Updated on 1/3/18
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Cincinnati Bearcats (American East)
2017 Schedule & Results
| Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.8 (-0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 102 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 31-Aug | Austin Peay | N/A | 26-14 | W | 94% | 14.5 | 78% | 45% | 89% |
| 9-Sep | at Michigan | 27 | 14-36 | L | 1% | -20.4 | 16% | 12% | 56% |
| 16-Sep | at Miami-OH | 56 | 21-17 | W | 20% | -7.7 | 36% | 10% | 78% |
| 23-Sep | at Navy | 69 | 32-42 | L | 1% | -22.9 | 12% | 61% | 10% |
| 30-Sep | Marshall | 52 | 21-38 | L | 4% | -16.2 | 20% | 22% | 41% |
| 7-Oct | Central Florida | 7 | 23-51 | L | 0% | -35.2 | 9% | 28% | 7% |
| 14-Oct | at South Florida | 15 | 3-33 | L | 0% | -29.8 | 11% | 3% | 58% |
| 21-Oct | SMU | 67 | 28-31 | L | 48% | -0.4 | 49% | 62% | 36% |
| 4-Nov | at Tulane | 89 | 17-16 | W | 73% | 5.6 | 62% | 30% | 79% |
| 10-Nov | Temple | 78 | 24-35 | L | 33% | -4.0 | 41% | 48% | 40% |
| 18-Nov | at East Carolina | 123 | 20-48 | L | 10% | -12.0 | 25% | 48% | 16% |
| 25-Nov | Connecticut | 119 | 22-21 | W | 93% | 13.4 | 75% | 55% | 75% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 24.9 | 100 | 30.1 | 86 |
| Points Per Game | 20.9 | 113 | 31.8 | 90 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 37.1% | 117 | 42.1% | 75 | 40.3% |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.21 | 39 | 1.18 | 68 | 1.17 |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 26.8 | 124 | 28.7 | 46 | 29.6 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.00 | 107 | 4.48 | 72 | 4.42 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -3.1 | 93 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.80 |
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| ACTUAL | -5 | 97 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 97.4 | 78 | 95.6 | 83 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 39.8% | 94 | 40.9% | 58 | 42.2% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.05 | 18 | 0.86 | 43 | 0.92 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 99.6 | 76 | 92 | 98 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 39.4% | 55 | 35.4% | 43 | 38.5% |
| Power Success Rate | 57.9% | 116 | 68.0% | 71 | 67.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.7% | 70 | 19.1% | 67 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Mike Boone | RB | 5'10, 205 | SR | 111 | 463 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 31.5% | 1 (0) |
| Gerrid Doaks | RB | 6'0, 222 | FR | 87 | 513 | 2 | 5.9 | 6.8 | 37.9% | 0 (0) |
| Hayden Moore | QB | 6'3, 215 | JR | 77 | 439 | 4 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 41.6% | 8 (5) |
| Michael Warren II | RB | 5'10, 212 | FR | 54 | 324 | 1 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 51.9% | 0 (0) |
| Ross Trail | QB | 6'3, 225 | SO | 4 | 29 | 0 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 75.0% | 0 (0) |
| Jaelen Greene | RB | 5'11, 202 | FR | 4 | 15 | 0 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0 (0) |
| Taylor Boose | RB | 6'0, 207 | SO | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 25.0% | 0 (0) |
| Kahlil Lewis | WR | 6'0, 195 | JR | 2 | 33 | 0 | 16.5 | 9.5 | 100.0% | 1 (0) |
| James Smith | P | 6'5, 220 | FR | 2 | -3 | 0 | -1.5 | 2.1 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 84.9 | 115 | 91.1 | 96 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 35.0% | 108 | 43.6% | 97 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.36 | 94 | 1.57 | 98 | 1.48 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 174.5 | 13 | 61 | 118 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Hayden Moore | 6'3, 215 | JR | 239 | 424 | 2562 | 20 | 9 | 56.4% | 15 | 3.4% | 5.5 |
| Ross Trail | 6'3, 225 | SO | 5 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 55.6% | 2 | 18.2% | 1.7 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Kahlil Lewis | WR | 6'0, 195 | JR | 105 | 62 | 692 | 7 | 11.2 | 6.6 | 59.0% | 40.0% | 25.1% |
| Devin Gray | WR | 6'0, 192 | SR | 58 | 28 | 444 | 3 | 15.9 | 7.7 | 48.3% | 43.1% | 13.8% |
| Thomas Geddis | WR | 6'5, 185 | SO | 52 | 29 | 388 | 3 | 13.4 | 7.5 | 55.8% | 50.0% | 12.4% |
| Mike Boone | RB | 5'10, 205 | SR | 36 | 24 | 177 | 1 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 66.7% | 27.8% | 8.6% |
| Tyler Cogswell | TE | 6'5, 248 | SR | 35 | 23 | 149 | 2 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 65.7% | 42.9% | 8.4% |
| JJ Pinckney | WR | 6'3, 210 | JR | 23 | 11 | 171 | 0 | 15.6 | 7.4 | 47.8% | 34.8% | 5.5% |
| Gerrid Doaks | RB | 6'0, 222 | FR | 21 | 14 | 135 | 1 | 9.6 | 6.4 | 66.7% | 33.3% | 5.0% |
| Jerron Rollins | WR | 6'2, 208 | SO | 19 | 13 | 101 | 1 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 68.4% | 52.6% | 4.5% |
| Josiah Deguara | TE | 6'3, 235 | SO | 17 | 11 | 98 | 0 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 64.7% | 35.3% | 4.1% |
| Javan Hawes | WR | 6'0, 192 | FR | 15 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 53.3% | 40.0% | 3.6% |
| JaQuay Savage | WR | 6'3, 229 | SR | 12 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 8.5 | 4.3 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 2.9% |
| Rashad Medaris | WR | 5'10, 182 | SO | 10 | 6 | 61 | 0 | 10.2 | 6.1 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 2.4% |
| Michael Warren II | RB | 5'10, 212 | FR | 9 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 11.4 | 6.3 | 55.6% | 44.4% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Boose | RB | 6'0, 207 | SO | 3 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 100.0% | 33.3% | 0.7% |
| Bruno Labelle | TE | 6'4, 240 | FR | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 15.0 | 7.5 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Moore | QB | 6'3, 215 | JR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 90.1 | 114 | 95.3 | 89 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 40.5% | 123 | 46.6% | 68 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.14 | 30 | 1.07 | 77 | 1.07 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.73 | 94 | 2.97 | 71 | 2.92 |
| SD Sack Rate | 2.5% | 9 | 3.7% | 94 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 94.3 | 83 | 94.7 | 88 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 31.1% | 61 | 31.8% | 89 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.37 | 106 | 1.52 | 74 | 1.53 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.94 | 97 | 3.19 | 71 | 3.22 |
| PD Sack Rate | 4.8% | 25 | 3.1% | 127 | 7.8% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 77.9 | 121 | 82.7 | 118 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 90.3 | 106 | 116.5 | 31 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 91.9 | 96 | 90.6 | 95 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 94.3 | 93 | 100.2 | 64 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 89.7 | 110 | 100.8 | 62 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 89.3 | 108 | 91.6 | 99 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 86.7 | 108 | 106.0 | 43 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 52.9% | 103 | 60.0% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 30.7% | 85 | 35.3% |
| Adj. Pace | -1.0 | 39 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 66.8% | 111 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 66.4% | 11 | 59.9% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 36.1% | 52 | 35.0% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 11.8% | 125 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.8% | 66 | 4.9% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 2.8% | 108 | 4.4% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.3% | 125 | 6.5% |
| PD to INC | 29.9% | 103 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
| Jaylyin Minor | LB | 6'1, 233 | SR | 94.5 | 4.5 (1) | 11 | 0 (2) | 0 | 41.1% |
| Perry Young | LB | 5'10, 215 | SO | 78.5 | 9 (0) | 17 | 0 (3) | 1 | 41.4% |
| Carter Jacobs | S | 6'1, 205 | SR | 69.5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 1 (4) | 1 | 66.7% |
| Marquise Copeland | DE | 6'3, 290 | JR | 47.0 | 8 (3.5) | 18 | 0 (1) | 0 | 17.5% |
| Kevin Mouhon | DE | 6'1, 244 | JR | 43.5 | 7 (2) | 12 | 0 (2) | 1 | 32.1% |
| Malik Clements | S | 6'0, 210 | JR | 43.0 | 1 (0) | 1 | 1 (0) | 0 | 60.8% |
| Linden Stephens | CB | 6'0, 193 | SR | 41.0 | 0.5 (0) | 4 | 1 (8) | 0 | 70.6% |
| Tyrell Gilbert | S | 6'1, 205 | JR | 36.5 | 3 (1) | 4 | 0 (2) | 2 | 50.0% |
| Jarell White | LB | 5'10, 208 | FR | 31.5 | 2.5 (0.5) | 4 | 0 (1) | 0 | 46.7% |
| Cortez Broughton | DT | 6'2, 282 | JR | 23.0 | 3.5 (1) | 7 | 0 (1) | 0 | 8.8% |
| Chris Murphy | S | 5'11, 196 | JR | 22.0 | 2 (0) | 2 | 0 (3) | 0 | 64.0% |
| Kimoni Fitz | DE | 6'3, 255 | JR | 20.5 | 3.5 (0) | 8 | 0 (0) | 0 | 33.3% |
| Davin Pierce | S | 6'2, 193 | SR | 20.0 | 3 (0) | 3 | 0 (1) | 0 | 50.0% |
| Grant Coleman | CB | 6'0, 192 | SR | 20.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (2) | 0 | 78.3% |
| Lyndon Johnson | DT | 6'6, 300 | SR | 14.5 | 3 (2) | 3 | 0 (0) | 1 | 10.5% |
| Marquese Taylor | CB | 5'11, 180 | FR | 14.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 1 (1) | 0 | 80.0% |
| Mark Wilson | DE | 6'3, 255 | SR | 13.5 | 2.5 (1) | 4 | 0 (0) | 0 | 23.5% |
| Bryan Wright | DE | 6'3, 254 | SO | 11.0 | 2.5 (0) | 5 | 1 (2) | 0 | 13.3% |
| Marquis Smith | CB | 5'10, 188 | FR | 11.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 80.0% |
| Curtis Brooks | DE | 6'3, 288 | FR | 10.0 | 0 (0) | 6 | 0 (0) | 0 | 6.3% |
| Marcus Brown | DT | 6'3, 295 | FR | 6.0 | 1 (0) | 2 | 0 (2) | 0 | 11.1% |
| Joel Dublanko | LB | 6'3, 232 | FR | 4.5 | 1.5 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 16.7% |
| Darrick Forrest | S | 6'0, 196 | FR | 4.0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0.0% |
| Ty Sponseller | LB | 6'3, 223 | FR | 4.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 100.0% |
| Coby Bryant | S | 6'1, 185 | FR | 3.0 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.6 | 111 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.61 | 120 |
| Punt Success Rate | 61.9% | 43 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 63.5% | 99 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 69.2% | 16 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 45.7% | 60 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Ryan Jones | 5'10, 187 | SO | 13-15 | 6-10 | 60.0% |
| Josh Pasley | 6'0, 186 | SR | 9-9 | 3-6 | 50.0% |
| Andrew Gantz | 5'10, 190 | SR | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| James Smith | 6'5, 220 | FR | 64 | 42.0 | 0 | 33 | 23 | 87.5% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Ryan Jones | 5'10, 187 | SO | 52 | 59.0 | 13 | 25.0% | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Devin Gray | 6'0, 192 | SR | 12 | 7.9 | 0 | 16 | 0 (0) |
| Mike Boone | 5'10, 205 | SR | 1 | 13.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Michael Warren II | 5'10, 212 | FR | 19 | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Thomas Geddis | 6'5, 185 | SO | 7 | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 (1) |
| Javan Hawes | 6'0, 192 | FR | 5 | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
| Malik Clements | S | 6'0, 210 | JR | 6.0 | 18.7 | |
| Carter Jacobs | S | 6'1, 205 | SR | 4.5 | 19.4 | |
| Tyrell Gilbert | S | 6'1, 205 | JR | 4.5 | 3.5 | 15.0 |
| Darrick Forrest | S | 6'0, 196 | FR | 3.5 | 15.8 | |
| Coby Bryant | S | 6'1, 185 | FR | 3.0 | 16.0 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics