clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2016 Western Michigan advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

WMU Broncos (MAC West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 13-1 | Second-order wins (diff.): 11.7 (-1.3) | S&P+ Rk: 35
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
4-Sep at Northwestern 49 22-21 W 35% -3.0 39% 57% 37%
10-Sep NC Central N/A 70-21 W 100% 25.6 55% 84% 7%
17-Sep at Illinois 95 34-10 W 92% 11.1 53% 57% 46%
24-Sep Georgia Southern 91 49-31 W 79% 6.3 48% 70% 43%
1-Oct at Central Michigan 99 49-10 W 100% 36.7 92% 89% 97%
8-Oct Northern Illinois 77 45-30 W 89% 9.5 62% 94% 27%
15-Oct at Akron 109 41-0 W 100% 46.8 93% 89% 92%
22-Oct Eastern Michigan 82 45-31 W 94% 12.1 65% 89% 33%
1-Nov at Ball State 84 52-20 W 100% 21.6 79% 95% 59%
8-Nov at Kent State 113 37-21 W 89% 9.6 47% 75% 33%
19-Nov Buffalo 127 38-0 W 100% 35.9 77% 89% 85%
25-Nov Toledo 34 55-35 W 83% 7.6 73% 90% 76%
2-Dec vs. Ohio 92 29-23 W 82% 7.1 53% 61% 79%
2-Jan vs. Wisconsin 11 16-24 L 30% -4.1 53% 81% 41%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 36.6 25 29.7 69
Points Per Game 41.6 9 19.8 15
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.24 80 1.27 72 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 51.6% 4 40.4% 45 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 30.3 51 25.7 5 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.35 6 4.44 65 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 2.94 46 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+5.38
ACTUAL 18 1
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 113.1 29 93.4 91 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 51.6% 8 42.1% 59 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.95 115 1.12 85 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 118.8 8 89 107 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.7% 29 39.2% 61 39.7%
Power Success Rate 76.2% 16 76.2% 114 67.9%
Stuff Rate 15.7% 15 19.9% 52 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jarvion Franklin RB 6'0, 228 JR 248 1353 12 5.5 4.4 42.3% 2 (1)
Jamauri Bogan RB 5'7, 187 SO 181 923 8 5.1 5.0 36.5% 2 (0)
Zach Terrell QB 6'2, 204 SR 64 337 7 5.3 3.3 48.4% 7 (1)
Davon Tucker RB 5'8, 205 FR 44 210 4 4.8 4.2 38.6% 1 (1)
Fabian Johnson RB 5'7, 204 SR 31 229 4 7.4 4.7 61.3% 1 (1)
LeVante Bellamy RB 5'9, 185 SO 20 133 1 6.7 5.4 50.0% 0 (0)
Tom Flacco QB 6'0, 199 SO 10 74 0 7.4 10.4 50.0% 0 (0)
D'Wayne Eskridge WR 5'9, 190 FR 6 60 0 10.0 6.8 83.3% 1 (0)
Donnie Ernsberger TE 6'3, 255 JR 4 42 0 10.5 13.5 50.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 132.0 8 97.6 74 100.0
Passing Success Rate 51.7% 3 38.7% 44 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.65 21 1.44 51 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 120 37 114.7 39 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Zach Terrell 6'2, 204 SR 263 377 3533 33 4 69.8% 16 4.1% 8.8
Tom Flacco 6'0, 199 SO 0 1 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Corey Davis WR 6'3, 213 SR 138 97 1500 19 15.5 10.9 70.3% 59.4% 37.3%
Michael Henry WR 5'11, 189 SR 82 63 779 4 12.4 9.5 76.8% 58.5% 22.2%
Carrington Thompson WR 6'2, 176 SR 72 42 637 6 15.2 8.9 58.3% 52.8% 19.5%
Jarvion Franklin RB 6'0, 228 JR 28 25 288 2 11.5 10.3 89.3% 50.0% 7.6%
D'Wayne Eskridge WR 5'9, 190 FR 19 17 121 1 7.1 6.4 89.5% 57.9% 5.1%
Donnie Ernsberger TE 6'3, 255 JR 12 9 112 1 12.4 9.3 75.0% 58.3% 3.2%
Keishawn Watson WR 5'11, 180 FR 7 2 24 0 12.0 3.4 28.6% 28.6% 1.9%
Jamauri Bogan RB 5'7, 187 SO 5 5 58 0 11.6 11.6 100.0% 80.0% 1.4%
Fabian Johnson RB 5'7, 204 SR 2 2 10 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.5%
LeVante Bellamy RB 5'9, 185 SO 2 1 4 0 4.0 2.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Davon Tucker RB 5'8, 205 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Jake Spinek WR 5'10, 186 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Darius Phillips CB 5'10, 191 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 120.5 10 96.8 77 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 56.9% 2 44.0% 37 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.17 45 1.12 71 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.36 13 2.95 68 2.98
SD Sack Rate 3.5% 34 6.2% 37 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 111.0 40 92.4 94 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 36.4% 17 32.5% 84 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.57 116 1.73 67 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 4.11 7 3.84 118 3.24
PD Sack Rate 6.0% 38 5.3% 109 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 119.2 28 91.6 98
Q2 S&P+ 118.6 26 93.1 92
Q3 S&P+ 129.0 12 98.1 71
Q4 S&P+ 113.6 24 99.4 66
1st Down S&P+ 121.3 12 93.5 90
2nd Down S&P+ 112.1 29 97.2 75
3rd Down S&P+ 127.1 12 102.2 62
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 66.8% 24 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 35.4% 45 34.6%
Adj. Pace +2.4 44 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 71.8% 94 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.5% 82 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 31.4% 92 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.9% 38 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 5.6% 42 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 5.2% 35 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.9% 79 6.4%
PD to INC 31.4% 82 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Robert Spillane LB 6'2, 218 JR 85.5 12.4% 10.5 3.0 3 2 2
Asantay Brown LB 6'0, 203 JR 80.0 11.6% 8.5 2.5 1 2 1
Justin Tranquill DB 5'11, 185 FR 76.0 11.0% 2.0 0.0 0 2 1
Caleb Bailey LB 6'0, 236 JR 54.5 7.9% 9.0 3.0 2 0 0
Sam Beal DB 6'1, 177 SO 47.0 6.8% 0.0 0.0 0 8 0
Keion Adams DE 6'2, 245 SR 41.5 6.0% 18.0 7.5 0 0 3
Justin Ferguson S 6'1, 203 SR 40.5 5.9% 1.0 0.0 3 3 2
Eric Assoua DL 6'2, 230 SO 37.5 5.5% 6.5 3.5 0 1 2
Darius Phillips CB 5'10, 191 JR 33.0 4.8% 4.0 1.0 4 9 0
Andre Turner DE 6'4, 266 JR 30.0 4.4% 4.0 2.0 0 1 0
Nathan Braster DL 6'5, 272 JR 23.5 3.4% 7.0 2.5 0 2 0
Davontae Ginwright DB 6'2, 191 FR 19.0 2.8% 1.0 0.0 0 4 0
David Curle DL 6'3, 303 SR 18.0 2.6% 2.5 1.0 0 1 0
Obbie Jackson DB 5'10, 155 FR 15.5 2.3% 1.0 1.0 1 4 0
Austin Guido DB 5'11, 202 SR 12.0 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Kasey Carson LB 5'11, 206 SR 10.5 1.5% 1.0 0.0 1 0 0
Alex Grace LB 6'1, 216 SO 9.5 1.4% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Drake Spears LB 6'1, 205 FR 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Trevor Sweeney WR 5'8, 175 SR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Brad Tanner DB 6'1, 190 FR 6.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Stefan Claiborne DB 6'2, 185 FR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Leo Ekwoge RB 5'11, 210 SO 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Giovanni Ricci WR 6'3, 206 FR 3.5 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Antonio Balabani DL 6'3, 218 FR 3.5 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Lucas Cherocci LB 5'11, 216 SR 3.0 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.4 47
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.01 64
Punt Success Rate 70.5% 11
Kickoff Success Rate 68.9% 82
Punt Return Success Rate 50.0% 58
Kick Return Success Rate 37.2% 95
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Butch Hampton 6'0, 170 FR 71-73 19-24 79.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
James Coleman 6'2, 215 SR 28 40.3 1 18 11 103.6%
Derrick Mitchell 6'2, 207 SO 16 41.4 0 0 6 37.5%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Derrick Mitchell 6'2, 207 SO 58 63.0 21 36.2% 0 4 1 0
Butch Hampton 6'0, 170 FR 48 59.5 8 16.7% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Darius Phillips 5'10, 191 JR 19 11.7 1 19 4 (0)
Keishawn Watson 5'11, 180 FR 1 2.0 0 1 0 (0)
Jaret Curtis 5'11, 190 FR 0 0.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Darius Phillips 5'10, 191 JR 37 22.5 1 0 1 (0)
Fabian Johnson 5'7, 204 SR 3 15.3 0 0 0 (0)
Obbie Jackson 5'10, 155 FR 1 15.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics