clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2017 Miami-OH advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016 | 2017

Miami (OH) Redhawks (MAC East)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 7.6 (2.6) | S&P+ Rk: 56
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep at Marshall 52 26-31 L 98% 19.7 86% 53% 89%
9-Sep Austin Peay N/A 31-10 W 97% 16.9 81% 43% 86%
16-Sep Cincinnati 102 17-21 L 80% 7.7 65% 22% 90%
23-Sep at Central Michigan 79 31-14 W 100% 24.5 89% 69% 89%
30-Sep at Notre Dame 13 17-52 L 0% -31.1 9% 25% 9%
7-Oct Bowling Green 109 29-37 L 45% -1.2 45% 66% 25%
14-Oct at Kent State 126 14-17 L 70% 4.7 59% 23% 86%
21-Oct Buffalo 75 24-14 W 82% 8.5 69% 33% 80%
31-Oct at Ohio 22 28-45 L 3% -17.3 20% 58% 9%
7-Nov Akron 112 24-14 W 100% 27.6 89% 66% 94%
15-Nov Eastern Michigan 70 24-27 L 44% -1.4 48% 60% 37%
21-Nov at Ball State 122 28-7 W 46% -1.0 46% 24% 76%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 27.2 80 24.3 39
Points Per Game 24.4 99 24.1 35
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 43.2% 49 38.3% 34 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.11 90 1.20 86 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.5 98 29.5 66 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.57 58 3.74 17 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -2.4 88 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.56
ACTUAL -1 71
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 91.3 102 90.9 98 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.3% 80 40.1% 46 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.79 116 0.93 70 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 99.7 74 97.1 75 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.7% 74 36.2% 54 38.5%
Power Success Rate 66.7% 72 58.3% 14 67.7%
Stuff Rate 15.8% 19 20.6% 55 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Kenny Young RB 5'7, 179 JR 145 781 6 5.4 3.8 44.8% 0 (0)
Alonzo Smith RB 5'10, 208 JR 144 660 2 4.6 3.4 38.2% 1 (1)
Gus Ragland QB 6'1, 215 JR 56 237 3 4.2 2.7 37.5% 5 (3)
Jaylon Bester WR 5'8, 165 FR 20 111 0 5.6 6.6 35.0% 1 (1)
Leonard Ross RB 5'11, 205 SO 20 57 1 2.9 1.1 15.0% 0 (0)
Maurice Thomas RB 5'11, 182 JR 11 38 0 3.5 1.4 27.3% 0 (0)
Grant Niemiec TE 5'11, 220 SR 8 17 0 2.1 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Billy Bahl QB 6'4, 233 JR 5 7 0 1.4 2.9 20.0% 0 (0)
Isaiah Hill WR 5'11, 204 SO 1 3 0 3.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 104.0 50 96.9 77 100.0
Passing Success Rate 44.9% 26 36.3% 31 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.39 83 1.54 92 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 109.1 54 92.6 83 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Gus Ragland 6'1, 215 JR 150 269 2032 19 7 55.8% 17 5.9% 6.7
Billy Bahl 6'4, 233 JR 61 117 820 5 4 52.1% 4 3.3% 6.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
James Gardner WR 6'4, 216 JR 92 47 927 11 19.7 10.1 51.1% 51.1% 25.6%
Ryan Smith TE 6'4, 265 SR 55 35 454 4 13.0 8.3 63.6% 60.0% 15.3%
Jared Murphy WR 5'10, 182 SR 53 38 430 2 11.3 8.1 71.7% 52.8% 14.8%
Sam Martin WR 6'2, 201 SR 47 25 359 3 14.4 7.6 53.2% 48.9% 13.1%
Luke Mayock WR 6'5, 216 SO 37 14 215 1 15.4 5.8 37.8% 37.8% 10.3%
Kenny Young RB 5'7, 179 JR 31 27 250 2 9.3 8.1 87.1% 67.7% 8.6%
Alonzo Smith RB 5'10, 208 JR 14 9 74 0 8.2 5.3 64.3% 35.7% 3.9%
Jaylon Bester WR 5'8, 165 FR 11 7 46 0 6.6 4.2 63.6% 36.4% 3.1%
Nate Becker TE 6'5, 264 JR 7 3 23 0 7.7 3.3 42.9% 28.6% 1.9%
Maurice Thomas RB 5'11, 182 JR 6 5 71 0 14.2 11.8 83.3% 33.3% 1.7%
Quentin Hardy TE 6'5, 241 SO 2 1 3 1 3.0 1.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Grant Niemiec TE 5'11, 220 SR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Dominique Robinson WR 6'4, 228 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Tyler Fleetwood WR 6'1, 201 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 98.0 78 93.6 96 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 48.2% 48 43.3% 37 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.00 91 1.12 89 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.11 38 2.57 26 2.92
SD Sack Rate 4.3% 49 4.0% 88 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 101.3 63 98.4 76 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 32.2% 48 28.9% 50 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.49 76 1.43 39 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.46 44 2.95 41 3.22
PD Sack Rate 6.6% 53 7.3% 70 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 109.9 45 88.4 100
Q2 S&P+ 96.0 88 99.7 70
Q3 S&P+ 94.7 89 93.3 89
Q4 S&P+ 80.3 124 97.8 74
1st Down S&P+ 94.5 93 95.7 89
2nd Down S&P+ 96.5 85 94.3 92
3rd Down S&P+ 94.6 88 98.3 78
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.6% 105 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 39.6% 33 35.3%
Adj. Pace +1.7 96 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 66.2% 115 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.7% 66 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 40.9% 16 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.5% 69 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.1% 85 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 2.9% 103 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 8.2% 15 6.5%
PD to INC 37.0% 33 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Brad Koenig LB 6'1, 225 JR 83.5 10.5 (3) 22 0 (5) 1 29.7%
Tony Reid DB 5'11, 190 SR 53.0 2 (1) 9 2 (8) 0 56.9%
Heath Harding DB 5'10, 190 SR 51.5 2.5 (0) 5 1 (8) 1 55.7%
Joshua Allen DB 6'0, 205 JR 45.5 5 (1) 6 3 (4) 0 65.4%
De'Andre Montgomery DB 6'2, 228 JR 45.5 3.5 (0) 9 1 (2) 3 50.8%
Junior McMullen LB 6'1, 245 JR 41.5 3 (2) 5 0 (0) 0 38.6%
Doug Costin DL 6'2, 285 SO 36.0 8.5 (5) 9 0 (6) 0 31.3%
Deondre Daniels DB 5'11, 196 JR 29.5 0 (0) 1 1 (7) 0 75.0%
Pasquale Calcagno DE 6'4, 250 JR 26.0 5 (3.5) 5 0 (0) 0 37.1%
Sam Connolly LB 6'1, 245 JR 21.0 3 (0) 7 1 (0) 0 35.7%
Nate Trawick DT 5'11, 335 JR 20.0 3 (1) 9 0 (0) 0 16.1%
Daryus Thompson DB 6'1, 195 JR 20.0 0.5 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 69.6%
Kobe Burse DB 6'0, 225 SO 18.5 1.5 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 47.1%
Ikeem Allen DL 6'1, 270 SR 18.0 2.5 (1.5) 8 0 (2) 1 24.0%
Cedric Asseh DB 6'0, 190 SO 12.5 1 (0) 1 1 (7) 0 71.4%
Josh Maize DL 6'3, 242 FR 10.5 1.5 (0) 3 0 (0) 0 8.3%
Brad Earnest DL 6'1, 245 JR 10.0 0 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 38.5%
Ben Kimpler DL 6'5, 247 FR 9.5 2 (0) 1 0 (1) 0 7.1%
Bart Baratti DB 6'1, 188 SO 8.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Mack Duffin DL 6'2, 290 JR 6.5 0 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 50.0%
AJ Burdine DL 6'2, 285 SR 5.0 0.5 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Travion Banks DB 5'11, 185 SO 5.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 80.0%
Myles Reid LB 6'1, 220 SO 4.5 0.5 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Mike Brown DB 6'1, 205 FR 3.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 66.7%
Elijah Watson DL 6'1, 273 FR 3.0 0 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 0.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.3 48
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.09 56
Punt Success Rate 60.9% 49
Kickoff Success Rate 65.5% 94
Punt Return Success Rate 16.7% 128
Kick Return Success Rate 52.5% 27
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Samuel Sloman 5'8, 208 SO 35-36 12-16 75.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Kyle Kramer 6'3, 208 SO 64 40.5 5 21 25 71.9%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Samuel Sloman 5'8, 208 SO 58 60.2 21 36.2% 2 6 2 1
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jared Murphy 5'10, 182 SR 6 6.2 0 23 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jaylon Bester 5'8, 165 FR 16 20.4 0 0 0 (0)
Alonzo Smith 5'10, 208 JR 7 15.1 0 0 0 (0)
Kenny Young 5'7, 179 JR 7 20.6 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Bart Baratti DB 6'1, 188 SO 8.5 1.2 17.8
Kobe Burse DB 6'0, 225 SO 6.0 7.0 15.7
De'Andre Montgomery DB 6'2, 228 JR 2.5 -3.0 17.7
Grant Niemiec TE 5'11, 220 SR 2.5 -3.0 18.0
Daryus Thompson DB 6'1, 195 JR 2.5 1.0 13.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics