Updated on 8/21/2016
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Got position corrections? Note them here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
2015 | 2016
North Texas Mean Green (Conference USA West)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 1-11 | Second-order wins (diff.): 0.8 (-0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 128 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 12-Sep | at SMU | 104 | 13-31 | L | 1% | -18.3 | 11% | 1% | 38% |
| 19-Sep | Rice | 119 | 24-38 | L | 7% | -11.7 | 37% | 25% | 15% |
| 26-Sep | at Iowa | 47 | 16-62 | L | 0% | -34.5 | 21% | 26% | 6% |
| 3-Oct | at Southern Miss | 58 | 14-49 | L | 0% | -34.7 | 31% | 28% | 15% |
| 10-Oct | Portland State | N/A | 7-66 | L | 0% | -57.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 15-Oct | Western Kentucky | 11 | 28-55 | L | 0% | -25.7 | 26% | 55% | 22% |
| 24-Oct | at Marshall | 64 | 13-30 | L | 1% | -18.9 | 26% | 28% | 52% |
| 31-Oct | UTSA | 113 | 30-23 | W | 61% | 2.2 | 31% | 44% | 31% |
| 7-Nov | at Louisiana Tech | 54 | 13-56 | L | 0% | -27.8 | 20% | 27% | 30% |
| 14-Nov | at Tennessee | 22 | 0-24 | L | 0% | -32.6 | 14% | 7% | 45% |
| 21-Nov | at Middle Tennessee | 82 | 7-41 | L | 0% | -20.7 | 17% | 31% | 24% |
| 28-Nov | UTEP | 126 | 17-20 | L | 12% | -9.6 | 10% | 6% | 65% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 16.2 | 123 | 39.1 | 118 |
| Points Per Game | 15.2 | 124 | 41.3 | 122 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 0.97 | 128 | 1.30 | 87 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 35.9% | 112 | 48.5% | 121 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.1 | 89 | 29.5 | 60 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 3.25 | 126 | 5.56 | 122 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -10.54 | 123 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +1.48 |
||
| ACTUAL | -7 | 105 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 95.5 | 94 | 81.6 | 121 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 42.4% | 69 | 51.0% | 121 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.96 | 110 | 1.08 | 67 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 87.9 | 116 | 85.9 | 119 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 40.7% | 41 | 42.2% | 105 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 64.1% | 79 | 74.2% | 107 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.9% | 106 | 14.5% | 119 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Jeffrey Wilson | RB | 6'0, 195 | SO | 155 | 830 | 1 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 40.6% | 5 (4) |
| DaMarcus Smith | QB | 6'1, 216 | JR | 81 | 526 | 2 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 49.4% | 7 (3) |
| Antoinne Jimmerson | RB | 5'9, 220 | SR | 70 | 272 | 1 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 28.6% | 1 (0) |
| Willy Ivery | RB | 5'9, 185 | SO | 44 | 290 | 2 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 45.5% | 2 (2) |
| Andrew Tucker | RB | 6'0, 203 | SO | 15 | 75 | 0 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 33.3% | 1 (1) |
| A.J. Ezzard | RB | 5'10, 207 | FR | 14 | 60 | 1 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 57.1% | 0 (0) |
| Andrew McNulty | QB | 6'1, 211 | SR | 12 | 76 | 0 | 6.3 | 4.6 | 50.0% | 3 (1) |
| Carlos Harris | WR | 5'8, 185 | SR | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 28.6% | 0 (0) |
| Jarrod Lynn | FB | 6'0, 244 | SR | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 51.6 | 128 | 90.3 | 98 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 29.4% | 126 | 45.7% | 113 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 0.98 | 128 | 1.58 | 99 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 71.7 | 112 | 75.8 | 104 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| DaMarcus Smith | 6'1, 216 | JR | 99 | 212 | 1010 | 8 | 5 | 46.7% | 12 | 5.4% | 4.1 |
| Andrew McNulty | 6'1, 211 | SR | 81 | 170 | 820 | 3 | 4 | 47.6% | 14 | 7.6% | 3.9 |
| Josh Greer | 6'5, 212 | JR | 8 | 23 | 97 | 0 | 2 | 34.8% | 1 | 4.2% | 3.9 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Carlos Harris | WR | 5'8, 185 | SR | 118 | 61 | 727 | 7 | 11.9 | 6.2 | 51.7% | 34.7% | 30.7% |
| Marcus Smith | TE | 6'4, 242 | SR | 61 | 29 | 261 | 0 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 47.5% | 32.8% | 15.9% |
| Turner Smiley | WR | 6'0, 189 | SO | 58 | 25 | 255 | 1 | 10.2 | 4.4 | 43.1% | 39.7% | 15.1% |
| Tee Goree | WR | 6'3, 173 | FR | 27 | 15 | 118 | 1 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 55.6% | 37.0% | 7.0% |
| Darvin Kidsy | WR | 6'0, 183 | JR | 26 | 17 | 240 | 2 | 14.1 | 9.2 | 65.4% | 42.3% | 6.8% |
| Chris Loving | TE | 6'4, 258 | SR | 22 | 13 | 148 | 1 | 11.4 | 6.7 | 59.1% | 50.0% | 5.7% |
| Jeffrey Wilson | RB | 6'0, 195 | SO | 20 | 12 | 71 | 0 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 5.2% |
| Thaddeous Thompson | WR | 6'2, 202 | JR | 19 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 36.8% | 26.3% | 4.9% |
| Antoinne Jimmerson | RB | 5'9, 220 | SR | 7 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 1.8% |
| Willy Ivery | RB | 5'9, 185 | SO | 5 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 1.3% |
| D'Aundrey Bradley | WR | 6'2, 180 | FR | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3% |
| O'Keeron Rutherford | WR | 6'5, 190 | FR | 4 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% |
| Calvin Minor | LB | 6'3, 213 | SO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% |
| A.J. Ezzard | RB | 5'10, 207 | FR | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tucker | RB | 6'0, 203 | SO | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Rex Rollins | RB | 6'1, 206 | JR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 80.7 | 119 | 88.2 | 113 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 44.1% | 103 | 51.7% | 111 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 0.88 | 127 | 1.14 | 82 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.91 | 62 | 3.30 | 118 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 4.7% | 62 | 4.8% | 73 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 55.6 | 128 | 84.8 | 110 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 22.0% | 124 | 40.2% | 125 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.27 | 128 | 1.83 | 81 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 1.95 | 125 | 3.70 | 113 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 10.6% | 111 | 4.8% | 109 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 66.4 | 128 | 79.5 | 125 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 76.4 | 123 | 91.8 | 94 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 87.8 | 105 | 80.8 | 122 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 94.3 | 95 | 90.6 | 107 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 83.1 | 116 | 93.8 | 95 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 82.2 | 113 | 74.1 | 127 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 77.0 | 122 | 84.9 | 117 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 62.4% | 48 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 29.5% | 81 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | -1.6 | 76 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 74.8% | 65 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 60.8% | 60 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 32.1% | 81 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 12.2% | 120 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.1% | 85 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 2.3% | 121 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 5.4% | 92 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 28.2% | 104 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Kishawn McClain | DB | 5'11, 201 | SO | 93.5 | 13.2% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| James Gray | DB | 6'0, 190 | JR | 87.5 | 12.3% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Anthony Wallace | LB | 6'0, 227 | SR | 59.5 | 8.4% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Fred Scott | LB | 5'11, 233 | JR | 53.0 | 7.5% | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Zac Whitfield | DB | 5'9, 190 | SR | 43.0 | 6.1% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Nate Brooks | DB | 6'0, 170 | FR | 32.5 | 4.6% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Cortney Finney | LB | 5'11, 220 | JR | 31.0 | 4.4% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Chad Davis | DB | 5'10, 181 | JR | 24.0 | 3.4% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Jarrian Roberts | DE | 6'2, 252 | JR | 22.5 | 3.2% | 10.0 | 6.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Orr | DT | 6'4, 264 | SR | 21.0 | 3.0% | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Tauaalo | DT | 6'2, 287 | FR | 20.0 | 2.8% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blake Bean | LB | 6'1, 223 | SR | 18.5 | 2.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Calvin Minor | LB | 6'3, 213 | SO | 17.0 | 2.4% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Garner | LB | 5'11, 225 | FR | 16.5 | 2.3% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jareid Combs | DE | 6'3, 258 | JR | 16.0 | 2.3% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roderick Young | DT | 6'1, 287 | FR | 14.5 | 2.0% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sir Calvin Wallace | DT | 6'2, 308 | JR | 14.0 | 2.0% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Dilonga | DE | 6'4, 264 | JR | 13.5 | 1.9% | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Polk | DE | 6'0, 231 | SR | 12.5 | 1.8% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andy Flusche | DE | 6'3, 259 | SO | 11.0 | 1.6% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Dash | DB | 6'0, 188 | SR | 11.0 | 1.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| John Schilleci | DB | 6'0, 201 | JR | 8.5 | 1.2% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamal Marshall | DB | 6'3, 203 | SR | 8.5 | 1.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashton Preston | DB | 5'10, 183 | FR | 8.0 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cedric Fernandes | DB | 5'10, 176 | FR | 5.5 | 0.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.9 | 102 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.25 | 104 |
| Punt Success Rate | 55.3% | 65 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 70.0% | 66 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 55.0% | 44 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 48.1% | 55 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Trevor Moore | 5'11, 194 | SO | 21-21 | 9-14 | 64.3% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Eric Keena | 6'2, 175 | JR | 60 | 44.2 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 66.7% |
| Blake Macek | 5'11, 190 | JR | 14 | 35.9 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 78.6% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Eric Keena | 6'2, 175 | JR | 32 | 62.9 | 14 | 43.8% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Trevor Moore | 5'11, 194 | SO | 8 | 63.5 | 1 | 12.5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Tre Johnson | 5'6, 153 | JR | 11 | 12.6 | 1 | 4 | 0 (0) |
| Darvin Kidsy | 6'0, 183 | JR | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| James Gray | 6'0, 190 | JR | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| D'Aundrey Bradley | 6'2, 180 | FR | 17 | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Jeffrey Wilson | 6'0, 195 | SO | 12 | 23.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tre Johnson | 5'6, 153 | JR | 9 | 28.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics