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2016 East Carolina advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

East Carolina Pirates (American East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.6 (0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 100
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep Western Carolina N/A 52-7 W 100% 33.1 84% 92% 45%
10-Sep NC State 25 33-30 W 18% -7.1 47% 71% 25%
17-Sep at South Carolina 79 15-20 L 60% 1.9 45% 38% 41%
24-Sep at Virginia Tech 17 17-54 L 0% -23.8 18% 42% 10%
1-Oct Central Florida 75 29-47 L 39% -2.2 43% 61% 26%
8-Oct at South Florida 55 22-38 L 1% -19.7 19% 24% 31%
22-Oct at Cincinnati 85 19-31 L 9% -10.6 21% 42% 14%
29-Oct Connecticut 123 41-3 W 100% 30.9 84% 74% 84%
5-Nov at Tulsa 54 24-45 L 1% -19.1 20% 47% 24%
12-Nov SMU 90 31-55 L 31% -3.9 32% 41% 22%
19-Nov Navy 52 31-66 L 0% -26.0 10% 37% 7%
26-Nov at Temple 32 10-37 L 0% -28.1 15% 37% 19%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 28.7 71 35.3 104
Points Per Game 27.0 75 36.1 109
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.21 90 1.37 114 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 41.3% 79 45.3% 103 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 25.9 128 32.4 112 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.19 90 4.72 90 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -10.14 125 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.44
ACTUAL -16 125
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 99.3 79 85.0 117 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 42.5% 74 46.5% 100 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.96 112 1.15 103 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 109.2 34 84.1 125 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.8% 27 42.9% 107 39.7%
Power Success Rate 68.6% 56 71.1% 89 67.9%
Stuff Rate 21.9% 109 18.8% 67 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
James Summers WR 6'3, 218 SR 160 877 7 5.5 5.0 44.4% 1 (1)
Anthony Scott RB 5'9, 189 JR 79 384 2 4.9 4.2 44.3% 5 (3)
Devin Anderson RB 5'9, 208 SO 57 258 2 4.5 3.9 38.6% 0 (0)
Philip Nelson QB 6'1, 216 SR 43 202 2 4.7 2.2 48.8% 3 (1)
Gardner Minshew QB 6'2, 215 SO 12 25 0 2.1 1.5 25.0% 5 (2)
Shawn Furlow RB 5'10, 191 SO 5 23 0 4.6 0.8 60.0% 0 (0)
Zay Jones WR 6'1, 197 SR 4 24 0 6.0 5.1 50.0% 0 (0)
Quay Johnson WR 5'10, 188 JR 4 9 0 2.3 0.0 0.0% 1 (1)
Hussein Howe RB 5'9, 175 FR 3 7 0 2.3 0.0 0.0% 2 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 99.1 69 88.3 111 100.0
Passing Success Rate 40.5% 67 43.6% 91 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.37 103 1.68 122 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 142.7 22 28.6 127 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Philip Nelson 6'1, 216 SR 237 349 2621 16 8 67.9% 19 5.2% 6.7
Gardner Minshew 6'2, 215 SO 119 202 1347 8 4 58.9% 9 4.3% 6.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Zay Jones WR 6'1, 197 SR 221 158 1746 8 11.1 7.9 71.5% 53.8% 42.3%
Jimmy Williams WR 5'11, 194 SR 85 45 818 8 18.2 9.6 52.9% 42.4% 16.3%
Quay Johnson WR 5'10, 188 JR 77 58 563 3 9.7 7.3 75.3% 45.5% 14.7%
Anthony Scott RB 5'9, 189 JR 34 23 164 3 7.1 4.8 67.6% 26.5% 6.5%
Deondre Farrier WR 6'1, 187 FR 29 21 305 1 14.5 10.5 72.4% 62.1% 5.5%
James Summers WR 6'3, 218 SR 25 19 109 1 5.7 4.4 76.0% 24.0% 4.8%
Brandon Bishop WR 5'11, 191 SR 13 10 92 0 9.2 7.1 76.9% 38.5% 2.5%
Devin Anderson RB 5'9, 208 SO 13 9 62 1 6.9 4.8 69.2% 38.5% 2.5%
Terrell Green WR 6'4, 206 SO 12 7 78 0 11.1 6.5 58.3% 50.0% 2.3%
Stephen Baggett TE 6'5, 255 JR 6 5 62 0 12.4 10.3 83.3% 50.0% 1.1%
Jeffrey Coprich WR 5'8, 175 JR 3 2 14 0 7.0 4.7 66.7% 66.7% 0.6%
Philip Nelson QB 6'1, 216 SR 1 1 2 1 2.0 2.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Shawn Furlow RB 5'10, 191 SO 1 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Curtis Burston WR 6'1, 220 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Malik Gray WR 6'1, 203 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Cam Marshmon WR 5'9, 160 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 95.1 92 84.5 124 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.6% 79 50.7% 107 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.97 123 1.29 123 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.08 50 3.52 125 2.98
SD Sack Rate 5.1% 68 1.1% 126 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 115.2 29 100.3 69 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 30.9% 67 31.6% 71 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.90 25 1.70 49 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.37 55 3.21 63 3.24
PD Sack Rate 3.4% 5 2.6% 125 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 97.8 84 100.9 64
Q2 S&P+ 96.9 82 79.8 125
Q3 S&P+ 133.3 6 87.7 111
Q4 S&P+ 97.6 84 90.4 103
1st Down S&P+ 95.3 86 86.8 115
2nd Down S&P+ 107.7 44 89.0 107
3rd Down S&P+ 127.4 11 89.4 102
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 46.4% 121 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 22.1% 122 34.6%
Adj. Pace +6.1 17 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.4% 73 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.6% 31 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 40.4% 17 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.2% 118 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 1.9% 124 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 5.3% 34 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 4.9% 114 6.4%
PD to INC 30.6% 92 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Jordan Williams ILB 6'0, 234 JR 56.0 8.4% 4.0 1.0 0 1 0
Terrell Richardson DB 6'0, 218 SR 51.5 7.8% 5.5 0.0 0 0 0
Dayon Pratt OLB 6'4, 237 SR 47.5 7.2% 7.5 2.5 0 4 3
Cam White ILB 5'11, 218 SR 44.5 6.7% 4.0 0.0 0 2 0
DaShaun Amos DB 6'1, 185 SR 42.5 6.4% 2.0 1.0 0 3 0
Travon Simmons DB 5'10, 187 JR 41.0 6.2% 0.5 0.0 1 3 0
Colby Gore DB 5'11, 175 FR 36.0 5.4% 2.0 1.0 2 5 0
Yiannis Bowden OLB 6'5, 221 SO 33.5 5.1% 7.5 0.0 1 0 1
Devon Sutton DB 5'11, 190 FR 31.0 4.7% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Bobby Fulp DB 6'4, 198 JR 26.5 4.0% 2.5 0.0 1 5 0
Corey Seargent DB 6'0, 172 SO 23.5 3.5% 0.5 0.0 0 6 0
Travis Phillips DB 5'11, 189 JR 21.5 3.2% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Ray Tillman ILB 6'1, 215 JR 21.0 3.2% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Fred Presley DL 6'3, 291 SR 20.0 3.0% 2.5 1.0 0 1 0
DaShawn Benton DB 6'0, 196 SR 20.0 3.0% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Demetri McGill DL 6'1, 295 SR 16.0 2.4% 3.0 0.0 0 1 0
Kiante Anderson OLB 6'4, 252 JR 14.0 2.1% 4.5 0.5 0 0 0
Demage Bailey DL 6'5, 310 JR 13.5 2.0% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Mike Myers DL 6'0, 290 JR 9.0 1.4% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0
Pat Green ILB 6'2, 231 JR 9.0 1.4% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0
Jalen Price DL 6'2, 290 FR 8.0 1.2% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Chris Love DB 5'10, 172 JR 7.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Kendall Futrell LB 6'2, 215 FR 7.0 1.1% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Joe Carter ILB 6'2, 232 SO 7.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Justin Brown DL 6'3, 275 SO 6.5 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.0 101
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.05 59
Punt Success Rate 46.2% 109
Kickoff Success Rate 53.8% 116
Punt Return Success Rate 10.0% 128
Kick Return Success Rate 42.6% 71
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Davis Plowman 5'10, 195 SR 29-30 17-23 73.9%
Jake Verity 6'1, 170 FR 5-5 1-2 50.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Worth Gregory 6'3, 210 SR 51 42.3 2 17 15 62.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Caleb Pratt 6'3, 197 SO 41 59.0 13 31.7% 0 2 2 0
Davis Plowman 5'10, 195 SR 22 60.8 1 4.5% 1 0 3 0
Worth Gregory 6'3, 210 SR 2 49.0 0 0.0% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Quay Johnson 5'10, 188 JR 8 2.1 0 19 0 (0)
C.J. Maybin 6'4, 220 FR 1 0.0 0 0 1 (1)
Devaris Brunson 6'1, 228 SR 1 1.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Chris Love 5'10, 172 JR 21 21.2 0 0 0 (0)
Quay Johnson 5'10, 188 JR 12 17.8 0 0 0 (0)
James Summers 6'3, 218 SR 7 20.4 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics