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2016 Buffalo advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Buffalo Bulls (MAC East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.3 (0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 127
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Albany-NY N/A 16-22 L 47% -0.7 9% 1% 22%
17-Sep at Nevada 124 14-38 L 1% -18.8 3% 28% 4%
24-Sep Army 101 23-20 W 25% -5.4 25% 48% 61%
1-Oct at Boston College 86 3-35 L 0% -34.9 2% 9% 17%
8-Oct Kent State 113 20-44 L 2% -16.1 5% 27% 4%
15-Oct Ball State 84 21-31 L 8% -11.1 15% 31% 13%
22-Oct at Northern Illinois 77 7-44 L 1% -20.0 8% 10% 9%
27-Oct Akron 109 41-20 W 100% 29.2 82% 70% 81%
3-Nov at Ohio 92 10-34 L 2% -16.0 10% 30% 19%
12-Nov Miami-OH 98 24-35 L 10% -10.1 17% 23% 35%
19-Nov at Western Michigan 35 0-38 L 0% -35.9 5% 7% 33%
25-Nov at Bowling Green 111 19-27 L 36% -2.7 20% 26% 32%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 16.4 126 36.4 111
Points Per Game 16.5 125 32.3 95
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.26 69 1.27 69 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 36.9% 118 44.3% 88 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.8 112 31.9 108 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.53 126 4.29 47 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -4.64 103 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.57
ACTUAL -6 104
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 91.7 103 83.4 122 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 39.3% 104 47.5% 109 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.12 43 1.12 88 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 101.4 73 88.9 108 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.3% 73 43.3% 112 39.7%
Power Success Rate 73.5% 31 67.7% 71 67.9%
Stuff Rate 18.4% 59 17.1% 96 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jordan Johnson RB 6'1, 220 SR 200 1040 6 5.2 6.0 36.0% 2 (2)
Tyree Jackson QB 6'7, 245 FR 88 460 5 5.2 3.5 47.7% 3 (2)
Johnathan Hawkins RB 5'11, 208 SO 74 338 1 4.6 3.6 37.8% 2 (1)
Grant Rohach QB 6'2, 218 SR 23 130 0 5.7 5.4 43.5% 3 (2)
Emmanuel Reed RB 5'6, 183 FR 7 33 0 4.7 2.2 42.9% 0 (0)
Jamarl Eiland WR 5'11, 192 JR 1 4 0 4.0 0.0 0.0% 1 (1)
Malcolm Robinson WR 6'1, 205 SR 1 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 1 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 79.1 123 93.1 88 100.0
Passing Success Rate 34.6% 120 38.9% 47 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.40 93 1.57 109 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 104.6 52 106.7 54 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyree Jackson 6'7, 245 FR 165 311 1772 9 9 53.1% 11 3.4% 5.3
Grant Rohach 6'2, 218 SR 46 84 628 2 2 54.8% 12 12.5% 5.6
Drew Anderson 6'5, 220 SO 0 1 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Mason Schreck TE 6'5, 258 SR 89 59 651 4 11.0 7.3 66.3% 50.6% 23.4%
Kamathi Holsey WR 6'4, 215 JR 63 19 189 1 10.0 3.0 30.2% 23.8% 16.5%
Marcus McGill WR 6'1, 230 SR 62 40 573 0 14.3 9.2 64.5% 45.2% 16.3%
Malcolm Robinson WR 6'1, 205 SR 49 22 277 1 12.6 5.7 44.9% 36.7% 12.9%
Johnathan Hawkins RB 5'11, 208 SO 34 21 119 1 5.7 3.5 61.8% 26.5% 8.9%
Jamarl Eiland WR 5'11, 192 JR 30 18 175 1 9.7 5.8 60.0% 43.3% 7.9%
K.J. Osborn WR 6'0, 205 FR 17 8 105 1 13.1 6.2 47.1% 35.3% 4.5%
Jacob Martinez WR 6'0, 195 JR 13 7 121 1 17.3 9.3 53.8% 53.8% 3.4%
Tyler Mabry TE 6'3, 255 FR 13 9 95 0 10.6 7.3 69.2% 38.5% 3.4%
Jordan Johnson RB 6'1, 220 SR 11 9 101 1 11.2 9.2 81.8% 27.3% 2.9%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 86.2 118 81.1 126 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 41.9% 120 51.7% 111 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.11 67 1.18 97 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.84 91 3.36 115 2.98
SD Sack Rate 3.8% 39 5.3% 54 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 84.2 114 108.4 41 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.2% 105 25.9% 16 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.69 84 1.72 61 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.73 23 3.14 58 3.24
PD Sack Rate 8.3% 72 8.0% 53 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 68.8 127 85.9 116
Q2 S&P+ 93.1 97 85.8 112
Q3 S&P+ 72.4 128 91.1 101
Q4 S&P+ 117.4 14 81.0 125
1st Down S&P+ 92.8 100 81.0 127
2nd Down S&P+ 82.8 121 95.7 84
3rd Down S&P+ 83.6 114 82.9 117
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.9% 77 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 31.6% 79 34.6%
Adj. Pace -3.8 98 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.0% 34 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 70.4% 5 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 44.9% 3 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.9% 108 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.9% 63 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.4% 91 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 4.5% 120 6.4%
PD to INC 28.1% 113 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Khalil Hodge LB 6'1, 240 SO 92.0 12.2% 7.0 1.0 0 1 0
Ishmael Hargrove LB 6'1, 225 JR 82.0 10.9% 5.5 2.5 1 1 3
Jarrett Franklin LB 6'1, 230 JR 60.0 8.0% 3.0 0.5 0 1 0
Ryan Williamson S 6'0, 200 JR 58.0 7.7% 2.0 0.0 1 3 0
Cameron Lewis CB 5'11, 188 SO 52.0 6.9% 2.5 0.0 0 7 0
Tim Roberts S 6'1, 205 JR 50.0 6.6% 1.0 0.0 2 1 0
Brandon Crawford DL 6'2, 275 SR 44.0 5.8% 14.5 4.0 0 2 1
Boise Ross CB 6'0, 195 SR 30.5 4.0% 2.5 0.0 0 7 1
Remaine Douglas DL 6'3, 303 SR 27.5 3.6% 2.0 0.5 0 0 0
Matt Otwinowski LB 6'2, 232 FR 25.5 3.4% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0
Demone Harris DE 6'4, 272 JR 24.0 3.2% 4.0 3.0 0 0 2
Chris Ford DL 6'3, 315 JR 21.0 2.8% 3.0 1.0 0 0 0
Dev Lamour S 6'2, 200 FR 18.0 2.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Charles Harris DE 6'4, 260 SO 17.0 2.3% 5.0 0.0 0 0 1
Joe Keels DE 6'3, 270 SR 17.0 2.3% 2.5 0.5 0 0 0
Brandon Williams CB 5'11, 185 SO 15.5 2.1% 1.0 0.0 1 0 1
Jordan Collier LB 5'11, 217 SO 14.5 1.9% 2.0 2.0 0 1 0
Tatum Slack CB 5'9, 195 SO 14.0 1.9% 2.0 1.0 0 2 0
Justin Brandon DL 6'1, 305 SO 13.0 1.7% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
Andrews Dadeboe S 6'0, 207 JR 12.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Torey Hendrick DE 6'2, 235 SR 10.0 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Myles Nicholas DE 6'2, 265 SO 9.5 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Max Perisse DL 6'3, 285 SR 7.5 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Brandon Berry LB 6'1, 230 SR 5.0 0.7% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Nick Ames LB 6'0, 215 FR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.5 121
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.36 113
Punt Success Rate 45.2% 110
Kickoff Success Rate 44.2% 125
Punt Return Success Rate 46.7% 78
Kick Return Success Rate 50.0% 34
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Adam Mitcheson 6'2, 205 SO 21-23 11-18 61.1%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Kyle DeWeen 6'0, 187 JR 72 39.8 6 19 21 55.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Taylor Sheets 6'1, 212 FR 27 53.3 5 18.5% 2 0 0 0
Adam Mitcheson 6'2, 205 SO 16 55.4 0 0.0% 0 1 2 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jamarl Eiland 5'11, 192 JR 15 7.1 0 13 0 (0)
Jacob Martinez 6'0, 195 JR 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Johnathan Hawkins 5'11, 208 SO 26 16.2 0 0 1 (0)
Jamarl Eiland 5'11, 192 JR 16 19.2 0 0 1 (1)
Marcus McGill 6'1, 230 SR 5 18.8 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics