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2016 Middle Tennessee advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

MTSU Blue Raiders (Conference USA East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.9 (-0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 94
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Alabama A&M N/A 55-0 W 100% 68.4 81% 89% 74%
10-Sep at Vanderbilt 71 24-47 L 34% -3.3 25% 37% 34%
17-Sep at Bowling Green 111 41-21 W 98% 16.2 55% 53% 65%
24-Sep Louisiana Tech 59 38-34 W 55% 1.1 47% 77% 57%
1-Oct at North Texas 107 30-13 W 98% 16.2 58% 54% 66%
15-Oct Western Kentucky 16 43-44 L 44% -1.3 55% 89% 56%
22-Oct at Missouri 69 51-45 W 51% 0.2 34% 75% 30%
29-Oct at Florida International 120 42-35 W 80% 6.6 33% 79% 11%
5-Nov UTSA 103 25-45 L 12% -9.0 13% 32% 29%
12-Nov at Marshall 118 17-42 L 0% -24.4 1% 25% 11%
19-Nov at Charlotte 125 38-31 W 94% 12.0 40% 56% 43%
26-Nov Florida Atlantic 115 77-56 W 100% 21.5 63% 98% 20%
24-Dec vs. Hawaii 97 35-52 L 22% -6.2 16% 54% 22%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 32.5 46 38.6 118
Points Per Game 39.7 12 35.8 108
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.44 6 1.14 9 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 46.3% 20 46.2% 111 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.6 94 33.6 123 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.13 14 4.97 109 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 7.82 10 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.78
ACTUAL -2 78
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 116.6 16 89.7 108 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 47.3% 24 50.4% 118 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.31 9 0.95 14 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 106.3 47 88.5 110 100.0
Opportunity Rate 45.6% 6 41.4% 92 39.7%
Power Success Rate 58.3% 114 70.4% 84 67.9%
Stuff Rate 17.0% 39 13.5% 124 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
I'Tavius Mathers RB 5'11, 197 SR 233 1561 17 6.7 6.9 44.6% 3 (2)
Terelle West RB 5'10, 186 FR 40 168 1 4.2 4.5 35.0% 0 (0)
Richie James WR 5'9, 180 SO 38 339 4 8.9 8.1 57.9% 3 (1)
Brent Stockstill QB 6'0, 206 SO 37 288 0 7.8 7.2 54.1% 1 (1)
Ruben Garnett RB 5'9, 178 FR 22 53 0 2.4 2.4 31.8% 2 (1)
Dennis Andrews WR 6'0, 179 SR 11 60 3 5.5 2.3 54.5% 1 (0)
J'Vonte Herrod RB 5'11, 228 SO 7 25 0 3.6 2.8 28.6% 0 (0)
Ty Lee WR 5'9, 155 FR 6 107 1 17.8 15.4 83.3% 0 (0)
Chandler Brewer OL 6'6, 319 SO 2 8 0 4.0 2.0 50.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 101.9 60 94.7 82 100.0
Passing Success Rate 45.6% 18 41.8% 73 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.53 44 1.38 23 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 211.7 9 76 104 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brent Stockstill 6'0, 206 SO 262 414 3233 31 7 63.3% 8 1.9% 7.5
John Urzua 6'3, 185 FR 78 131 816 8 8 59.5% 6 4.4% 5.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Richie James WR 5'9, 180 SO 162 105 1641 12 15.6 10.1 64.8% 52.5% 30.3%
Ty Lee WR 5'9, 155 FR 92 63 692 9 11.0 7.5 68.5% 50.0% 17.2%
I'Tavius Mathers RB 5'11, 197 SR 80 66 626 3 9.5 7.8 82.5% 51.2% 15.0%
Dennis Andrews WR 6'0, 179 SR 63 32 428 8 13.4 6.8 50.8% 44.4% 11.8%
Patrick Smith WR 6'0, 185 JR 53 28 332 4 11.9 6.3 52.8% 41.5% 9.9%
Desmond Anderson WR 5'10, 176 SO 18 10 126 1 12.6 7.0 55.6% 38.9% 3.4%
Tyshawn Brown WR 6'1, 179 FR 11 5 84 1 16.8 7.6 45.5% 36.4% 2.1%
Isiah Upton WR 6'0, 181 FR 11 8 39 0 4.9 3.6 72.7% 36.4% 2.1%
CJ Windham WR 6'2, 192 FR 10 6 67 0 11.2 6.7 60.0% 30.0% 1.9%
Terelle West RB 5'10, 186 FR 6 4 14 0 3.5 2.3 66.7% 33.3% 1.1%
Ricky Blair WR 6'3, 185 JR 4 2 50 0 25.0 12.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.7%
Ruben Garnett RB 5'9, 178 FR 4 3 17 0 5.7 4.3 75.0% 25.0% 0.7%
Max Linder WR 6'3, 237 SO 4 2 1 0 0.5 0.3 50.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Demetrius Frazier WR 5'10, 190 SR 3 3 39 1 13.0 13.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.6%
Jocquez Bruce WR 5'10, 174 FR 3 2 31 0 15.5 10.3 66.7% 33.3% 0.6%
Rod Ducksworth WR 6'0, 183 SR 3 3 15 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 66.7% 0.6%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 109.5 37 93.2 98 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 51.1% 23 52.5% 120 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.31 6 1.02 23 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.46 4 3.47 122 2.98
SD Sack Rate 1.6% 2 4.2% 83 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 108.1 49 98.3 75 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 35.8% 19 29.4% 45 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.85 34 1.73 68 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.24 74 2.56 14 3.24
PD Sack Rate 4.0% 12 5.5% 106 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 115.5 34 95.3 82
Q2 S&P+ 101.9 68 95.1 86
Q3 S&P+ 94.7 87 90.3 105
Q4 S&P+ 111.0 30 91.6 93
1st Down S&P+ 101.6 64 93.3 93
2nd Down S&P+ 117.5 24 94.0 94
3rd Down S&P+ 103.7 68 92.1 96
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 47.3% 118 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 26.1% 108 34.6%
Adj. Pace +1.5 48 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.8% 66 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.8% 77 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 30.9% 96 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.8% 83 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.5% 69 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.5% 52 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.4% 96 6.4%
PD to INC 38.5% 17 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Chris Melton LB 6'1, 210 SO 77.0 9.4% 6.5 2.5 0 2 1
Jovante Moffatt S 6'0, 191 SO 59.0 7.2% 1.0 0.0 0 3 0
Darius Harris LB 6'2, 231 SO 58.0 7.1% 8.0 1.5 0 1 1
Jeremy Cutrer CB 6'2, 170 SR 58.0 7.1% 4.0 0.0 3 10 1
D.J. Sanders LB 6'0, 225 JR 54.5 6.7% 4.5 2.0 2 9 3
Alex Dale S 5'10, 206 JR 51.5 6.3% 0.5 0.0 0 5 1
Darryl Randolph S 5'11, 192 SO 50.5 6.2% 2.5 0.0 0 2 0
Michael Minter CB 6'0, 181 JR 42.5 5.2% 0.0 0.0 2 10 0
Myles Harges LB 6'2, 225 JR 37.0 4.5% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0
Steven Rhodes DE 6'3, 268 SR 33.5 4.1% 8.0 4.5 0 2 1
Khalil Brooks LB 5'11, 197 FR 31.5 3.9% 2.0 0.5 0 4 0
Raynard Felton DT 6'4, 267 SR 22.0 2.7% 6.5 2.5 1 3 1
Chris Hale DE 6'4, 259 SR 20.0 2.5% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0
Charvarius Ward CB 6'1, 186 JR 20.0 2.5% 0.0 0.0 2 4 0
Justin Akins DE 6'4, 257 JR 19.5 2.4% 0.0 0.0 0 4 0
Shaquille Huff DT 6'1, 330 SR 19.0 2.3% 7.5 2.0 0 1 1
Malik Hawkins LB 6'1, 218 JR 18.5 2.3% 2.5 1.5 0 0 0
Jimal McBride DT 6'2, 319 SR 18.5 2.3% 2.0 0.0 0 1 0
Dontavious Heard CB 6'1, 189 SR 18.5 2.3% 1.0 1.0 0 3 0
Jahmal Jones DE 6'3, 247 JR 15.0 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Tyshun Render DE 6'4, 240 FR 14.5 1.8% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
Malik Manciel DT 6'3, 268 FR 10.5 1.3% 1.0 1.0 0 0 1
Chris Brown S 6'1, 174 SR 9.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Darrius Liggins DE 6'4, 232 SO 8.5 1.0% 2.5 2.0 0 0 0
Deontay Evans S 5'10, 207 SR 8.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 1 2 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.1 69
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.33 26
Punt Success Rate 44.1% 114
Kickoff Success Rate 57.0% 108
Punt Return Success Rate 42.9% 97
Kick Return Success Rate 46.7% 45
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Canon Rooker 5'11, 184 JR 64-66 16-19 84.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Matt Bonadies 6'1, 213 SO 58 38.8 3 20 14 58.6%
Brent Stockstill 6'0, 206 SO 1 27.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Canon Rooker 5'11, 184 JR 92 59.8 25 27.2% 0 3 0 0
Matt Bonadies 6'1, 213 SO 1 73.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Richie James 5'9, 180 SO 17 7.5 0 21 2 (1)
Ty Lee 5'9, 155 FR 1 -2.0 0 2 0 (0)
Azar Wilson 6'0, 257 SR 1 20.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Desmond Anderson 5'10, 176 SO 16 20.5 0 0 0 (0)
Ruben Garnett 5'9, 178 FR 7 14.7 0 0 0 (0)
Terelle West 5'10, 186 FR 4 22.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics