Updated on 1/4/18
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
Marshall Thundering Herd (Conference USA East)
2017 Schedule & Results
| Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 52 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | Miami-OH | 56 | 31-26 | W | 2% | -19.7 | 17% | 11% | 47% |
| 9-Sep | at NC State | 38 | 20-37 | L | 0% | -25.9 | 12% | 35% | 9% |
| 16-Sep | Kent State | 126 | 21-0 | W | 98% | 18.1 | 81% | 26% | 93% |
| 30-Sep | at Cincinnati | 102 | 38-21 | W | 96% | 16.2 | 79% | 59% | 78% |
| 7-Oct | at Charlotte | 124 | 14-3 | W | 99% | 23.6 | 86% | 28% | 96% |
| 14-Oct | Old Dominion | 115 | 35-3 | W | 100% | 35.7 | 92% | 50% | 98% |
| 20-Oct | at Middle Tennessee | 68 | 38-10 | W | 100% | 27.9 | 92% | 65% | 94% |
| 28-Oct | Florida International | 92 | 30-41 | L | 45% | -1.1 | 47% | 59% | 35% |
| 3-Nov | at Florida Atlantic | 11 | 25-30 | L | 4% | -15.8 | 22% | 25% | 41% |
| 11-Nov | Western Kentucky | 83 | 30-23 | W | 29% | -5.0 | 41% | 45% | 43% |
| 18-Nov | at UTSA | 55 | 7-9 | L | 16% | -9.0 | 33% | 5% | 88% |
| 25-Nov | Southern Miss | 40 | 27-28 | L | 88% | 10.7 | 76% | 61% | 69% |
| 16-Dec | vs. Colorado State | 45 | 31-28 | W | 84% | 9.2 | 72% | 70% | 56% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 25.7 | 94 | 22.2 | 25 |
| Points Per Game | 28.9 | 69 | 21.6 | 17 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 39.0% | 104 | 36.1% | 16 | 40.3% |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.16 | 65 | 1.13 | 49 | 1.17 |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.5 | 80 | 27.1 | 14 | 29.6 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.10 | 97 | 4.13 | 38 | 4.42 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 1.9 | 48 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -3.80 |
||
| ACTUAL | -8 | 111 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 81.2 | 128 | 119.4 | 19 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 33.3% | 129 | 34.2% | 8 | 42.2% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.91 | 62 | 0.84 | 36 | 0.92 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 86.8 | 123 | 120.7 | 11 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 31.4% | 128 | 32.2% | 10 | 38.5% |
| Power Success Rate | 74.3% | 27 | 63.6% | 39 | 67.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 23.6% | 122 | 23.1% | 25 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Keion Davis | RB | 6'1, 210 | JR | 179 | 812 | 6 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 29.6% | 1 (1) |
| Tyler King | RB | 5'11, 190 | FR | 158 | 820 | 7 | 5.2 | 6.8 | 34.8% | 4 (2) |
| Trey Rodriguez | RB | 5'10, 189 | JR | 33 | 72 | 0 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 15.2% | 1 (1) |
| Anthony Anderson | RB | 6'2, 237 | JR | 30 | 123 | 0 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 36.7% | 0 (0) |
| Chase Litton | QB | 6'6, 232 | JR | 24 | 81 | 1 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 41.7% | 3 (2) |
| Tony Pittman | RB | 5'10, 225 | SR | 2 | 10 | 0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Ryan Yurachek | TE | 6'3, 239 | SR | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| Marcel Williams | WR | 5'10, 180 | JR | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| Kaare Vedvik | P | 6'4, 207 | SR | 1 | -3 | 0 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 103.0 | 55 | 106.5 | 39 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 44.2% | 31 | 37.9% | 42 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.34 | 106 | 1.39 | 49 | 1.48 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 224.6 | 5 | 124.4 | 28 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Chase Litton | 6'6, 232 | JR | 266 | 443 | 3115 | 25 | 14 | 60.0% | 11 | 2.4% | 6.7 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Tyre Brady | WR | 6'3, 208 | JR | 101 | 62 | 942 | 8 | 15.2 | 9.3 | 61.4% | 49.5% | 23.6% |
| Ryan Yurachek | TE | 6'3, 239 | SR | 84 | 54 | 490 | 10 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 64.3% | 47.6% | 19.6% |
| Marcel Williams | WR | 5'10, 180 | JR | 70 | 41 | 519 | 2 | 12.7 | 7.4 | 58.6% | 45.7% | 16.4% |
| Willie Johnson | WR | 6'0, 171 | FR | 63 | 36 | 443 | 4 | 12.3 | 7.0 | 57.1% | 44.4% | 14.7% |
| Obi Obialo | WR | 6'3, 210 | SO | 34 | 19 | 238 | 0 | 12.5 | 7.0 | 55.9% | 47.1% | 7.9% |
| Keion Davis | RB | 6'1, 210 | JR | 23 | 19 | 134 | 0 | 7.1 | 5.8 | 82.6% | 34.8% | 5.4% |
| Tyler King | RB | 5'11, 190 | FR | 18 | 12 | 97 | 0 | 8.1 | 5.4 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 4.2% |
| Hyleck Foster | WR | 5'11, 190 | SR | 16 | 10 | 150 | 1 | 15.0 | 9.4 | 62.5% | 50.0% | 3.7% |
| Nick Mathews | WR | 5'10, 175 | JR | 10 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 11.0 | 7.7 | 70.0% | 60.0% | 2.3% |
| Trey Rodriguez | RB | 5'10, 189 | JR | 7 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 71.4% | 42.9% | 1.6% |
| Donquell Green | WR | 5'8, 165 | JR | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Monterio Hunt | WR | 6'1, 185 | FR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 94.5 | 96 | 111.3 | 28 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 43.5% | 107 | 40.8% | 16 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.05 | 64 | 0.99 | 33 | 1.07 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.43 | 125 | 2.49 | 18 | 2.92 |
| SD Sack Rate | 2.5% | 9 | 7.0% | 22 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 93.6 | 85 | 110.5 | 37 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 30.3% | 71 | 28.2% | 37 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.47 | 84 | 1.48 | 60 | 1.53 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.52 | 118 | 2.02 | 2 | 3.22 |
| PD Sack Rate | 2.7% | 3 | 6.7% | 83 | 7.8% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 81.9 | 119 | 131.8 | 11 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 109.4 | 45 | 111.1 | 40 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 94.5 | 90 | 105.5 | 49 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 97.2 | 87 | 97.4 | 79 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 95.1 | 91 | 110.9 | 30 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 83.2 | 121 | 114.3 | 29 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 117.6 | 26 | 107.8 | 39 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 55.0% | 87 | 60.0% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 33.8% | 72 | 35.3% |
| Adj. Pace | +1.6 | 94 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 58.6% | 128 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 57.4% | 93 | 59.9% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 35.8% | 56 | 35.0% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 18.1% | 31 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 5.7% | 43 | 4.9% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 5.7% | 27 | 4.4% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.6% | 67 | 6.5% |
| PD to INC | 29.7% | 105 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
| Chase Hancock | LB | 6'2, 218 | JR | 82.5 | 9.5 (2) | 18 | 0 (7) | 0 | 38.5% |
| Malik Gant | S | 6'2, 190 | SO | 73.5 | 6.5 (0) | 13 | 0 (5) | 0 | 38.9% |
| C.J. Reavis | S | 6'1, 208 | SR | 47.5 | 3 (0) | 4 | 1 (2) | 0 | 66.7% |
| Chris Jackson | DB | 6'0, 177 | SO | 46.5 | 2.5 (0.5) | 5 | 3 (10) | 0 | 63.8% |
| Brandon Drayton | S | 6'2, 185 | FR | 44.0 | 3 (0) | 6 | 0 (5) | 1 | 59.0% |
| Frankie Hernandez | LB | 6'2, 220 | JR | 38.5 | 5.5 (1.5) | 10 | 0 (1) | 0 | 33.3% |
| Artis Johnson | LB | 6'1, 220 | JR | 37.0 | 6 (1.5) | 9 | 1 (0) | 1 | 36.0% |
| Rodney Allen | DB | 5'11, 190 | SR | 36.5 | 0.5 (0) | 1 | 0 (7) | 0 | 68.2% |
| Ryan Bee | DL | 6'7, 280 | JR | 32.5 | 7.5 (5.5) | 10 | 0 (1) | 0 | 31.4% |
| Juwon Young | LB | 6'2, 248 | JR | 28.5 | 3 (0.5) | 8 | 0 (3) | 1 | 36.6% |
| Omari Cobb | LB | 6'4, 230 | SO | 28.0 | 8.5 (3) | 11 | 0 (1) | 1 | 16.1% |
| Marquis Couch | DL | 6'1, 232 | SO | 25.5 | 8 (3) | 10 | 0 (0) | 1 | 17.5% |
| Nazeeh Johnson | S | 5'10, 180 | FR | 22.0 | 2 (1) | 0 | 1 (1) | 0 | 76.0% |
| Blake Keller | DL | 6'2, 245 | SR | 21.0 | 3.5 (2) | 5 | 0 (1) | 1 | 26.5% |
| Davon Durant | DL | 6'2, 242 | SR | 19.5 | 6 (1.5) | 6 | 0 (0) | 2 | 28.6% |
| Channing Hames | DL | 6'5, 260 | SO | 18.0 | 7.5 (4.5) | 5 | 0 (1) | 2 | 12.5% |
| Ty Tyler | DL | 6'3, 260 | SO | 15.5 | 4 (2) | 5 | 0 (1) | 0 | 20.0% |
| Jaquan Yulee | LB | 6'1, 248 | FR | 12.0 | 1 (0.5) | 2 | 0 (0) | 2 | 9.1% |
| Jestin Morrow | DB | 5'10, 165 | FR | 11.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (2) | 0 | 90.0% |
| Jaylon McClain-Sapp | DB | 5'11, 175 | SO | 10.0 | 0.5 (0) | 0 | 0 (3) | 0 | 83.3% |
| Larry Aaron | DL | 6'5, 272 | FR | 7.5 | 0.5 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 30.8% |
| Eli Gates | LB | 6'4, 205 | JR | 4.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 100.0% |
| D'Andre Wilson | DB | 5'10, 181 | SR | 4.5 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 | ||
| Damien Dozier | DL | 6'4, 210 | SO | 4.0 | 3 (3) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 20.0% |
| Aaron Dopson | DL | 6'4, 280 | SO | 4.0 | 0.5 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 25.0% |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 0.0 | 66 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.32 | 104 |
| Punt Success Rate | 62.1% | 41 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 84.6% | 22 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 40.9% | 85 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 59.0% | 12 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Kaare Vedvik | 6'4, 207 | SR | 41-42 | 10-16 | 62.5% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Kaare Vedvik | 6'4, 207 | SR | 59 | 44.0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 72.9% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Kaare Vedvik | 6'4, 207 | SR | 60 | 64.1 | 32 | 53.3% | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Robert LeFevre | 6'2, 195 | FR | 5 | 62.2 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Hyleck Foster | 5'11, 190 | SR | 16 | 2.6 | 0 | 30 | 0 (0) |
| Trey Rodriguez | 5'10, 189 | JR | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Keion Davis | 6'1, 210 | JR | 18 | 30.4 | 2 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Marcel Williams | 5'10, 180 | JR | 9 | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Cody Mitchell | 6'2, 238 | FR | 8 | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
| Chase Hancock | LB | 6'2, 218 | JR | 7.0 | 3.8 | 25.5 |
| D'Andre Wilson | DB | 5'10, 181 | SR | 4.5 | 1.0 | 17.5 |
| Omari Cobb | LB | 6'4, 230 | SO | 4.0 | 4.0 | 21.5 |
| Jaquan Yulee | LB | 6'1, 248 | FR | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
| Artis Johnson | LB | 6'1, 220 | JR | 3.5 | 15.6 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics