Updated on 1/3/18
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
Texas State Bobcats (Sun Belt)
2017 Schedule & Results
| Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 2.4 (0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 117 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 2-Sep | Houston Baptist | N/A | 20-11 | W | 75% | 6.2 | 64% | 20% | 90% |
| 9-Sep | at Colorado | 93 | 3-37 | L | 0% | -31.9 | 7% | 4% | 46% |
| 16-Sep | Appalachian State | 18 | 13-20 | L | 10% | -11.8 | 28% | 16% | 56% |
| 23-Sep | UTSA | 55 | 14-44 | L | 0% | -30.1 | 10% | 10% | 16% |
| 30-Sep | at Wyoming | 53 | 10-45 | L | 5% | -14.8 | 22% | 12% | 65% |
| 7-Oct | UL-Monroe | 105 | 27-45 | L | 1% | -22.9 | 10% | 55% | 6% |
| 12-Oct | at UL-Lafayette | 113 | 7-24 | L | 3% | -17.5 | 16% | 13% | 43% |
| 28-Oct | at Coastal Carolina | 111 | 27-7 | W | 100% | 30.6 | 91% | 67% | NULL |
| 4-Nov | New Mexico State | 72 | 35-45 | L | 9% | -12.6 | 25% | 76% | 9% |
| 11-Nov | Georgia State | 96 | 30-33 | L | 27% | -5.6 | 38% | 58% | 30% |
| 18-Nov | at Arkansas State | 25 | 12-30 | L | 9% | -12.1 | 28% | 27% | 33% |
| 24-Nov | at Troy | 31 | 9-62 | L | 0% | -39.4 | 7% | 14% | 4% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 21.7 | 116 | 31.3 | 95 |
| Points Per Game | 17.3 | 123 | 33.6 | 100 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 37.7% | 114 | 44.1% | 93 | 40.3% |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.14 | 75 | 1.22 | 93 | 1.17 |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 26.4 | 125 | 30.7 | 99 | 29.6 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 3.59 | 124 | 4.44 | 70 | 4.42 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -7.8 | 123 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -3.02 |
||
| ACTUAL | -15 | 126 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 84.9 | 117 | 95.9 | 80 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 36.5% | 118 | 41.6% | 63 | 42.2% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.93 | 49 | 0.77 | 11 | 0.92 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 77.7 | 128 | 98.4 | 65 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 32.4% | 123 | 35.6% | 47 | 38.5% |
| Power Success Rate | 73.0% | 34 | 59.2% | 17 | 67.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 28.7% | 130 | 20.2% | 56 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Anthony D. Taylor | RB | 5'10, 205 | SO | 108 | 436 | 2 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 30.6% | 3 (1) |
| Damian Williams | QB | 6'1, 215 | SR | 89 | 321 | 5 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 29.2% | 8 (5) |
| Robert Brown, Jr. | RB | 5'8, 200 | FR | 77 | 305 | 0 | 4.0 | 6.2 | 28.6% | 2 (1) |
| Anthony Smith | RB | 5'10, 200 | FR | 76 | 364 | 3 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 34.2% | 3 (1) |
| Willie Jones III | QB | 6'3, 190 | FR | 37 | 213 | 0 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 48.6% | 3 (2) |
| Jaylin Nelson | QB | 5'8, 200 | FR | 24 | 103 | 0 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 25.0% | 1 (1) |
| Tyler Watts | WR | 5'8, 165 | JR | 5 | 138 | 1 | 27.6 | 36.2 | 60.0% | 0 (0) |
| Caleb Twyford | WR | 5'11, 175 | FR | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 25.0% | 0 (0) |
| Thurman Morbley | WR | 5'11, 180 | SO | 3 | 25 | 0 | 8.3 | 13.5 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 90.4 | 96 | 84.5 | 118 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 38.9% | 85 | 46.4% | 115 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.34 | 105 | 1.61 | 104 | 1.48 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 76.8 | 106 | 94.8 | 78 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Damian Williams | 6'1, 215 | SR | 194 | 333 | 2061 | 12 | 9 | 58.3% | 27 | 7.5% | 5.1 |
| Willie Jones III | 6'3, 190 | FR | 18 | 37 | 281 | 0 | 1 | 48.6% | 8 | 17.8% | 5.2 |
| Jaylin Nelson | 5'8, 200 | FR | 1 | 1 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 50.0% | 32.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Elijah King | WR | 6'2, 190 | SR | 85 | 52 | 750 | 3 | 14.4 | 8.8 | 61.2% | 55.3% | 24.1% |
| Tyler Watts | WR | 5'8, 165 | JR | 58 | 40 | 332 | 2 | 8.3 | 5.7 | 69.0% | 39.7% | 16.4% |
| Gabe Schrade | TE | 6'4, 240 | SR | 34 | 20 | 287 | 2 | 14.4 | 8.4 | 58.8% | 44.1% | 9.6% |
| Hutch White | WR | 6'1, 195 | SO | 24 | 15 | 196 | 0 | 13.1 | 8.2 | 62.5% | 50.0% | 6.8% |
| Anthony D. Taylor | RB | 5'10, 205 | SO | 24 | 15 | 159 | 3 | 10.6 | 6.6 | 62.5% | 33.3% | 6.8% |
| Thurman Morbley | WR | 5'11, 180 | SO | 23 | 14 | 192 | 0 | 13.7 | 8.4 | 60.9% | 39.1% | 6.5% |
| Jeremiah Haydel | WR | 6'0, 170 | FR | 18 | 8 | 83 | 1 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 44.4% | 33.3% | 5.1% |
| Eric Luna | WR | 6'1, 205 | SR | 16 | 8 | 60 | 1 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 50.0% | 37.5% | 4.5% |
| Mason Hays | WR | 6'1, 205 | JR | 15 | 9 | 148 | 1 | 16.4 | 9.9 | 60.0% | 53.3% | 4.2% |
| Dennis Johnson Jr. | WR | 6'4, 185 | JR | 12 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 33.3% | 25.0% | 3.4% |
| Caleb Twyford | WR | 5'11, 175 | FR | 11 | 9 | 122 | 1 | 13.6 | 11.1 | 81.8% | 36.4% | 3.1% |
| Robert Brown, Jr. | RB | 5'8, 200 | FR | 11 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 72.7% | 27.3% | 3.1% |
| Elijah Rogers | TE | 6'4, 225 | JR | 7 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 57.1% | 28.6% | 2.0% |
| Chris French | TE | 6'4, 245 | SR | 6 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 9.2 | 7.7 | 83.3% | 66.7% | 1.7% |
| Anthony Smith | RB | 5'10, 200 | FR | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 75.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% |
| Quinn Tiggs | S | 6'0, 200 | SR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 89.3 | 118 | 87.2 | 120 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 42.8% | 115 | 51.1% | 107 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.04 | 77 | 1.14 | 101 | 1.07 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.50 | 122 | 2.91 | 64 | 2.92 |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.8% | 81 | 3.8% | 92 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 84.2 | 117 | 107.0 | 52 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 27.2% | 102 | 26.8% | 28 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.49 | 74 | 1.61 | 96 | 1.53 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 1.67 | 130 | 2.51 | 9 | 3.22 |
| PD Sack Rate | 11.8% | 118 | 7.9% | 57 | 7.8% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 102.4 | 65 | 85.6 | 114 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 86.2 | 114 | 88.5 | 106 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 87.1 | 113 | 96.1 | 84 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 69.1 | 129 | 93.4 | 97 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 92.5 | 100 | 85.4 | 119 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 82.5 | 122 | 89.1 | 108 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 82.9 | 119 | 100.5 | 70 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 57.2% | 71 | 60.0% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 34.9% | 63 | 35.3% |
| Adj. Pace | -1.0 | 40 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 79.9% | 16 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 54.6% | 116 | 59.9% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 33.5% | 87 | 35.0% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 12.3% | 119 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 1.8% | 124 | 4.9% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 7.5% | 7 | 4.4% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 3.0% | 129 | 6.5% |
| PD to INC | 25.2% | 127 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
| Bryan London II | ILB | 6'2, 232 | SO | 71.0 | 3.5 (0) | 13 | 0 (5) | 2 | 41.1% |
| Gabe Loyd | ILB | 6'2, 232 | SR | 67.0 | 10 (5) | 16 | 0 (3) | 2 | 32.5% |
| A.J. Krawczyk | S | 5'11, 195 | JR | 64.5 | 0 (0) | 3 | 0 (1) | 2 | 71.6% |
| Frankie Griffin | OLB | 6'0, 205 | JR | 62.5 | 11 (4) | 13 | 0 (3) | 2 | 42.1% |
| JaShon Waddy | CB | 5'11, 185 | SO | 48.5 | 1 (0) | 0 | 0 (5) | 1 | 68.5% |
| Jordan Mittie | DT | 6'3, 270 | SO | 42.0 | 5.5 (3.5) | 13 | 0 (2) | 0 | 19.2% |
| Easy Anyama | OLB | 6'3, 240 | SR | 33.0 | 6.5 (4) | 7 | 0 (3) | 1 | 43.6% |
| Hal Vinson | OLB | 6'1, 240 | SO | 32.5 | 5 (2.5) | 3 | 0 (0) | 0 | 35.1% |
| Stephan Johnson | S | 6'0, 200 | SR | 29.0 | 2 (0) | 2 | 0 (3) | 1 | 72.7% |
| Anthony J. Taylor | CB | 5'8, 185 | SO | 29.0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 0 (5) | 0 | 58.8% |
| Nikolas Daniels | ILB | 6'0, 235 | SO | 28.5 | 1 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 35.5% |
| Dila Rosemond | S | 5'10, 185 | SR | 27.5 | 1 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 86.2% |
| Kordell Rodgers | CB | 5'11, 165 | FR | 22.5 | 0.5 (0) | 4 | 0 (0) | 0 | 62.5% |
| Caeveon Patton | DT | 6'2, 285 | FR | 20.0 | 2 (1) | 2 | 0 (2) | 0 | 34.6% |
| Gavin Graham | ILB | 6'1, 225 | SO | 17.0 | 1 (1) | 3 | 0 (2) | 1 | 45.0% |
| Ishmael Davis | DE | 6'2, 260 | JR | 15.5 | 1.5 (0) | 5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 42.1% |
| Dean Taylor | DE | 6'5, 280 | SO | 13.0 | 1 (0.5) | 5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 17.6% |
| Sami Awad | NT | 6'1, 300 | JR | 11.5 | 0.5 (0.5) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 12.5% |
| Andrew Aneke | CB | 6'0, 190 | JR | 10.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (2) | 0 | 62.5% |
| Quinn Tiggs | S | 6'0, 200 | SR | 9.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 66.7% |
| Clifton Lewis Jr. | ILB | 6'1, 225 | SO | 9.0 | 1.5 (1) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 36.4% |
| Greg Peace II | CB | 5'11, 180 | SO | 8.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (1) | 0 | 16.7% |
| John Brannon | ILB | 6'0, 235 | FR | 7.0 | 0.5 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 22.2% |
| Dennis Johnson Jr. | WR | 6'4, 185 | JR | 7.0 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 | ||
| Malik Alley | OLB | 6'2, 210 | SO | 6.5 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 0 |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.6 | 108 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.15 | 93 |
| Punt Success Rate | 59.5% | 57 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 58.3% | 117 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 61.1% | 27 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 22.6% | 128 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Foster Hilborn | 6'0, 180 | FR | 15-18 | 4-6 | 66.7% |
| James Sherman | 5'10, 190 | JR | 6-7 | 5-7 | 71.4% |
| Gavin Graham | 6'1, 225 | SO | 0-0 | 1-1 | 100.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Marcus Ripley | 5'10, 170 | SO | 81 | 42.4 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 53.1% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| James Sherman | 5'10, 190 | JR | 48 | 60.5 | 15 | 31.3% | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Hutch White | 6'1, 195 | SO | 18 | 7.2 | 0 | 21 | 1 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Jeremiah Haydel | 6'0, 170 | FR | 22 | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Tyler Watts | 5'8, 165 | JR | 5 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Robert Brown, Jr. | 5'8, 200 | FR | 4 | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
| Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
| Dennis Johnson Jr. | WR | 6'4, 185 | JR | 6.0 | 9.1 | |
| Malik Alley | OLB | 6'2, 210 | SO | 5.5 | 12.0 | 16.5 |
| Hutch White | WR | 6'1, 195 | SO | 4.0 | 6.0 | |
| Preston Dimery | S | 6'0, 185 | FR | 3.0 | 14.3 | |
| Hal Vinson | OLB | 6'1, 240 | SO | 3.0 | 19.0 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics