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2017 Minnesota advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Big Ten West)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 97
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
31-Aug Buffalo 75 17-7 W 100% 25.2 90% 37% 98%
9-Sep at Oregon State 127 48-14 W 97% 17.0 80% 79% 70%
16-Sep Middle Tennessee 68 34-3 W 100% 33.1 94% 44% 98%
30-Sep Maryland 114 24-31 L 8% -12.6 21% 36% 30%
7-Oct at Purdue 41 17-31 L 1% -20.3 14% 17% 33%
14-Oct Michigan State 19 27-30 L 14% -9.9 30% 44% 31%
21-Oct Illinois 118 24-17 W 71% 5.2 60% 36% 77%
28-Oct at Iowa 49 10-17 L 15% -9.4 29% 8% 81%
4-Nov at Michigan 27 10-33 L 0% -24.9 12% 13% 30%
11-Nov Nebraska 103 54-21 W 100% 33.9 91% 94% 73%
18-Nov at Northwestern 46 0-39 L 0% -35.3 7% 4% 25%
25-Nov Wisconsin 6 0-31 L 0% -47.8 7% 1% 15%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 20.6 120 24.8 45
Points Per Game 22.1 112 22.8 29
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.6% 80 41.8% 73 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 0.99 124 1.13 43 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.9 59 29.9 76 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.83 116 4.61 87 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 1.1 53 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.46
ACTUAL 0 64
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 109.1 45 89.8 102 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.3% 40 43.4% 81 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.77 119 1.04 115 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 102.5 58 92.7 95 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.3% 69 41.7% 107 38.5%
Power Success Rate 73.1% 33 65.5% 52 67.7%
Stuff Rate 17.7% 39 17.7% 83 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Rodney Smith RB 5'11, 210 JR 229 977 3 4.3 3.7 34.9% 5 (2)
Kobe McCrary RB 6'1, 240 SR 94 496 8 5.3 3.6 47.9% 2 (1)
Shannon Brooks RB 6'0, 213 JR 79 369 5 4.7 4.4 34.2% 2 (0)
Demry Croft QB 6'5, 205 SO 60 457 4 7.6 8.6 48.3% 2 (1)
Conor Rhoda QB 6'3, 225 SR 16 26 0 1.6 1.8 37.5% 4 (2)
Jonathan Femi-Cole RB 6'0, 228 SO 9 42 0 4.7 13.5 11.1% 0 (0)
Phillip Howard WR 5'11, 187 FR 5 12 0 2.4 5.7 20.0% 0 (0)
Demetrius Douglas WR 6'0, 181 FR 2 3 0 1.5 0.0 0.0% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 85.8 113 101.3 59 100.0
Passing Success Rate 32.5% 118 40.1% 65 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.54 40 1.23 5 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 78.3 102 82.7 96 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Demry Croft 6'5, 205 SO 51 123 674 4 7 41.5% 19 13.4% 3.7
Conor Rhoda 6'3, 225 SR 59 109 839 5 4 54.1% 2 1.8% 7.4

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Tyler Johnson WR 6'2, 190 SO 68 35 677 7 19.3 10.0 51.5% 47.1% 33.3%
Phillip Howard WR 5'11, 187 FR 21 11 132 0 12.0 6.3 52.4% 52.4% 10.3%
Rodney Smith RB 5'11, 210 JR 19 17 107 0 6.3 5.6 89.5% 31.6% 9.3%
Brandon Lingen TE 6'5, 254 SR 15 9 84 2 9.3 5.6 60.0% 53.3% 7.4%
Demetrius Douglas WR 6'0, 181 FR 15 11 83 0 7.6 5.5 73.3% 26.7% 7.4%
Nate Wozniak TE 6'10, 280 SR 14 7 104 0 14.9 7.4 50.0% 35.7% 6.9%
Mark Williams WR 6'0, 195 FR 14 2 43 0 21.5 3.1 14.3% 14.3% 6.9%
Eric Carter WR 5'11, 193 SR 9 4 86 0 21.5 9.6 44.4% 33.3% 4.4%
Rashad Still WR 6'5, 214 JR 9 2 68 0 34.0 7.6 22.2% 22.2% 4.4%
Shannon Brooks RB 6'0, 213 JR 8 5 59 0 11.8 7.4 62.5% 62.5% 3.9%
Kobe McCrary RB 6'1, 240 SR 5 4 27 0 6.8 5.4 80.0% 40.0% 2.5%
Ko Kieft TE 6'4, 250 FR 3 2 17 0 8.5 5.7 66.7% 33.3% 1.5%
Drew Hmielewski WR 6'1, 204 FR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.0%
Will Reger WR 6'3, 204 JR 1 1 26 0 26.0 26.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.5%
Duke McGhee DB 6'1, 211 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 103.0 57 92.8 100 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.7% 56 47.8% 82 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.86 127 1.04 59 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.03 48 3.16 98 2.92
SD Sack Rate 4.4% 54 5.7% 51 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 87.9 108 105.4 57 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 25.5% 117 29.1% 52 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.52 63 1.43 42 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.92 99 2.88 36 3.22
PD Sack Rate 10.4% 107 4.4% 118 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 105.6 56 86.7 109
Q2 S&P+ 98.0 85 105.6 51
Q3 S&P+ 90.3 106 104.5 53
Q4 S&P+ 105.4 48 100.3 63
1st Down S&P+ 87.8 117 96.2 86
2nd Down S&P+ 116.3 28 95.0 89
3rd Down S&P+ 94.3 90 106.8 42
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 73.7% 12 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 42.5% 21 35.3%
Adj. Pace +1.8 102 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.0% 83 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.9% 52 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 34.3% 77 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 17.0% 46 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.8% 90 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 7.5% 6 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 5.7% 92 6.5%
PD to INC 36.1% 41 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Thomas Barber LB 6'1, 233 SO 95.5 10.5 (1.5) 17 1 (3) 3 31.9%
Jonathan Celestin LB 6'1, 232 SR 66.5 5.5 (1) 7 1 (2) 0 39.7%
Jacob Huff DB 5'11, 207 JR 56.0 3.5 (0) 3 3 (4) 0 64.1%
Antonio Shenault DB 5'11, 192 JR 54.0 3.5 (1) 2 0 (4) 0 60.9%
Adekunle Ayinde DB 6'0, 210 SR 44.0 2.5 (0) 1 1 (5) 0 61.2%
Duke McGhee DB 6'1, 211 SR 39.5 4.5 (0) 7 1 (3) 1 56.3%
Kamal Martin LB 6'3, 229 SO 35.5 6.5 (2) 6 1 (1) 2 36.4%
Carter Coughlin LB 6'4, 245 SO 33.0 11.5 (6.5) 8 0 (0) 1 23.5%
Blake Cashman LB 6'2, 235 JR 25.0 5 (2) 4 0 (2) 0 16.7%
Kiondre Thomas DB 6'0, 188 FR 20.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 61.9%
Antoine Winfield Jr. DB 5'10, 204 SO 18.5 1 (1) 0 0 (2) 0 47.4%
Steven Richardson DL 6'0, 292 SR 17.0 3.5 (0) 7 0 (0) 1 39.1%
Gary Moore DL 6'4, 287 JR 15.5 2.5 (1) 2 0 (2) 1 50.0%
Winston DeLattiboudere DL 6'3, 247 SO 10.5 3.5 (2) 3 0 (3) 2 7.7%
Merrick Jackson DL 6'2, 316 SR 10.5 3 (2.5) 2 0 (1) 2 26.7%
Ken Handy-Holly DB 6'2, 202 FR 10.5 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 1 75.0%
Julian Huff LB 6'0, 225 JR 10.0 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 33.3%
Andrew Stelter DL 6'4, 298 SR 8.5 1.5 (1.5) 0 0 (1) 0 30.0%
Nate Umlor DL 6'5, 269 FR 7.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 27.3%
Zo Craighton DB 6'1, 206 SO 6.5 0 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 66.7%
Justus Harris DB 5'10, 174 FR 6.0 0.5 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 62.5%
Jaylen Waters LB 6'3, 247 SO 6.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Eric Carter WR 5'11, 193 SR 4.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Cody Poock LB 6'2, 229 SR 3.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Tai'yon Devers DL 6'4, 229 SO 2.5 1.5 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 0.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.6 110
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.04 78
Punt Success Rate 48.5% 106
Kickoff Success Rate 58.9% 115
Punt Return Success Rate 22.2% 126
Kick Return Success Rate 42.9% 74
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Emmit Carpenter 6'0, 199 JR 31-31 14-20 70.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ryan Santoso 6'6, 258 SR 66 43.0 9 20 14 51.5%
Jacob Herbers 6'2, 215 SO 1 11.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Ryan Santoso 6'6, 258 SR 52 61.6 17 32.7% 0 2 0 0
Emmit Carpenter 6'0, 199 JR 4 63.3 2 50.0% 0 1 2 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Drew Hmielewski 6'1, 204 FR 5 5.0 0 5 1 (0)
Antonio Shenault 5'11, 192 JR 4 2.8 0 16 1 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Shannon Brooks 6'0, 213 JR 18 19.3 0 0 0 (0)
Rodney Smith 5'11, 210 JR 14 25.9 1 0 2 (0)
Kobe McCrary 6'1, 240 SR 3 14.3 0 0 1 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Blake Cashman LB 6'2, 235 JR 11.0 6.3 23.8
Julian Huff LB 6'0, 225 JR 7.0 7.7 19.0
Jaylen Waters LB 6'3, 247 SO 6.0 7.5 22.2
Carter Coughlin LB 6'4, 245 SO 2.5 14.7
Hunter Register WR 6'5, 214 SO 2.5 27.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics