260 JR 14.0 0.5 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 40.0%
Kadofi Wright LB 6'3, 205 FR 13.5 1.5 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 46.7%
Malcolm Koonce DE 6'3, 245 FR 12.5 1 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Matt Otwinowski LB 6'2, 230 SO 12.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 33.3%
Devon Russell CB 5'9, 180 JR 10.5 0 (0) 0 0 (3) 0 63.6%
Roy Baker CB 6'2, 185 FR 8.5 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 60.0%
Wesley Scott DT 6'4, 275 JR 7.0 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 10.0%
Chibueze Onwuka DT 6'0, 255 SO 6.5 1 (1) 0 0 (0) 0 37.5%
Ja'Varius Harrison LB 5'11, 225 FR 4.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Jeremiah Dadeboe S 6'1, 206 SO 4.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%
K.J. Osborn WR 6'0, 200 SO 4.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.7 123
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.42 109
Punt Success Rate 56.4% 70
Kickoff Success Rate 62.3% 105
Punt Return Success Rate 47.1% 64
Kick Return Success Rate 33.3% 108
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Adam Mitcheson 6'2, 205 JR 37-40 15-24 62.5%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Kyle DeWeen 6'0, 180 SR 56 40.6 3 19 19 67.9%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Adam Mitcheson 6'2, 205 JR 61 60.7 22 36.1% 0 1 1 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
K.J. Osborn 6'0, 200 SO 8 10.3 0 11 0 (0)
Jacob Martinez 6'0, 190 SR 4 6.5 0 6 1 (0)
Jamarl Eiland 5'11, 192 SR 4 4.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
K.J. Osborn 6'0, 200 SO 16 19.4 0 0 0 (0)
Devon Russell 5'9, 180 JR 7 18.6 0 0 0 (0)
Jacob Martinez 6'0, 190 SR 6 15.0 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Matt Otwinowski LB 6'2, 230 SO 7.5 2.5 22.0
Kobe Green S 5'11, 192 FR 5.0 2.0 20.3
Ja'Varius Harrison LB 5'11, 225 FR 4.5 21.5
K.J. Osborn WR 6'0, 200 SO 4.0 8.0
Brandon Williams CB 5'11, 180 JR 3.0 18.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics