clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2017 Colorado advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/18

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016 | 2017

Colorado Buffaloes (Pac-12 South)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.2 (0.2) | S&P+ Rk: 93
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep vs. Colorado State 45 17-3 W 93% 13.7 80% 25% 88%
9-Sep Texas State 117 37-3 W 100% 31.9 90% 54% 96%
16-Sep Northern Colorado N/A 41-21 W 97% 17.0 80% 90% 59%
23-Sep Washington 5 10-37 L 1% -22.3 15% 20% 31%
30-Sep at UCLA 77 23-27 L 17% -8.7 29% 35% 45%
7-Oct Arizona 48 42-45 L 33% -4.0 42% 79% 14%
14-Oct at Oregon State 127 36-33 W 39% -2.5 44% 70% 29%
21-Oct at Washington State 39 0-28 L 0% -26.7 10% 9% 38%
28-Oct California 87 44-28 W 99% 22.9 87% 89% 55%
4-Nov at Arizona State 81 30-41 L 33% -4.1 38% 66% 29%
11-Nov USC 26 24-38 L 5% -14.9 22% 49% 20%
25-Nov at Utah 33 13-34 L 0% -26.7 11% 16% 20%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 28.0 70 31.9 98
Points Per Game 26.4 90 28.2 65
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 43.0% 50 45.7% 105 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.06 112 1.15 59 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.2 85 26.2 9 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.09 98 4.39 64 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 6.2 21 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.60
ACTUAL 0 64
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 94.2 94 88.8 106 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 43.7% 54 49.4% 122 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.82 95 0.93 74 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 100.1 70 84.7 123 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.9% 84 43.1% 114 38.5%
Power Success Rate 67.2% 70 75.0% 107 67.7%
Stuff Rate 17.8% 40 15.0% 119 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Phillip Lindsay TB 5'8, 190 SR 303 1474 14 4.9 4.8 34.3% 0 (0)
Steven Montez QB 6'5, 225 SO 99 566 3 5.7 4.3 49.5% 3 (1)
Beau Bisharat TB 6'2, 215 SO 21 61 0 2.9 1.5 23.8% 0 (0)
Michael Adkins II TB 5'10, 210 SR 11 25 0 2.3 3.4 18.2% 1 (1)
Devin Ross WR 5'11, 185 SR 3 21 0 7.0 2.3 66.7% 0 (0)
K.D. Nixon WR 5'8, 190 FR 3 20 0 6.7 2.5 66.7% 0 (0)
Sam Noyer QB 6'4, 210 FR 3 14 0 4.7 5.5 33.3% 1 (0)
Laviska Shenault Jr. WR 6'1, 215 FR 2 4 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Kyle Evans TB 5'7, 175 JR 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 101.0 65 104.7 42 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.4% 46 41.6% 76 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.32 110 1.44 63 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 81.2 96 65.5 112 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Steven Montez 6'5, 225 SO 228 377 2975 18 9 60.5% 35 8.5% 6.7
Sam Noyer 6'4, 210 FR 13 27 119 0 0 48.1% 4 12.9% 3.0
Casey Marksberry 6'3, 185 FR 2 3 20 0 0 66.7% 0 0.0% 6.7
T.J. Patterson 6'3, 185 SR 0 1 0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Bryce Bobo WR 6'2, 205 SR 96 62 693 5 11.2 7.2 64.6% 51.0% 24.6%
Shay Fields WR 5'11, 185 SR 81 46 623 4 13.5 7.7 56.8% 39.5% 20.7%
Devin Ross WR 5'11, 185 SR 76 43 508 2 11.8 6.7 56.6% 46.1% 19.4%
Jay MacIntyre WR 5'10, 185 JR 43 28 396 2 14.1 9.2 65.1% 58.1% 11.0%
Phillip Lindsay TB 5'8, 190 SR 34 23 257 1 11.2 7.6 67.6% 41.2% 8.7%
Juwann Winfree WR 6'3, 210 JR 28 21 325 2 15.5 11.6 75.0% 60.7% 7.2%
Laviska Shenault Jr. WR 6'1, 215 FR 9 7 168 0 24.0 18.7 77.8% 77.8% 2.3%
Chris Bounds TE 6'4, 240 SO 9 7 102 2 14.6 11.3 77.8% 66.7% 2.3%
K.D. Nixon WR 5'8, 190 FR 3 2 17 0 8.5 5.7 66.7% 33.3% 0.8%
Kyle Evans TB 5'7, 175 JR 3 1 6 0 6.0 2.0 33.3% 33.3% 0.8%
George Frazier TE 6'2, 290 SR 2 1 9 0 9.0 4.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Steven Montez QB 6'5, 225 SO 1 1 11 1 11.0 11.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Beau Bisharat TB 6'2, 215 SO 1 1 6 0 6.0 6.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Michael Adkins II TB 5'10, 210 SR 1 1 4 0 4.0 4.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
James Stefanou PK 6'1, 185 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Jared Poplawski TE 6'4, 230 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 98.5 75 100.4 63 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 48.6% 41 48.7% 93 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 0.98 101 1.07 78 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.11 38 3.28 112 2.92
SD Sack Rate 6.7% 95 2.4% 119 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 94.2 84 85.9 115 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 30.7% 68 38.7% 123 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.36 110 1.38 23 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.96 94 3.99 123 3.22
PD Sack Rate 10.0% 101 6.0% 95 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 95.0 83 97.2 76
Q2 S&P+ 90.1 107 98.6 75
Q3 S&P+ 100.7 68 96.8 81
Q4 S&P+ 97.3 86 94.5 95
1st Down S&P+ 93.6 96 101.3 60
2nd Down S&P+ 101.7 64 86.3 113
3rd Down S&P+ 93.2 94 102.2 61
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 62.4% 41 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 24.7% 120 35.3%
Adj. Pace -2.8 19 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 79.1% 19 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.6% 44 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 30.9% 99 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.8% 84 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 2.1% 121 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 4.5% 61 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 7.9% 21 6.5%
PD to INC 37.8% 22 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Drew Lewis ILB 6'2, 230 JR 75.0 5.5 (2) 8 0 (2) 0 52.7%
Evan Worthington DB 6'2, 200 JR 72.0 6.5 (1) 6 3 (6) 1 73.6%
Rick Gamboa ILB 6'0, 240 JR 69.0 2.5 (1) 8 0 (5) 0 49.5%
Afolabi Laguda DB 6'1, 205 SR 53.5 6 (0) 3 1 (3) 2 66.7%
Ryan Moeller DB 6'1, 215 SR 52.0 1 (0) 4 0 (3) 0 45.5%
Derek McCartney OLB 6'3, 240 SR 43.5 5.5 (4) 3 0 (5) 0 52.8%
Leo Jackson III DE 6'3, 275 SR 41.0 8 (3.5) 10 0 (0) 0 25.5%
Trey Udoffia DB 6'0, 185 FR 35.0 0.5 (0) 1 1 (5) 0 68.6%
Dante Wigley DB 6'1, 180 SO 33.5 0.5 (0) 1 0 (6) 0 79.4%
Chris Mulumba DE 6'4, 280 JR 27.0 1.5 (0.5) 5 0 (0) 0 18.2%
Isaiah Oliver DB 6'1, 195 JR 23.0 0 (0) 1 2 (13) 0 65.4%
Nick Fisher DB 6'0, 190 JR 21.5 1.5 (0) 1 1 (6) 0 70.8%
Javier Edwards NT 6'3, 350 JR 18.5 2.5 (1) 4 0 (0) 1 35.7%
Nate Landman ILB 6'3, 215 FR 13.0 4 (0) 6 0 (2) 1 8.3%
Jase Franke DT 6'3, 280 JR 11.5 2.5 (1) 2 0 (1) 0 22.2%
Terran Hasselbach OLB 6'1, 235 JR 8.5 1 (0) 3 0 (1) 1 50.0%
Beau Bisharat TB 6'2, 215 SO 8.0 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
George Frazier TE 6'2, 290 SR 7.5 1 (1) 0 0 (0) 0 14.3%
Lyle Tuiloma DT 6'3, 310 SO 7.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Jacob Callier OLB 6'2, 240 FR 7.0 1 (1) 0 0 (1) 0 42.9%
Michael Mathewes OLB 6'4, 240 JR 6.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 62.5%
Derrion Rakestraw DB 6'2, 175 FR 5.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Daniel Talley DB 6'2, 215 JR 5.0 1 (1) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Timothy Coleman DE 6'3, 255 SR 4.0 1 (1) 0 0 (1) 0 50.0%
Akil Jones ILB 6'0, 215 FR 4.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 2 0.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.7 12
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.31 21
Punt Success Rate 65.5% 29
Kickoff Success Rate 83.1% 27
Punt Return Success Rate 55.6% 40
Kick Return Success Rate 40.7% 83
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
James Stefanou 6'1, 185 FR 35-35 17-22 77.3%
Chris Graham 6'3, 235 SR 1-1 0-0 #DIV/0!
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Alex Kinney 6'1, 205 JR 56 43.8 3 20 24 78.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Davis Price 6'2, 190 SO 64 63.8 40 62.5% 0 1 0 0
Chris Graham 6'3, 235 SR 1 46.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
James Stefanou 6'1, 185 FR 0 0.0 0 0.0% 0 0 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ronnie Blackmon 5'10, 175 FR 12 8.0 0 5 1 (0)
Isaiah Oliver 6'1, 195 JR 5 3.2 0 10 1 (0)
Nate Landman 6'3, 215 FR 1 21.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ronnie Blackmon 5'10, 175 FR 15 21.0 0 0 0 (0)
K.D. Nixon 5'8, 190 FR 11 23.7 0 0 0 (0)
Kyle Evans 5'7, 175 JR 1 9.0 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Beau Bisharat TB 6'2, 215 SO 8.0 6.0 17.3
Derrion Rakestraw DB 6'2, 175 FR 4.5 22.0
Daniel Talley DB 6'2, 215 JR 4.0 19.0
Ryan Moeller DB 6'1, 215 SR 3.0 17.3
Nate Landman ILB 6'3, 215 FR 2.0 27.0

Stats via SportSource Analytics