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2016 Southern Miss advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Conference USA West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-6 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.9 (-0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 78
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Kentucky 67 44-35 W 22% -5.9 28% 55% 29%
10-Sep Savannah State N/A 56-0 W 100% 79.7 90% 81% 95%
17-Sep Troy 63 31-37 L 45% -1.0 45% 50% 75%
24-Sep at UTEP 122 34-7 W 99% 17.3 59% 38% 83%
1-Oct Rice 121 44-28 W 99% 17.7 60% 74% 39%
8-Oct at UTSA 103 32-55 L 0% -21.3 5% 68% 1%
15-Oct at LSU 4 10-45 L 0% -37.4 11% 31% 11%
29-Oct Marshall 118 24-14 W 97% 14.6 56% 39% 81%
5-Nov Charlotte 125 27-38 L 21% -6.5 12% 41% 9%
12-Nov at Old Dominion 73 35-51 L 3% -14.4 18% 37% 42%
19-Nov at North Texas 107 23-29 L 8% -11.0 12% 18% 31%
25-Nov Louisiana Tech 59 39-24 W 99% 19.6 87% 61% 99%
17-Dec vs. UL-Lafayette 102 28-21 W 98% 16.0 66% 71% 64%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 27.0 83 31.6 84
Points Per Game 32.8 41 29.5 74
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.30 53 1.57 127 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.0% 81 35.0% 7 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.3 118 33.4 122 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.70 45 4.92 104 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -11.25 126 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.21
ACTUAL -17 127
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 92.4 99 95.7 83 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.6% 84 39.3% 34 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.99 100 1.34 124 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 83.3 122 109.1 35 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.3% 47 37.9% 47 39.7%
Power Success Rate 71.2% 45 54.2% 4 67.9%
Stuff Rate 19.2% 71 24.7% 10 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Ito Smith RB 5'9, 195 JR 265 1459 17 5.5 5.5 41.5% 3 (2)
George Payne RB 6'0, 207 JR 103 496 2 4.8 3.9 42.7% 1 (1)
Keon Howard QB 6'1, 205 FR 35 236 2 6.7 5.7 48.6% 7 (5)
Tez Parks RB 6'1, 210 SO 33 163 0 4.9 2.7 54.5% 1 (0)
Nick Mullens QB 6'1, 196 SR 32 91 4 2.8 1.4 21.9% 6 (4)
Parker Adamson QB 6'4, 214 JR 15 55 1 3.7 1.9 33.3% 0 (0)
Tyre'oune Holmes WR 5'11, 170 JR 4 30 0 7.5 4.0 75.0% 0 (0)
Allenzae Staggers WR 6'1, 190 JR 3 39 0 13.0 12.6 66.7% 3 (2)
Collin Kilcrease RB 6'1, 199 SO 3 8 0 2.7 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 99.3 68 102.7 55 100.0
Passing Success Rate 40.5% 67 30.1% 3 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.60 28 1.91 127 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 99.2 67 150.3 12 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Nick Mullens 6'1, 196 SR 243 384 3272 24 11 63.3% 19 4.7% 7.8
Keon Howard 6'1, 205 FR 22 50 365 1 4 44.0% 10 16.7% 4.7
Parker Adamson 6'4, 214 JR 19 39 193 1 0 48.7% 0 0.0% 4.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Allenzae Staggers WR 6'1, 190 JR 85 62 1157 7 18.7 13.6 72.9% 55.3% 18.8%
D.J. Thompson WR 6'3, 200 SR 79 47 510 6 10.9 6.5 59.5% 49.4% 17.5%
Ito Smith RB 5'9, 195 JR 63 43 459 2 10.7 7.3 68.3% 36.5% 13.9%
Korey Robertson WR 6'1, 210 SO 58 37 437 3 11.8 7.5 63.8% 48.3% 12.8%
Isaiah Jones WR 6'4, 195 JR 44 20 331 2 16.6 7.5 45.5% 31.8% 9.7%
Chase Whitehead WR 5'9, 175 SO 34 18 286 2 15.9 8.4 52.9% 41.2% 7.5%
Julian Allen TE 6'3, 234 JR 25 20 363 1 18.2 14.5 80.0% 56.0% 5.5%
Marquise Ricard WR 6'2, 192 JR 20 12 182 2 15.2 9.1 60.0% 60.0% 4.4%
Tyre'oune Holmes WR 5'11, 170 JR 14 8 102 0 12.8 7.3 57.1% 42.9% 3.1%
George Payne RB 6'0, 207 JR 12 10 67 0 6.7 5.6 83.3% 41.7% 2.7%
Tez Parks RB 6'1, 210 SO 4 1 9 0 9.0 2.3 25.0% 25.0% 0.9%
Jarell Aaron WR 6'5, 203 SR 3 2 13 0 6.5 4.3 66.7% 33.3% 0.7%
Jay'Shawn Washington TE 6'1, 240 SO 2 2 22 1 11.0 11.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.4%
Devonta Foster DB 6'0, 190 SR 2 1 8 0 8.0 4.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Shawn Brickley WR 5'9, 162 SR 2 1 8 0 8.0 4.0 50.0% 50.0% 0.4%
Jerry Harris OL 6'3, 302 JR 1 1 3 0 3.0 3.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 97.8 81 89.6 109 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.4% 81 42.5% 24 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.13 59 1.47 128 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.87 83 2.49 15 2.98
SD Sack Rate 6.4% 97 6.0% 42 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 96.5 85 126.0 13 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 30.2% 75 22.0% 5 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.81 46 1.88 106 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.07 125 3.03 43 3.24
PD Sack Rate 6.0% 38 14.2% 6 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 90.7 96 84.0 121
Q2 S&P+ 119.3 20 96.6 82
Q3 S&P+ 98.8 71 110.4 31
Q4 S&P+ 88.9 108 127.9 5
1st Down S&P+ 98.3 79 89.1 110
2nd Down S&P+ 94.2 94 112.0 34
3rd Down S&P+ 105.4 64 120.2 18
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 55.2% 90 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 34.2% 64 34.6%
Adj. Pace +7.0 15 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 70.3% 101 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.1% 39 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.3% 37 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 20.9% 7 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 8.4% 10 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 6.1% 14 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.4% 57 6.4%
PD to INC 35.9% 39 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
D'Nerius Antoine LB 6'0, 215 SR 69.5 11.9% 3.0 1.0 0 5 1
Dylan Bradley DL 6'1, 265 SR 47.5 8.1% 15.5 8.5 0 3 2
Cornell Armstrong DB 5'11, 180 JR 41.0 7.0% 1.0 0.0 1 8 0
Picasso Nelson Jr. DB 5'10, 195 JR 37.0 6.3% 2.0 0.0 2 2 0
Devonta Foster DB 6'0, 190 SR 36.5 6.2% 1.0 0.0 2 4 0
Elijah Parker LB 6'2, 220 SR 33.5 5.7% 7.5 2.5 0 3 0
Curtis Mikell DB 5'8, 170 JR 33.5 5.7% 3.5 2.0 2 4 1
Sherrod Ruff LB 5'10, 215 JR 29.0 5.0% 11.0 3.0 0 0 3
Xavier Thigpen DL 6'5, 240 JR 26.5 4.5% 12.5 5.0 0 2 2
Darian Yancey LB 6'1, 250 SO 23.0 3.9% 5.0 2.5 0 1 1
Trae Collins DB 5'11, 184 JR 22.0 3.8% 2.0 0.0 1 2 0
Ja'Boree Poole DL 6'2, 250 SR 21.5 3.7% 9.5 7.0 0 2 0
LaDarius Harris DL 6'1, 280 SO 18.5 3.2% 5.0 0.5 0 0 0
Deshadrick Truly DB 6'0, 195 SR 18.5 3.2% 1.5 0.0 0 2 0
C.J. Perry LB 6'0, 233 SR 17.5 3.0% 2.5 0.5 0 0 0
Tarvarius Moore DB 6'2, 190 JR 14.0 2.4% 0.0 0.0 2 2 0
Draper Riley DL 6'4, 305 JR 13.0 2.2% 3.5 0.0 0 0 0
Kelsey Douglas DB 5'11, 192 JR 13.0 2.2% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Walden Davis DB 5'10, 192 SO 8.0 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Paxton Schrimsher LB 6'3, 225 FR 6.0 1.0% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Jeremy Sangster LB 6'0, 233 SO 6.0 1.0% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Derrick Dixon DL 6'3, 240 JR 5.5 0.9% 2.5 0.5 0 0 0
Justin Abston DB 5'11, 182 JR 5.0 0.9% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Demarrio Smith DL 6'2, 264 FR 4.5 0.8% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0
Rod Crayton DL 6'1, 287 JR 4.5 0.8% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 1.1 27
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.35 24
Punt Success Rate 65.5% 23
Kickoff Success Rate 49.4% 121
Punt Return Success Rate 44.4% 87
Kick Return Success Rate 46.3% 48
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Parker Shaunfield 6'0, 170 SO 40-40 12-14 85.7%
Stephen Brauchle 6'1, 205 SR 10-12 3-4 75.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Tyler Sarrazin 6'3, 204 SR 53 44.7 5 12 14 49.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Tyler Sarrazin 6'3, 204 SR 53 60.6 16 30.2% 4 2 0 0
Stephen Brauchle 6'1, 205 SR 18 53.4 0 0.0% 3 0 2 0
Parker Shaunfield 6'0, 170 SO 10 56.8 2 20.0% 0 3 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Allenzae Staggers 6'1, 190 JR 21 9.8 1 13 2 (1)
D'Nerius Antoine 6'0, 215 SR 5 8.4 0 4 1 (1)
Tyre'oune Holmes 5'11, 170 JR 1 5.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Tez Parks 6'1, 210 SO 19 19.4 0 0 1 (0)
Curtis Mikell 5'8, 170 JR 7 16.6 0 0 0 (0)
Isaiah Jones 6'4, 195 JR 7 21.3 0 0 1 (1)

Stats via SportSource Analytics