Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
Ole Miss Rebels (SEC West)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.0 (1.0) | S&P+ Rk: 27 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 5-Sep | vs. Florida State | 6 | 34-45 | L | 23% | -5.8 | 73% | 73% | 37% |
| 10-Sep | Wofford | N/A | 38-13 | W | 100% | 21.3 | 75% | 47% | 32% |
| 17-Sep | Alabama | 1 | 43-48 | L | 60% | 2.0 | 93% | 98% | 46% |
| 24-Sep | Georgia | 68 | 45-14 | W | 100% | 28.8 | 96% | 99% | 83% |
| 1-Oct | Memphis | 44 | 48-28 | W | 97% | 15.3 | 92% | 87% | 58% |
| 15-Oct | at Arkansas | 48 | 30-34 | L | 70% | 4.2 | 73% | 51% | 57% |
| 22-Oct | at LSU | 4 | 21-38 | L | 0% | -20.4 | 46% | 68% | 30% |
| 29-Oct | Auburn | 13 | 29-40 | L | 38% | -2.5 | 75% | 88% | 35% |
| 5-Nov | Georgia Southern | 91 | 37-27 | W | 88% | 9.3 | 74% | 71% | 51% |
| 12-Nov | at Texas A&M | 24 | 29-28 | W | 19% | -6.9 | 59% | 52% | 52% |
| 19-Nov | at Vanderbilt | 71 | 17-38 | L | 0% | -21.6 | 15% | 8% | 12% |
| 26-Nov | Mississippi State | 56 | 20-55 | L | 0% | -23.4 | 18% | 41% | 7% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 38.7 | 14 | 30.1 | 74 |
| Points Per Game | 32.6 | 42 | 34.0 | 100 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.36 | 27 | 1.35 | 109 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 43.1% | 53 | 42.5% | 62 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 28.8 | 89 | 27.7 | 28 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.45 | 75 | 4.96 | 108 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -3.33 | 94 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +0.14 |
||
| ACTUAL | -3 | 84 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 104.1 | 59 | 99.5 | 66 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 42.0% | 83 | 43.0% | 69 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.05 | 65 | 1.25 | 121 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 113.6 | 15 | 103 | 58 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 39.6% | 69 | 41.3% | 89 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 56.8% | 116 | 64.7% | 45 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.6% | 83 | 18.6% | 70 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Akeem Judd | RB | 5'11, 228 | SR | 165 | 826 | 6 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 37.0% | 0 (0) |
| Chad Kelly | QB | 6'2, 224 | SR | 65 | 425 | 5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 53.8% | 5 (3) |
| Eugene Brazley | RB | 5'9, 192 | JR | 61 | 261 | 2 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 32.8% | 0 (0) |
| Shea Patterson | QB | 6'2, 200 | FR | 33 | 213 | 0 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 57.6% | 3 (1) |
| Jason Pellerin | QB | 6'4, 230 | FR | 28 | 99 | 3 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 32.1% | 1 (1) |
| D'Vaughn Pennamon | RB | 5'11, 218 | FR | 20 | 58 | 1 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 20.0% | 0 (0) |
| D.K. Buford | RB | 5'11, 227 | SO | 10 | 29 | 0 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 20.0% | 0 (0) |
| Van Jefferson | WR | 6'2, 187 | FR | 5 | 40 | 0 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 60.0% | 1 (0) |
| Will Gleeson | P | 6'3, 189 | JR | 1 | 14 | 0 | 14.0 | 6.5 | 100.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 124.1 | 14 | 98.3 | 71 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 44.0% | 34 | 41.7% | 71 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.59 | 29 | 1.49 | 76 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 102 | 58 | 85.3 | 95 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Chad Kelly | 6'2, 224 | SR | 205 | 328 | 2758 | 19 | 8 | 62.5% | 16 | 4.7% | 7.7 |
| Shea Patterson | 6'2, 200 | FR | 72 | 132 | 880 | 6 | 3 | 54.5% | 9 | 6.4% | 5.9 |
| Jason Pellerin | 6'4, 230 | FR | 11 | 22 | 104 | 2 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 4.3% | 4.1 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Evan Engram | TE | 6'3, 235 | SR | 93 | 65 | 926 | 8 | 14.3 | 10.0 | 69.9% | 53.8% | 20.1% |
| Damore'ea Stringfellow | WR | 6'2, 219 | JR | 81 | 46 | 716 | 6 | 15.6 | 8.8 | 56.8% | 51.9% | 17.5% |
| Van Jefferson | WR | 6'2, 192 | FR | 75 | 49 | 543 | 3 | 11.1 | 7.2 | 65.3% | 50.7% | 16.2% |
| Quincy Adeboyejo | WR | 6'3, 195 | SR | 68 | 35 | 456 | 1 | 13.0 | 6.7 | 51.5% | 47.1% | 14.7% |
| A.J. Brown | WR | 6'1, 225 | FR | 43 | 29 | 412 | 2 | 14.2 | 9.6 | 67.4% | 55.8% | 9.3% |
| DaMarkus Lodge | WR | 6'2, 190 | SO | 21 | 15 | 203 | 2 | 13.5 | 9.7 | 71.4% | 38.1% | 4.5% |
| Akeem Judd | RB | 5'11, 224 | SR | 21 | 15 | 106 | 1 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 71.4% | 28.6% | 4.5% |
| Eugene Brazley | RB | 5'9, 192 | JR | 18 | 14 | 114 | 1 | 8.1 | 6.3 | 77.8% | 50.0% | 3.9% |
| Markell Pack | WR | 6'2, 184 | JR | 17 | 11 | 157 | 1 | 14.3 | 9.2 | 64.7% | 52.9% | 3.7% |
| Taz Zettergren | TE | 6'3, 218 | SR | 9 | 4 | 79 | 0 | 19.8 | 8.8 | 44.4% | 44.4% | 1.9% |
| Hunter Thurley | TE | 6'4, 249 | SR | 4 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 17.0 | 8.5 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.9% |
| Octavious Cooley | TE | 6'3, 246 | FR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
| D.K. Metcalf | WR | 6'4, 210 | FR | 3 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.6% |
| D'Vaughn Pennamon | RB | 5'11, 223 | FR | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.4% |
| Dawson Knox | TE | 6'4, 243 | FR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
| Derrick Jones | DB | 6'2, 188 | SR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 115.8 | 17 | 98.5 | 69 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 46.8% | 77 | 46.1% | 49 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.27 | 12 | 1.24 | 116 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.01 | 66 | 2.89 | 56 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.3% | 71 | 2.6% | 114 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 113.0 | 34 | 99.7 | 71 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 34.9% | 28 | 34.0% | 102 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.62 | 108 | 1.70 | 50 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.65 | 27 | 3.36 | 76 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 7.6% | 59 | 9.2% | 30 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 125.3 | 18 | 95.3 | 83 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 120.3 | 17 | 99.7 | 68 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 114.3 | 29 | 98.2 | 70 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 102.7 | 60 | 102.9 | 56 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 118.5 | 18 | 106.4 | 45 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 113.0 | 28 | 94.2 | 92 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 118.8 | 24 | 98.8 | 71 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 51.4% | 107 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 29.0% | 96 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | +2.4 | 42 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 73.2% | 77 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 65.9% | 21 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 41.1% | 16 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 13.6% | 99 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 5.1% | 55 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 2.4% | 119 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.2% | 66 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 31.3% | 85 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| DeMarquis Gates | LB | 6'2, 211 | JR | 59.0 | 8.1% | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Zedrick Woods | DB | 5'11, 203 | SO | 45.5 | 6.3% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Marquis Haynes | DE | 6'3, 222 | JR | 41.0 | 5.7% | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Myles Hartsfield | DB | 5'11, 199 | FR | 36.0 | 5.0% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| A.J. Moore | DB | 5'11, 199 | JR | 32.5 | 4.5% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tony Conner | DB | 6'0, 213 | SR | 30.0 | 4.1% | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Detric Bing-Dukes | LB | 6'1, 247 | SO | 30.0 | 4.1% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rommel Mageo | LB | 6'2, 233 | SR | 30.0 | 4.1% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tayler Polk | LB | 5'11, 212 | JR | 26.5 | 3.7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Fadol Brown | DE | 6'4, 268 | SR | 26.0 | 3.6% | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benito Jones | DT | 6'2, 308 | FR | 26.0 | 3.6% | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Deontay Anderson | DB | 6'1, 211 | FR | 25.0 | 3.4% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Terry Caldwell | LB | 6'1, 216 | SR | 23.5 | 3.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Carlos Davis | DB | 5'8, 170 | SR | 22.0 | 3.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylon Jones | DB | 5'11, 177 | FR | 21.0 | 2.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| D.J. Jones | DT | 6'0, 321 | SR | 20.5 | 2.8% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Bridges | DB | 6'0, 185 | SR | 20.5 | 2.8% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Issac Gross | DT | 6'1, 263 | SR | 20.0 | 2.8% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Breeland Speaks | DT | 6'3, 290 | SO | 19.5 | 2.7% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Derrick Jones | DB | 6'2, 188 | SR | 18.0 | 2.5% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Jalen Julius | DB | 5'10, 180 | FR | 18.0 | 2.5% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ray Ray Smith | LB | 6'2, 216 | JR | 15.5 | 2.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Youngblood | DE | 6'3, 255 | SR | 14.0 | 1.9% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Temario Strong | LB | 6'0, 225 | SR | 13.5 | 1.9% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Garrald McDowell | DE | 6'2, 261 | SO | 12.5 | 1.7% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | 1.1 | 21 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.51 | 11 |
| Punt Success Rate | 58.5% | 49 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 82.3% | 24 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 30.0% | 121 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 35.1% | 99 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Gary Wunderlich | 6'0, 193 | JR | 41-43 | 22-23 | 95.7% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Will Gleeson | 6'3, 189 | JR | 28 | 44.1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 78.6% |
| Gary Wunderlich | 6'0, 193 | JR | 21 | 43.7 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 52.4% |
| Chad Kelly | 6'2, 224 | SR | 3 | 43.7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Nathan Noble | 6'3, 229 | SR | 78 | 63.8 | 32 | 41.0% | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Gary Wunderlich | 6'0, 193 | JR | 1 | 49.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Carlos Davis | 5'8, 170 | SR | 6 | 8.2 | 0 | 15 | 0 (0) |
| Van Jefferson | 6'2, 192 | FR | 4 | 2.8 | 0 | 10 | 1 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Carlos Davis | 5'8, 170 | SR | 33 | 22.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kailo Moore | 5'10, 194 | SR | 3 | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Zedrick Woods | 5'11, 203 | SO | 1 | 26.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics