clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2017 Eastern Michigan advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016 | 2017

EMU Eagles (MAC West)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.4 (1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 70
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep Charlotte 124 24-7 W 97% 17.6 80% 45% 87%
9-Sep at Rutgers 110 16-13 W 74% 5.9 61% 21% 85%
23-Sep Ohio 22 20-27 L 64% 3.3 60% 29% 78%
30-Sep at Kentucky 90 20-24 L 84% 9.0 67% 38% 78%
7-Oct at Toledo 30 15-20 L 12% -10.8 30% 16% 54%
14-Oct at Army 59 27-28 L 83% 8.6 71% 65% 45%
21-Oct Western Michigan 74 17-20 L 23% -6.9 35% 40% 46%
26-Oct at Northern Illinois 54 27-30 L 7% -13.7 25% 23% 37%
2-Nov Ball State 122 56-14 W 100% 35.2 91% 91% 89%
8-Nov at Central Michigan 79 30-42 L 7% -13.4 23% 32% 32%
15-Nov at Miami-OH 56 27-24 W 56% 1.4 56% 63% 40%
21-Nov Bowling Green 109 34-31 W 31% -4.4 38% 61% 28%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 26.0 87 24.7 44
Points Per Game 26.1 92 23.3 33
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 39.8% 89 41.1% 65 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.14 77 1.08 27 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.5 41 30.3 87 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.92 112 3.98 28 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.2 64 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.75
ACTUAL -4 90
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 79.4 129 105.4 49 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 36.5% 117 41.1% 59 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.82 101 0.87 51 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 88 121 96.8 78 100.0
Opportunity Rate 31.6% 127 41.5% 105 38.5%
Power Success Rate 66.7% 72 59.4% 18 67.7%
Stuff Rate 18.1% 47 15.2% 116 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Ian Eriksen RB 5'10, 210 JR 179 805 8 4.5 4.0 33.5% 1 (1)
Shaq Vann RB 5'10, 220 JR 113 520 3 4.6 4.7 32.7% 2 (1)
Blake Banham RB 5'9, 200 JR 36 97 1 2.7 5.0 16.7% 1 (0)
Breck Turner RB 6'1, 210 SO 31 118 1 3.8 3.1 29.0% 1 (1)
Brogan Roback QB 6'3, 218 SR 23 65 1 2.8 2.3 26.1% 2 (1)
Isaac Stiebeling QB 6'4, 210 FR 6 58 0 9.7 11.3 50.0% 1 (0)
Sergio Bailey II WR 6'0, 190 SR 2 25 0 12.5 5.3 100.0% 0 (0)
Kyle Rachwal LB 6'3, 240 JR 1 27 0 27.0 19.5 100.0% 0 (0)
Antoine Porter WR 5'8, 180 SR 1 -16 0 -16.0 0.0 0.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 101.8 59 93.0 94 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.5% 44 41.2% 74 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.37 91 1.34 32 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 145.5 23 130 23 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brogan Roback 6'3, 218 SR 245 409 2890 19 15 59.9% 17 4.0% 6.5
Isaac Stiebeling 6'4, 210 FR 8 17 49 0 0 47.1% 1 5.6% 2.2

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Sergio Bailey II WR 6'0, 190 SR 103 54 878 9 16.3 8.5 52.4% 46.6% 25.2%
Antoine Porter WR 5'8, 180 SR 72 46 548 4 11.9 7.6 63.9% 47.2% 17.6%
Johnnie Niupalau WR 6'0, 215 SR 43 27 368 4 13.6 8.6 62.8% 53.5% 10.5%
Mathew Sexton WR 5'11, 180 SO 41 26 357 2 13.7 8.7 63.4% 56.1% 10.0%
Jaron Johnson WR 6'0, 175 SR 35 23 212 1 9.2 6.1 65.7% 48.6% 8.6%
Ian Eriksen RB 5'10, 210 JR 21 16 119 0 7.4 5.7 76.2% 28.6% 5.1%
Eddie Daugherty WR 5'7, 170 JR 18 10 110 0 11.0 6.1 55.6% 33.3% 4.4%
Blake Banham RB 5'9, 200 JR 14 12 94 0 7.8 6.7 85.7% 28.6% 3.4%
Isaac Holder WR 5'11, 175 SO 14 9 83 0 9.2 5.9 64.3% 50.0% 3.4%
Shaq Vann RB 5'10, 220 JR 14 11 62 0 5.6 4.4 78.6% 42.9% 3.4%
Dieuly Aristilde Jr. WR 6'4, 210 SO 11 7 79 0 11.3 7.2 63.6% 63.6% 2.7%
Bryce Kemp TE 6'5, 235 SO 10 6 119 1 19.8 11.9 60.0% 60.0% 2.4%
Dan Buschman TE 6'3, 250 SR 7 5 36 0 7.2 5.1 71.4% 57.1% 1.7%
Breck Turner RB 6'1, 210 SO 5 5 23 0 4.6 4.6 100.0% 20.0% 1.2%
Keyan Marshall WR 6'2, 190 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 87.3 122 98.3 75 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 43.3% 111 47.2% 75 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.05 60 1.02 46 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.61 111 3.11 94 2.92
SD Sack Rate 2.7% 14 8.1% 11 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 108.2 49 112.5 31 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.3% 47 27.5% 31 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.38 104 1.33 12 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.43 46 3.63 103 3.22
PD Sack Rate 5.4% 33 7.0% 78 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 98.0 76 101.2 61
Q2 S&P+ 95.6 89 92.3 96
Q3 S&P+ 90.8 104 103.5 59
Q4 S&P+ 87.8 110 112.0 23
1st Down S&P+ 88.1 116 94.0 95
2nd Down S&P+ 99.7 73 110.8 34
3rd Down S&P+ 85.4 110 102.3 60
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 53.6% 97 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 30.0% 92 35.3%
Adj. Pace +0.2 67 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.1% 82 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.5% 37 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 39.1% 26 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.0% 61 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 7.6% 10 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 2.8% 106 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 5.6% 95 6.5%
PD to INC 33.3% 69 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Vince Calhoun DB 5'11, 185 SO 63.0 1 (0) 3 0 (2) 0 55.8%
Brody Hoying DB 5'11, 205 SO 61.0 4 (1) 4 2 (2) 4 51.3%
Jason Beck LB 6'1, 220 SR 60.0 2 (0) 6 1 (1) 0 43.0%
Kyle Rachwal LB 6'3, 240 JR 50.5 6.5 (1.5) 8 0 (2) 2 36.8%
Maxx Crosby DL 6'5, 265 SO 44.0 16.5 (11) 12 0 (1) 4 31.6%
Justin Moody DB 5'10, 185 JR 41.5 0.5 (0) 1 1 (2) 1 68.8%
Ike Spearman LB 6'0, 233 SR 38.0 4.5 (1) 7 0 (0) 1 42.9%
Jeremiah Harris DL 6'5, 255 JR 35.0 12.5 (6) 9 1 (3) 2 13.3%
Luke Maclean DL 6'5, 285 SR 32.0 7 (4) 6 0 (1) 0 23.3%
Juan Giraldo DB 5'11, 195 SR 31.0 0 (0) 0 1 (3) 0 70.6%
Ross Williams DB 5'11, 175 JR 22.0 1 (0) 0 0 (7) 0 76.0%
Derric Williams LB 6'0, 235 SR 21.5 3 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 28.0%
Kevin McGill DB 6'2, 195 SO 19.5 1 (0) 0 1 (7) 0 68.2%
Jalen Phelps DB 5'10, 175 SO 14.0 0 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 70.6%
Mathew Sexton WR 5'11, 180 SO 12.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Clay Holford DL 6'2, 260 SO 11.5 0 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 43.8%
Jaron Johnson WR 6'0, 175 SR 10.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Kwanii Figueroa DL 6'2, 290 JR 9.5 2.5 (1.5) 3 0 (1) 0 37.5%
Dion Dawson DL 6'0, 320 SR 9.0 3 (0) 8 0 (1) 0 0.0%
Oddie Granger III DL 6'3, 315 SR 8.0 1 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 30.8%
Tyler LaBarbera DL 6'2, 310 JR 8.0 0.5 (0.5) 2 0 (1) 0 30.8%
Anthony Brown DB 5'11, 200 SR 6.5 0 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 40.0%
Derrick Dunlap DL 6'0, 300 SR 5.5 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 37.5%
Chris Hendricks DL 6'5, 300 JR 5.0 2 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 28.6%
Jaylen Pickett LB 6'0, 225 JR 5.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 62.5%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.5 104
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.01 72
Punt Success Rate 53.5% 93
Kickoff Success Rate 55.7% 124
Punt Return Success Rate 44.4% 75
Kick Return Success Rate 41.7% 76
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Paulie Fricano 5'10, 195 SO 34-36 15-21 71.4%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jake Julien 6'2, 220 FR 33 42.6 2 1 8 27.3%
Ivan Oraha 6'1, 206 SO 22 33.7 1 11 13 109.1%
Brogan Roback 6'3, 218 SR 10 42.1 0 0 4 40.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Jesse Kelly 6'0, 194 JR 56 61.1 16 28.6% 0 0 1 0
Jake Julien 6'2, 220 FR 5 60.8 2 40.0% 0 2 0 0
Paulie Fricano 5'10, 195 SO 0 0.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Blake Banham 5'9, 200 JR 13 4.8 0 9 0 (0)
Isaac Holder 5'11, 175 SO 7 4.4 0 4 0 (0)
Eddie Daugherty 5'7, 170 JR 6 1.2 0 2 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Mathew Sexton 5'11, 180 SO 18 17.3 0 0 0 (0)
Blake Banham 5'9, 200 JR 12 19.6 0 0 0 (0)
Ian Eriksen 5'10, 210 JR 3 6.7 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Mathew Sexton WR 5'11, 180 SO 10.0 2.2 15.1
Kyle Rachwal LB 6'3, 240 JR 8.5 3.0 26.3
Jaron Johnson WR 6'0, 175 SR 8.5 4.5 17.9
Eddie Daugherty WR 5'7, 170 JR 4.0 18.0
Terry Myrick LB 6'0, 210 FR 2.5 17.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics