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2017 Arkansas State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Arkansas State Red Wolves (Sun Belt)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.3 (2.3) | S&P+ Rk: 25
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep at Nebraska 103 36-43 L 25% -6.2 33% 64% 20%
16-Sep UA-Pine Bluff N/A 48-3 W 100% 43.3 92% 94% 93%
23-Sep at SMU 67 21-44 L 6% -14.6 21% 63% 11%
4-Oct at Georgia Southern 120 43-25 W 84% 9.3 68% 81% 41%
14-Oct Coastal Carolina 111 51-17 W 100% 24.0 87% 89% 69%
19-Oct UL-Lafayette 113 47-3 W 100% 39.6 93% 83% 95%
28-Oct at New Mexico State 72 37-21 W 100% 27.3 91% 76% 87%
11-Nov at South Alabama 98 19-24 L 68% 4.4 58% 40% 62%
18-Nov Texas State 117 30-12 W 91% 12.1 73% 67% 73%
25-Nov at UL-Monroe 105 67-50 W 92% 12.6 74% 92% 9%
2-Dec Troy 31 25-32 L 99% 20.2 88% 77% 80%
16-Dec vs. Middle Tennessee 68 30-35 L 65% 3.6 59% 64% 49%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 34.5 19 26.7 56
Points Per Game 41.3 11 28.1 63
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 45.1% 25 37.3% 25 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.25 29 1.26 105 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 33.9 5 26.8 10 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.20 88 4.06 30 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.4 61 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.56
ACTUAL -1 71
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 88.7 110 104.5 51 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.7% 75 37.8% 28 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.91 59 0.95 77 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 100.1 70 106.9 42 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.1% 58 34.6% 30 38.5%
Power Success Rate 68.6% 54 65.7% 53 67.7%
Stuff Rate 18.6% 51 23.5% 18 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Warren Wand RB 5'5, 191 JR 138 715 6 5.2 5.0 35.5% 0 (0)
Justice Hansen QB 6'4, 218 JR 102 618 7 6.1 6.2 45.1% 8 (3)
Johnston White RB 5'11, 196 SR 94 430 3 4.6 3.3 35.1% 0 (0)
Jamal Jones RB 5'9, 195 SO 43 197 0 4.6 2.3 46.5% 1 (1)
Chauncey Mason RB 5'9, 185 SO 27 137 1 5.1 3.4 48.1% 0 (0)
Logan Bonner QB 6'1, 210 FR 6 16 0 2.7 1.7 33.3% 0 (0)
Armond Weh-Weh RB 6'0, 214 SR 2 12 0 6.0 4.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Chris Murray WR 5'9, 195 SR 2 9 0 4.5 1.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Kyle Wilson LB 6'0, 231 SR 2 -1 0 -0.5 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 102.4 58 100.3 64 100.0
Passing Success Rate 47.6% 7 37.0% 34 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.47 54 1.58 99 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 97.2 75 137.5 14 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Justice Hansen 6'4, 218 JR 305 487 3967 37 16 62.6% 31 6.0% 7.3
Logan Bonner 6'1, 210 FR 9 21 70 1 1 42.9% 1 4.5% 3.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Chris Murray WR 5'9, 195 SR 85 51 717 9 14.1 8.4 60.0% 45.9% 17.4%
Justin McInnis WR 6'6, 210 JR 72 49 800 4 16.3 11.1 68.1% 61.1% 14.7%
Blake Mack TE 6'3, 229 SR 65 48 618 7 12.9 9.5 73.8% 60.0% 13.3%
Kendrick Edwards WR 6'5, 216 JR 65 38 434 3 11.4 6.7 58.5% 53.8% 13.3%
Omar Bayless WR 6'3, 206 SO 54 32 439 6 13.7 8.1 59.3% 48.1% 11.0%
Dijon Paschal WR 6'1, 214 SR 44 25 299 1 12.0 6.8 56.8% 43.2% 9.0%
Christian Booker WR 5'11, 183 SR 35 25 363 6 14.5 10.4 71.4% 60.0% 7.2%
Warren Wand RB 5'5, 191 JR 22 16 144 1 9.0 6.6 72.7% 50.0% 4.5%
Johnston White RB 5'11, 196 SR 18 14 132 0 9.4 7.3 77.8% 66.7% 3.7%
Jonathan Adams, Jr. WR 6'3, 210 FR 12 8 77 1 9.6 6.4 66.7% 50.0% 2.5%
Jamal Jones RB 5'9, 195 SO 7 5 9 0 1.8 1.3 71.4% 14.3% 1.4%
Chauncey Mason RB 5'9, 185 SO 3 2 15 0 7.5 5.0 66.7% 66.7% 0.6%
Justice Hansen QB 6'4, 218 JR 2 2 48 0 24.0 24.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.4%
Javonis Isaac TE 6'2, 225 FR 2 1 10 0 10.0 5.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.4%
A.J. Cayetano DB 5'10, 194 FR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Jefferie Gibson DB 6'4, 197 JR 1 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 96.6 81 105.2 43 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.8% 29 41.8% 24 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.17 24 1.12 90 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.20 28 2.49 18 2.92
SD Sack Rate 5.2% 70 7.5% 17 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 99.1 73 96.4 83 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 33.8% 32 29.1% 53 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.55 56 1.65 101 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.47 121 2.60 16 3.22
PD Sack Rate 7.6% 68 7.8% 62 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 90.3 97 114.1 30
Q2 S&P+ 95.5 91 93.9 91
Q3 S&P+ 106.9 53 101.0 68
Q4 S&P+ 108.7 40 98.8 69
1st Down S&P+ 96.1 83 101.5 58
2nd Down S&P+ 102.8 62 97.9 77
3rd Down S&P+ 106.8 52 104.8 51
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 45.2% 126 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 34.2% 67 35.3%
Adj. Pace -3.3 12 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 70.7% 96 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.1% 98 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 34.3% 78 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 20.4% 9 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 9.3% 2 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 2.3% 116 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 8.8% 10 6.5%
PD to INC 32.1% 88 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Kyle Wilson LB 6'0, 231 SR 69.5 8.5 (1) 17 1 (0) 1 35.2%
B.J. Edmonds DB 6'0, 206 SO 61.0 0.5 (0) 5 3 (4) 0 64.0%
Justin Clifton DB 6'0, 204 JR 53.0 4.5 (0) 4 1 (13) 2 51.9%
Darreon Jackson DB 6'0, 204 SO 43.5 4 (1) 7 0 (2) 1 58.0%
Ja'Von Rolland-Jones DE 6'2, 244 SR 42.5 19 (13) 12 0 (1) 3 11.1%
Michael Johnson DB 6'1, 200 JR 32.5 0 (0) 1 2 (0) 0 76.9%
Caleb Caston DE 6'2, 238 SR 29.5 10 (5) 7 0 (0) 1 20.6%
Trent Ellis-Brewer LB 6'2, 213 SO 28.0 3.5 (0) 4 1 (2) 1 45.8%
Blaise Taylor DB 5'9, 166 SR 26.5 5 (0) 5 2 (14) 1 58.1%
Kyle Martin DB 5'9, 188 SR 22.5 1 (0) 1 2 (2) 0 84.0%
Jefferie Gibson DB 6'4, 197 JR 18.5 0 (0) 1 1 (2) 0 77.8%
Dee Liner DL 6'3, 337 SR 17.0 6 (0) 14 0 (1) 0 12.5%
Ronheen Bingham DE 6'2, 241 JR 16.5 8 (5) 4 0 (0) 2 10.5%
Hunter Moreton DL 6'1, 293 FR 16.0 5.5 (2) 6 0 (0) 0 17.6%
Nehemiah Wagner DB 6'0, 178 SR 13.5 0 (0) 0 1 (3) 0 71.4%
Christian Howard DL 6'2, 281 JR 12.0 6 (3) 5 0 (0) 0 7.7%
Demari Medley DB 5'10, 175 FR 12.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 75.0%
Caleb Bonner LB 6'1, 206 FR 12.0 0 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 20.0%
Donovan Ransom DL 6'1, 283 JR 11.0 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 30.8%
Javier Carbonell DL 6'2, 307 SO 11.0 0.5 (0.5) 2 0 (0) 0 21.4%
Antwon Turnage LB 6'2, 220 JR 10.0 1.5 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 44.4%
Jarrod Chandler DE 6'2, 223 JR 9.0 2 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 20.0%
Dajon Emory DE 6'3, 266 JR 8.0 2.5 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 22.2%
Jeremy Smith DB 5'11, 175 SO 6.5 0 (0) 0 (1) 0
Clifford Thomas DL 6'2, 276 SR 6.0 2.5 (2) 2 0 (0) 0 20.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.3 41
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.08 86
Punt Success Rate 76.0% 4
Kickoff Success Rate 62.3% 104
Punt Return Success Rate 64.0% 23
Kick Return Success Rate 52.9% 26
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Sawyer Williams 5'11, 202 SO 48-53 16-22 72.7%
Damon Foncham 5'8, 196 SO 0-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Cody Grace 6'2, 223 SO 44 41.6 0 26 24 113.6%
Damon Foncham 5'8, 196 SO 6 35.5 0 1 4 83.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Sawyer Williams 5'11, 202 SO 81 58.2 23 28.4% 4 5 2 1
Damon Foncham 5'8, 196 SO 4 57.5 1 25.0% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Blaise Taylor 5'9, 166 SR 27 13.7 1 16 4 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jonathan Adams, Jr. 6'3, 210 FR 11 20.5 0 0 1 (0)
Chris Murray 5'9, 195 SR 11 25.0 0 0 0 (0)
Chauncey Mason 5'9, 185 SO 7 18.4 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Jeremy Smith DB 5'11, 175 SO 6.0 13.8
Trent Ellis-Brewer LB 6'2, 213 SO 5.5 13.5
Justin Clifton DB 6'0, 204 JR 5.0 26.4
Demari Medley DB 5'10, 175 FR 4.0 12.0
Antwon Turnage LB 6'2, 220 JR 3.0 15.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics