clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2017 UTSA advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016 | 2017

UTSA Roadrunners (Conference USA West)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 6-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.7 (0.7) | S&P+ Rk: 55
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
9-Sep at Baylor 106 17-10 W 91% 12.2 72% 22% 92%
16-Sep Southern U. N/A 51-17 W 100% 45.5 93% 96% 93%
23-Sep at Texas State 117 44-14 W 100% 30.1 90% 84% 90%
7-Oct Southern Miss 40 29-31 L 9% -12.2 28% 60% 16%
14-Oct at North Texas 62 26-29 L 17% -8.9 31% 53% 32%
21-Oct Rice 128 20-7 W 97% 16.7 79% 31% 93%
28-Oct at UTEP 130 31-14 W 100% 24.0 86% 64% 90%
4-Nov at Florida International 92 7-14 L 11% -11.1 26% 8% 81%
11-Nov UAB 76 19-24 L 60% 2.2 58% 36% 72%
18-Nov Marshall 52 9-7 W 84% 9.0 71% 12% 95%
25-Nov at Louisiana Tech 71 6-20 L 1% -20.0 15% 11% 48%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 24.0 106 21.3 19
Points Per Game 23.5 107 17.0 6
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.8% 77 35.4% 11 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.11 91 1.24 99 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.1 55 27.4 19 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.84 115 4.14 39 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.9 39 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.52
ACTUAL 4 38
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 92.8 97 106.4 46 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.2% 82 36.0% 17 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.94 44 0.91 62 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 101.4 67 118.3 17 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.1% 58 37.0% 59 38.5%
Power Success Rate 60.6% 106 70.6% 84 67.7%
Stuff Rate 22.5% 114 24.4% 11 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Tyrell Clay RB 5'9, 210 SR 135 608 2 4.5 4.0 40.0% 1 (1)
Jalen Rhodes RB 5'9, 200 JR 134 659 5 4.9 5.1 36.6% 3 (3)
Dalton Sturm QB 6'2, 205 SR 97 671 2 6.9 6.7 47.4% 5 (2)
Brett Winnegan RB 5'9, 190 JR 17 127 1 7.5 13.2 35.3% 1 (1)
B.J. Daniels RB 6'2, 205 FR 13 55 0 4.2 1.3 46.2% 0 (0)
Greg Campbell Jr. WR 6'1, 190 JR 8 75 0 9.4 17.2 37.5% 0 (0)
Stefan Beard OG 6'3, 310 SR 2 8 1 4.0 2.0 50.0% 0 (0)
Kerry Thomas Jr. WR 6'0, 205 SR 2 6 0 3.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Bryce Rivers QB 6'2, 220 FR 1 3 0 3.0 0.0 0.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 89.3 100 99.2 71 100.0
Passing Success Rate 40.3% 69 34.7% 17 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.32 109 1.68 118 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 70.6 115 116.5 39 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Dalton Sturm 6'2, 205 SR 185 297 2185 15 5 62.3% 24 7.5% 6.4
Bryce Rivers 6'2, 220 FR 5 8 43 0 2 62.5% 1 11.1% 3.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Josh Stewart WR 6'4, 210 SR 71 40 525 3 13.1 7.4 56.3% 45.1% 24.1%
Kerry Thomas Jr. WR 6'0, 205 SR 47 35 458 4 13.1 9.7 74.5% 61.7% 16.0%
Brady Jones WR 5'10, 185 SR 41 26 325 2 12.5 7.9 63.4% 46.3% 13.9%
Greg Campbell Jr. WR 6'1, 190 JR 38 27 300 0 11.1 7.9 71.1% 55.3% 12.9%
Marquez McNair WR 6'0, 185 JR 28 16 171 2 10.7 6.1 57.1% 39.3% 9.5%
Jalen Rhodes RB 5'9, 200 JR 21 15 136 1 9.1 6.5 71.4% 28.6% 7.1%
Tyrell Clay RB 5'9, 210 SR 14 10 95 1 9.5 6.8 71.4% 50.0% 4.8%
Shaq Williams TE 6'4, 255 SR 10 6 83 2 13.8 8.3 60.0% 60.0% 3.4%
Dannon Cavil WR 6'4, 225 SR 8 4 45 0 11.3 5.6 50.0% 37.5% 2.7%
Blaze Moorhead WR 5'11, 170 SO 6 5 62 0 12.4 10.3 83.3% 66.7% 2.0%
Chance McLeod TE 6'3, 230 FR 4 3 13 0 4.3 3.3 75.0% 25.0% 1.4%
Brett Winnegan RB 5'9, 190 JR 2 2 16 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Larry Stephens WR 6'0, 200 JR 1 1 5 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Matt Bayliss DS 6'6, 235 SR 1 1 3 0 3.0 3.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
B.J. Daniels RB 6'2, 205 FR 1 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Robert Ursua TE 6'3, 240 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 96.5 82 99.5 67 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.7% 55 40.3% 13 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.02 82 1.14 99 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.02 49 2.32 10 2.92
SD Sack Rate 8.0% 114 6.3% 38 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 75.7 125 110.8 35 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 26.8% 109 26.7% 25 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.44 95 1.51 72 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.10 82 2.37 7 3.22
PD Sack Rate 7.5% 65 8.9% 33 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 85.6 108 86.0 113
Q2 S&P+ 94.8 94 118.4 24
Q3 S&P+ 85.4 116 127.2 12
Q4 S&P+ 100.5 73 103.3 49
1st Down S&P+ 93.7 95 100.3 64
2nd Down S&P+ 85.1 115 117.8 20
3rd Down S&P+ 98.7 77 96.5 82
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.8% 42 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 41.2% 26 35.3%
Adj. Pace +2.8 119 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 77.1% 37 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.9% 19 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 39.8% 20 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 19.5% 17 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 8.9% 3 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 3.1% 101 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 7.5% 28 6.5%
PD to INC 32.3% 83 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
La'Kel Bass LB 6'1, 230 SR 48.5 8.5 (2) 11 0 (0) 0 27.0%
Marcus Davenport DE 6'7, 255 SR 44.0 17 (8.5) 16 0 (4) 3 20.0%
Carl Austin III S 6'1, 200 JR 39.0 4.5 (1) 8 0 (2) 0 48.9%
Nate Gaines S 6'2, 220 SR 35.0 1.5 (0) 5 4 (0) 0 69.2%
C.J. Levine S 5'10, 190 JR 34.5 2.5 (0) 7 1 (2) 0 51.2%
Austin Jupe CB 6'1, 200 SR 24.0 0.5 (0) 2 2 (3) 0 75.9%
Devron Davis CB 6'0, 210 SR 22.0 4.5 (0) 4 2 (6) 1 48.0%
Kevin Strong Jr. DT 6'4, 295 JR 21.0 7.5 (3) 7 0 (0) 0 18.5%
Josiah Tauaefa LB 6'1, 240 SO 20.5 2 (1) 2 0 (2) 0 37.9%
Eric Banks DE 6'5, 240 SO 19.5 7.5 (1.5) 10 0 (1) 3 8.3%
Marcos Curry LB 6'0, 220 SR 19.5 2.5 (2.5) 1 0 (0) 0 40.0%
Andrew Martel S 6'1, 210 SO 19.5 1 (1) 2 1 (0) 0 44.4%
Brenndan Johnson S 5'10, 180 FR 17.0 1 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 61.1%
Baylen Baker DE 6'4, 285 SO 16.5 0.5 (0) 2 0 (3) 0 12.0%
Darryl Godfrey S 6'0, 195 JR 15.5 0.5 (0) 2 0 (2) 0 50.0%
King Newton DT 6'1, 280 SO 12.0 3.5 (0) 6 0 (0) 0 16.7%
Javontavius Mosley CB 6'0, 165 FR 11.5 0 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 78.6%
Anthony Hickey LB 6'0, 225 SR 10.5 1 (0) 1 1 (0) 0 8.3%
Franklin Uesi DE 6'2, 265 SR 10.0 0 (0) 2 0 (0) 1 8.3%
Les Maruo LB 6'0, 225 JR 8.5 1.5 (1.5) 0 0 (0) 0 37.5%
Jarrod Carter-McLin DT 6'2, 255 SO 6.5 3 (0.5) 4 0 (1) 0 22.2%
Stanley Dye Jr. CB 5'9, 175 JR 5.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 25.0%
Joshua Booker-Brown LB 6'2, 220 FR 4.5 1 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Morris Joseph Jr. DT 6'2, 275 FR 4.5 0.5 (0.5) 0 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Dannon Cavil WR 6'4, 225 SR 4.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.5 23
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.15 48
Punt Success Rate 66.0% 28
Kickoff Success Rate 76.8% 50
Punt Return Success Rate 52.6% 49
Kick Return Success Rate 42.9% 74
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Jared Sackett 6'1, 180 FR 23-24 19-22 86.4%
Victor Falcon 5'10, 205 JR 2-2 1-2 50.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Yannis Routsas 6'3, 205 JR 47 41.6 4 14 24 80.9%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Daniel Portillo 5'11, 175 SR 52 61.8 16 30.8% 2 0 3 1
Jared Sackett 6'1, 180 FR 3 55.7 1 33.3% 0 0 0 0
Hunter Duplessis 5'8, 195 FR 1 65.0 1 100.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brady Jones 5'10, 185 SR 14 4.8 0 15 0 (0)
Matt Guidry 5'8, 175 SO 3 -0.3 0 2 2 (2)
Kirk Johnson Jr. 5'7, 155 FR 2 7.5 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brett Winnegan 5'9, 190 JR 13 23.2 0 0 1 (1)
Matt Guidry 5'8, 175 SO 4 26.3 0 0 0 (0)
Kirk Johnson Jr. 5'7, 155 FR 3 14.3 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Marcos Curry LB 6'0, 220 SR 5.0 2.0 22.7
Dannon Cavil WR 6'4, 225 SR 4.5 18.8
La'Kel Bass LB 6'1, 230 SR 3.5 20.0
Andrew Martel S 6'1, 210 SO 3.5 -1.0 16.5
Les Maruo LB 6'0, 225 JR 3.0 14.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics