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2015 Oklahoma State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

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2015 | 2016

Oklahoma State Cowboys (Big 12)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.6 (-1.4) | S&P+ Rk: 33
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Central Michigan 78 24-13 W 92% 11.1 90% 76% 76%
12-Sep Central Arkansas N/A 32-8 W 100% 20.6 71% 71% 47%
19-Sep UTSA 113 69-14 W 100% 32.2 94% 95% 72%
26-Sep at Texas 72 30-27 W 93% 11.8 84% 37% 72%
3-Oct Kansas State 84 36-34 W 89% 9.7 87% 62% 49%
10-Oct at West Virginia 24 33-26 W 51% 0.2 60% 56% 85%
24-Oct Kansas 127 58-10 W 100% 38.4 65% 51% 83%
31-Oct at Texas Tech 62 70-53 W 87% 9.2 62% 79% 55%
7-Nov TCU 26 49-29 W 100% 22.6 97% 95% 82%
14-Nov at Iowa State 70 35-31 W 38% -2.4 20% 59% 15%
21-Nov Baylor 14 35-45 L 7% -12.0 39% 64% 56%
28-Nov Oklahoma 4 23-58 L 1% -20.6 20% 70% 19%
1-Jan vs. Ole Miss 5 20-48 L 0% -24.1 20% 52% 33%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 38.1 23 28.1 63
Points Per Game 39.5 14 30.5 88
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.36 27 1.31 90 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 43.4% 45 41.1% 64 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.1 42 26.9 12 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.41 11 5.14 107 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.16 97 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+6.22
ACTUAL 13 6
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 84.6 114 104.7 51 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 38.9% 101 42.7% 77 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.94 116 1.09 70 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 76 127 105.2 42 100.0
Opportunity Rate 38.3% 75 40.6% 90 38.9%
Power Success Rate 64.4% 75 71.2% 97 66.3%
Stuff Rate 22.0% 96 19.2% 80 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Chris Carson RB 6'2, 202 JR 131 517 4 3.9 3.0 38.2% 1 (0)
J.W. Walsh QB 6'2, 215 SR 77 359 13 4.7 5.5 35.1% 2 (0)
Rennie Childs RB 5'10, 205 JR 72 281 2 3.9 3.7 37.5% 0 (0)
Raymond Taylor RB 5'8, 195 JR 47 297 4 6.3 6.4 42.6% 0 (0)
Mason Rudolph QB 6'4, 220 SO 37 140 1 3.8 6.2 35.1% 6 (2)
Jeff Carr RB 5'7, 168 FR 36 142 1 3.9 4.2 27.8% 1 (0)
Brandon Sheperd WR 6'1, 195 SR 7 39 0 5.6 2.8 57.1% 0 (0)
Jalen McCleskey WR 5'10, 156 FR 4 25 0 6.3 3.3 75.0% 5 (2)
Taylor Cornelius QB 6'6, 190 FR 2 21 0 10.5 3.5 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 121.5 18 107.7 42 100.0
Passing Success Rate 46.7% 16 39.3% 54 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.61 27 1.56 96 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 112 45 133.3 20 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Mason Rudolph 6'4, 220 SO 264 424 3770 21 9 62.3% 30 6.6% 7.9
J.W. Walsh 6'2, 215 SR 57 85 787 13 1 67.1% 0 0.0% 9.3
Taylor Cornelius 6'6, 190 FR 2 5 8 0 0 40.0% 2 28.6% -1.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
James Washington WR 6'0, 200 SO 103 53 979 9 18.5 9.5 51.5% 43.7% 20.5%
David Glidden WR 5'8, 185 SR 87 57 866 3 15.2 10.0 65.5% 57.5% 17.3%
Marcell Ateman WR 6'4, 210 JR 70 45 766 5 17.0 10.9 64.3% 60.0% 13.9%
Brandon Sheperd WR 6'1, 195 SR 42 23 338 3 14.7 8.1 54.8% 42.9% 8.4%
Jhajuan Seales WR 6'2, 198 JR 33 18 321 2 17.8 9.7 54.5% 42.4% 6.6%
Jalen McCleskey WR 5'10, 156 FR 32 29 327 4 11.3 10.2 90.6% 46.9% 6.4%
Austin Hays WR 6'2, 190 JR 30 22 200 1 9.1 6.7 73.3% 60.0% 6.0%
Chris Carson RB 6'2, 202 JR 24 17 170 0 10.0 7.1 70.8% 41.7% 4.8%
Blake Jarwin TE 6'5, 242 JR 22 17 200 2 11.8 9.1 77.3% 63.6% 4.4%
Jeff Carr RB 5'7, 168 FR 14 11 43 2 3.9 3.1 78.6% 28.6% 2.8%
Chris Lacy WR 6'3, 195 SO 13 8 120 2 15.0 9.2 61.5% 61.5% 2.6%
Jeremy Seaton FB 6'2, 250 SR 11 7 88 2 12.6 8.0 63.6% 54.5% 2.2%
Rennie Childs RB 5'10, 205 JR 8 8 66 0 8.3 8.3 100.0% 25.0% 1.6%
Zac Veatch TE 6'4, 270 JR 6 5 72 0 14.4 12.0 83.3% 66.7% 1.2%
Kameron Doolittle WR 5'8, 200 SR 2 1 3 0 3.0 1.5 50.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Raymond Taylor RB 5'8, 195 JR 1 1 13 0 13.0 13.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 97.3 83 106.6 41 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.1% 74 46.7% 66 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.08 74 1.15 89 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.40 122 3.04 89 2.90
SD Sack Rate 6.2% 88 6.3% 24 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 130.3 11 108.2 45 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 38.3% 11 28.2% 39 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.99 17 1.89 100 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.20 124 3.33 74 3.20
PD Sack Rate 5.1% 19 13.8% 2 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 115.5 30 103.0 52
Q2 S&P+ 103.5 64 93.2 89
Q3 S&P+ 109.8 40 121.2 17
Q4 S&P+ 121.9 10 110.4 33
1st Down S&P+ 99.8 75 104.7 45
2nd Down S&P+ 121.9 18 111.9 36
3rd Down S&P+ 123.3 15 99.9 72
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 51.5% 108 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 24.9% 112 34.0%
Adj. Pace +1.9 40 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 79.6% 32 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.9% 89 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 38.0% 28 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 15.4% 73 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.9% 44 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 4.1% 70 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.4% 95 6.3%
PD to INC 26.9% 116 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jordan Sterns S 6'1, 205 JR 89.5 10.9% 1.5 0.0 2 3 1 0
Jordan Burton LB 6'3, 215 JR 80.5 9.8% 9.0 3.5 1 0 1 0
Chad Whitener LB 6'1, 240 SO 75.5 9.2% 7.5 2.0 2 0 1 0
Tre Flowers S 6'3, 190 SO 74.5 9.1% 3.0 0.0 2 7 1 0
Emmanuel Ogbah DE 6'4, 275 JR 54.0 6.6% 17.5 13.0 0 4 3 0
Seth Jacobs LB 6'2, 225 JR 53.5 6.5% 8.5 1.0 2 1 0 0
Vincent Taylor DT 6'3, 300 SO 39.0 4.7% 8.5 5.0 0 1 0 0
Kevin Peterson CB 5'11, 190 SR 38.5 4.7% 4.5 0.0 1 6 0 0
Ashton Lampkin CB 5'11, 185 JR 28.0 3.4% 1.0 0.0 1 5 0 0
Devante Averette LB 6'0, 230 JR 25.5 3.1% 3.5 2.0 2 0 0 1
Jimmy Bean DE 6'5, 250 SR 22.5 2.7% 10.5 5.5 0 0 0 0
Jordan Brailford DE 6'3, 240 FR 20.5 2.5% 3.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Michael Hunter CB 6'0, 191 SR 19.0 2.3% 1.0 0.0 2 1 0 0
Kirk Tucker LB 6'2, 195 SO 18.5 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Trace Clark DE 6'4, 257 SR 18.5 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Motekiai Maile DT 6'4, 305 JR 16.5 2.0% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Miketavius Jones CB 5'10, 175 SR 15.0 1.8% 2.5 2.5 0 0 1 0
Ramon Richards CB 6'0, 180 SO 14.5 1.8% 1.0 0.0 2 2 1 0
Darrion Daniels DT 6'3, 320 FR 13.5 1.6% 2.5 0.5 0 0 0 0
Jerel Morrow S 6'0, 190 SO 13.0 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Ryan Simmons LB 6'0, 240 SR 11.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Kenneth Edison-McGruder S 6'2, 205 FR 11.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Deric Robertson S 6'2, 205 JR 11.0 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 1
Jarrell Owens DE 6'3, 265 FR 9.5 1.2% 3.0 3.0 0 1 1 0
Darius Curry CB 6'1, 195 SO 9.0 1.1% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.6 91
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.06 81
Punt Success Rate 57.1% 55
Kickoff Success Rate 55.7% 116
Punt Return Success Rate 30.0% 118
Kick Return Success Rate 47.5% 57
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Ben Grogan 6'1, 186 JR 61-64 16-20 80.0%
Matt Hockett 6'3, 195 FR 1-1 0-1 0.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Zach Sinor 5'11, 195 FR 70 39.9 3 31 28 84.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Ben Grogan 6'1, 186 JR 92 60.1 22 23.9% 0 2 0 0
Matt Hockett 6'3, 195 FR 2 68.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jalen McCleskey 5'10, 156 FR 22 5.0 1 28 5 (2)
Miketavius Jones 5'10, 175 SR 1 32.0 1 0 0 (0)
Brandon Sheperd 6'1, 195 SR 1 17.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jeff Carr 5'7, 168 FR 29 21.5 0 0 1 (0)
Brandon Sheperd 6'1, 195 SR 5 20.6 0 0 0 (0)
James Washington 6'0, 200 SO 3 19.7 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics