2017 Western Kentucky advanced statistical profile

_{Updated on
1/3/18}

_{Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.}

_{Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.}

_{2015 | 2016 | 2017}

WKU Hilltoppers (Conference USA East)

2017 Schedule & Results

Record: 6-7 \| Second-order wins (diff.): 6.8 (0.8) \| S&P+ Rk: 83
Date	Opponent	Opp. S&P+ Rk	Score	W-L	Win Expectancy	Adj. Scoring Margin	Percentile Performance	Off. Percentile	Def. Percentile
2-Sep	Eastern Kentucky	N/A	31-17	W	95%	14.8	78%	67%	70%
9-Sep	at Illinois	118	7-20	L	23%	-6.7	34%	11%	84%
16-Sep	Louisiana Tech	71	22-23	L	78%	7.0	66%	50%	65%
23-Sep	Ball State	122	33-21	W	61%	2.5	54%	56%	52%
7-Oct	at UTEP	130	15-14	W	39%	-2.6	47%	13%	83%
14-Oct	Charlotte	124	45-14	W	100%	34.9	91%	90%	90%
20-Oct	at Old Dominion	115	35-31	W	86%	10.0	69%	83%	41%
28-Oct	Florida Atlantic	11	28-42	L	15%	-9.5	31%	53%	23%
4-Nov	at Vanderbilt	80	17-31	L	1%	-22.2	12%	16%	30%
11-Nov	at Marshall	52	23-30	L	71%	5.0	63%	57%	55%
17-Nov	Middle Tennessee	68	41-38	W	89%	11.5	75%	87%	32%
24-Nov	at Florida International	92	17-41	L	6%	-14.1	22%	34%	27%
16-Dec	vs. Georgia State	96	17-27	L	17%	-8.9	31%	29%	48%

Category	Offense	Rk	Defense	Rk
S&P+	27.3	77	28.9	76
Points Per Game	27.6	82	29.1	70

Five Factors

		Offense		Defense
	Category	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY	Success Rate	44.4%	35	42.1%	77	40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS	IsoPPP	1.06	113	1.10	35	1.17
FIELD POSITION	Avg. FP	29.5	77	29.6	68	29.6
FINISHING DRIVES	Pts. Per Trip in 40	4.26	84	4.38	61	4.42

TURNOVER MARGIN	EXPECTED	-1.4	82	Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.55
	ACTUAL	-8	111	Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.55

Rushing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+	86.2	113	91.1	97	100.0
Rushing Success Rate	43.0%	62	40.7%	53	42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP	0.59	130	0.87	52	0.92
Adj. Line Yards	73.8	129	96.3	85	100.0
Opportunity Rate	33.0%	117	35.3%	40	38.5%
Power Success Rate	64.3%	91	67.3%	66	67.7%
Stuff Rate	22.7%	116	21.4%	48	19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Rushes	Yards	TD	Yards/ Carry	Hlt Yds/ Opp.	Opp. Rate	Fumbles (Lost)
D'Andre Ferby	RB	6'1, 225	JR	117	373	3	3.2	2.2	29.1%	0 (0)
Jakairi Moses	RB	5'9, 185	FR	67	268	2	4.0	2.0	41.8%	0 (0)
Quinton Baker	RB	5'9, 185	SO	65	233	1	3.6	2.6	35.4%	2 (2)
Marquez Trigg	RB	6'0, 225	SO	51	167	2	3.3	2.0	31.4%	0 (0)
Mike White	QB	6'4, 225	SR	19	43	6	2.3	2.9	21.1%	12 (6)
Drew Eckels	QB	6'3, 215	JR	10	34	0	3.4	2.5	40.0%	0 (0)
Deon Yelder	TE	6'4, 255	SR	2	15	1	7.5	6.5	50.0%	0 (0)
Jahcour Pearson	WR	5'9, 180	FR	2	14	0	7.0	10.1	50.0%	1 (1)
Cameron Echols-Luper	WR	6'0, 195	SR	2	6	0	3.0	0.0	0.0%	1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.

Passing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+	102.8	56	82.7	123	100.0
Passing Success Rate	45.2%	23	43.9%	98	40.3%
Passing IsoPPP	1.31	111	1.37	40	1.48
Adj. Sack Rate	77.9	103	48	127	100

Individual Passing Stats

Player	Ht, Wt	Year	Comp	Att	Yards	TD	INT	Comp Rate	Sacks	Sack Rate	Yards/ Att.
Mike White	6'4, 225	SR	368	560	4177	26	8	65.7%	45	7.4%	6.4
Drew Eckels	6'3, 215	JR	8	11	86	0	1	72.7%	2	15.4%	6.1
Steven Duncan	6'4, 235	FR	2	2	2	0	0	100.0%	0	0.0%	1.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Targets	Catches	Yards	TD	Yds/ Catch	Yds/ Target	Catch Rate	Success Rate	Target Rate
Nacarius Fant	WR	5'9, 185	SR	105	74	704	4	9.5	6.7	70.5%	51.4%	18.8%
Deon Yelder	TE	6'4, 255	SR	69	52	688	7	13.2	10.0	75.4%	68.1%	12.3%
Lucky Jackson	WR	6'1, 185	SO	62	39	600	3	15.4	9.7	62.9%	46.8%	11.1%
Cameron Echols-Luper	WR	6'0, 195	SR	62	42	473	4	11.3	7.6	67.7%	56.5%	11.1%
Quin Jernighan	WR	6'3, 210	SO	56	36	393	3	10.9	7.0	64.3%	51.8%	10.0%
Xavier Lane	WR	6'4, 200	FR	50	27	336	0	12.4	6.7	54.0%	50.0%	8.9%
Jacquez Sloan	WR	5'9, 185	FR	26	12	175	2	14.6	6.7	46.2%	26.9%	4.6%
Jakairi Moses	RB	5'9, 185	FR	26	20	158	0	7.9	6.1	76.9%	46.2%	4.6%
Kylen Towner	WR	5'8, 175	SR	23	18	286	2	15.9	12.4	78.3%	56.5%	4.1%
Mik'Quan Deane	TE	6'4, 240	JR	19	11	143	1	13.0	7.5	57.9%	36.8%	3.4%
D'Andre Ferby	RB	6'1, 225	JR	15	13	84	0	6.5	5.6	86.7%	40.0%	2.7%
Marquez Trigg	RB	6'0, 225	SO	13	11	59	0	5.4	4.5	84.6%	38.5%	2.3%
Jahcour Pearson	WR	5'9, 180	FR	11	7	47	0	6.7	4.3	63.6%	45.5%	2.0%
Kyle Fourtenbary	TE	6'2, 240	FR	9	8	96	0	12.0	10.7	88.9%	66.7%	1.6%
Quinton Baker	RB	5'9, 185	SO	9	9	91	1	10.1	10.1	100.0%	44.4%	1.6%
Devin Nixon	WR	6'0, 190	SO	3	1	7	0	7.0	2.3	33.3%	33.3%	0.5%

Standard Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+	98.2	77	95.0	94	100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate	48.9%	39	45.5%	58	46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP	0.93	114	0.95	19	1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry	2.53	118	2.60	31	2.92
SD Sack Rate	8.3%	117	2.0%	125	5.3%

Passing Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+	97.0	76	73.5	126	100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate	34.2%	28	35.1%	113	30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP	1.49	75	1.50	67	1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry	1.72	129	3.42	86	3.22
PD Sack Rate	6.6%	53	3.5%	125	7.8%

Situational

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk
Q1 S&P+	105.7	54	90.3	98
Q2 S&P+	100.6	74	96.3	82
Q3 S&P+	92.8	93	81.2	120
Q4 S&P+	104.5	52	92.8	99
1st Down S&P+	105.4	47	96.2	85
2nd Down S&P+	96.6	84	83.8	116
3rd Down S&P+	100.8	69	86.9	110

Offensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	47.1%	124	60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate	10.0%	130	35.3%
Adj. Pace	+0.2	70	+0.0
% of Solo Tackles	74.9%	59	73.8%

Defensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	63.6%	28	59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate	38.4%	32	35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate	15.0%	78	16.0%
DL Havoc Rate	3.5%	98	4.9%
LB Havoc Rate	3.5%	93	4.4%
DB Havoc Rate	8.1%	17	6.5%
PD to INC	36.0%	43	33.9%

Individual Defensive Stats

Name	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	Tackles	TFL (Sacks)	Run Stuffs*	Int (PBU)	FF	Succ. Rate**
Joel Iyiegbuniwe	LB	6'1, 230	JR	85.5	11.5 (2)	18	0 (1)	3	43.0%
Devon Key	DB	6'1, 205	FR	71.5	5 (0)	8	1 (2)	0	62.8%
Ta'Corian Darden	DB	5'9, 180	SO	56.5	6.5 (0)	6	0 (6)	0	53.1%
Drell Greene	DB	5'11, 200	JR	52.0	3.5 (0)	6	2 (2)	1	55.6%
Masai Whyte	LB	6'0, 225	JR	49.0	1 (0)	4	0 (3)	1	47.5%
DeAndre Farris	DB	5'10, 190	JR	46.5	1.5 (0)	4	1 (13)	0	72.2%
Heath Wiggins	DL	6'2, 265	SO	30.0	1 (0)	7	0 (0)	0	38.3%
Derik Overstreet	DL	6'2, 250	SR	29.5	8 (3)	13	0 (1)	0	25.5%
Chris Johnson	DL	6'1, 285	SR	29.5	6 (1)	16	0 (1)	0	15.2%
Joe Brown	DB	5'10, 195	SR	29.5	1.5 (1)	3	2 (4)	0	75.0%
Daeshawn Bertram	LB	5'8, 225	SR	24.5	3.5 (0)	8	0 (0)	0	35.1%
Ben Holt	LB	5'10, 220	SO	24.5	2.5 (1.5)	8	0 (1)	0	32.3%
Antwon Kincade	DB	5'11, 190	FR	20.0	1 (0)	2	1 (2)	1	50.0%
Juwan Gardner	DB	6'0, 195	SR	19.5	2 (0)	2	1 (1)	0	76.0%
Leverick Johnson	DB	6'0, 185	SR	18.0	3 (0)	1	1 (3)	0	45.5%
Julien Lewis	DL	6'3, 300	JR	18.0	2 (0)	5	0 (2)	0	27.6%
DeAngelo Malone	DL	6'4, 215	FR	16.5	1.5 (1.5)	4	0 (1)	0	34.8%
Roger Cray	DB	5'10, 170	FR	12.5	0 (0)	1	0 (2)	0	53.8%
Jeremy Darvin	DL	6'1, 305	FR	12.0	1.5 (0)	5	0 (0)	0	29.4%
Kyle Bailey	DB	6'0, 205	FR	12.0	0 (0)	0	1 (0)	0	63.6%
Evan Sayner	DL	6'3, 300	JR	10.5	3.5 (1)	8	0 (0)	0	38.9%
Nicholas Coffey	DL	6'3, 265	SO	6.5	1 (0)	3	0 (0)	1	33.3%
Demetrius Cain	LB	6'0, 240	FR	5.0	1.5 (1)	2	0 (2)	0	0.0%
Marcus Ward	DB	6'3, 220	SR	3.5	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	100.0%
Der'Quione Mobley	LB	6'1, 240	JR	3.0	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	100.0%

_{* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.}

_{** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.}

Special Teams

	Rating	Rank
Special Teams S&P+	-0.2	83

Category	Rate	Rank
FG Value (per kick)	-0.32	106
Punt Success Rate	62.5%	37
Kickoff Success Rate	74.2%	62
Punt Return Success Rate	42.9%	78
Kick Return Success Rate	51.1%	34

Place-Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	PAT	FG	Pct
Ryan Nuss	5'8, 200	JR	39-40	10-16	62.5%

Punter	Ht, Wt	Year	Punts	Avg	TB	FC	I20	FC/I20 Ratio
Jake Collins	6'1, 210	JR	57	40.2	4	15	18	57.9%

Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	Kickoffs	Avg	TB	TB%	OOB	Fair Catches	Onside Att	Onside Success
Alex Rinella	6'1, 220	SO	62	62.3	24	38.7%	0	2	1	0

Punt Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Nacarius Fant	5'9, 185	SR	12	3.6	0	28	2 (0)
Cameron Echols-Luper	6'0, 195	SR	1	-2.0	0	1	1 (0)
Devin Nixon	6'0, 190	SO	1	-2.0	0	0	1 (1)

Kick Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Cameron Echols-Luper	6'0, 195	SR	18	21.7	0	0	0 (0)
Kylen Towner	5'8, 175	SR	13	24.4	0	0	0 (0)
Jacquez Sloan	5'9, 185	FR	5	17.4	0	0	0 (0)

Tackler	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	ST Tackles	PR Avg	KR Avg
Antwon Kincade	DB	5'11, 190	FR	6.0	0.5	18.5
Ta'Corian Darden	DB	5'9, 180	SO	6.0	1.3	22.3
Kyle Bailey	DB	6'0, 205	FR	5.5	1.0	16.8
Alex Rinella	K	6'1, 220	SO	3.0		27.6
Drell Greene	DB	5'11, 200	JR	3.0	6.0	18.0

_{Stats via SportSource Analytics}