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2017 Cincinnati advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Cincinnati Bearcats (American East)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.8 (-0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 102
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
31-Aug Austin Peay N/A 26-14 W 94% 14.5 78% 45% 89%
9-Sep at Michigan 27 14-36 L 1% -20.4 16% 12% 56%
16-Sep at Miami-OH 56 21-17 W 20% -7.7 36% 10% 78%
23-Sep at Navy 69 32-42 L 1% -22.9 12% 61% 10%
30-Sep Marshall 52 21-38 L 4% -16.2 20% 22% 41%
7-Oct Central Florida 7 23-51 L 0% -35.2 9% 28% 7%
14-Oct at South Florida 15 3-33 L 0% -29.8 11% 3% 58%
21-Oct SMU 67 28-31 L 48% -0.4 49% 62% 36%
4-Nov at Tulane 89 17-16 W 73% 5.6 62% 30% 79%
10-Nov Temple 78 24-35 L 33% -4.0 41% 48% 40%
18-Nov at East Carolina 123 20-48 L 10% -12.0 25% 48% 16%
25-Nov Connecticut 119 22-21 W 93% 13.4 75% 55% 75%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 24.9 100 30.1 86
Points Per Game 20.9 113 31.8 90
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 37.1% 117 42.1% 75 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.21 39 1.18 68 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 26.8 124 28.7 46 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.00 107 4.48 72 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.1 93 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.80
ACTUAL -5 97
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 97.4 78 95.6 83 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 39.8% 94 40.9% 58 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.05 18 0.86 43 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 99.6 76 92 98 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.4% 55 35.4% 43 38.5%
Power Success Rate 57.9% 116 68.0% 71 67.7%
Stuff Rate 19.7% 70 19.1% 67 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Mike Boone RB 5'10, 205 SR 111 463 4 4.2 4.4 31.5% 1 (0)
Gerrid Doaks RB 6'0, 222 FR 87 513 2 5.9 6.8 37.9% 0 (0)
Hayden Moore QB 6'3, 215 JR 77 439 4 5.7 6.3 41.6% 8 (5)
Michael Warren II RB 5'10, 212 FR 54 324 1 6.0 4.1 51.9% 0 (0)
Ross Trail QB 6'3, 225 SO 4 29 0 7.3 2.8 75.0% 0 (0)
Jaelen Greene RB 5'11, 202 FR 4 15 0 3.8 1.0 25.0% 0 (0)
Taylor Boose RB 6'0, 207 SO 4 10 0 2.5 1.6 25.0% 0 (0)
Kahlil Lewis WR 6'0, 195 JR 2 33 0 16.5 9.5 100.0% 1 (0)
James Smith P 6'5, 220 FR 2 -3 0 -1.5 2.1 50.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 84.9 115 91.1 96 100.0
Passing Success Rate 35.0% 108 43.6% 97 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.36 94 1.57 98 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 174.5 13 61 118 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Hayden Moore 6'3, 215 JR 239 424 2562 20 9 56.4% 15 3.4% 5.5
Ross Trail 6'3, 225 SO 5 9 31 0 0 55.6% 2 18.2% 1.7

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Kahlil Lewis WR 6'0, 195 JR 105 62 692 7 11.2 6.6 59.0% 40.0% 25.1%
Devin Gray WR 6'0, 192 SR 58 28 444 3 15.9 7.7 48.3% 43.1% 13.8%
Thomas Geddis WR 6'5, 185 SO 52 29 388 3 13.4 7.5 55.8% 50.0% 12.4%
Mike Boone RB 5'10, 205 SR 36 24 177 1 7.4 4.9 66.7% 27.8% 8.6%
Tyler Cogswell TE 6'5, 248 SR 35 23 149 2 6.5 4.3 65.7% 42.9% 8.4%
JJ Pinckney WR 6'3, 210 JR 23 11 171 0 15.6 7.4 47.8% 34.8% 5.5%
Gerrid Doaks RB 6'0, 222 FR 21 14 135 1 9.6 6.4 66.7% 33.3% 5.0%
Jerron Rollins WR 6'2, 208 SO 19 13 101 1 7.8 5.3 68.4% 52.6% 4.5%
Josiah Deguara TE 6'3, 235 SO 17 11 98 0 8.9 5.8 64.7% 35.3% 4.1%
Javan Hawes WR 6'0, 192 FR 15 8 57 1 7.1 3.8 53.3% 40.0% 3.6%
JaQuay Savage WR 6'3, 229 SR 12 6 51 1 8.5 4.3 50.0% 33.3% 2.9%
Rashad Medaris WR 5'10, 182 SO 10 6 61 0 10.2 6.1 60.0% 40.0% 2.4%
Michael Warren II RB 5'10, 212 FR 9 5 57 0 11.4 6.3 55.6% 44.4% 2.1%
Taylor Boose RB 6'0, 207 SO 3 3 13 0 4.3 4.3 100.0% 33.3% 0.7%
Bruno Labelle TE 6'4, 240 FR 2 1 15 0 15.0 7.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Hayden Moore QB 6'3, 215 JR 1 1 4 0 4.0 4.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 90.1 114 95.3 89 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 40.5% 123 46.6% 68 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.14 30 1.07 77 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.73 94 2.97 71 2.92
SD Sack Rate 2.5% 9 3.7% 94 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 94.3 83 94.7 88 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 31.1% 61 31.8% 89 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.37 106 1.52 74 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.94 97 3.19 71 3.22
PD Sack Rate 4.8% 25 3.1% 127 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 77.9 121 82.7 118
Q2 S&P+ 90.3 106 116.5 31
Q3 S&P+ 91.9 96 90.6 95
Q4 S&P+ 94.3 93 100.2 64
1st Down S&P+ 89.7 110 100.8 62
2nd Down S&P+ 89.3 108 91.6 99
3rd Down S&P+ 86.7 108 106.0 43
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.9% 103 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 30.7% 85 35.3%
Adj. Pace -1.0 39 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 66.8% 111 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 66.4% 11 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.1% 52 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 11.8% 125 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.8% 66 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 2.8% 108 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 4.3% 125 6.5%
PD to INC 29.9% 103 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Jaylyin Minor LB 6'1, 233 SR 94.5 4.5 (1) 11 0 (2) 0 41.1%
Perry Young LB 5'10, 215 SO 78.5 9 (0) 17 0 (3) 1 41.4%
Carter Jacobs S 6'1, 205 SR 69.5 0 (0) 1 1 (4) 1 66.7%
Marquise Copeland DE 6'3, 290 JR 47.0 8 (3.5) 18 0 (1) 0 17.5%
Kevin Mouhon DE 6'1, 244 JR 43.5 7 (2) 12 0 (2) 1 32.1%
Malik Clements S 6'0, 210 JR 43.0 1 (0) 1 1 (0) 0 60.8%
Linden Stephens CB 6'0, 193 SR 41.0 0.5 (0) 4 1 (8) 0 70.6%
Tyrell Gilbert S 6'1, 205 JR 36.5 3 (1) 4 0 (2) 2 50.0%
Jarell White LB 5'10, 208 FR 31.5 2.5 (0.5) 4 0 (1) 0 46.7%
Cortez Broughton DT 6'2, 282 JR 23.0 3.5 (1) 7 0 (1) 0 8.8%
Chris Murphy S 5'11, 196 JR 22.0 2 (0) 2 0 (3) 0 64.0%
Kimoni Fitz DE 6'3, 255 JR 20.5 3.5 (0) 8 0 (0) 0 33.3%
Davin Pierce S 6'2, 193 SR 20.0 3 (0) 3 0 (1) 0 50.0%
Grant Coleman CB 6'0, 192 SR 20.0 0 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 78.3%
Lyndon Johnson DT 6'6, 300 SR 14.5 3 (2) 3 0 (0) 1 10.5%
Marquese Taylor CB 5'11, 180 FR 14.0 0 (0) 0 1 (1) 0 80.0%
Mark Wilson DE 6'3, 255 SR 13.5 2.5 (1) 4 0 (0) 0 23.5%
Bryan Wright DE 6'3, 254 SO 11.0 2.5 (0) 5 1 (2) 0 13.3%
Marquis Smith CB 5'10, 188 FR 11.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 80.0%
Curtis Brooks DE 6'3, 288 FR 10.0 0 (0) 6 0 (0) 0 6.3%
Marcus Brown DT 6'3, 295 FR 6.0 1 (0) 2 0 (2) 0 11.1%
Joel Dublanko LB 6'3, 232 FR 4.5 1.5 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 16.7%
Darrick Forrest S 6'0, 196 FR 4.0 0 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Ty Sponseller LB 6'3, 223 FR 4.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%
Coby Bryant S 6'1, 185 FR 3.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.6 111
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.61 120
Punt Success Rate 61.9% 43
Kickoff Success Rate 63.5% 99
Punt Return Success Rate 69.2% 16
Kick Return Success Rate 45.7% 60
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Ryan Jones 5'10, 187 SO 13-15 6-10 60.0%
Josh Pasley 6'0, 186 SR 9-9 3-6 50.0%
Andrew Gantz 5'10, 190 SR 2-3 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
James Smith 6'5, 220 FR 64 42.0 0 33 23 87.5%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Ryan Jones 5'10, 187 SO 52 59.0 13 25.0% 1 5 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Devin Gray 6'0, 192 SR 12 7.9 0 16 0 (0)
Mike Boone 5'10, 205 SR 1 13.0 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Michael Warren II 5'10, 212 FR 19 23.1 0 0 0 (0)
Thomas Geddis 6'5, 185 SO 7 17.9 0 0 2 (1)
Javan Hawes 6'0, 192 FR 5 17.8 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Malik Clements S 6'0, 210 JR 6.0 18.7
Carter Jacobs S 6'1, 205 SR 4.5 19.4
Tyrell Gilbert S 6'1, 205 JR 4.5 3.5 15.0
Darrick Forrest S 6'0, 196 FR 3.5 15.8
Coby Bryant S 6'1, 185 FR 3.0 16.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics