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2016 Bowling Green advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Bowling Green Eagles (MAC East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.7 (-0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 111
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Ohio State 5 10-77 L 0% -53.1 7% 25% 6%
10-Sep North Dakota N/A 27-26 W 65% 3.1 30% 17% 26%
17-Sep Middle Tennessee 94 21-41 L 2% -16.2 15% 25% 53%
24-Sep at Memphis 44 3-77 L 0% -49.4 2% 14% 1%
1-Oct Eastern Michigan 82 25-28 L 15% -8.0 26% 36% 27%
8-Oct at Ohio 92 24-30 L 13% -8.8 25% 45% 30%
15-Oct at Toledo 34 35-42 L 29% -4.4 53% 82% 28%
22-Oct Miami-OH 98 26-40 L 15% -8.2 25% 57% 14%
1-Nov at Northern Illinois 77 20-45 L 0% -22.2 10% 8% 7%
9-Nov at Akron 109 38-28 W 68% 3.7 44% 23% 62%
15-Nov Kent State 113 42-7 W 100% 27.0 83% 95% 65%
25-Nov Buffalo 127 27-19 W 64% 2.7 25% 41% 26%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.3 92 37.1 115
Points Per Game 24.8 96 38.3 117
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.17 108 1.29 91 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.1% 71 45.1% 101 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.5 116 30.6 93 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.87 116 5.44 126 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -6.82 119 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.83
ACTUAL -16 125
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 102.1 66 96.4 82 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 46.2% 37 44.7% 82 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.97 110 1.05 53 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 108.1 37 94.3 89 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.8% 92 40.4% 82 39.7%
Power Success Rate 68.5% 58 78.3% 122 67.9%
Stuff Rate 17.1% 40 16.7% 101 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Fred Coppet RB 5'9, 213 SR 205 1030 8 5.0 4.4 40.0% 4 (2)
Donovan Wilson RB 6'0, 220 JR 110 503 5 4.6 3.8 33.6% 1 (1)
Josh Cleveland RB 5'8, 176 JR 101 649 2 6.4 6.5 43.6% 3 (2)
James Morgan QB 6'4, 213 FR 31 106 0 3.4 2.8 25.8% 7 (1)
Terence Stephens Jr. RB 6'1, 190 FR 13 41 0 3.2 4.3 30.8% 0 (0)
Ronnie Moore WR 5'9, 170 SR 8 21 2 2.6 1.0 37.5% 1 (1)
James Knapke QB 6'2, 236 SR 6 17 0 2.8 1.0 16.7% 2 (1)
Leonard Skattebo FB 6'1, 258 JR 2 4 1 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Ben Steward OL 6'6, 303 SR 2 -10 0 -5.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 89.6 96 85.4 119 100.0
Passing Success Rate 37.8% 93 45.6% 108 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.43 81 1.57 106 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 95.8 74 108.2 48 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
James Morgan 6'4, 213 FR 183 326 2082 16 15 56.1% 17 5.0% 5.6
James Knapke 6'2, 236 SR 59 119 636 3 9 49.6% 8 6.3% 4.6

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Scott Miller WR 5'10, 160 SO 112 74 968 10 13.1 8.6 66.1% 50.9% 26.7%
Ronnie Moore WR 5'9, 170 SR 79 42 513 1 12.2 6.5 53.2% 36.7% 18.8%
Teo Redding WR 6'1, 167 JR 65 31 423 3 13.7 6.5 47.7% 41.5% 15.5%
Deric Phouthavong WR 6'4, 207 SO 32 15 170 1 11.3 5.3 46.9% 34.4% 7.6%
Marquis Zimmerman WR 5'10, 146 FR 31 22 184 1 8.4 5.9 71.0% 54.8% 7.4%
Janarvis Pough WR 6'1, 187 FR 26 12 125 0 10.4 4.8 46.2% 26.9% 6.2%
Vanel Dossous WR 6'0, 184 JR 18 9 79 0 8.8 4.4 50.0% 27.8% 4.3%
Fred Coppet RB 5'9, 213 SR 17 15 79 0 5.3 4.7 88.2% 41.2% 4.0%
Hunter Folkertsma TE 6'5, 239 JR 12 7 93 1 13.3 7.8 58.3% 58.3% 2.9%
Josh Cleveland RB 5'8, 176 JR 11 9 41 0 4.6 3.7 81.8% 27.3% 2.6%
Donovan Wilson RB 6'0, 220 JR 6 4 34 1 8.5 5.7 66.7% 66.7% 1.4%
Leonard Skattebo FB 6'1, 258 JR 5 1 8 1 8.0 1.6 20.0% 20.0% 1.2%
Terence Stephens Jr. RB 6'1, 190 FR 2 2 -4 0 -2.0 -2.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.5%
James Knapke QB 6'2, 236 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Marcus Milton DB 6'0, 202 SO 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Austin Valdez LB 6'1, 236 JR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 96.6 88 93.0 102 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.8% 61 50.0% 92 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.04 101 1.12 74 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.03 60 3.03 74 2.98
SD Sack Rate 3.4% 32 5.0% 60 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 92.7 98 91.0 95 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.1% 102 33.5% 98 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.72 74 1.90 108 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 4.29 1 3.69 109 3.24
PD Sack Rate 8.6% 78 7.6% 64 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 95.4 89 93.8 89
Q2 S&P+ 94.7 91 81.4 124
Q3 S&P+ 93.7 90 95.5 86
Q4 S&P+ 94.5 97 96.9 76
1st Down S&P+ 99.9 69 95.2 88
2nd Down S&P+ 96.9 89 85.5 113
3rd Down S&P+ 72.3 125 93.3 90
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.9% 66 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 31.1% 83 34.6%
Adj. Pace +7.7 13 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 73.9% 64 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 58.7% 80 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 41.5% 13 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.6% 113 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.2% 79 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 2.8% 111 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 5.6% 91 6.4%
PD to INC 32.8% 65 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Trenton Greene LB 5'9, 214 SR 82.5 11.7% 8.5 4.0 1 2 3
Jamari Bozeman DB 6'2, 200 SO 56.5 8.0% 1.5 0.0 3 3 1
Brandon Harris DB 6'3, 224 SO 46.5 6.6% 3.0 1.0 2 4 1
Austin Valdez LB 6'1, 236 JR 39.5 5.6% 1.0 0.0 0 2 0
Robert Jackson Jr. DB 5'11, 174 SO 37.5 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0 2 2
David Konowalski DL 6'3, 230 SO 35.5 5.0% 3.0 2.5 0 1 0
Tavaraus Wade DB 6'1, 198 SO 35.5 5.0% 1.0 0.0 0 2 1
Izaah Lunsford DL 6'3, 312 SR 34.5 4.9% 3.5 1.0 0 1 0
Terrance Bush DL 6'2, 258 SR 33.5 4.7% 3.0 2.5 0 1 0
Alfonso Mack DB 5'11, 178 SR 29.0 4.1% 1.0 0.0 1 5 0
Gus Schwieterman DL 6'2, 265 JR 24.0 3.4% 12.0 5.0 0 0 0
Nate Locke LB 6'0, 227 JR 23.0 3.2% 1.5 0.5 0 1 0
Tyrik Jones DL 6'2, 235 FR 20.5 2.9% 5.0 4.5 0 0 0
Jerry McBride III DB 6'1, 195 FR 19.0 2.7% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0
Antonyo Sotolongo DB 6'0, 205 FR 19.0 2.7% 0.0 0.0 1 0 0
Will Watson DB 6'0, 187 SR 17.5 2.5% 0.5 0.0 0 4 0
Nilijah Ballew DB 6'1, 211 JR 16.0 2.3% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
James Sanford LB 6'1, 200 SR 16.0 2.3% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0
Cameron Jefferies DB 5'10, 188 FR 15.5 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0 3 0
Marcus Milton DB 6'0, 202 SO 12.5 1.8% 0.0 0.0 1 1 0
Shannon Smith DL 6'0, 294 JR 10.5 1.5% 2.0 1.0 0 0 1
Dorian Hendrix LB 6'0, 247 SO 9.5 1.3% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Montre Gregory DB 6'1, 190 SO 9.5 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Brian Sanders DL 6'4, 244 SO 8.0 1.1% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Trevor Roop WR 5'11, 197 JR 8.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 1
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.2 57
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.09 83
Punt Success Rate 73.8% 8
Kickoff Success Rate 57.4% 106
Punt Return Success Rate 55.0% 46
Kick Return Success Rate 45.8% 52
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Jake Suder 5'9, 176 SO 35-38 9-12 75.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Joseph Davidson 6'7, 228 JR 61 45.8 3 13 22 57.4%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Nick Fields 6'0, 224 JR 61 53.3 15 24.6% 6 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Will Watson 6'0, 187 SR 10 7.9 0 5 0 (0)
Marquis Zimmerman 5'10, 146 FR 4 2.5 0 5 2 (0)
Ronnie Moore 5'9, 170 SR 3 -3.0 0 1 1 (1)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Scott Miller 5'10, 160 SO 19 17.7 0 0 0 (0)
Will Watson 6'0, 187 SR 13 21.2 0 0 0 (0)
Terence Stephens Jr. 6'1, 190 FR 4 17.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics