clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2017 Kent State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016 | 2017

Kent State Flashes (MAC East)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.7 (0.7) | S&P+ Rk: 126
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep at Clemson 8 3-56 L 0% -48.1 6% NULL 6%
9-Sep Howard N/A 38-31 W 72% 5.4 65% 79% 43%
16-Sep at Marshall 52 0-21 L 2% -18.1 18% 7% 74%
23-Sep at Louisville 16 3-42 L 0% -42.0 6% 3% 8%
30-Sep Buffalo 75 13-27 L 45% -1.1 48% 36% 69%
7-Oct at Northern Illinois 54 3-24 L 0% -26.2 12% 4% 80%
14-Oct Miami-OH 56 17-14 W 30% -4.7 42% 14% 77%
21-Oct at Ohio 22 3-48 L 0% -44.2 6% 3% 9%
31-Oct Bowling Green 109 16-44 L 0% -31.0 6% 17% 13%
8-Nov at Western Michigan 74 20-48 L 46% -1.0 48% 50% 45%
14-Nov Central Michigan 79 23-42 L 17% -8.8 31% 65% 17%
21-Nov at Akron 112 14-24 L 60% 2.4 53% 16% 81%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 16.1 129 30.2 87
Points Per Game 12.8 129 35.1 108
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 35.1% 125 38.8% 42 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.12 83 1.36 126 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.5 97 31.6 114 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.12 130 5.00 113 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -4.0 97 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.25
ACTUAL -7 105
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 85.6 116 94.7 87 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 36.2% 119 39.1% 36 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.91 60 1.21 129 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 89.1 119 96.8 78 100.0
Opportunity Rate 33.5% 114 39.7% 86 38.5%
Power Success Rate 56.0% 121 60.0% 19 67.7%
Stuff Rate 22.9% 119 22.8% 30 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Justin Rankin RB 5'9, 206 SO 123 490 3 4.0 4.5 29.3% 1 (1)
George Bollas QB 6'3, 219 JR 81 361 1 4.5 4.5 37.0% 5 (1)
Dustin Crum QB 6'3, 205 FR 62 426 1 6.9 7.8 45.2% 4 (3)
Kesean Gamble LB 6'1, 249 FR 55 165 2 3.0 1.9 27.3% 1 (1)
Will Matthews RB 5'7, 205 SO 54 188 1 3.5 4.2 25.9% 0 (0)
Nick Holley QB 5'10, 200 SR 35 207 1 5.9 4.1 54.3% 0 (0)
Myles Washington RB 5'9, 222 JR 18 35 0 1.9 1.3 16.7% 0 (0)
Mike Carrigan WR 5'9, 175 SO 14 156 1 11.1 25.3 42.9% 0 (0)
Kavious Price WR 5'6, 169 SO 10 68 0 6.8 9.2 50.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 84.4 116 101.7 57 100.0
Passing Success Rate 33.2% 116 38.5% 48 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.54 39 1.56 96 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 34.5 130 148.9 4 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
George Bollas 6'3, 219 JR 88 182 1133 4 12 48.4% 22 10.8% 5.0
Dustin Crum 6'3, 205 FR 16 30 232 1 2 53.3% 24 44.4% 2.1
Nick Holley 5'10, 200 SR 9 20 106 2 0 45.0% 0 0.0% 5.3

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Justin Rankin RB 5'9, 206 SO 52 42 311 2 7.4 6.0 80.8% 48.1% 24.3%
Trey Harrell WR 6'0, 185 SO 38 17 324 1 19.1 8.5 44.7% 36.8% 17.8%
Mike Carrigan WR 5'9, 175 SO 33 14 281 2 20.1 8.5 42.4% 30.3% 15.4%
Kris White WR 6'1, 225 SR 22 9 105 0 11.7 4.8 40.9% 31.8% 10.3%
Kavious Price WR 5'6, 169 SO 17 7 152 1 21.7 8.9 41.2% 35.3% 7.9%
Chalfonte Butler TE 6'6, 253 SO 12 6 81 1 13.5 6.8 50.0% 41.7% 5.6%
Conor Brumfield TE 6'3, 240 SO 11 6 53 0 8.8 4.8 54.5% 36.4% 5.1%
Raekwon James RB 5'9, 187 JR 9 4 61 1 15.3 6.8 44.4% 44.4% 4.2%
Will Matthews RB 5'7, 205 SO 6 5 71 0 14.2 11.8 83.3% 66.7% 2.8%
Johnny Woods WR 6'2, 200 JR 6 3 20 0 6.7 3.3 50.0% 33.3% 2.8%
James Alexander LB 5'11, 231 SR 3 2 26 0 13.0 8.7 66.7% 66.7% 1.4%
Donte Ross WR 6'1, 170 JR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.9%
Ryan Malone TE 6'1, 240 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Kesean Gamble LB 6'1, 249 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Keon Singleton RB 6'0, 221 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 86.8 124 97.4 78 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 41.6% 120 43.6% 40 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.99 96 1.32 128 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.50 122 2.83 52 2.92
SD Sack Rate 11.3% 128 3.4% 99 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 80.8 123 101.3 66 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 23.1% 127 29.8% 66 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.56 53 1.46 50 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.79 107 3.18 68 3.22
PD Sack Rate 20.6% 130 14.3% 2 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 73.7 127 90.6 97
Q2 S&P+ 91.8 103 95.8 84
Q3 S&P+ 85.7 115 83.5 115
Q4 S&P+ 70.2 128 94.6 93
1st Down S&P+ 87.5 120 97.7 81
2nd Down S&P+ 76.3 127 77.2 128
3rd Down S&P+ 78.6 126 105.6 45
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 70.7% 19 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 51.9% 6 35.3%
Adj. Pace +2.8 120 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 71.6% 90 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 65.6% 16 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 44.0% 6 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.8% 52 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 6.8% 23 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 2.8% 105 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 7.1% 41 6.5%
PD to INC 35.3% 54 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Jim Jones LB 6'1, 232 JR 75.0 8 (6) 12 0 (2) 1 30.9%
Mandela Lawrence-Burke S 6'0, 194 SO 55.0 6.5 (0.5) 11 1 (0) 0 48.7%
James Alexander LB 5'11, 231 SR 48.5 10 (3.5) 15 0 (0) 0 31.1%
Jamal Parker CB 5'8, 183 SO 48.5 2 (1) 3 1 (11) 1 63.6%
Jerrell Foster CB 6'0, 186 SR 40.5 0 (0) 1 1 (9) 0 81.8%
Jon Cunningham DT 6'0, 295 SR 38.5 10 (1.5) 15 0 (0) 1 19.6%
Theo Eboigbe DE 6'1, 261 JR 31.0 5 (2) 13 0 (1) 0 23.7%
Juantez McRae S 5'10, 195 JR 24.5 1 (0) 0 1 (0) 0 70.0%
Demetrius Monday CB 5'10, 205 SR 20.0 0 (0) 0 5 (4) 0 89.5%
Nick Faulkner DE 6'1, 243 SO 19.0 3.5 (0.5) 7 0 (3) 1 16.0%
Quan Robinson Jr. S 6'1, 174 JR 18.5 0 (0) 0 1 (0) 1 70.8%
Erik Simpson S 5'11, 193 JR 18.0 1.5 (0) 3 0 (1) 0 69.6%
Anthony McKay DT 6'1, 289 JR 15.0 3.5 (1) 7 0 (0) 1 15.0%
Marques Moore DE 6'1, 249 SR 14.0 7 (2.5) 7 0 (0) 0 12.5%
Darryl Marshall CB 5'10, 171 JR 14.0 1 (0) 1 0 (2) 0 69.2%
Elvis Hines DB 5'10, 172 FR 14.0 1 (1) 0 1 (1) 1 64.3%
Theo Majette DL 5'11, 251 SO 13.5 6.5 (4) 4 0 (0) 0 17.6%
Miles Daniel DB 5'9, 166 FR 13.0 0 (0) 0 1 (0) 0 37.5%
Matt Bahr LB 6'1, 223 JR 11.5 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Jordan Robinson DE 6'2, 257 JR 9.0 4 (1) 5 0 (0) 0 13.3%
Alex Hoag DE 6'3, 250 SO 7.5 2.5 (0) 4 0 (0) 1 22.2%
Matthew Sommers DE 6'2, 265 SR 7.5 0.5 (0) 4 0 (1) 0 12.5%
Devante Lee DL 6'6, 294 SR 7.0 2 (0.5) 6 0 (0) 0 9.1%
Cepeda Phillips LB 6'0, 222 FR 6.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 55.6%
Sam Thomas LB 6'0, 234 FR 6.0 0.5 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 25.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.7 120
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.49 113
Punt Success Rate 56.6% 68
Kickoff Success Rate 65.8% 93
Punt Return Success Rate 52.4% 51
Kick Return Success Rate 37.3% 96
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Shane Hynes 5'10, 166 JR 14-16 9-15 60.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Derek Adams 6'0, 192 SO 79 43.6 9 24 15 49.4%
George Bollas 6'3, 219 JR 3 27.0 0 0 1 33.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Shane Hynes 5'10, 166 JR 37 62.4 9 24.3% 1 0 1 1
Grant Urenovitch 6'1, 157 FR 1 58.0 0 0.0% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Raymond James 5'11, 176 FR 11 4.7 0 5 1 (1)
Kavious Price 5'6, 169 SO 7 8.1 0 3 0 (0)
Zaquon Tyson 5'9, 165 JR 2 5.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Mike Carrigan 5'9, 175 SO 15 17.7 0 0 0 (0)
Kavious Price 5'6, 169 SO 12 18.6 0 0 0 (0)
Raekwon James 5'9, 187 JR 9 16.1 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Miles Daniel DB 5'9, 166 FR 6.5 -3.6 15.8
Joey Palumbo LS 6'0, 220 SO 5.0 1.0
Shane Hynes K 5'10, 166 JR 4.0 34.8
John Henry Bronczek S 5'7, 189 SO 3.0 12.0 17.7
Dalton Hicks LB 5'11, 229 SO 2.5 31.8

Stats via SportSource Analytics