clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2017 Coastal Carolina advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016 | 2017

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Sun Belt)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.9 (0.9) | S&P+ Rk: 111
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Massachusetts 84 38-28 W 62% 2.8 57% 76% 33%
16-Sep at UAB 76 23-30 L 11% -11.1 29% 21% 46%
23-Sep Western Illinois N/A 10-52 L 0% -41.1 3% 10% 4%
30-Sep at UL-Monroe 105 43-51 L 66% 3.8 56% 75% 27%
7-Oct Georgia State 96 21-27 L 65% 3.5 59% 39% 72%
14-Oct at Arkansas State 25 17-51 L 0% -24.0 14% 31% 11%
21-Oct at Appalachian State 18 29-37 L 25% -6.2 39% 64% 17%
28-Oct Texas State 117 7-27 L 0% -30.6 6% NULL 33%
4-Nov at Arkansas 91 38-39 L 1% -20.1 12% 67% 5%
11-Nov Troy 31 17-42 L 9% -12.1 28% 36% 35%
18-Nov at Idaho 99 13-7 W 66% 3.8 58% 17% 92%
2-Dec Georgia Southern 120 28-17 W 84% 9.3 68% 54% 73%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.2 98 33.0 107
Points Per Game 23.7 105 34.0 103
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.8% 76 46.3% 111 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.19 50 1.12 40 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.6 94 30.3 88 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.17 91 5.06 117 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -4.3 99 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-1.15
ACTUAL -7 105
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 97.9 77 86.6 115 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.9% 71 45.5% 96 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.89 70 0.83 31 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 97.1 91 98.3 66 100.0
Opportunity Rate 39.2% 57 38.1% 67 38.5%
Power Success Rate 68.4% 56 82.9% 129 67.7%
Stuff Rate 21.5% 98 20.0% 60 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Osharmar Abercrombie RB 5'9, 210 SR 140 724 7 5.2 5.6 35.7% 1 (0)
Marcus Outlow RB 5'10, 215 JR 61 279 1 4.6 4.5 36.1% 0 (0)
Alex James RB 5'11, 205 SO 55 274 4 5.0 7.6 38.2% 1 (0)
Kilton Anderson QB 6'2, 220 JR 37 150 0 4.1 3.7 37.8% 4 (3)
Dalton Demos QB 6'5, 210 SR 30 103 3 3.4 4.3 40.0% 1 (1)
Tyler Keane QB 5'9, 200 SR 26 137 0 5.3 2.7 50.0% 3 (2)
Jacqez Hairston RB 5'7, 170 FR 24 140 0 5.8 5.1 41.7% 1 (0)
Malcolm Williams WR 5'10, 185 JR 14 73 0 5.2 5.8 42.9% 2 (1)
Ky'Jon Tyler WR 5'9, 180 SO 11 73 0 6.6 4.0 63.6% 2 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 95.1 85 84.6 117 100.0
Passing Success Rate 39.3% 79 47.2% 121 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.61 27 1.44 67 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 81.5 95 59.2 120 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyler Keane 5'9, 200 SR 100 170 1440 11 5 58.8% 13 7.1% 7.6
Kilton Anderson 6'2, 220 JR 49 109 743 7 3 45.0% 14 11.4% 5.3
Dalton Demos 6'5, 210 SR 3 11 27 0 1 27.3% 0 0.0% 2.5
Chance Thrasher 6'2, 220 SO 5 10 52 0 2 50.0% 0 0.0% 5.2

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Malcolm Williams WR 5'10, 185 JR 67 43 796 7 18.5 11.9 64.2% 53.7% 24.2%
Chris Jones WR 5'11, 170 SR 53 26 536 4 20.6 10.1 49.1% 45.3% 19.1%
Ky'Jon Tyler WR 5'9, 180 SO 40 23 313 2 13.6 7.8 57.5% 45.0% 14.4%
Omar Black WR 6'2, 205 JR 34 20 271 2 13.6 8.0 58.8% 50.0% 12.3%
Alex James RB 5'11, 205 SO 17 11 61 0 5.6 3.6 64.7% 23.5% 6.1%
Larry Collins Jr. WR 6'1, 210 FR 16 9 92 1 10.2 5.8 56.2% 50.0% 5.8%
Marcus Outlow RB 5'10, 215 JR 15 9 78 0 8.7 5.2 60.0% 53.3% 5.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie RB 5'9, 210 SR 15 8 73 0 9.1 4.9 53.3% 26.7% 5.4%
Maxwell Kjosa TE 6'5, 250 SO 6 4 41 2 10.3 6.8 66.7% 66.7% 2.2%
Jacqez Hairston RB 5'7, 170 FR 3 2 11 0 5.5 3.7 66.7% 33.3% 1.1%
Laquay Brown TE 6'4, 245 JR 3 1 8 0 8.0 2.7 33.3% 33.3% 1.1%
Josh Anderson WR 6'1, 190 SO 3 1 7 0 7.0 2.3 33.3% 33.3% 1.1%
Gary Bradshaw WR 5'7, 155 SR 2 2 -36 0 -18.0 -18.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Marcus Williamson DE 6'3, 255 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Chris Evans LB 6'2, 210 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
T'Qele Holmes WR 5'11, 190 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 98.9 72 86.4 121 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.5% 83 52.2% 118 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.16 27 1.03 56 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.01 50 2.85 57 2.92
SD Sack Rate 9.7% 124 2.1% 124 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 92.1 93 87.6 111 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 31.1% 62 33.6% 99 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.30 118 1.39 26 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.38 122 2.75 22 3.22
PD Sack Rate 5.2% 29 6.8% 81 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 115.0 36 86.0 112
Q2 S&P+ 74.4 128 92.2 97
Q3 S&P+ 98.4 76 81.7 119
Q4 S&P+ 89.8 105 88.5 118
1st Down S&P+ 100.6 65 85.6 118
2nd Down S&P+ 91.0 103 90.3 105
3rd Down S&P+ 84.7 111 86.1 113
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 66.2% 29 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 37.9% 45 35.3%
Adj. Pace +2.9 121 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.6% 63 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.6% 35 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 37.0% 42 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.4% 91 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.4% 49 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 3.3% 98 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 5.7% 93 6.5%
PD to INC 34.6% 58 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Shane Johnson LB 6'1, 245 SR 72.5 6.5 (1) 13 0 (1) 1 45.0%
Fitz Wattley S 5'11, 210 JR 63.0 0.5 (0) 5 3 (1) 0 70.3%
Silas Kelly LB 6'4, 225 FR 57.0 5.5 (1.5) 9 0 (1) 0 54.1%
Anthony Chesley CB 5'11, 185 JR 46.0 2 (0) 1 0 (8) 0 78.8%
Dontay Hears CB 5'11, 185 SR 44.5 3.5 (0) 4 0 (6) 1 63.5%
Marcus Williamson DE 6'3, 255 SR 43.0 8 (4) 12 0 (2) 0 26.3%
Kerron Johnson LB 6'1, 225 SR 40.5 7.5 (0) 12 0 (0) 0 36.6%
Amir Howard CB 5'9, 180 FR 39.5 0 (0) 1 0 (1) 1 63.8%
Myles White DL 6'4, 235 SO 37.5 5.5 (0) 11 0 (2) 0 28.3%
C.J. Brewer DT 6'2, 280 FR 24.0 2.5 (2) 4 0 (2) 2 38.7%
Ja'ree Tolbert DT 6'0, 295 JR 22.0 3.5 (1.5) 4 0 (0) 0 33.3%
Preston Carey CB 5'11, 165 SO 22.0 2 (0) 3 2 (10) 0 76.9%
Nicholas Clark S 5'11, 155 SR 20.5 0.5 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 68.0%
Jeffrey Gunter DE 6'4, 255 FR 18.5 3.5 (0) 8 0 (0) 0 17.4%
James Heft LB 6'2, 225 JR 18.0 2 (1) 2 0 (0) 0 44.4%
Laqavious Paul LB 5'11, 220 SO 17.0 1 (0) 3 0 (1) 0 33.3%
Tarron Jackson DT 6'2, 265 FR 15.5 4.5 (3.5) 4 0 (0) 1 10.5%
Dwayne Price DT 6'2, 270 SR 13.5 1.5 (0) 5 0 (1) 0 19.0%
Jave Brown S 5'11, 190 SO 13.5 1 (0) 1 0 (3) 0 82.4%
Jalin Walker DL 6'2, 300 FR 8.5 3 (0) 3 0 (0) 1 16.7%
Chandler Kryst CB 5'9, 180 SO 8.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 1 50.0%
Calvin Smith S 5'10, 200 FR 6.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 60.0%
Lorenzo D'Angelo TE 6'0, 220 SR 6.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Jonathan Clayton DT 6'2, 280 FR 4.0 1 (0.5) 1 0 (0) 0 14.3%
Allen Hall S 6'0, 205 JR 4.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.2 84
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.15 95
Punt Success Rate 66.1% 27
Kickoff Success Rate 60.7% 111
Punt Return Success Rate 48.0% 62
Kick Return Success Rate 40.4% 86
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Evan Rabon 6'0, 160 JR 30-31 12-19 63.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Evan Rabon 6'0, 160 JR 56 43.3 3 18 18 64.3%
Derambez Drinkard 5'10, 155 FR 1 35.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Evan Rabon 6'0, 160 JR 33 59.8 7 21.2% 1 1 2 0
Masamitsu Ishibashi 5'10, 170 SR 23 59.7 2 8.7% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Chris Jones 5'11, 170 SR 15 7.5 0 12 0 (0)
Ky'Jon Tyler 5'9, 180 SO 9 7.1 0 1 1 (0)
Malcolm Williams 5'10, 185 JR 1 8.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ky'Jon Tyler 5'9, 180 SO 29 23.6 0 0 1 (0)
Malcolm Williams 5'10, 185 JR 10 21.9 0 0 1 (0)
Chris Jones 5'11, 170 SR 7 17.6 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Lorenzo D'Angelo TE 6'0, 220 SR 6.5 1.0 21.0
Fitz Wattley S 5'11, 210 JR 6.0 23.6
Kerron Johnson LB 6'1, 225 SR 6.0 7.2 15.7
Allen Hall S 6'0, 205 JR 4.0 15.4
James Heft LB 6'2, 225 JR 4.0 6.0 16.8

Stats via SportSource Analytics