clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2015 Middle Tennessee advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

MTSU Blue Raiders (Conference USA East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 82
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep Jackson State N/A 70-14 W 100% 22.3 0% 35% 7%
12-Sep at Alabama 1 10-37 L 0% -26.4 50% 40% 32%
19-Sep Charlotte 124 73-14 W 100% 56.9 91% 94% 89%
26-Sep at Illinois 61 25-27 L 52% 0.5 66% 54% 48%
3-Oct Vanderbilt 83 13-17 L 16% -8.1 34% 31% 30%
10-Oct at Western Kentucky 11 28-58 L 0% -29.1 21% 62% 10%
17-Oct Florida International 108 42-34 W 86% 8.5 42% 64% 46%
24-Oct at Louisiana Tech 54 16-45 L 0% -36.1 16% 27% 11%
7-Nov Marshall 64 27-24 W 76% 5.5 68% 83% 74%
14-Nov at Florida Atlantic 93 24-17 W 87% 9.1 52% 61% 60%
21-Nov North Texas 128 41-7 W 100% 20.7 35% 54% 31%
28-Nov at UTSA 113 42-7 W 100% 32.5 85% 85% 89%
24-Dec vs. Western Michigan 53 31-45 L 10% -10.4 25% 57% 26%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 29.0 64 31.3 87
Points Per Game 34.0 35 26.6 60
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.32 38 1.25 65 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 43.8% 40 42.9% 83 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.0 61 33.5 120 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.08 36 3.89 14 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -0.94 78 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.18
ACTUAL -4 92
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 100.7 73 89.6 100 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 43.4% 54 45.8% 97 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.96 111 0.92 7 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 90.6 109 96 82 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.9% 82 39.7% 82 38.9%
Power Success Rate 67.9% 52 73.3% 103 66.3%
Stuff Rate 17.7% 38 19.3% 77 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Shane Tucker RB 6'0, 204 JR 127 413 2 3.3 2.8 28.3% 4 (3)
Jordan Parker RB 6'1, 214 SR 106 470 6 4.4 4.8 34.0% 2 (2)
Desmond Anderson RB 5'10, 174 FR 83 378 4 4.6 2.4 43.4% 3 (3)
Jeremiah Bryson RB 5'8, 192 SR 46 198 3 4.3 2.7 34.8% 0 (0)
Brent Stockstill QB 6'0, 200 FR 43 205 2 4.8 3.1 41.9% 5 (3)
Kamani Thomas RB 5'9, 198 SO 23 156 3 6.8 3.8 60.9% 1 (1)
Austin Grammer QB 6'2, 204 JR 18 70 1 3.9 4.4 22.2% 0 (0)
Richie James WR 5'9, 171 FR 12 146 1 12.2 11.7 66.7% 1 (1)
Ruben Garnett RB 5'9, 175 FR 10 45 1 4.5 1.8 60.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 118.9 22 83.1 118 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.2% 33 40.6% 66 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.63 23 1.56 94 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 197.4 11 69.4 113 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brent Stockstill 6'0, 200 FR 327 490 4005 30 9 66.7% 17 3.4% 7.6
Austin Grammer 6'2, 204 JR 6 9 45 1 1 66.7% 0 0.0% 5.0
Nolan Genovese 6'0, 215 SR 1 1 2 0 0 100.0% 0 0.0% 2.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Richie James WR 5'9, 171 FR 146 108 1346 8 12.5 9.2 74.0% 51.4% 29.8%
Ed'Marques Batties WR 6'0, 198 SR 131 82 1048 13 12.8 8.0 62.6% 42.7% 26.7%
Terry Pettis TE 6'5, 228 JR 45 29 612 4 21.1 13.6 64.4% 51.1% 9.2%
Demetrius Frazier WR 5'10, 198 JR 32 28 191 1 6.8 6.0 87.5% 43.8% 6.5%
Shane Tucker RB 6'0, 204 JR 28 16 133 1 8.3 4.8 57.1% 35.7% 5.7%
Rod Ducksworth WR 6'0, 167 JR 25 12 159 1 13.3 6.4 48.0% 48.0% 5.1%
Christian Collis WR 6'0, 211 SR 21 16 217 2 13.6 10.3 76.2% 57.1% 4.3%
Jordan Parker RB 6'1, 214 SR 17 15 68 0 4.5 4.0 88.2% 17.6% 3.5%
Derek Barnes WR 6'0, 180 JR 14 8 84 0 10.5 6.0 57.1% 50.0% 2.9%
Austin Grammer QB 6'2, 204 JR 13 9 111 0 12.3 8.5 69.2% 61.5% 2.7%
Sean Smith TE 6'7, 243 FR 4 2 23 0 11.5 5.8 50.0% 25.0% 0.8%
Jeremiah Bryson RB 5'8, 192 SR 4 3 1 0 0.3 0.3 75.0% 0.0% 0.8%
Tristan Walker WR 5'9, 161 SO 3 2 12 0 6.0 4.0 66.7% 33.3% 0.6%
Ty Clemons WR 5'11, 176 FR 3 1 2 0 2.0 0.7 33.3% 0.0% 0.6%
Desmond Anderson RB 5'10, 174 FR 2 1 42 0 42.0 21.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Lucas Hamilton TE 6'5, 262 SO 1 1 2 1 2.0 2.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 106.0 44 87.1 116 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.5% 68 48.0% 82 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.13 53 1.09 58 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.69 100 2.63 29 2.90
SD Sack Rate 0.9% 3 4.6% 80 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 125.6 14 88.6 104 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 36.9% 18 30.1% 59 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.94 28 1.92 109 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.71 106 3.46 90 3.20
PD Sack Rate 5.6% 27 3.6% 121 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 124.0 12 82.6 116
Q2 S&P+ 113.0 33 88.0 105
Q3 S&P+ 103.1 69 114.9 27
Q4 S&P+ 98.7 81 85.3 116
1st Down S&P+ 104.7 54 93.8 96
2nd Down S&P+ 117.8 24 85.3 112
3rd Down S&P+ 103.8 68 97.2 83
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.6% 76 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 19.2% 126 34.0%
Adj. Pace +4.8 20 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.7% 38 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 51.4% 123 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 28.6% 112 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.5% 50 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.6% 100 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 4.3% 64 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 8.4% 12 6.3%
PD to INC 38.6% 21 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
T.T. Barber LB 6'1, 233 SR 75.5 9.8% 11.5 4.0 1 3 0 0
Quay Watt S 6'0, 204 SR 61.5 8.0% 1.0 0.0 0 3 0 1
Cavellis Luckett LB 6'0, 241 SR 58.5 7.6% 5.0 0.5 0 1 1 0
Kevin Byard S 5'11, 215 SR 54.5 7.1% 1.0 0.0 4 6 0 0
Michael Minter CB 6'0, 184 SO 49.0 6.4% 6.0 1.0 1 9 1 0
Trey Wafford LB 5'10, 203 SR 43.5 5.7% 7.5 3.0 0 3 0 0
D.J. Sanders LB 6'0, 213 SO 36.5 4.8% 0.5 0.0 1 1 1 0
Darius Harris LB 6'2, 224 FR 34.5 4.5% 1.0 0.5 1 1 1 0
Steven Rhodes DE 6'3, 248 JR 29.0 3.8% 6.0 2.5 0 0 1 0
Jeremy Cutrer CB 6'2, 170 JR 28.0 3.7% 3.0 1.0 3 13 0 0
Jamarcus Howard CB 6'0, 182 SR 25.0 3.3% 2.5 0.0 2 3 0 0
Xavier Walker S 6'4, 208 SR 23.5 3.1% 0.0 0.0 0 5 0 0
Chris Hale DE 6'4, 266 JR 23.0 3.0% 6.5 4.0 0 0 1 0
Raynard Felton DT 6'4, 278 JR 20.0 2.6% 3.5 0.5 0 2 1 0
Shaquille Huff DT 6'1, 318 JR 19.0 2.5% 6.0 1.0 0 0 1 0
Alex Dale CB 5'10, 192 JR 18.5 2.4% 2.0 1.0 2 2 3 0
Dontavious Heard CB 6'1, 196 JR 17.5 2.3% 1.5 0.0 0 3 0 0
Alexandro Antoine DE 6'1, 244 SR 13.5 1.8% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
James Roberson LB 6'0, 218 SR 13.5 1.8% 0.5 0.5 0 0 0 0
Chris Melton LB 6'1, 205 FR 13.5 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jared Singletary CB 5'8, 175 SR 12.0 1.6% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Patrick McNeil DT 6'1, 318 SR 11.0 1.4% 2.0 2.0 0 0 0 0
Chris Brown CB 6'1, 178 JR 11.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jimal McBride DT 6'2, 319 JR 10.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Justin Akins DL 6'4, 257 SO 10.0 1.3% 2.0 1.5 1 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.2 116
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.04 77
Punt Success Rate 36.4% 126
Kickoff Success Rate 53.2% 118
Punt Return Success Rate 57.1% 38
Kick Return Success Rate 50.0% 42
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Cody Clark 6'1, 177 JR 56-56 12-16 75.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Matt Bonadies 6'1, 195 FR 31 41.3 3 4 10 45.2%
Trevor Owens 6'2, 205 FR 31 36.2 2 7 4 35.5%
Brent Stockstill 6'0, 200 FR 1 41.0 1 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Canon Rooker 5'11, 173 SO 78 60.7 19 24.4% 1 2 1 0
Trevor Owens 6'2, 205 FR 1 46.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ed'Marques Batties 6'0, 198 SR 19 3.9 0 19 0 (0)
Jeremiah Bryson 5'8, 192 SR 2 12.0 0 3 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jeremiah Bryson 5'8, 192 SR 18 23.7 0 0 0 (0)
Ed'Marques Batties 6'0, 198 SR 11 22.6 0 0 0 (0)
Desmond Anderson 5'10, 174 FR 10 22.1 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics