Updated on 1/3/18
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
MTSU Blue Raiders (Conference USA East)
2017 Schedule & Results
| Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.4 (-0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 68 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | Vanderbilt | 80 | 6-28 | L | 0% | -37.1 | 5% | 4% | 21% |
| 9-Sep | at Syracuse | 88 | 30-23 | W | 94% | 14.0 | 75% | 46% | 83% |
| 16-Sep | at Minnesota | 97 | 3-34 | L | 0% | -33.1 | 6% | 2% | 56% |
| 23-Sep | Bowling Green | 109 | 24-13 | W | 97% | 17.0 | 80% | 65% | 79% |
| 30-Sep | at Florida Atlantic | 11 | 20-38 | L | 3% | -16.7 | 21% | 33% | 20% |
| 7-Oct | Florida International | 92 | 37-17 | W | 100% | 24.3 | 89% | 79% | 80% |
| 14-Oct | at UAB | 76 | 23-25 | L | 5% | -15.0 | 23% | 14% | 58% |
| 20-Oct | Marshall | 52 | 10-38 | L | 0% | -27.9 | 10% | 6% | 35% |
| 4-Nov | UTEP | 130 | 30-3 | W | 100% | 33.0 | 90% | 49% | 97% |
| 11-Nov | at Charlotte | 124 | 35-21 | W | 94% | 14.5 | 76% | 71% | 69% |
| 17-Nov | at Western Kentucky | 83 | 38-41 | L | 11% | -11.5 | 28% | 68% | 13% |
| 25-Nov | Old Dominion | 115 | 41-10 | W | 100% | 35.0 | 92% | 84% | 92% |
| 16-Dec | vs. Arkansas State | 25 | 35-30 | W | 35% | -3.6 | 44% | 51% | 36% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 25.6 | 95 | 25.0 | 47 |
| Points Per Game | 27.7 | 80 | 26.8 | 53 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 41.5% | 67 | 39.2% | 44 | 40.3% |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.20 | 47 | 1.09 | 31 | 1.17 |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 27.1 | 117 | 31.2 | 107 | 29.6 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 3.99 | 108 | 4.26 | 51 | 4.42 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -2.4 | 89 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -3.71 |
||
| ACTUAL | -12 | 122 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 97.3 | 80 | 100.5 | 63 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 43.3% | 59 | 39.7% | 42 | 42.2% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.90 | 65 | 0.82 | 24 | 0.92 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 96 | 95 | 106.9 | 42 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 42.4% | 22 | 35.4% | 43 | 38.5% |
| Power Success Rate | 76.2% | 20 | 66.1% | 61 | 67.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.5% | 86 | 20.8% | 51 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Tavares Thomas | LB | 6'0, 238 | JR | 93 | 507 | 9 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 38.7% | 0 (0) |
| Brad Anderson | RB | 5'8, 170 | FR | 89 | 491 | 0 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 47.2% | 1 (1) |
| Terelle West | RB | 5'10, 193 | SO | 57 | 308 | 4 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 42.1% | 1 (1) |
| Jocquez Bruce | RB | 5'10, 167 | SO | 42 | 206 | 1 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 40.5% | 0 (0) |
| Ty Lee | WR | 5'9, 163 | SO | 39 | 109 | 1 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 35.9% | 2 (1) |
| Brent Stockstill | QB | 6'0, 221 | JR | 25 | 149 | 0 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 48.0% | 3 (1) |
| John Urzua | QB | 6'3, 189 | SO | 12 | 67 | 0 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 66.7% | 3 (1) |
| Will Mitchell | RB | 5'6, 183 | FR | 11 | 64 | 0 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 54.5% | 0 (0) |
| Richie James | WR | 5'9, 176 | JR | 10 | 57 | 0 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 40.0% | 1 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 94.3 | 88 | 103.0 | 51 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 40.2% | 71 | 38.7% | 50 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.43 | 70 | 1.35 | 33 | 1.48 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 105.5 | 60 | 115 | 42 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Brent Stockstill | 6'0, 221 | JR | 138 | 239 | 1672 | 16 | 8 | 57.7% | 13 | 5.2% | 6.3 |
| John Urzua | 6'3, 189 | SO | 136 | 220 | 1522 | 7 | 9 | 61.8% | 10 | 4.3% | 6.3 |
| Kyle Banks | 6'2, 195 | FR | 6 | 11 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 54.5% | 2 | 15.4% | 3.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Ty Lee | WR | 5'9, 163 | SO | 119 | 79 | 955 | 5 | 12.1 | 8.0 | 66.4% | 45.4% | 26.6% |
| Richie James | WR | 5'9, 176 | JR | 56 | 31 | 290 | 3 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 55.4% | 37.5% | 12.5% |
| Patrick Smith | WR | 6'0, 177 | JR | 48 | 29 | 329 | 2 | 11.3 | 6.9 | 60.4% | 43.8% | 10.7% |
| CJ Windham | WR | 6'2, 201 | SO | 44 | 26 | 374 | 1 | 14.4 | 8.5 | 59.1% | 50.0% | 9.8% |
| Shane Tucker | WR | 6'0, 220 | SR | 41 | 25 | 381 | 2 | 15.2 | 9.3 | 61.0% | 46.3% | 9.2% |
| Brad Anderson | RB | 5'8, 170 | FR | 39 | 33 | 338 | 3 | 10.2 | 8.7 | 84.6% | 51.3% | 8.7% |
| Tavonn Salter | WR | 6'2, 200 | JR | 18 | 6 | 125 | 2 | 20.8 | 6.9 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 4.0% |
| Tyrese Johnson | WR | 5'8, 167 | FR | 13 | 8 | 86 | 0 | 10.8 | 6.6 | 61.5% | 46.2% | 2.9% |
| Jimmy Marshall | WR | 6'5, 216 | FR | 12 | 8 | 79 | 2 | 9.9 | 6.6 | 66.7% | 58.3% | 2.7% |
| Terelle West | RB | 5'10, 193 | SO | 11 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 81.8% | 36.4% | 2.5% |
| Ruben Garnett | WR | 5'9, 170 | SO | 10 | 5 | 71 | 1 | 14.2 | 7.1 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 2.2% |
| Jocquez Bruce | RB | 5'10, 167 | SO | 10 | 9 | 59 | 1 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 90.0% | 30.0% | 2.2% |
| Isiah Upton | WR | 6'0, 180 | SO | 8 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 22.0 | 5.5 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 1.8% |
| Tavares Thomas | LB | 6'0, 238 | JR | 5 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 1.1% |
| Tyshawn Brown | WR | 6'1, 174 | SO | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
| Desmond Anderson | RB | 5'10, 176 | JR | 4 | 1 | -2 | 0 | -2.0 | -0.5 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 96.2 | 86 | 103.5 | 48 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 45.6% | 80 | 43.8% | 42 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.04 | 70 | 1.00 | 37 | 1.07 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.92 | 63 | 2.60 | 31 | 2.92 |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.3% | 72 | 6.2% | 41 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 95.6 | 80 | 101.9 | 64 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 32.7% | 40 | 28.5% | 43 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.66 | 30 | 1.41 | 34 | 1.53 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.01 | 92 | 2.83 | 26 | 3.22 |
| PD Sack Rate | 3.9% | 13 | 7.9% | 57 | 7.8% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 95.5 | 82 | 97.0 | 77 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 106.7 | 53 | 112.0 | 38 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 80.8 | 122 | 112.9 | 28 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 107.0 | 45 | 95.8 | 88 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 96.5 | 79 | 105.1 | 46 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 97.2 | 80 | 97.8 | 78 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 99.9 | 72 | 111.5 | 34 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 50.2% | 115 | 60.0% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 26.5% | 109 | 35.3% |
| Adj. Pace | +0.7 | 78 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 82.0% | 10 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 55.5% | 112 | 59.9% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 33.7% | 84 | 35.0% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 16.7% | 53 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.0% | 87 | 4.9% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 5.8% | 22 | 4.4% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.8% | 54 | 6.5% |
| PD to INC | 33.1% | 74 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
| Jovante Moffatt | S | 6'0, 200 | JR | 82.5 | 4.5 (0) | 7 | 1 (3) | 1 | 61.4% |
| D.J. Sanders | LB | 6'0, 233 | SR | 68.0 | 7.5 (3.5) | 9 | 0 (2) | 0 | 45.5% |
| Khalil Brooks | LB | 5'11, 200 | SO | 61.5 | 17 (7.5) | 14 | 0 (1) | 1 | 34.7% |
| Darius Harris | LB | 6'2, 227 | JR | 56.5 | 7.5 (4.5) | 7 | 0 (6) | 1 | 32.8% |
| Reed Blankenship | S | 6'1, 175 | FR | 56.0 | 7 (1) | 6 | 2 (0) | 0 | 60.3% |
| Mike Minter Jr. | CB | 6'0, 175 | SR | 44.5 | 4 (0) | 5 | 1 (10) | 0 | 58.0% |
| Charvarius Ward | CB | 6'1, 195 | SR | 41.0 | 3 (1) | 1 | 0 (14) | 0 | 48.9% |
| Darryl Randolph | CB | 5'11, 181 | JR | 38.0 | 6 (1) | 6 | 0 (2) | 1 | 52.1% |
| Walter Brady | DE | 6'3, 267 | JR | 31.5 | 5 (3.5) | 6 | 0 (4) | 0 | 21.1% |
| Jordan Ferguson | DT | 6'2, 280 | FR | 28.0 | 5.5 (1) | 7 | 1 (0) | 0 | 36.7% |
| Chris Melton | LB | 6'1, 211 | JR | 25.5 | 4 (1) | 6 | 0 (1) | 0 | 28.6% |
| Jahmal Jones | DE | 6'3, 253 | SR | 24.0 | 5 (1.5) | 6 | 0 (1) | 0 | 30.3% |
| Malik Manciel | DT | 6'3, 257 | SO | 22.5 | 5 (1) | 7 | 0 (1) | 0 | 17.2% |
| Myles Harges | LB | 6'2, 236 | SR | 20.5 | 2.5 (1.5) | 0 | 0 (1) | 0 | 43.5% |
| Tyshun Render | DE | 6'4, 253 | SO | 20.0 | 1 (0.5) | 4 | 0 (0) | 0 | 45.8% |
| Wesley Bush | DB | 6'1, 191 | JR | 18.5 | 0 (0) | 2 | 0 (1) | 0 | 55.6% |
| Rosheem Collins | DL | 6'1, 303 | JR | 14.0 | 2.5 (0) | 6 | 0 (0) | 0 | 38.9% |
| Darrius Liggins | DE | 6'4, 233 | JR | 11.5 | 3 (1.5) | 5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 21.4% |
| Alex Dale | S | 5'10, 200 | SR | 11.0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 80.0% |
| O.J. Johnson | DB | 6'0, 195 | JR | 10.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (3) | 0 | 54.5% |
| DQ Thomas | LB | 6'2, 200 | FR | 8.0 | 2.5 (2) | 1 | 0 (0) | 1 | 50.0% |
| Trae Philpots | DE | 6'4, 243 | SO | 6.5 | 1 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 20.0% |
| Dale Craig | LB | 6'0, 214 | SO | 5.5 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 | ||
| Vernon Walker | S | 6'0, 184 | SO | 3.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | DE | 6'4, 265 | SR | 3.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 50.0% |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 0.3 | 45 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.57 | 3 |
| Punt Success Rate | 52.3% | 96 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 73.5% | 66 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 33.3% | 104 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 36.0% | 104 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Canon Rooker | 5'11, 192 | SR | 39-41 | 14-17 | 82.4% |
| Crews Holt | 5'11, 180 | FR | 0-0 | 1-1 | 100.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Matt Bonadies | 6'1, 197 | JR | 59 | 39.6 | 5 | 26 | 16 | 71.2% |
| Brent Stockstill | 6'0, 221 | JR | 4 | 41.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 100.0% |
| John Urzua | 6'3, 189 | SO | 2 | 32.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Canon Rooker | 5'11, 192 | SR | 67 | 63.3 | 37 | 55.2% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Crews Holt | 5'11, 180 | FR | 1 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Richie James | 5'9, 176 | JR | 7 | 5.3 | 0 | 3 | 1 (0) |
| Reed Blankenship | 6'1, 175 | FR | 6 | 11.5 | 0 | 17 | 0 (0) |
| Ty Lee | 5'9, 163 | SO | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 (1) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Desmond Anderson | 5'10, 176 | JR | 12 | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
| Shane Tucker | 6'0, 220 | SR | 7 | 29.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Ruben Garnett | 5'9, 170 | SO | 6 | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
| Alex Dale | S | 5'10, 200 | SR | 6.0 | 29.9 | |
| Dale Craig | LB | 6'0, 214 | SO | 5.5 | 20.3 | |
| Wesley Bush | DB | 6'1, 191 | JR | 3.5 | 19.5 | |
| Trae Philpots | DE | 6'4, 243 | SO | 2.5 | 25.3 | |
| Tyshun Render | DE | 6'4, 253 | SO | 2.0 | -4.0 | 23.0 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics