clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2016 Texas State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Texas State Bobcats (Sun Belt)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 2-10 | Second-order wins (diff.): 1.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 128
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Ohio 92 56-54 W 30% -4.2 30% 81% 13%
17-Sep at Arkansas 48 3-42 L 0% -52.0 1% 2% 10%
24-Sep Houston 39 3-64 L 0% -51.3 2% 10% 7%
1-Oct Incarnate Word N/A 48-17 W 99% 18.8 32% 43% 16%
8-Oct at Georgia State 108 21-41 L 1% -17.1 8% 43% 3%
15-Oct at UL-Monroe 126 34-40 L 32% -3.7 15% 26% 22%
22-Oct UL-Lafayette 102 3-27 L 0% -27.2 3% 6% 21%
5-Nov at Appalachian State 40 10-35 L 0% -39.1 5% 22% 14%
12-Nov Idaho 89 14-47 L 0% -23.2 5% 14% 15%
19-Nov at New Mexico State 119 10-50 L 0% -37.7 1% 2% 2%
26-Nov Troy 63 7-40 L 0% -34.3 4% 2% 31%
3-Dec Arkansas State 80 14-36 L 0% -22.1 8% 29% 25%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 14.5 128 41.1 127
Points Per Game 18.6 123 41.1 124
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.11 126 1.37 112 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 37.5% 114 47.2% 116 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.0 105 33.3 121 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.04 105 5.38 125 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -6.3 116 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.21
ACTUAL -14 123
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 80.3 123 82.2 125 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 35.1% 123 45.1% 86 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.91 121 1.13 94 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 82.8 123 82.1 126 100.0
Opportunity Rate 30.4% 124 38.1% 49 39.7%
Power Success Rate 53.5% 124 67.2% 64 67.9%
Stuff Rate 26.2% 126 18.1% 76 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Stedman Mayberry RB 5'10, 189 SO 157 593 5 3.8 2.7 32.5% 4 (2)
Tyler Jones QB 6'2, 197 SR 78 261 5 3.3 5.2 32.1% 5 (3)
Tyler Siudzinski RB 5'10, 185 SR 57 223 2 3.9 4.0 28.1% 0 (0)
Connor White QB 6'5, 200 SO 23 112 0 4.9 10.6 30.4% 1 (0)
Eddie Printz QB 6'3, 205 JR 16 58 0 3.6 3.2 31.3% 0 (0)
Jericho Worrell RB 6'0, 200 JR 12 17 0 1.4 1.1 16.7% 0 (0)
Tyler Tutt RB 5'10, 205 FR 11 24 0 2.2 0.8 18.2% 0 (0)
Anthony Taylor RB 5'10, 185 FR 11 21 1 1.9 2.2 18.2% 0 (0)
Thurman Morbley WR 5'11, 166 FR 5 36 0 7.2 2.4 80.0% 1 (1)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 87.4 102 74.6 128 100.0
Passing Success Rate 39.4% 77 49.8% 127 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.25 123 1.63 116 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 58.3 123 26.9 128 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyler Jones 6'2, 197 SR 221 343 2186 11 14 64.4% 37 9.7% 5.0
Connor White 6'5, 200 SO 23 44 223 1 2 52.3% 6 12.0% 4.0
Eddie Printz 6'3, 205 JR 12 25 208 1 1 48.0% 1 3.8% 7.7
L.G. Williams 5'9, 193 FR 1 1 22 1 0 100.0% 0 0.0% 22.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Tyler Watts WR 5'8, 148 SO 56 43 364 1 8.5 6.5 76.8% 51.8% 14.7%
Thurman Morbley WR 5'11, 166 FR 50 35 400 2 11.4 8.0 70.0% 42.0% 13.1%
Stedman Mayberry RB 5'10, 189 SO 46 42 336 0 8.0 7.3 91.3% 56.5% 12.0%
Elijah King WR 6'2, 180 JR 43 28 429 2 15.3 10.0 65.1% 51.2% 11.3%
Gabe Schrade TE 6'4, 227 JR 43 26 347 2 13.4 8.1 60.5% 48.8% 11.3%
Eric Luna WR 6'1, 200 JR 33 20 174 3 8.7 5.3 60.6% 48.5% 8.6%
Mason Hays WR 6'1, 205 SO 25 17 198 1 11.7 7.9 68.0% 60.0% 6.5%
PJ Anderson WR 6'2, 190 SO 17 10 124 1 12.4 7.3 58.8% 35.3% 4.5%
Brendon Rushing TE 6'4, 200 FR 14 4 94 1 23.5 6.7 28.6% 14.3% 3.7%
Tyler Siudzinski RB 5'10, 185 SR 14 11 77 0 7.0 5.5 78.6% 35.7% 3.7%
L.G. Williams QB 5'9, 193 FR 11 6 33 0 5.5 3.0 54.5% 27.3% 2.9%
Teron Fitzgerald LB 6'4, 227 SR 6 1 2 0 2.0 0.3 16.7% 0.0% 1.6%
Fred Nixon WR 6'3, 200 SR 5 2 16 0 8.0 3.2 40.0% 20.0% 1.3%
Anthony D. Taylor RB 5'10, 185 FR 4 3 20 0 6.7 5.0 75.0% 0.0% 1.0%
Jericho Worrell RB 6'0, 200 JR 4 3 11 0 3.7 2.8 75.0% 0.0% 1.0%
Chris French TE 6'4, 245 JR 3 3 39 0 13.0 13.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.8%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 85.7 119 77.8 127 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 43.0% 114 52.2% 114 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.95 124 1.27 122 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.05 128 3.11 87 2.98
SD Sack Rate 6.4% 97 0.6% 128 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 83.3 117 84.8 115 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 27.0% 108 35.8% 117 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.58 115 1.69 45 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.40 52 3.54 98 3.24
PD Sack Rate 14.3% 126 2.3% 127 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 80.7 118 77.1 127
Q2 S&P+ 74.9 126 77.8 127
Q3 S&P+ 78.6 123 100.4 62
Q4 S&P+ 84.9 118 88.7 109
1st Down S&P+ 80.1 125 84.5 124
2nd Down S&P+ 83.4 118 81.7 122
3rd Down S&P+ 68.5 126 86.2 112
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 53.5% 98 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 25.0% 115 34.6%
Adj. Pace -2.9 89 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 78.1% 33 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 65.1% 23 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 32.6% 81 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 11.0% 128 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 2.6% 118 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.1% 63 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 4.3% 124 6.4%
PD to INC 21.0% 128 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Bryan London LB 6'2, 215 FR 112.0 14.2% 8.5 0.0 0 0 2
Gabe Loyd LB 6'2, 240 JR 80.5 10.2% 7.0 2.0 0 0 0
Javante O'Roy S 6'0, 180 SR 61.0 7.7% 2.0 0.0 2 2 1
Brandon McDowell CB 5'10, 183 JR 44.0 5.6% 3.0 0.0 0 3 1
Damani Alexcee S 6'2, 192 SR 39.5 5.0% 0.5 0.0 0 5 0
Frankie Griffin LB 6'0, 187 SO 38.5 4.9% 4.5 0.0 0 0 0
Gavin Graham DB 6'1, 210 FR 37.5 4.7% 4.5 1.0 0 2 0
Ishmael Davis DE 6'3, 223 SO 35.0 4.4% 6.5 1.0 0 2 1
Teron Fitzgerald LB 6'4, 227 SR 27.0 3.4% 3.0 1.5 0 0 1
Anthony J. Taylor CB 5'8, 177 FR 23.5 3.0% 2.5 0.0 0 0 0
Quinn Tiggs CB 6'0, 190 JR 23.5 3.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jordan Mittie DE 6'3, 235 FR 22.5 2.8% 3.0 0.5 0 1 1
Jordan Eastling CB 5'10, 180 FR 22.0 2.8% 2.0 0.0 0 2 1
Clarence Guidry III CB 5'11, 185 JR 19.0 2.4% 0.0 0.0 0 4 0
Dean Taylor DE 6'5, 230 FR 18.5 2.3% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Stephan Johnson S 6'0, 189 JR 18.0 2.3% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Hal Vinson LB 6'1, 217 FR 18.0 2.3% 1.0 1.0 0 0 1
Dallas McClarty NT 5'11, 270 SR 17.0 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jeremy Miller DE 5'11, 285 SR 16.5 2.1% 3.5 1.0 0 0 0
Kumonde Hines LB 6'3, 208 FR 11.5 1.5% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Dila Rosemond CB 5'10, 175 JR 11.5 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Stan Kanu DE 6'5, 230 SO 11.0 1.4% 2.0 0.0 1 0 1
Nikolas Daniels LB 6'0, 235 FR 10.5 1.3% 1.5 1.0 0 1 1
Andrew Aneke CB 6'0, 170 SO 10.5 1.3% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jashon Waddy CB 5'11, 170 FR 8.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.1 107
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.25 103
Punt Success Rate 57.5% 55
Kickoff Success Rate 66.7% 87
Punt Return Success Rate 70.0% 17
Kick Return Success Rate 28.8% 116
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Marcus Ripley 5'10, 170 FR 17-18 5-6 83.3%
James Sherman 5'10, 176 SO 9-10 2-4 50.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Lumi Kaba 6'1, 182 SR 69 42.0 5 28 15 62.3%
Marcus Ripley 5'10, 170 FR 8 38.4 0 0 1 12.5%
James Sherman 5'10, 176 SO 3 37.7 0 1 0 33.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Lumi Kaba 6'1, 182 SR 31 59.5 5 16.1% 0 2 1 1
James Sherman 5'10, 176 SO 13 61.4 3 23.1% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brandon McDowell 5'10, 183 JR 16 10.1 0 31 2 (1)
Tyler Watts 5'8, 148 SO 2 0.5 0 0 0 (0)
Anthony D. Taylor 5'10, 185 FR 2 15.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brandon McDowell 5'10, 183 JR 25 16.6 0 0 2 (0)
Jordan Eastling 5'10, 180 FR 11 18.6 0 0 1 (0)
Thurman Morbley 5'11, 166 FR 9 17.2 0 0 1 (1)

Stats via SportSource Analytics