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2017 Texas State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Texas State Bobcats (Sun Belt)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.4 (0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 117
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Houston Baptist N/A 20-11 W 75% 6.2 64% 20% 90%
9-Sep at Colorado 93 3-37 L 0% -31.9 7% 4% 46%
16-Sep Appalachian State 18 13-20 L 10% -11.8 28% 16% 56%
23-Sep UTSA 55 14-44 L 0% -30.1 10% 10% 16%
30-Sep at Wyoming 53 10-45 L 5% -14.8 22% 12% 65%
7-Oct UL-Monroe 105 27-45 L 1% -22.9 10% 55% 6%
12-Oct at UL-Lafayette 113 7-24 L 3% -17.5 16% 13% 43%
28-Oct at Coastal Carolina 111 27-7 W 100% 30.6 91% 67% NULL
4-Nov New Mexico State 72 35-45 L 9% -12.6 25% 76% 9%
11-Nov Georgia State 96 30-33 L 27% -5.6 38% 58% 30%
18-Nov at Arkansas State 25 12-30 L 9% -12.1 28% 27% 33%
24-Nov at Troy 31 9-62 L 0% -39.4 7% 14% 4%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 21.7 116 31.3 95
Points Per Game 17.3 123 33.6 100
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 37.7% 114 44.1% 93 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.14 75 1.22 93 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 26.4 125 30.7 99 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.59 124 4.44 70 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -7.8 123 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.02
ACTUAL -15 126
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 84.9 117 95.9 80 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 36.5% 118 41.6% 63 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.93 49 0.77 11 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 77.7 128 98.4 65 100.0
Opportunity Rate 32.4% 123 35.6% 47 38.5%
Power Success Rate 73.0% 34 59.2% 17 67.7%
Stuff Rate 28.7% 130 20.2% 56 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Anthony D. Taylor RB 5'10, 205 SO 108 436 2 4.0 5.2 30.6% 3 (1)
Damian Williams QB 6'1, 215 SR 89 321 5 3.6 3.6 29.2% 8 (5)
Robert Brown, Jr. RB 5'8, 200 FR 77 305 0 4.0 6.2 28.6% 2 (1)
Anthony Smith RB 5'10, 200 FR 76 364 3 4.8 6.5 34.2% 3 (1)
Willie Jones III QB 6'3, 190 FR 37 213 0 5.8 5.5 48.6% 3 (2)
Jaylin Nelson QB 5'8, 200 FR 24 103 0 4.3 6.4 25.0% 1 (1)
Tyler Watts WR 5'8, 165 JR 5 138 1 27.6 36.2 60.0% 0 (0)
Caleb Twyford WR 5'11, 175 FR 4 10 0 2.5 1.9 25.0% 0 (0)
Thurman Morbley WR 5'11, 180 SO 3 25 0 8.3 13.5 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 90.4 96 84.5 118 100.0
Passing Success Rate 38.9% 85 46.4% 115 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.34 105 1.61 104 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 76.8 106 94.8 78 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Damian Williams 6'1, 215 SR 194 333 2061 12 9 58.3% 27 7.5% 5.1
Willie Jones III 6'3, 190 FR 18 37 281 0 1 48.6% 8 17.8% 5.2
Jaylin Nelson 5'8, 200 FR 1 1 69 1 0 100.0% 1 50.0% 32.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Elijah King WR 6'2, 190 SR 85 52 750 3 14.4 8.8 61.2% 55.3% 24.1%
Tyler Watts WR 5'8, 165 JR 58 40 332 2 8.3 5.7 69.0% 39.7% 16.4%
Gabe Schrade TE 6'4, 240 SR 34 20 287 2 14.4 8.4 58.8% 44.1% 9.6%
Hutch White WR 6'1, 195 SO 24 15 196 0 13.1 8.2 62.5% 50.0% 6.8%
Anthony D. Taylor RB 5'10, 205 SO 24 15 159 3 10.6 6.6 62.5% 33.3% 6.8%
Thurman Morbley WR 5'11, 180 SO 23 14 192 0 13.7 8.4 60.9% 39.1% 6.5%
Jeremiah Haydel WR 6'0, 170 FR 18 8 83 1 10.4 4.6 44.4% 33.3% 5.1%
Eric Luna WR 6'1, 205 SR 16 8 60 1 7.5 3.8 50.0% 37.5% 4.5%
Mason Hays WR 6'1, 205 JR 15 9 148 1 16.4 9.9 60.0% 53.3% 4.2%
Dennis Johnson Jr. WR 6'4, 185 JR 12 4 27 0 6.8 2.3 33.3% 25.0% 3.4%
Caleb Twyford WR 5'11, 175 FR 11 9 122 1 13.6 11.1 81.8% 36.4% 3.1%
Robert Brown, Jr. RB 5'8, 200 FR 11 8 27 0 3.4 2.5 72.7% 27.3% 3.1%
Elijah Rogers TE 6'4, 225 JR 7 4 33 0 8.3 4.7 57.1% 28.6% 2.0%
Chris French TE 6'4, 245 SR 6 5 46 1 9.2 7.7 83.3% 66.7% 1.7%
Anthony Smith RB 5'10, 200 FR 4 3 4 0 1.3 1.0 75.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Quinn Tiggs S 6'0, 200 SR 2 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 89.3 118 87.2 120 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 42.8% 115 51.1% 107 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.04 77 1.14 101 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.50 122 2.91 64 2.92
SD Sack Rate 5.8% 81 3.8% 92 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 84.2 117 107.0 52 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.2% 102 26.8% 28 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.49 74 1.61 96 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 1.67 130 2.51 9 3.22
PD Sack Rate 11.8% 118 7.9% 57 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 102.4 65 85.6 114
Q2 S&P+ 86.2 114 88.5 106
Q3 S&P+ 87.1 113 96.1 84
Q4 S&P+ 69.1 129 93.4 97
1st Down S&P+ 92.5 100 85.4 119
2nd Down S&P+ 82.5 122 89.1 108
3rd Down S&P+ 82.9 119 100.5 70
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.2% 71 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 34.9% 63 35.3%
Adj. Pace -1.0 40 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 79.9% 16 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 54.6% 116 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 33.5% 87 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.3% 119 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 1.8% 124 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 7.5% 7 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 3.0% 129 6.5%
PD to INC 25.2% 127 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Bryan London II ILB 6'2, 232 SO 71.0 3.5 (0) 13 0 (5) 2 41.1%
Gabe Loyd ILB 6'2, 232 SR 67.0 10 (5) 16 0 (3) 2 32.5%
A.J. Krawczyk S 5'11, 195 JR 64.5 0 (0) 3 0 (1) 2 71.6%
Frankie Griffin OLB 6'0, 205 JR 62.5 11 (4) 13 0 (3) 2 42.1%
JaShon Waddy CB 5'11, 185 SO 48.5 1 (0) 0 0 (5) 1 68.5%
Jordan Mittie DT 6'3, 270 SO 42.0 5.5 (3.5) 13 0 (2) 0 19.2%
Easy Anyama OLB 6'3, 240 SR 33.0 6.5 (4) 7 0 (3) 1 43.6%
Hal Vinson OLB 6'1, 240 SO 32.5 5 (2.5) 3 0 (0) 0 35.1%
Stephan Johnson S 6'0, 200 SR 29.0 2 (0) 2 0 (3) 1 72.7%
Anthony J. Taylor CB 5'8, 185 SO 29.0 0 (0) 1 0 (5) 0 58.8%
Nikolas Daniels ILB 6'0, 235 SO 28.5 1 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 35.5%
Dila Rosemond S 5'10, 185 SR 27.5 1 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 86.2%
Kordell Rodgers CB 5'11, 165 FR 22.5 0.5 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 62.5%
Caeveon Patton DT 6'2, 285 FR 20.0 2 (1) 2 0 (2) 0 34.6%
Gavin Graham ILB 6'1, 225 SO 17.0 1 (1) 3 0 (2) 1 45.0%
Ishmael Davis DE 6'2, 260 JR 15.5 1.5 (0) 5 0 (0) 0 42.1%
Dean Taylor DE 6'5, 280 SO 13.0 1 (0.5) 5 0 (0) 0 17.6%
Sami Awad NT 6'1, 300 JR 11.5 0.5 (0.5) 2 0 (0) 0 12.5%
Andrew Aneke CB 6'0, 190 JR 10.0 0 (0) 0 0 (2) 0 62.5%
Quinn Tiggs S 6'0, 200 SR 9.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 66.7%
Clifton Lewis Jr. ILB 6'1, 225 SO 9.0 1.5 (1) 2 0 (0) 0 36.4%
Greg Peace II CB 5'11, 180 SO 8.0 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 16.7%
John Brannon ILB 6'0, 235 FR 7.0 0.5 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 22.2%
Dennis Johnson Jr. WR 6'4, 185 JR 7.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Malik Alley OLB 6'2, 210 SO 6.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.6 108
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.15 93
Punt Success Rate 59.5% 57
Kickoff Success Rate 58.3% 117
Punt Return Success Rate 61.1% 27
Kick Return Success Rate 22.6% 128
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Foster Hilborn 6'0, 180 FR 15-18 4-6 66.7%
James Sherman 5'10, 190 JR 6-7 5-7 71.4%
Gavin Graham 6'1, 225 SO 0-0 1-1 100.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Marcus Ripley 5'10, 170 SO 81 42.4 6 19 24 53.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
James Sherman 5'10, 190 JR 48 60.5 15 31.3% 0 4 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Hutch White 6'1, 195 SO 18 7.2 0 21 1 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Jeremiah Haydel 6'0, 170 FR 22 17.4 0 0 1 (1)
Tyler Watts 5'8, 165 JR 5 18.0 0 0 0 (0)
Robert Brown, Jr. 5'8, 200 FR 4 15.8 0 0 1 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Dennis Johnson Jr. WR 6'4, 185 JR 6.0 9.1
Malik Alley OLB 6'2, 210 SO 5.5 12.0 16.5
Hutch White WR 6'1, 195 SO 4.0 6.0
Preston Dimery S 6'0, 185 FR 3.0 14.3
Hal Vinson OLB 6'1, 240 SO 3.0 19.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics