Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
Buffalo Bulls (MAC East)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 127 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | Albany-NY | N/A | 16-22 | L | 47% | -0.7 | 9% | 1% | 22% |
| 17-Sep | at Nevada | 124 | 14-38 | L | 1% | -18.8 | 3% | 28% | 4% |
| 24-Sep | Army | 101 | 23-20 | W | 25% | -5.4 | 25% | 48% | 61% |
| 1-Oct | at Boston College | 86 | 3-35 | L | 0% | -34.9 | 2% | 9% | 17% |
| 8-Oct | Kent State | 113 | 20-44 | L | 2% | -16.1 | 5% | 27% | 4% |
| 15-Oct | Ball State | 84 | 21-31 | L | 8% | -11.1 | 15% | 31% | 13% |
| 22-Oct | at Northern Illinois | 77 | 7-44 | L | 1% | -20.0 | 8% | 10% | 9% |
| 27-Oct | Akron | 109 | 41-20 | W | 100% | 29.2 | 82% | 70% | 81% |
| 3-Nov | at Ohio | 92 | 10-34 | L | 2% | -16.0 | 10% | 30% | 19% |
| 12-Nov | Miami-OH | 98 | 24-35 | L | 10% | -10.1 | 17% | 23% | 35% |
| 19-Nov | at Western Michigan | 35 | 0-38 | L | 0% | -35.9 | 5% | 7% | 33% |
| 25-Nov | at Bowling Green | 111 | 19-27 | L | 36% | -2.7 | 20% | 26% | 32% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 16.4 | 126 | 36.4 | 111 |
| Points Per Game | 16.5 | 125 | 32.3 | 95 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.26 | 69 | 1.27 | 69 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 36.9% | 118 | 44.3% | 88 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 27.8 | 112 | 31.9 | 108 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 3.53 | 126 | 4.29 | 47 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -4.64 | 103 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.57 |
||
| ACTUAL | -6 | 104 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 91.7 | 103 | 83.4 | 122 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 39.3% | 104 | 47.5% | 109 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.12 | 43 | 1.12 | 88 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 101.4 | 73 | 88.9 | 108 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 39.3% | 73 | 43.3% | 112 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 73.5% | 31 | 67.7% | 71 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 18.4% | 59 | 17.1% | 96 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Jordan Johnson | RB | 6'1, 220 | SR | 200 | 1040 | 6 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 36.0% | 2 (2) |
| Tyree Jackson | QB | 6'7, 245 | FR | 88 | 460 | 5 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 47.7% | 3 (2) |
| Johnathan Hawkins | RB | 5'11, 208 | SO | 74 | 338 | 1 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 37.8% | 2 (1) |
| Grant Rohach | QB | 6'2, 218 | SR | 23 | 130 | 0 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 43.5% | 3 (2) |
| Emmanuel Reed | RB | 5'6, 183 | FR | 7 | 33 | 0 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 42.9% | 0 (0) |
| Jamarl Eiland | WR | 5'11, 192 | JR | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 1 (1) |
| Malcolm Robinson | WR | 6'1, 205 | SR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 1 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 79.1 | 123 | 93.1 | 88 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 34.6% | 120 | 38.9% | 47 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.40 | 93 | 1.57 | 109 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 104.6 | 52 | 106.7 | 54 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Tyree Jackson | 6'7, 245 | FR | 165 | 311 | 1772 | 9 | 9 | 53.1% | 11 | 3.4% | 5.3 |
| Grant Rohach | 6'2, 218 | SR | 46 | 84 | 628 | 2 | 2 | 54.8% | 12 | 12.5% | 5.6 |
| Drew Anderson | 6'5, 220 | SO | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Mason Schreck | TE | 6'5, 258 | SR | 89 | 59 | 651 | 4 | 11.0 | 7.3 | 66.3% | 50.6% | 23.4% |
| Kamathi Holsey | WR | 6'4, 215 | JR | 63 | 19 | 189 | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 30.2% | 23.8% | 16.5% |
| Marcus McGill | WR | 6'1, 230 | SR | 62 | 40 | 573 | 0 | 14.3 | 9.2 | 64.5% | 45.2% | 16.3% |
| Malcolm Robinson | WR | 6'1, 205 | SR | 49 | 22 | 277 | 1 | 12.6 | 5.7 | 44.9% | 36.7% | 12.9% |
| Johnathan Hawkins | RB | 5'11, 208 | SO | 34 | 21 | 119 | 1 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 61.8% | 26.5% | 8.9% |
| Jamarl Eiland | WR | 5'11, 192 | JR | 30 | 18 | 175 | 1 | 9.7 | 5.8 | 60.0% | 43.3% | 7.9% |
| K.J. Osborn | WR | 6'0, 205 | FR | 17 | 8 | 105 | 1 | 13.1 | 6.2 | 47.1% | 35.3% | 4.5% |
| Jacob Martinez | WR | 6'0, 195 | JR | 13 | 7 | 121 | 1 | 17.3 | 9.3 | 53.8% | 53.8% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Mabry | TE | 6'3, 255 | FR | 13 | 9 | 95 | 0 | 10.6 | 7.3 | 69.2% | 38.5% | 3.4% |
| Jordan Johnson | RB | 6'1, 220 | SR | 11 | 9 | 101 | 1 | 11.2 | 9.2 | 81.8% | 27.3% | 2.9% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 86.2 | 118 | 81.1 | 126 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 41.9% | 120 | 51.7% | 111 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.11 | 67 | 1.18 | 97 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.84 | 91 | 3.36 | 115 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 3.8% | 39 | 5.3% | 54 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 84.2 | 114 | 108.4 | 41 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 27.2% | 105 | 25.9% | 16 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.69 | 84 | 1.72 | 61 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.73 | 23 | 3.14 | 58 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 8.3% | 72 | 8.0% | 53 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 68.8 | 127 | 85.9 | 116 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 93.1 | 97 | 85.8 | 112 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 72.4 | 128 | 91.1 | 101 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 117.4 | 14 | 81.0 | 125 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 92.8 | 100 | 81.0 | 127 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 82.8 | 121 | 95.7 | 84 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 83.6 | 114 | 82.9 | 117 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 57.9% | 77 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 31.6% | 79 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | -3.8 | 98 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 78.0% | 34 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 70.4% | 5 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 44.9% | 3 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 12.9% | 108 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.9% | 63 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.4% | 91 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.5% | 120 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 28.1% | 113 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Khalil Hodge | LB | 6'1, 240 | SO | 92.0 | 12.2% | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ishmael Hargrove | LB | 6'1, 225 | JR | 82.0 | 10.9% | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Jarrett Franklin | LB | 6'1, 230 | JR | 60.0 | 8.0% | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Williamson | S | 6'0, 200 | JR | 58.0 | 7.7% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Cameron Lewis | CB | 5'11, 188 | SO | 52.0 | 6.9% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Tim Roberts | S | 6'1, 205 | JR | 50.0 | 6.6% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandon Crawford | DL | 6'2, 275 | SR | 44.0 | 5.8% | 14.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Boise Ross | CB | 6'0, 195 | SR | 30.5 | 4.0% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| Remaine Douglas | DL | 6'3, 303 | SR | 27.5 | 3.6% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Otwinowski | LB | 6'2, 232 | FR | 25.5 | 3.4% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Demone Harris | DE | 6'4, 272 | JR | 24.0 | 3.2% | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chris Ford | DL | 6'3, 315 | JR | 21.0 | 2.8% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dev Lamour | S | 6'2, 200 | FR | 18.0 | 2.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Charles Harris | DE | 6'4, 260 | SO | 17.0 | 2.3% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Joe Keels | DE | 6'3, 270 | SR | 17.0 | 2.3% | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Williams | CB | 5'11, 185 | SO | 15.5 | 2.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Collier | LB | 5'11, 217 | SO | 14.5 | 1.9% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tatum Slack | CB | 5'9, 195 | SO | 14.0 | 1.9% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Justin Brandon | DL | 6'1, 305 | SO | 13.0 | 1.7% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrews Dadeboe | S | 6'0, 207 | JR | 12.0 | 1.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Torey Hendrick | DE | 6'2, 235 | SR | 10.0 | 1.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Nicholas | DE | 6'2, 265 | SO | 9.5 | 1.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Perisse | DL | 6'3, 285 | SR | 7.5 | 1.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Berry | LB | 6'1, 230 | SR | 5.0 | 0.7% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Ames | LB | 6'0, 215 | FR | 5.0 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.5 | 121 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.36 | 113 |
| Punt Success Rate | 45.2% | 110 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 44.2% | 125 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 46.7% | 78 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 50.0% | 34 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Adam Mitcheson | 6'2, 205 | SO | 21-23 | 11-18 | 61.1% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Kyle DeWeen | 6'0, 187 | JR | 72 | 39.8 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 55.6% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Taylor Sheets | 6'1, 212 | FR | 27 | 53.3 | 5 | 18.5% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Mitcheson | 6'2, 205 | SO | 16 | 55.4 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Jamarl Eiland | 5'11, 192 | JR | 15 | 7.1 | 0 | 13 | 0 (0) |
| Jacob Martinez | 6'0, 195 | JR | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Johnathan Hawkins | 5'11, 208 | SO | 26 | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
| Jamarl Eiland | 5'11, 192 | JR | 16 | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Marcus McGill | 6'1, 230 | SR | 5 | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics