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2017 Toledo advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Toledo Rockets (MAC West)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.5 (-0.5) | S&P+ Rk: 30
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
31-Aug Elon N/A 47-13 W 98% 19.5 83% 88% 73%
9-Sep at Nevada 108 37-24 W 87% 10.5 70% 68% 65%
16-Sep Tulsa 116 54-51 W 80% 7.7 65% 91% 16%
23-Sep at Miami-FL 17 30-52 L 0% -28.0 10% 58% 5%
7-Oct Eastern Michigan 70 20-15 W 88% 10.8 74% 46% 84%
14-Oct at Central Michigan 79 30-10 W 100% 30.8 93% 65% 95%
21-Oct Akron 112 48-21 W 100% 37.2 92% 93% 86%
26-Oct at Ball State 122 58-17 W 100% 37.9 92% 95% 82%
2-Nov Northern Illinois 54 27-17 W 93% 13.4 80% 61% 72%
8-Nov at Ohio 22 10-38 L 0% -29.5 10% 21% 11%
15-Nov at Bowling Green 109 66-37 W 100% 29.6 90% 98% 35%
24-Nov Western Michigan 74 37-10 W 100% 35.5 94% 85% 93%
2-Dec vs. Akron 112 45-28 W 100% 28.9 89% 96% 54%
23-Dec vs. Appalachian State 18 0-34 L 0% -45.7 6% 2% 24%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 34.2 20 26.8 57
Points Per Game 39.2 17 28.2 66
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 44.3% 40 39.5% 50 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.35 14 1.19 83 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 33.1 11 28.1 30 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.67 45 4.68 92 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.0 91 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.42
ACTUAL 1 59
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 90.0 106 88.2 107 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.6% 88 44.1% 89 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.93 53 1.00 101 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 96 95 90.5 103 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.5% 54 39.4% 81 38.5%
Power Success Rate 56.0% 121 66.0% 58 67.7%
Stuff Rate 19.3% 60 19.0% 70 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Terry Swanson RB 5'10, 205 SR 243 1363 14 5.6 6.5 36.2% 2 (1)
Shakif Seymour RB 5'11, 218 FR 116 702 12 6.1 5.9 43.1% 1 (1)
Art Thompkins RB 5'8, 180 SO 104 629 2 6.0 6.2 40.4% 2 (1)
Logan Woodside QB 6'2, 210 SR 29 172 1 5.9 3.3 55.2% 3 (2)
Nevone McCrimmon RB 5'11, 230 FR 9 80 0 8.9 66.5 11.1% 0 (0)
Mitchell Guadagni QB 6'2, 200 SO 8 76 0 9.5 4.2 87.5% 0 (0)
Brad Smith RB 5'8, 200 SR 6 17 1 2.8 1.0 33.3% 0 (0)
Desmond Phillips WR 5'10, 185 SO 3 -5 0 -1.7 0.0 0.0% 1 (1)
Michael Julian QB 6'5, 250 SR 3 -9 1 -3.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 118.4 19 104.6 43 100.0
Passing Success Rate 48.4% 6 34.9% 19 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.75 9 1.44 65 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 122.9 34 86.7 91 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Logan Woodside 6'2, 210 SR 264 411 3882 28 8 64.2% 22 5.1% 8.6
Michael Julian 6'5, 250 SR 2 6 21 0 0 33.3% 0 0.0% 3.5
Mitchell Guadagni 6'2, 200 SO 1 6 16 0 1 16.7% 0 0.0% 2.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Diontae Johnson WR 5'11, 181 SO 105 75 1300 13 17.3 12.4 71.4% 55.2% 25.6%
Jon'Vea Johnson WR 6'0, 188 JR 73 42 689 5 16.4 9.4 57.5% 53.4% 17.8%
Danzel McKinley-Lewis WR 5'10, 183 SO 44 23 319 3 13.9 7.3 52.3% 43.2% 10.7%
Cody Thompson WR 6'2, 205 SR 40 28 537 4 19.2 13.4 70.0% 65.0% 9.8%
Jordan Fisher TE 6'3, 225 SO 29 20 295 0 14.8 10.2 69.0% 65.5% 7.1%
Terry Swanson RB 5'10, 205 SR 23 20 194 0 9.7 8.4 87.0% 39.1% 5.6%
Desmond Phillips WR 5'10, 185 SO 22 12 101 2 8.4 4.6 54.5% 22.7% 5.4%
Art Thompkins RB 5'8, 180 SO 20 16 123 0 7.7 6.2 80.0% 55.0% 4.9%
Darryl Richards WR 6'3, 195 SR 15 6 90 0 15.0 6.0 40.0% 26.7% 3.7%
Shakif Seymour RB 5'11, 218 FR 12 10 104 1 10.4 8.7 83.3% 41.7% 2.9%
Drew Rosi TE 6'4, 245 FR 7 6 90 0 15.0 12.9 85.7% 85.7% 1.7%
Bryce Mitchell WR 6'3, 196 FR 7 3 41 0 13.7 5.9 42.9% 42.9% 1.7%
Reggie Gilliam TE 6'0, 235 SO 7 3 30 0 10.0 4.3 42.9% 42.9% 1.7%
Liam Allen WR 6'0, 182 SR 2 2 19 0 9.5 9.5 100.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Rhett Blackman WR 5'9, 187 SO 2 1 7 0 7.0 3.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Neru N'Shaka WR 5'11, 182 FR 2 1 2 0 2.0 1.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 100.9 66 90.6 110 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.2% 59 46.7% 69 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.29 9 1.13 97 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.01 50 3.08 87 2.92
SD Sack Rate 3.5% 30 3.3% 103 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 113.7 33 116.9 25 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 37.2% 10 25.1% 11 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.53 61 1.43 40 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.23 68 3.43 87 3.22
PD Sack Rate 6.7% 56 7.1% 75 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 97.8 78 106.9 42
Q2 S&P+ 112.4 39 122.1 20
Q3 S&P+ 140.6 2 88.3 105
Q4 S&P+ 111.0 32 75.4 130
1st Down S&P+ 118.3 20 90.2 105
2nd Down S&P+ 108.8 43 90.7 104
3rd Down S&P+ 110.2 42 113.3 31
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.2% 56 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 35.9% 54 35.3%
Adj. Pace +1.0 84 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 69.7% 101 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.4% 94 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.6% 48 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.8% 82 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.5% 48 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 2.6% 111 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 6.6% 64 6.5%
PD to INC 28.7% 114 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Kahlil Robinson DB 6'0, 175 SO 53.0 1 (0) 2 4 (4) 0 68.3%
Jack Linch LB 6'0, 225 SR 52.5 6.5 (0) 15 1 (0) 1 39.1%
Zach Quinn DE 6'3, 240 SR 51.5 5.5 (2) 11 0 (1) 0 25.8%
Ja'Wuan Woodley LB 5'11, 228 SR 51.5 4.5 (2) 6 1 (3) 0 30.5%
Olasunkanmi Adeniyi DE 6'2, 248 JR 50.0 20 (8.5) 16 0 (1) 3 23.0%
Josh Teachey S 5'11, 190 JR 44.5 0.5 (0) 1 0 (4) 0 71.2%
Richard Olekanma LB 6'2, 245 JR 32.0 2.5 (1.5) 2 0 (2) 0 34.9%
Tyler Taafe LB 6'1, 230 JR 31.0 2.5 (0) 7 0 (0) 1 42.2%
Ka'dar Hollman CB 6'0, 190 JR 30.5 0 (0) 0 1 (7) 0 80.0%
Justin Clark CB 5'11, 175 FR 27.5 0 (0) 0 2 (5) 1 80.8%
Jordan Williams S 5'10, 185 SO 27.0 1 (0) 2 1 (1) 0 76.0%
DeDarallo Blue S 6'0, 200 SO 26.0 5.5 (2) 4 0 (2) 0 54.5%
Trevon Mathis CB 6'0, 180 SR 26.0 1.5 (0) 1 3 (8) 0 62.5%
Tycen Anderson DB 6'2, 185 FR 21.0 1.5 (0) 2 1 (3) 0 73.7%
Marquise Moore DT 6'0, 300 SR 19.0 4 (2) 7 0 (0) 0 26.7%
Nate Childress DL 6'3, 292 SO 17.0 2 (1) 4 0 (0) 0 40.0%
Marcus Whitfield DB 6'0, 178 JR 16.5 1 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 81.8%
Reggie Howard DT 6'3, 275 JR 14.0 5 (0) 5 0 (0) 0 6.3%
Willie Ross Jr. DT 6'1, 278 SO 13.5 2 (2) 3 0 (0) 0 26.3%
Malik Jones DE 6'5, 260 SR 9.0 0 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Ronnie Jones S 6'1, 197 SO 9.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%
Daniel Davis DE 6'3, 280 SR 7.0 1 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 27.3%
Lucas Maynard DE 6'3, 242 SO 6.0 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 22.2%
Tuzar Skipper DL 6'3, 246 SR 6.0 1 (1) 0 0 (0) 1 50.0%
Kennedy Frazier DB 6'0, 191 SR 6.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 40.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.1 64
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.10 53
Punt Success Rate 55.8% 75
Kickoff Success Rate 68.5% 86
Punt Return Success Rate 52.2% 53
Kick Return Success Rate 46.2% 58
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Jameson Vest 5'10, 190 JR 56-58 25-30 83.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Bailey Flint 6'4, 228 FR 45 38.5 4 20 18 84.4%
Michael Julian 6'5, 250 SR 6 38.5 0 1 1 33.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Jameson Vest 5'10, 190 JR 81 61.9 38 46.9% 0 3 0 0
Samuel Vucelich 5'11, 177 SR 18 62.1 7 38.9% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Danzel McKinley-Lewis 5'10, 183 SO 20 8.1 0 10 3 (1)
Diontae Johnson 5'11, 181 SO 4 25.5 1 4 0 (0)
Desmond Phillips 5'10, 185 SO 2 3.5 0 1 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Diontae Johnson 5'11, 181 SO 30 22.8 1 0 1 (1)
Desmond Phillips 5'10, 185 SO 9 15.2 0 0 0 (0)
Andrew Boczar 6'4, 260 SO 1 2.0 0 0 1 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Ronnie Jones S 6'1, 197 SO 5.5 21.4
Brad Smith RB 5'8, 200 SR 4.5 16.2
Marcus Whitfield DB 6'0, 178 JR 4.5 24.8
Justin Clark CB 5'11, 175 FR 4.0 -1.0 27.8
Tycen Anderson DB 6'2, 185 FR 3.5 19.7

Stats via SportSource Analytics