Updated on 1/13/2017
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2015 | 2016
East Carolina Pirates (American East)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.6 (0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 100 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 3-Sep | Western Carolina | N/A | 52-7 | W | 100% | 33.1 | 84% | 92% | 45% |
| 10-Sep | NC State | 25 | 33-30 | W | 18% | -7.1 | 47% | 71% | 25% |
| 17-Sep | at South Carolina | 79 | 15-20 | L | 60% | 1.9 | 45% | 38% | 41% |
| 24-Sep | at Virginia Tech | 17 | 17-54 | L | 0% | -23.8 | 18% | 42% | 10% |
| 1-Oct | Central Florida | 75 | 29-47 | L | 39% | -2.2 | 43% | 61% | 26% |
| 8-Oct | at South Florida | 55 | 22-38 | L | 1% | -19.7 | 19% | 24% | 31% |
| 22-Oct | at Cincinnati | 85 | 19-31 | L | 9% | -10.6 | 21% | 42% | 14% |
| 29-Oct | Connecticut | 123 | 41-3 | W | 100% | 30.9 | 84% | 74% | 84% |
| 5-Nov | at Tulsa | 54 | 24-45 | L | 1% | -19.1 | 20% | 47% | 24% |
| 12-Nov | SMU | 90 | 31-55 | L | 31% | -3.9 | 32% | 41% | 22% |
| 19-Nov | Navy | 52 | 31-66 | L | 0% | -26.0 | 10% | 37% | 7% |
| 26-Nov | at Temple | 32 | 10-37 | L | 0% | -28.1 | 15% | 37% | 19% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 28.7 | 71 | 35.3 | 104 |
| Points Per Game | 27.0 | 75 | 36.1 | 109 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.21 | 90 | 1.37 | 114 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 41.3% | 79 | 45.3% | 103 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 25.9 | 128 | 32.4 | 112 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.19 | 90 | 4.72 | 90 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -10.14 | 125 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.44 |
||
| ACTUAL | -16 | 125 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 99.3 | 79 | 85.0 | 117 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 42.5% | 74 | 46.5% | 100 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.96 | 112 | 1.15 | 103 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 109.2 | 34 | 84.1 | 125 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 42.8% | 27 | 42.9% | 107 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 68.6% | 56 | 71.1% | 89 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 21.9% | 109 | 18.8% | 67 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| James Summers | WR | 6'3, 218 | SR | 160 | 877 | 7 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 44.4% | 1 (1) |
| Anthony Scott | RB | 5'9, 189 | JR | 79 | 384 | 2 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 44.3% | 5 (3) |
| Devin Anderson | RB | 5'9, 208 | SO | 57 | 258 | 2 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 38.6% | 0 (0) |
| Philip Nelson | QB | 6'1, 216 | SR | 43 | 202 | 2 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 48.8% | 3 (1) |
| Gardner Minshew | QB | 6'2, 215 | SO | 12 | 25 | 0 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 25.0% | 5 (2) |
| Shawn Furlow | RB | 5'10, 191 | SO | 5 | 23 | 0 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 60.0% | 0 (0) |
| Zay Jones | WR | 6'1, 197 | SR | 4 | 24 | 0 | 6.0 | 5.1 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
| Quay Johnson | WR | 5'10, 188 | JR | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 1 (1) |
| Hussein Howe | RB | 5'9, 175 | FR | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 2 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 99.1 | 69 | 88.3 | 111 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 40.5% | 67 | 43.6% | 91 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.37 | 103 | 1.68 | 122 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 142.7 | 22 | 28.6 | 127 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Philip Nelson | 6'1, 216 | SR | 237 | 349 | 2621 | 16 | 8 | 67.9% | 19 | 5.2% | 6.7 |
| Gardner Minshew | 6'2, 215 | SO | 119 | 202 | 1347 | 8 | 4 | 58.9% | 9 | 4.3% | 6.1 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Zay Jones | WR | 6'1, 197 | SR | 221 | 158 | 1746 | 8 | 11.1 | 7.9 | 71.5% | 53.8% | 42.3% |
| Jimmy Williams | WR | 5'11, 194 | SR | 85 | 45 | 818 | 8 | 18.2 | 9.6 | 52.9% | 42.4% | 16.3% |
| Quay Johnson | WR | 5'10, 188 | JR | 77 | 58 | 563 | 3 | 9.7 | 7.3 | 75.3% | 45.5% | 14.7% |
| Anthony Scott | RB | 5'9, 189 | JR | 34 | 23 | 164 | 3 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 67.6% | 26.5% | 6.5% |
| Deondre Farrier | WR | 6'1, 187 | FR | 29 | 21 | 305 | 1 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 72.4% | 62.1% | 5.5% |
| James Summers | WR | 6'3, 218 | SR | 25 | 19 | 109 | 1 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 76.0% | 24.0% | 4.8% |
| Brandon Bishop | WR | 5'11, 191 | SR | 13 | 10 | 92 | 0 | 9.2 | 7.1 | 76.9% | 38.5% | 2.5% |
| Devin Anderson | RB | 5'9, 208 | SO | 13 | 9 | 62 | 1 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 69.2% | 38.5% | 2.5% |
| Terrell Green | WR | 6'4, 206 | SO | 12 | 7 | 78 | 0 | 11.1 | 6.5 | 58.3% | 50.0% | 2.3% |
| Stephen Baggett | TE | 6'5, 255 | JR | 6 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 12.4 | 10.3 | 83.3% | 50.0% | 1.1% |
| Jeffrey Coprich | WR | 5'8, 175 | JR | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.6% |
| Philip Nelson | QB | 6'1, 216 | SR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Furlow | RB | 5'10, 191 | SO | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Curtis Burston | WR | 6'1, 220 | SO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Malik Gray | WR | 6'1, 203 | SO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Cam Marshmon | WR | 5'9, 160 | FR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 95.1 | 92 | 84.5 | 124 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 46.6% | 79 | 50.7% | 107 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 0.97 | 123 | 1.29 | 123 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.08 | 50 | 3.52 | 125 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.1% | 68 | 1.1% | 126 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 115.2 | 29 | 100.3 | 69 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 30.9% | 67 | 31.6% | 71 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.90 | 25 | 1.70 | 49 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.37 | 55 | 3.21 | 63 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 3.4% | 5 | 2.6% | 125 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 97.8 | 84 | 100.9 | 64 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 96.9 | 82 | 79.8 | 125 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 133.3 | 6 | 87.7 | 111 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 97.6 | 84 | 90.4 | 103 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 95.3 | 86 | 86.8 | 115 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 107.7 | 44 | 89.0 | 107 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 127.4 | 11 | 89.4 | 102 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 46.4% | 121 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 22.1% | 122 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | +6.1 | 17 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 73.4% | 73 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 63.6% | 31 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 40.4% | 17 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 12.2% | 118 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 1.9% | 124 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 5.3% | 34 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.9% | 114 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 30.6% | 92 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Jordan Williams | ILB | 6'0, 234 | JR | 56.0 | 8.4% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Terrell Richardson | DB | 6'0, 218 | SR | 51.5 | 7.8% | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dayon Pratt | OLB | 6'4, 237 | SR | 47.5 | 7.2% | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Cam White | ILB | 5'11, 218 | SR | 44.5 | 6.7% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| DaShaun Amos | DB | 6'1, 185 | SR | 42.5 | 6.4% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Travon Simmons | DB | 5'10, 187 | JR | 41.0 | 6.2% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Colby Gore | DB | 5'11, 175 | FR | 36.0 | 5.4% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Yiannis Bowden | OLB | 6'5, 221 | SO | 33.5 | 5.1% | 7.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Devon Sutton | DB | 5'11, 190 | FR | 31.0 | 4.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bobby Fulp | DB | 6'4, 198 | JR | 26.5 | 4.0% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Corey Seargent | DB | 6'0, 172 | SO | 23.5 | 3.5% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Travis Phillips | DB | 5'11, 189 | JR | 21.5 | 3.2% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Tillman | ILB | 6'1, 215 | JR | 21.0 | 3.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Fred Presley | DL | 6'3, 291 | SR | 20.0 | 3.0% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| DaShawn Benton | DB | 6'0, 196 | SR | 20.0 | 3.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Demetri McGill | DL | 6'1, 295 | SR | 16.0 | 2.4% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kiante Anderson | OLB | 6'4, 252 | JR | 14.0 | 2.1% | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Demage Bailey | DL | 6'5, 310 | JR | 13.5 | 2.0% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Myers | DL | 6'0, 290 | JR | 9.0 | 1.4% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Pat Green | ILB | 6'2, 231 | JR | 9.0 | 1.4% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jalen Price | DL | 6'2, 290 | FR | 8.0 | 1.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Love | DB | 5'10, 172 | JR | 7.5 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Futrell | LB | 6'2, 215 | FR | 7.0 | 1.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joe Carter | ILB | 6'2, 232 | SO | 7.0 | 1.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Brown | DL | 6'3, 275 | SO | 6.5 | 1.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -1.0 | 101 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | 0.05 | 59 |
| Punt Success Rate | 46.2% | 109 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 53.8% | 116 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 10.0% | 128 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 42.6% | 71 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Davis Plowman | 5'10, 195 | SR | 29-30 | 17-23 | 73.9% |
| Jake Verity | 6'1, 170 | FR | 5-5 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Worth Gregory | 6'3, 210 | SR | 51 | 42.3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 62.7% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Caleb Pratt | 6'3, 197 | SO | 41 | 59.0 | 13 | 31.7% | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Davis Plowman | 5'10, 195 | SR | 22 | 60.8 | 1 | 4.5% | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Worth Gregory | 6'3, 210 | SR | 2 | 49.0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Quay Johnson | 5'10, 188 | JR | 8 | 2.1 | 0 | 19 | 0 (0) |
| C.J. Maybin | 6'4, 220 | FR | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Devaris Brunson | 6'1, 228 | SR | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Chris Love | 5'10, 172 | JR | 21 | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Quay Johnson | 5'10, 188 | JR | 12 | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| James Summers | 6'3, 218 | SR | 7 | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics