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2015 UTSA advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

UTSA Roadrunners (Conference USA West)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.4 (1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 113
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Arizona 77 32-42 L 46% -0.8 68% 33% 61%
12-Sep Kansas State 84 3-30 L 3% -15.4 17% 14% 31%
19-Sep at Oklahoma State 33 14-69 L 0% -32.2 15% 18% 10%
26-Sep Colorado State 81 31-33 L 68% 3.7 80% 76% 47%
3-Oct at UTEP 126 25-6 W 76% 5.7 65% 10% 93%
10-Oct at Louisiana Tech 54 31-34 L 19% -6.9 37% 47% 73%
17-Oct at Southern Miss 58 10-32 L 0% -35.4 18% 12% 36%
31-Oct at North Texas 128 23-30 L 39% -2.2 2% 16% 5%
7-Nov Old Dominion 110 31-36 L 52% 0.3 20% 44% 25%
14-Nov at Charlotte 124 30-27 W 51% 0.3 11% 28% 35%
21-Nov Rice 119 34-24 W 90% 10.4 45% 54% 41%
28-Nov Middle Tennessee 82 7-42 L 0% -32.5 13% 13% 21%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 20.1 113 34.5 103
Points Per Game 22.6 104 33.8 101
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.22 87 1.24 61 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 39.0% 98 43.7% 88 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.4 82 30.8 90 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.04 113 4.60 59 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -0.94 77 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-0.03
ACTUAL -1 74
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 91.9 107 99.7 69 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 40.7% 86 43.1% 78 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.12 42 0.95 15 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 98.7 80 87.1 118 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.6% 85 37.6% 57 38.9%
Power Success Rate 75.7% 18 70.2% 95 66.3%
Stuff Rate 19.5% 70 15.2% 114 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Jarveon Williams RB 5'9, 200 JR 173 1042 8 6.0 7.7 37.6% 0 (0)
Dalton Sturm QB 6'1, 180 SO 96 556 1 5.8 4.6 50.0% 3 (2)
Jalen Rhodes RB 5'9, 185 FR 60 242 3 4.0 2.6 33.3% 2 (2)
Tyrell Clay RB 5'9, 200 SO 43 197 3 4.6 4.1 30.2% 0 (0)
Blake Bogenschutz QB 6'0, 195 FR 33 103 1 3.1 5.7 27.3% 4 (2)
Aaron Grubb WR 5'8, 180 SR 12 56 0 4.7 2.6 33.3% 1 (1)
Kerry Thomas Jr. WR 6'0, 200 SO 7 44 0 6.3 5.7 42.9% 0 (0)
Derrick Dick WR 5'8, 185 FR 7 14 0 2.0 1.2 57.1% 3 (1)
Russell Bellomy QB 6'3, 220 SR 6 27 0 4.5 4.9 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 76.9 116 87.3 106 100.0
Passing Success Rate 37.1% 93 44.3% 103 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.34 99 1.54 89 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 53.5 126 77.1 102 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Dalton Sturm 6'1, 180 SO 125 212 1354 13 7 59.0% 32 13.1% 4.8
Blake Bogenschutz 6'0, 195 FR 81 137 897 4 4 59.1% 10 6.8% 5.6
Russell Bellomy 6'3, 220 SR 4 10 39 0 0 40.0% 1 9.1% 3.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Kerry Thomas Jr. WR 6'0, 200 SO 80 52 541 4 10.4 6.8 65.0% 45.0% 24.0%
David Morgan II TE 6'4, 260 SR 76 45 566 5 12.6 7.5 59.2% 50.0% 22.8%
Aaron Grubb WR 5'8, 180 SR 63 42 344 3 8.2 5.5 66.7% 42.9% 18.9%
JaBryce Taylor WR 6'1, 220 JR 46 29 472 3 16.3 10.3 63.0% 43.5% 13.8%
Aron Taylor WR 6'1, 195 SO 15 11 147 1 13.4 9.8 73.3% 66.7% 4.5%
Jarveon Williams RB 5'9, 200 JR 12 9 60 0 6.7 5.0 75.0% 33.3% 3.6%
Kenny Bias WR 6'1, 180 SR 11 4 54 0 13.5 4.9 36.4% 18.2% 3.3%
Jalen Rhodes RB 5'9, 185 FR 8 5 47 0 9.4 5.9 62.5% 37.5% 2.4%
Brady Jones WR 5'10, 180 SO 6 5 52 0 10.4 8.7 83.3% 50.0% 1.8%
Tyrell Clay RB 5'9, 200 SO 4 2 10 0 5.0 2.5 50.0% 25.0% 1.2%
Brett Winnegan RB 5'9, 185 FR 2 2 10 0 5.0 5.0 100.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Derrick Dick WR 5'8, 185 FR 2 1 5 0 5.0 2.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Greg Campbell Jr. WR 6'0, 180 FR 2 1 3 0 3.0 1.5 50.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Halen Steward RB 5'10, 260 FR 2 1 1 1 1.0 0.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.6%
Corbin White RB 5'11, 235 JR 1 1 14 0 14.0 14.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Triston Crossland TE 6'2, 235 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 87.3 111 97.1 79 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.4% 69 47.5% 78 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.01 106 1.07 50 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.96 55 3.12 97 2.90
SD Sack Rate 9.6% 123 4.3% 93 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 75.9 120 86.5 106 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 24.4% 115 34.2% 106 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.99 15 1.86 90 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.98 88 3.37 81 3.20
PD Sack Rate 12.3% 123 5.3% 100 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 71.6 124 99.3 62
Q2 S&P+ 68.9 127 89.8 99
Q3 S&P+ 103.3 68 92.5 96
Q4 S&P+ 96.5 90 92.9 97
1st Down S&P+ 86.0 113 101.2 63
2nd Down S&P+ 77.6 123 83.8 115
3rd Down S&P+ 92.6 95 95.9 90
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 60.7% 63 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 36.8% 41 34.0%
Adj. Pace +0.9 51 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.9% 64 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.2% 82 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.4% 78 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 13.4% 108 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 4.7% 65 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 1.7% 126 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 6.9% 41 6.3%
PD to INC 35.8% 36 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Duke Wheeler S 5'9, 200 SR 77.5 11.4% 1.0 0.0 0 3 1 0
Nate Gaines S 6'2, 195 SO 62.0 9.1% 0.5 0.0 3 6 0 0
Marcos Curry LB 5'11, 220 SO 57.0 8.4% 4.5 2.0 0 2 1 1
Drew Douglas LB 6'1, 225 SR 57.0 8.4% 4.5 1.0 0 2 0 0
Michael Egwuagu S 6'0, 225 JR 49.5 7.3% 3.5 1.5 3 5 0 0
Jason Neill DT 6'2, 260 SR 46.0 6.7% 11.0 8.5 0 0 1 0
Bennett Okotcha CB 6'0, 195 SR 43.0 6.3% 0.0 0.0 4 9 1 0
Marcus Davenport DE 6'6, 225 SO 39.5 5.8% 7.5 4.0 0 3 2 0
Mauricio Sanchez S 6'0, 205 SR 30.0 4.4% 1.0 0.0 1 1 2 0
Brian Price DT 6'3, 305 SR 24.0 3.5% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Kevin Strong Jr. DT 6'3, 285 FR 21.5 3.2% 6.5 2.5 0 2 0 0
Jonathan Tuiolosega DT 6'1, 285 JR 17.5 2.6% 2.5 0.5 0 1 0 0
Trevor Baker CB 6'2, 195 SR 15.5 2.3% 2.0 0.0 3 7 0 0
Stanley Dye Jr. CB 5'9, 170 FR 15.5 2.3% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 1
Romario Napoles DE 6'0, 230 JR 13.0 1.9% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0 0
Darryl Godfrey S 5'11, 180 FR 12.0 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 1 0
Aneas Henricks CB 5'11, 180 SO 10.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0
Dalton Miller LB 5'11, 220 JR 8.5 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Justyn Eddins DE 6'3, 250 SR 8.0 1.2% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Justin Chavez S 5'10, 190 SO 8.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Vontrell King-Williams DT 6'2, 320 JR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
C.J. Levine S 5'10, 180 FR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Carl Austin III S 6'0, 185 FR 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kennedy Ubabuike DT 6'2, 295 SR 6.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kevin Garcia LB 6'2, 225 JR 6.0 0.9% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.5 126
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.42 117
Punt Success Rate 42.4% 120
Kickoff Success Rate 76.8% 40
Punt Return Success Rate 57.9% 34
Kick Return Success Rate 44.9% 68
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Daniel Portillo 6'0, 170 SO 27-32 10-17 58.8%
Victor Falcon 5'11, 200 FR 2-2 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Yannis Routsas 6'3, 200 FR 63 39.0 4 23 17 63.5%
Daniel Portillo 6'0, 170 SO 4 37.3 0 0 2 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Daniel Portillo 6'0, 170 SO 41 63.6 16 39.0% 0 1 1 0
Victor Falcon 5'11, 200 FR 15 64.3 9 60.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Derrick Dick 5'8, 185 FR 16 4.7 0 19 2 (1)
JaBryce Taylor 6'1, 220 JR 2 1.5 0 0 1 (1)
Justin Chavez 5'10, 190 SO 1 20.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brett Winnegan 5'9, 185 FR 36 20.8 0 0 2 (1)
Derrick Dick 5'8, 185 FR 26 22.8 0 0 0 (0)
Jalen Rhodes 5'9, 185 FR 5 18.8 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics