clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2015 North Texas advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

North Texas Mean Green (Conference USA West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 1-11 | Second-order wins (diff.): 0.8 (-0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 128
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
12-Sep at SMU 104 13-31 L 1% -18.3 11% 1% 38%
19-Sep Rice 119 24-38 L 7% -11.7 37% 25% 15%
26-Sep at Iowa 47 16-62 L 0% -34.5 21% 26% 6%
3-Oct at Southern Miss 58 14-49 L 0% -34.7 31% 28% 15%
10-Oct Portland State N/A 7-66 L 0% -57.4 0% 0% 0%
15-Oct Western Kentucky 11 28-55 L 0% -25.7 26% 55% 22%
24-Oct at Marshall 64 13-30 L 1% -18.9 26% 28% 52%
31-Oct UTSA 113 30-23 W 61% 2.2 31% 44% 31%
7-Nov at Louisiana Tech 54 13-56 L 0% -27.8 20% 27% 30%
14-Nov at Tennessee 22 0-24 L 0% -32.6 14% 7% 45%
21-Nov at Middle Tennessee 82 7-41 L 0% -20.7 17% 31% 24%
28-Nov UTEP 126 17-20 L 12% -9.6 10% 6% 65%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 16.2 123 39.1 118
Points Per Game 15.2 124 41.3 122
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 0.97 128 1.30 87 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 35.9% 112 48.5% 121 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.1 89 29.5 60 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.25 126 5.56 122 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -10.54 123 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.48
ACTUAL -7 105
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 95.5 94 81.6 121 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.4% 69 51.0% 121 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.96 110 1.08 67 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 87.9 116 85.9 119 100.0
Opportunity Rate 40.7% 41 42.2% 105 38.9%
Power Success Rate 64.1% 79 74.2% 107 66.3%
Stuff Rate 22.9% 106 14.5% 119 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jeffrey Wilson RB 6'0, 195 SO 155 830 1 5.4 5.0 40.6% 5 (4)
DaMarcus Smith QB 6'1, 216 JR 81 526 2 6.5 6.4 49.4% 7 (3)
Antoinne Jimmerson RB 5'9, 220 SR 70 272 1 3.9 5.3 28.6% 1 (0)
Willy Ivery RB 5'9, 185 SO 44 290 2 6.6 8.0 45.5% 2 (2)
Andrew Tucker RB 6'0, 203 SO 15 75 0 5.0 4.3 33.3% 1 (1)
A.J. Ezzard RB 5'10, 207 FR 14 60 1 4.3 1.8 57.1% 0 (0)
Andrew McNulty QB 6'1, 211 SR 12 76 0 6.3 4.6 50.0% 3 (1)
Carlos Harris WR 5'8, 185 SR 7 13 0 1.9 3.6 28.6% 0 (0)
Jarrod Lynn FB 6'0, 244 SR 3 1 0 0.3 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 51.6 128 90.3 98 100.0
Passing Success Rate 29.4% 126 45.7% 113 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 0.98 128 1.58 99 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 71.7 112 75.8 104 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
DaMarcus Smith 6'1, 216 JR 99 212 1010 8 5 46.7% 12 5.4% 4.1
Andrew McNulty 6'1, 211 SR 81 170 820 3 4 47.6% 14 7.6% 3.9
Josh Greer 6'5, 212 JR 8 23 97 0 2 34.8% 1 4.2% 3.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Carlos Harris WR 5'8, 185 SR 118 61 727 7 11.9 6.2 51.7% 34.7% 30.7%
Marcus Smith TE 6'4, 242 SR 61 29 261 0 9.0 4.3 47.5% 32.8% 15.9%
Turner Smiley WR 6'0, 189 SO 58 25 255 1 10.2 4.4 43.1% 39.7% 15.1%
Tee Goree WR 6'3, 173 FR 27 15 118 1 7.9 4.4 55.6% 37.0% 7.0%
Darvin Kidsy WR 6'0, 183 JR 26 17 240 2 14.1 9.2 65.4% 42.3% 6.8%
Chris Loving TE 6'4, 258 SR 22 13 148 1 11.4 6.7 59.1% 50.0% 5.7%
Jeffrey Wilson RB 6'0, 195 SO 20 12 71 0 5.9 3.6 60.0% 40.0% 5.2%
Thaddeous Thompson WR 6'2, 202 JR 19 7 64 0 9.1 3.4 36.8% 26.3% 4.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson RB 5'9, 220 SR 7 2 12 0 6.0 1.7 28.6% 14.3% 1.8%
Willy Ivery RB 5'9, 185 SO 5 2 8 0 4.0 1.6 40.0% 20.0% 1.3%
D'Aundrey Bradley WR 6'2, 180 FR 5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.3%
O'Keeron Rutherford WR 6'5, 190 FR 4 3 17 0 5.7 4.3 75.0% 50.0% 1.0%
Calvin Minor LB 6'3, 213 SO 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.8%
A.J. Ezzard RB 5'10, 207 FR 2 1 8 0 8.0 4.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Andrew Tucker RB 6'0, 203 SO 1 1 4 0 4.0 4.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Rex Rollins RB 6'1, 206 JR 1 1 3 0 3.0 3.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 80.7 119 88.2 113 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 44.1% 103 51.7% 111 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.88 127 1.14 82 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.91 62 3.30 118 2.90
SD Sack Rate 4.7% 62 4.8% 73 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 55.6 128 84.8 110 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 22.0% 124 40.2% 125 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.27 128 1.83 81 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 1.95 125 3.70 113 3.20
PD Sack Rate 10.6% 111 4.8% 109 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 66.4 128 79.5 125
Q2 S&P+ 76.4 123 91.8 94
Q3 S&P+ 87.8 105 80.8 122
Q4 S&P+ 94.3 95 90.6 107
1st Down S&P+ 83.1 116 93.8 95
2nd Down S&P+ 82.2 113 74.1 127
3rd Down S&P+ 77.0 122 84.9 117
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.4% 48 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 29.5% 81 34.0%
Adj. Pace -1.6 76 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.8% 65 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.8% 60 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.1% 81 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.2% 120 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.1% 85 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 2.3% 121 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.4% 92 6.3%
PD to INC 28.2% 104 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Kishawn McClain DB 5'11, 201 SO 93.5 13.2% 2.5 0.0 1 3 2 1
James Gray DB 6'0, 190 JR 87.5 12.3% 3.0 0.0 0 4 2 0
Anthony Wallace LB 6'0, 227 SR 59.5 8.4% 2.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Fred Scott LB 5'11, 233 JR 53.0 7.5% 5.5 1.0 0 1 1 0
Zac Whitfield DB 5'9, 190 SR 43.0 6.1% 1.5 0.0 2 4 1 0
Nate Brooks DB 6'0, 170 FR 32.5 4.6% 3.5 0.0 0 3 0 0
Cortney Finney LB 5'11, 220 JR 31.0 4.4% 1.0 0.0 0 1 1 1
Chad Davis DB 5'10, 181 JR 24.0 3.4% 2.5 1.0 1 5 1 0
Jarrian Roberts DE 6'2, 252 JR 22.5 3.2% 10.0 6.5 0 1 0 0
Austin Orr DT 6'4, 264 SR 21.0 3.0% 6.5 0.5 0 0 0 0
T.J. Tauaalo DT 6'2, 287 FR 20.0 2.8% 2.0 0.5 0 0 0 0
Blake Bean LB 6'1, 223 SR 18.5 2.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Calvin Minor LB 6'3, 213 SO 17.0 2.4% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Brandon Garner LB 5'11, 225 FR 16.5 2.3% 4.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Jareid Combs DE 6'3, 258 JR 16.0 2.3% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Roderick Young DT 6'1, 287 FR 14.5 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Sir Calvin Wallace DT 6'2, 308 JR 14.0 2.0% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Malik Dilonga DE 6'4, 264 JR 13.5 1.9% 4.5 3.0 0 0 0 0
Chad Polk DE 6'0, 231 SR 12.5 1.8% 3.0 2.5 0 0 1 0
Andy Flusche DE 6'3, 259 SO 11.0 1.6% 2.5 1.0 0 1 0 0
Matthew Dash DB 6'0, 188 SR 11.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
John Schilleci DB 6'0, 201 JR 8.5 1.2% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Jamal Marshall DB 6'3, 203 SR 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Ashton Preston DB 5'10, 183 FR 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Cedric Fernandes DB 5'10, 176 FR 5.5 0.8% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.9 102
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.25 104
Punt Success Rate 55.3% 65
Kickoff Success Rate 70.0% 66
Punt Return Success Rate 55.0% 44
Kick Return Success Rate 48.1% 55
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Trevor Moore 5'11, 194 SO 21-21 9-14 64.3%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Eric Keena 6'2, 175 JR 60 44.2 3 24 16 66.7%
Blake Macek 5'11, 190 JR 14 35.9 5 5 6 78.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Eric Keena 6'2, 175 JR 32 62.9 14 43.8% 1 0 1 0
Trevor Moore 5'11, 194 SO 8 63.5 1 12.5% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tre Johnson 5'6, 153 JR 11 12.6 1 4 0 (0)
Darvin Kidsy 6'0, 183 JR 8 4.0 0 0 1 (1)
James Gray 6'0, 190 JR 1 1.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
D'Aundrey Bradley 6'2, 180 FR 17 19.4 0 0 0 (0)
Jeffrey Wilson 6'0, 195 SO 12 23.3 0 0 0 (0)
Tre Johnson 5'6, 153 JR 9 28.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics