Updated on 1/3/18
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Buffalo Bulls (MAC East)
2017 Schedule & Results
| Record: 6-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 75 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 31-Aug | at Minnesota | 97 | 7-17 | L | 0% | -25.2 | 9% | 2% | 63% |
| 9-Sep | at Army | 59 | 17-21 | L | 37% | -2.9 | 45% | 36% | 60% |
| 16-Sep | Colgate | N/A | 33-10 | W | 100% | 31.5 | 90% | 74% | 93% |
| 23-Sep | Florida Atlantic | 11 | 34-31 | W | 12% | -10.7 | 29% | 72% | 20% |
| 30-Sep | at Kent State | 126 | 27-13 | W | 55% | 1.1 | 51% | 31% | 64% |
| 7-Oct | Western Michigan | 74 | 68-71 | L | 26% | -6.0 | 36% | 92% | 4% |
| 14-Oct | Northern Illinois | 54 | 13-14 | L | 19% | -8.1 | 35% | 15% | 65% |
| 21-Oct | at Miami-OH | 56 | 14-24 | L | 18% | -8.5 | 34% | 20% | 67% |
| 28-Oct | at Akron | 112 | 20-21 | L | 19% | -8.2 | 30% | 30% | 51% |
| 7-Nov | Bowling Green | 109 | 38-28 | W | 92% | 12.9 | 74% | 88% | 39% |
| 16-Nov | at Ball State | 122 | 40-24 | W | 93% | 13.8 | 76% | 91% | 39% |
| 24-Nov | Ohio | 22 | 31-24 | W | 86% | 9.9 | 74% | 63% | 62% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 29.6 | 53 | 28.7 | 72 |
| Points Per Game | 28.5 | 73 | 24.8 | 41 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 41.3% | 70 | 44.9% | 99 | 40.3% |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.26 | 24 | 1.05 | 15 | 1.17 |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 30.7 | 36 | 29.6 | 67 | 29.6 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.52 | 61 | 4.28 | 53 | 4.42 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -1.1 | 79 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +0.88 |
||
| ACTUAL | 1 | 59 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 81.6 | 123 | 96.3 | 77 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 38.6% | 103 | 47.6% | 110 | 42.2% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.79 | 115 | 0.78 | 14 | 0.92 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 92.1 | 108 | 92.9 | 94 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 37.2% | 78 | 39.6% | 84 | 38.5% |
| Power Success Rate | 71.1% | 42 | 76.9% | 112 | 67.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 18.2% | 49 | 14.4% | 123 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Emmanuel Reed | RB | 5'8, 190 | SO | 199 | 840 | 9 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 34.7% | 3 (3) |
| Theo Anderson | RB | 5'10, 220 | FR | 97 | 419 | 2 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 35.1% | 1 (1) |
| Tyree Jackson | QB | 6'7, 245 | SO | 38 | 263 | 4 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 55.3% | 1 (1) |
| Johnathan Hawkins | RB | 5'11, 208 | JR | 35 | 127 | 1 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 34.3% | 0 (0) |
| Drew Anderson | QB | 6'5, 230 | JR | 9 | 102 | 1 | 11.3 | 18.0 | 44.4% | 0 (0) |
| Kameron Pickett | RB | 5'9, 202 | FR | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 28.6% | 0 (0) |
| K.J. Osborn | WR | 6'0, 200 | SO | 4 | 22 | 1 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Anthony Johnson | WR | 6'2, 207 | JR | 4 | -5 | 0 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 1 (0) |
| Jamarl Eiland | WR | 5'11, 192 | SR | 3 | 25 | 0 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 66.7% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 107.5 | 38 | 85.6 | 115 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 44.0% | 32 | 41.1% | 73 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.67 | 17 | 1.47 | 76 | 1.48 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 136.1 | 27 | 69.1 | 108 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Tyree Jackson | 6'7, 245 | SO | 143 | 237 | 2096 | 12 | 3 | 60.3% | 9 | 3.7% | 8.3 |
| Drew Anderson | 6'5, 230 | JR | 66 | 106 | 1039 | 10 | 1 | 62.3% | 2 | 1.9% | 9.5 |
| Kyle Vantrease | 6'3, 232 | FR | 25 | 57 | 355 | 2 | 2 | 43.9% | 6 | 9.5% | 4.9 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Anthony Johnson | WR | 6'2, 207 | JR | 127 | 76 | 1356 | 14 | 17.8 | 10.7 | 59.8% | 48.0% | 33.2% |
| K.J. Osborn | WR | 6'0, 200 | SO | 56 | 35 | 493 | 4 | 14.1 | 8.8 | 62.5% | 50.0% | 14.6% |
| Kamathi Holsey | WR | 6'4, 215 | SR | 55 | 33 | 565 | 1 | 17.1 | 10.3 | 60.0% | 50.9% | 14.4% |
| Tyler Mabry | TE | 6'3, 250 | SO | 35 | 24 | 242 | 1 | 10.1 | 6.9 | 68.6% | 45.7% | 9.1% |
| Jacob Martinez | WR | 6'0, 190 | SR | 26 | 17 | 241 | 1 | 14.2 | 9.3 | 65.4% | 53.8% | 6.8% |
| Antonio Nunn | WR | 5'11, 193 | FR | 25 | 15 | 301 | 1 | 20.1 | 12.0 | 60.0% | 48.0% | 6.5% |
| Jamarl Eiland | WR | 5'11, 192 | SR | 20 | 12 | 93 | 0 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 5.2% |
| Emmanuel Reed | RB | 5'8, 190 | SO | 17 | 11 | 116 | 1 | 10.6 | 6.8 | 64.7% | 41.2% | 4.4% |
| Zac Lefebvre | TE | 6'6, 255 | FR | 11 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 45.5% | 36.4% | 2.9% |
| Theo Anderson | RB | 5'10, 220 | FR | 3 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 0.8% |
| Johnathan Hawkins | RB | 5'11, 208 | JR | 3 | 1 | -2 | 0 | -2.0 | -0.7 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Gray | TE | 6'3, 235 | JR | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.5% |
| Ishmael Hargrove | LB | 6'1, 227 | SR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Kameron Pickett | RB | 5'9, 202 | FR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 92.0 | 106 | 95.2 | 91 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 44.7% | 93 | 49.6% | 100 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.13 | 33 | 0.93 | 14 | 1.07 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.78 | 84 | 3.16 | 98 | 2.92 |
| SD Sack Rate | 4.3% | 49 | 2.8% | 113 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 104.0 | 58 | 88.2 | 107 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 34.0% | 31 | 33.2% | 96 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.64 | 35 | 1.47 | 54 | 1.53 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.39 | 51 | 3.68 | 105 | 3.22 |
| PD Sack Rate | 3.8% | 12 | 8.3% | 44 | 7.8% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 117.3 | 32 | 98.7 | 71 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 95.1 | 92 | 94.3 | 89 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 86.5 | 114 | 87.6 | 107 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 94.0 | 95 | 86.8 | 121 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 86.3 | 122 | 87.1 | 112 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 103.8 | 57 | 96.5 | 83 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 118.7 | 23 | 95.1 | 88 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 56.2% | 77 | 60.0% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 36.0% | 53 | 35.3% |
| Adj. Pace | +0.6 | 75 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 78.3% | 26 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 64.4% | 24 | 59.9% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 43.8% | 7 | 35.0% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 12.2% | 122 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 3.7% | 92 | 4.9% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.4% | 96 | 4.4% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 5.1% | 109 | 6.5% |
| PD to INC | 29.2% | 109 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
| Khalil Hodge | LB | 6'1, 235 | JR | 110.0 | 6.5 (3) | 12 | 2 (2) | 2 | 51.9% |
| Chuck Harris | DE | 6'4, 265 | JR | 58.5 | 7 (4) | 4 | 0 (0) | 2 | 42.5% |
| Ryan Williamson | S | 6'0, 195 | SR | 58.0 | 1 (0) | 3 | 3 (4) | 0 | 68.0% |
| Jarrett Franklin | LB | 6'1, 220 | SR | 53.5 | 5.5 (0) | 7 | 0 (1) | 0 | 42.4% |
| Tim Roberts | S | 6'1, 205 | SR | 51.5 | 1 (0) | 0 | 1 (1) | 1 | 73.4% |
| Jordan Collier | LB | 5'11, 217 | JR | 47.5 | 6 (1) | 10 | 0 (1) | 0 | 46.0% |
| Demone Harris | DE | 6'4, 272 | SR | 42.0 | 9.5 (5) | 13 | 0 (1) | 2 | 40.0% |
| Brandon Williams | CB | 5'11, 180 | JR | 35.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 1 (4) | 1 | 64.1% |
| Cameron Lewis | CB | 5'11, 185 | JR | 30.5 | 1 (0) | 4 | 1 (4) | 3 | 51.4% |
| Ishmael Hargrove | LB | 6'1, 227 | SR | 28.0 | 2 (1) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 54.3% |
| Justin Brandon | DL | 6'1, 305 | JR | 26.5 | 4 (0) | 8 | 0 (0) | 1 | 19.4% |
| Tatum Slack | CB | 5'9, 190 | JR | 23.0 | 1 (0) | 2 | 0 (9) | 1 | 62.1% |
| Chris Ford | DT | 6'3, 310 | SR | 21.0 | 1 (1) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 35.7% |
| Kobe Green | S | 5'11, 192 | FR | 14.0 | 1.5 (0) | 0 | 0 (1) | 0 | 50.0% |
| Myles Nicholas | DE | 6'2, 260 | JR | 14.0 | 0.5 (0) | 4 | 0 (0) | 0 | 40.0% |
| Kadofi Wright | LB | 6'3, 205 | FR | 13.5 | 1.5 (1) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 46.7% |
| Malcolm Koonce | DE | 6'3, 245 | FR | 12.5 | 1 (1) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 50.0% |
| Matt Otwinowski | LB | 6'2, 230 | SO | 12.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 33.3% |
| Devon Russell | CB | 5'9, 180 | JR | 10.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (3) | 0 | 63.6% |
| Roy Baker | CB | 6'2, 185 | FR | 8.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (1) | 0 | 60.0% |
| Wesley Scott | DT | 6'4, 275 | JR | 7.0 | 1 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 10.0% |
| Chibueze Onwuka | DT | 6'0, 255 | SO | 6.5 | 1 (1) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 37.5% |
| Ja'Varius Harrison | LB | 5'11, 225 | FR | 4.5 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 | ||
| Jeremiah Dadeboe | S | 6'1, 206 | SO | 4.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 100.0% |
| K.J. Osborn | WR | 6'0, 200 | SO | 4.0 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.7 | 123 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.42 | 109 |
| Punt Success Rate | 56.4% | 70 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 62.3% | 105 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 47.1% | 64 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 33.3% | 108 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Adam Mitcheson | 6'2, 205 | JR | 37-40 | 15-24 | 62.5% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Kyle DeWeen | 6'0, 180 | SR | 56 | 40.6 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 67.9% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Adam Mitcheson | 6'2, 205 | JR | 61 | 60.7 | 22 | 36.1% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| K.J. Osborn | 6'0, 200 | SO | 8 | 10.3 | 0 | 11 | 0 (0) |
| Jacob Martinez | 6'0, 190 | SR | 4 | 6.5 | 0 | 6 | 1 (0) |
| Jamarl Eiland | 5'11, 192 | SR | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| K.J. Osborn | 6'0, 200 | SO | 16 | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Devon Russell | 5'9, 180 | JR | 7 | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Jacob Martinez | 6'0, 190 | SR | 6 | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
| Matt Otwinowski | LB | 6'2, 230 | SO | 7.5 | 2.5 | 22.0 |
| Kobe Green | S | 5'11, 192 | FR | 5.0 | 2.0 | 20.3 |
| Ja'Varius Harrison | LB | 5'11, 225 | FR | 4.5 | 21.5 | |
| K.J. Osborn | WR | 6'0, 200 | SO | 4.0 | 8.0 | |
| Brandon Williams | CB | 5'11, 180 | JR | 3.0 | 18.0 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics