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2017 Syracuse advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Syracuse Orange (ACC Atlantic)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.3 (-0.7) | S&P+ Rk: 88
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep Central Connecticut N/A 50-7 W 100% 38.5 92% 91% 95%
9-Sep Middle Tennessee 68 23-30 L 6% -14.0 22% 17% 54%
16-Sep Central Michigan 79 41-17 W 100% 32.3 93% 90% 79%
23-Sep at LSU 21 26-35 L 14% -10.1 30% 36% 38%
30-Sep at NC State 38 25-33 L 9% -12.6 26% 42% 26%
7-Oct Pittsburgh 82 27-24 W 23% -6.6 34% 49% 43%
13-Oct Clemson 8 27-24 W 49% -0.3 49% 36% 58%
21-Oct at Miami-FL 17 19-27 L 1% -22.1 14% 17% 32%
4-Nov at Florida State 43 24-27 L 19% -8.2 32% 35% 41%
11-Nov Wake Forest 37 43-64 L 0% -26.3 10% 74% 3%
18-Nov at Louisville 16 10-56 L 0% -35.6 8% 11% 10%
25-Nov Boston College 66 14-42 L 5% -15.5 19% 42% 22%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 28.6 62 31.9 99
Points Per Game 27.4 84 32.2 94
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 39.7% 91 42.7% 82 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.14 79 1.32 116 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.2 104 28.6 45 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.93 111 4.76 100 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -7.1 120 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.06
ACTUAL -12 122
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 99.6 72 101.1 60 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 39.0% 99 42.0% 68 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.93 51 1.14 127 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 102 60 106.7 44 100.0
Opportunity Rate 35.4% 103 39.8% 87 38.5%
Power Success Rate 74.1% 28 56.8% 12 67.7%
Stuff Rate 17.6% 36 21.8% 41 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Dontae Strickland RB 5'11, 207 JR 129 482 4 3.7 4.0 26.4% 2 (1)
Eric Dungey QB 6'4, 222 JR 117 749 9 6.4 7.1 44.4% 1 (0)
Moe Neal RB 5'11, 182 SO 92 488 1 5.3 6.7 32.6% 0 (0)
Markenzy Pierre RB 5'11, 214 FR 25 89 0 3.6 2.2 36.0% 1 (1)
Chris Elmore FB 6'0, 280 FR 23 56 1 2.4 1.8 17.4% 0 (0)
Rex Culpepper QB 6'3, 221 FR 18 77 0 4.3 2.6 50.0% 4 (3)
Zack Mahoney QB 6'2, 217 SR 13 52 0 4.0 2.8 46.2% 0 (0)
Ervin Philips WR 5'11, 181 SR 11 76 1 6.9 4.5 54.5% 0 (0)
Tyrone Perkins RB 6'0, 197 JR 8 18 0 2.3 0.5 25.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 113.0 26 98.1 74 100.0
Passing Success Rate 40.2% 70 43.3% 93 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.29 118 1.51 85 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 117.9 41 67.8 110 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Eric Dungey 6'4, 222 JR 225 377 2495 14 9 59.7% 26 6.5% 5.8
Zack Mahoney 6'2, 217 SR 46 90 471 3 4 51.1% 2 2.2% 5.0
Rex Culpepper 6'3, 221 FR 45 75 518 2 3 60.0% 3 3.8% 6.3

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Steve Ishmael WR 6'2, 209 SR 167 105 1347 7 12.8 8.1 62.9% 49.7% 33.3%
Ervin Philips WR 5'11, 181 SR 138 89 904 4 10.2 6.6 64.5% 50.0% 27.5%
Devin C. Butler WR 6'3, 196 SO 56 33 327 1 9.9 5.8 58.9% 35.7% 11.2%
Ravian Pierce TE 6'3, 237 JR 38 30 279 4 9.3 7.3 78.9% 52.6% 7.6%
Dontae Strickland RB 5'11, 207 JR 28 18 142 2 7.9 5.1 64.3% 28.6% 5.6%
Moe Neal RB 5'11, 182 SO 19 12 170 1 14.2 9.0 63.2% 36.8% 3.8%
Sean Riley WR 5'8, 155 SO 17 8 125 0 15.6 7.4 47.1% 41.2% 3.4%
Jamal Custis WR 6'5, 227 JR 14 8 120 1 15.0 8.6 57.1% 50.0% 2.8%
Nykeim Johnson WR 5'8, 163 FR 14 8 68 0 8.5 4.9 57.1% 50.0% 2.8%
Sean Avant WR 5'10, 217 SR 4 4 30 0 7.5 7.5 100.0% 100.0% 0.8%
Eric Dungey QB 6'4, 222 JR 3 2 11 0 5.5 3.7 66.7% 33.3% 0.6%
Tyrone Perkins RB 6'0, 197 JR 2 2 14 0 7.0 7.0 100.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Tyler Gilfus WR 6'1, 195 FR 1 1 11 0 11.0 11.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Markenzy Pierre RB 5'11, 214 FR 1 1 6 0 6.0 6.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 104.2 54 103.5 49 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.8% 91 46.5% 65 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.99 97 1.16 107 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.78 84 2.91 64 2.92
SD Sack Rate 5.7% 79 6.0% 44 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 111.3 39 91.3 101 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.1% 84 34.8% 111 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.60 39 1.77 120 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.07 86 2.69 21 3.22
PD Sack Rate 6.2% 47 1.3% 130 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 94.6 85 98.4 73
Q2 S&P+ 107.5 48 96.3 81
Q3 S&P+ 120.6 23 92.3 91
Q4 S&P+ 98.3 81 96.0 86
1st Down S&P+ 106.2 44 93.8 96
2nd Down S&P+ 95.8 87 97.3 80
3rd Down S&P+ 107.4 48 100.5 69
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 47.8% 122 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 32.5% 76 35.3%
Adj. Pace -3.5 9 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.3% 66 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.7% 80 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 34.8% 71 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.6% 106 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.7% 93 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 4.4% 65 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 5.3% 103 6.5%
PD to INC 24.2% 129 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Parris Bennett LB 6'0, 216 SR 91.5 11 (2) 18 0 (2) 1 41.7%
Zaire Franklin LB 6'0, 236 SR 63.0 5.5 (1.5) 8 0 (2) 1 45.8%
Evan Foster DB 6'0, 211 SO 56.0 1.5 (0) 6 1 (4) 1 60.9%
Rodney Williams DB 5'10, 191 JR 38.5 3 (0) 5 0 (2) 0 62.2%
Jonathan Thomas LB 6'1, 209 SR 38.0 4 (0) 7 1 (3) 0 65.3%
Christopher Fredrick DB 5'11, 193 SO 37.0 2 (0) 1 1 (4) 1 67.4%
Austin Valdez LB 6'1, 236 SR 30.0 1.5 (0.5) 4 0 (0) 2 27.0%
Alton Robinson DL 6'4, 245 SO 24.0 6 (5) 7 0 (0) 1 23.3%
Chris Slayton DL 6'4, 315 JR 23.0 8.5 (1) 13 0 (1) 1 10.7%
Brandon Berry DL 6'4, 232 SO 22.0 0.5 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 21.4%
Kendall Coleman DL 6'3, 240 SO 21.0 2.5 (0.5) 7 0 (0) 0 28.6%
Jordan Martin DB 6'3, 206 SR 21.0 0 (0) 0 0 (3) 1 80.0%
McKinley Williams DL 6'4, 292 SO 20.0 4 (0) 7 0 (0) 0 16.0%
Juwan Dowels DB 5'10, 183 JR 20.0 1 (0) 1 1 (1) 0 83.3%
Scoop Bradshaw DB 5'11, 167 SO 17.0 5.5 (1) 2 0 (6) 0 55.0%
Devin M. Butler DB 6'1, 189 SR 17.0 2 (1) 0 0 (2) 0 47.4%
Kayton Samuels DL 6'0, 319 JR 10.5 1 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 16.7%
Andrew Armstrong LB 6'2, 226 SO 9.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 75.0%
Ryan Guthrie LB 6'2, 215 JR 9.0 1.5 (1.5) 0 0 (0) 0 27.3%
Kenneth Ruff DL 6'1, 284 SO 7.0 0.5 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 20.0%
Daivon Ellison DB 5'8, 181 JR 6.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Josh Black DL 6'3, 250 SO 6.0 3 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 12.5%
Kielan Whitner LB 6'0, 202 JR 5.0 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 100.0%
Kingsley Jonathan DL 6'3, 245 FR 3.0 1.5 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Kyle Strickland DB 6'0, 177 FR 3.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.7 6
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.13 51
Punt Success Rate 75.0% 5
Kickoff Success Rate 76.8% 49
Punt Return Success Rate 57.9% 33
Kick Return Success Rate 55.3% 19
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Cole Murphy 6'3, 215 SR 34-35 20-27 74.1%
Sterling Hofrichter 5'9, 196 SO 1-1 2-3 66.7%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Sterling Hofrichter 5'9, 196 SO 57 43.2 4 28 17 78.9%
Zack Mahoney 6'2, 217 SR 1 37.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Cole Murphy 6'3, 215 SR 64 65.0 31 48.4% 0 6 2 0
Sterling Hofrichter 5'9, 196 SO 5 60.6 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Alex Grossman 5'9, 155 SR 0 0.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Sean Riley 5'8, 155 SO 17 7.8 0 23 1 (1)
Steve Ishmael 6'2, 209 SR 1 2.0 0 0 0 (0)
Sean Avant 5'10, 217 SR 1 3.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Sean Riley 5'8, 155 SO 29 24.5 0 0 0 (0)
Nykeim Johnson 5'8, 163 FR 4 22.8 0 0 0 (0)
Kenneth Ruff 6'1, 284 SO 2 12.5 0 1 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Daivon Ellison DB 5'8, 181 JR 5.0 17.5
Jordan Martin DB 6'3, 206 SR 4.5 21.0
Kielan Whitner LB 6'0, 202 JR 3.5 10.5 20.8
Andrew Armstrong LB 6'2, 226 SO 3.0 21.4
Cole Murphy K 6'3, 215 SR 3.0 26.3

Stats via SportSource Analytics