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2017 Colorado State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Colorado State Rams (MWC Mountain)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.4 (0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 45
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
26-Aug Oregon State 127 58-27 W 99% 21.4 84% 95% 37%
1-Sep vs. Colorado 93 3-17 L 7% -13.7 22% 12% 75%
9-Sep Abilene Christian N/A 38-10 W 100% 38.7 92% 83% 95%
16-Sep at Alabama 1 23-41 L 0% -26.9 12% 28% 11%
30-Sep at Hawaii 121 51-21 W 100% 37.1 92% 95% 57%
7-Oct at Utah State 57 27-14 W 94% 14.5 80% 61% 80%
14-Oct Nevada 108 44-42 W 95% 15.4 78% 95% 24%
20-Oct at New Mexico 104 27-24 W 37% -3.0 42% 48% 47%
28-Oct Air Force 100 28-45 L 18% -8.3 30% 59% 25%
4-Nov at Wyoming 53 13-16 L 31% -4.6 41% 22% 67%
11-Nov Boise State 23 52-59 L 39% -2.6 45% 97% 4%
18-Nov San Jose State 129 42-14 W 100% 34.9 91% 93% 82%
16-Dec vs. Marshall 52 28-31 L 16% -9.2 31% 44% 30%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 36.4 13 32.3 103
Points Per Game 36.2 29 30.1 77
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 47.1% 8 42.5% 81 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.17 60 1.23 97 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.9 87 25.7 4 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.83 31 4.72 94 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 0.2 63 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.69
ACTUAL 2 53
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 107.6 54 89.6 103 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.1% 42 43.8% 86 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.88 75 0.96 90 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 100 72 87.3 112 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.9% 62 42.6% 108 38.5%
Power Success Rate 78.4% 12 79.5% 122 67.7%
Stuff Rate 17.6% 36 16.8% 95 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Dalyn Dawkins RB 5'9, 185 SR 226 1399 8 6.2 6.7 40.7% 2 (1)
Izzy Matthews RB 6'0, 220 JR 132 613 8 4.6 5.2 34.1% 0 (0)
Rashaad Boddie RB 6'0, 225 FR 44 254 4 5.8 4.0 52.3% 1 (1)
Nick Stevens QB 6'3, 215 SR 41 198 4 4.8 3.8 39.0% 2 (1)
Marvin Kinsey Jr. RB 6'1, 190 SO 26 124 2 4.8 4.4 38.5% 0 (0)
Detrich Clark WR 5'10, 180 SR 15 40 0 2.7 4.2 20.0% 1 (1)
Darius May RB 6'1, 195 FR 12 66 0 5.5 4.9 33.3% 0 (0)
Marcus McElroy RB 5'10, 210 FR 2 9 0 4.5 2.5 50.0% 0 (0)
Adam Prentice FB 6'0, 230 SO 1 2 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 115.0 24 88.6 106 100.0
Passing Success Rate 49.1% 4 41.0% 72 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.44 63 1.54 91 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 180 11 103.2 61 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Nick Stevens 6'3, 215 SR 284 459 3799 29 10 61.9% 13 2.8% 7.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Michael Gallup WR 6'1, 200 SR 167 100 1413 7 14.1 8.5 59.9% 51.5% 37.4%
Olabisi Johnson WR 6'0, 195 JR 68 41 595 2 14.5 8.8 60.3% 54.4% 15.2%
Detrich Clark WR 5'10, 180 SR 58 41 504 6 12.3 8.7 70.7% 56.9% 13.0%
Dalyn Dawkins RB 5'9, 185 SR 39 26 310 1 11.9 8.0 66.7% 46.2% 8.7%
Dalton Fackrell TE 6'4, 240 SR 37 23 313 6 13.6 8.5 62.2% 56.8% 8.3%
Warren Jackson WR 6'5, 205 FR 20 15 265 2 17.7 13.3 75.0% 75.0% 4.5%
Cameron Butler TE 6'2, 225 FR 19 12 171 3 14.3 9.0 63.2% 47.4% 4.3%
Izzy Matthews RB 6'0, 220 JR 14 12 140 1 11.7 10.0 85.7% 42.9% 3.1%
Adam Prentice FB 6'0, 230 SO 9 7 45 1 6.4 5.0 77.8% 55.6% 2.0%
Trey Smith WR 6'0, 195 JR 5 2 25 0 12.5 5.0 40.0% 40.0% 1.1%
Darius May RB 6'1, 195 FR 4 2 5 0 2.5 1.3 50.0% 25.0% 0.9%
Marcus Wilson WR 5'10, 190 JR 3 1 6 0 6.0 2.0 33.3% 0.0% 0.7%
Rashaad Boddie RB 6'0, 225 FR 1 1 8 0 8.0 8.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Robert Awunganyi WR 6'0, 170 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Nick Stevens QB 6'3, 215 SR 1 1 -1 0 -1.0 -1.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 109.1 35 91.4 105 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 51.3% 16 47.2% 77 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.05 65 1.15 105 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.10 40 3.26 109 2.92
SD Sack Rate 1.7% 4 6.9% 27 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 118.4 23 86.2 113 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 38.4% 7 31.3% 84 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.51 67 1.50 69 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.72 114 3.15 65 3.22
PD Sack Rate 4.6% 24 5.3% 105 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 130.3 9 97.3 74
Q2 S&P+ 117.1 24 76.1 125
Q3 S&P+ 105.8 56 80.8 121
Q4 S&P+ 126.0 6 93.0 98
1st Down S&P+ 111.1 34 84.2 121
2nd Down S&P+ 129.4 6 92.7 95
3rd Down S&P+ 125.8 11 81.6 122
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.4% 59 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 29.7% 94 35.3%
Adj. Pace -0.1 61 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 72.8% 80 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.5% 69 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 34.8% 70 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.4% 90 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 3.0% 115 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 6.0% 16 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 5.5% 98 6.5%
PD to INC 29.3% 108 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Josh Watson LB 6'2, 240 JR 86.5 5 (2) 12 2 (7) 1 40.0%
Jordan Fogal S 5'10, 180 SR 59.0 1 (0) 4 2 (4) 0 62.3%
Jake Schlager S 5'11, 195 SR 51.0 1.5 (0) 3 0 (1) 0 77.0%
Max McDonald LB 6'1, 220 SO 42.0 5 (1.5) 6 0 (2) 1 42.1%
Kevin Nutt Jr. CB 5'10, 190 SR 37.5 3 (0) 2 2 (4) 0 66.7%
Evan Colorito LB 6'4, 250 SR 36.0 12 (5.5) 10 0 (0) 2 22.2%
Tre Thomas LB 6'2, 215 JR 32.0 2 (1.5) 4 1 (1) 0 40.7%
Anthony Hawkins CB 5'10, 185 SO 29.5 0.5 (0) 1 3 (5) 0 75.8%
Jamal Hicks S 6'1, 185 SO 28.5 0 (0) 1 2 (0) 1 66.7%
Shun Johnson CB 5'11, 170 SR 26.5 1 (0) 1 0 (9) 1 72.4%
Emmanuel Jones LB 6'4, 245 FR 25.5 6 (2) 6 0 (0) 0 15.2%
Justin Sweet S 5'10, 185 SR 24.0 2 (0) 1 0 (6) 0 57.1%
Darnell Thompson DL 6'4, 280 SR 22.0 4 (0) 9 0 (1) 0 38.9%
Kiel Robinson LB 6'2, 230 SR 20.5 1.5 (1) 0 0 (0) 0 38.7%
Richard King DL 6'4, 275 SO 19.5 5 (2.5) 4 0 (1) 0 40.0%
Patrick Moody LB 6'1, 225 FR 14.5 1 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 44.4%
Ellison Hubbard DL 6'1, 270 FR 13.5 2 (2) 0 0 (0) 0 45.0%
Arjay Jean DE 6'4, 240 SO 12.5 4.5 (2) 3 0 (0) 1 38.1%
Jakob Buys DL 6'4, 280 SR 12.5 4 (3) 4 0 (0) 0 36.8%
Livingston Paogofie DL 6'1, 260 FR 9.5 1 (1) 0 0 (0) 1 18.2%
Patrick Elsenbast LB 6'0, 210 SR 7.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 1 50.0%
Caleb Smith LB 6'3, 255 JR 6.5 2 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 28.6%
Colton Foster DL 6'3, 295 JR 5.5 1 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 25.0%
Darius Campbell CB 5'10, 165 FR 5.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 83.3%
Marcus Wilson WR 5'10, 190 JR 5.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.7 5
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.18 47
Punt Success Rate 71.4% 15
Kickoff Success Rate 84.3% 23
Punt Return Success Rate 64.3% 22
Kick Return Success Rate 45.8% 59
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Wyatt Bryan 6'1, 175 JR 53-55 15-18 83.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ryan Stonehouse 5'11, 170 FR 46 45.9 7 12 20 69.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Braxton Davis 6'0, 170 JR 83 63.5 45 54.2% 0 2 0 0
Wyatt Bryan 6'1, 175 JR 0 0.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Olabisi Johnson 6'0, 195 JR 14 8.7 0 14 2 (1)
Brenden Fulton 5'9, 180 SO 0 0.0 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Detrich Clark 5'10, 180 SR 18 23.7 0 0 0 (0)
Kevin Nutt Jr. 5'10, 190 SR 3 16.3 0 0 0 (0)
Marvin Kinsey Jr. 6'1, 190 SO 1 2.0 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Tre Thomas LB 6'2, 215 JR 10.0 4.0 22.0
Marcus Wilson WR 5'10, 190 JR 5.0 27.0
Emmanuel Jones LB 6'4, 245 FR 4.5 21.6
Patrick Elsenbast LB 6'0, 210 SR 4.5 6.0 15.7
Darius May RB 6'1, 195 FR 3.5 18.8

Stats via SportSource Analytics