2017 Colorado advanced statistical profile

_{Updated on
1/3/18}

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_{Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.}

_{2015 | 2016 | 2017}

Colorado Buffaloes (Pac-12 South)

2017 Schedule & Results

Record: 5-7 \| Second-order wins (diff.): 5.2 (0.2) \| S&P+ Rk: 93
Date	Opponent	Opp. S&P+ Rk	Score	W-L	Win Expectancy	Adj. Scoring Margin	Percentile Performance	Off. Percentile	Def. Percentile
1-Sep	vs. Colorado State	45	17-3	W	93%	13.7	80%	25%	88%
9-Sep	Texas State	117	37-3	W	100%	31.9	90%	54%	96%
16-Sep	Northern Colorado	N/A	41-21	W	97%	17.0	80%	90%	59%
23-Sep	Washington	5	10-37	L	1%	-22.3	15%	20%	31%
30-Sep	at UCLA	77	23-27	L	17%	-8.7	29%	35%	45%
7-Oct	Arizona	48	42-45	L	33%	-4.0	42%	79%	14%
14-Oct	at Oregon State	127	36-33	W	39%	-2.5	44%	70%	29%
21-Oct	at Washington State	39	0-28	L	0%	-26.7	10%	9%	38%
28-Oct	California	87	44-28	W	99%	22.9	87%	89%	55%
4-Nov	at Arizona State	81	30-41	L	33%	-4.1	38%	66%	29%
11-Nov	USC	26	24-38	L	5%	-14.9	22%	49%	20%
25-Nov	at Utah	33	13-34	L	0%	-26.7	11%	16%	20%

Category	Offense	Rk	Defense	Rk
S&P+	28.0	70	31.9	98
Points Per Game	26.4	90	28.2	65

Five Factors

		Offense		Defense
	Category	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY	Success Rate	43.0%	50	45.7%	105	40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS	IsoPPP	1.06	112	1.15	59	1.17
FIELD POSITION	Avg. FP	29.2	85	26.2	9	29.6
FINISHING DRIVES	Pts. Per Trip in 40	4.09	98	4.39	64	4.42

TURNOVER MARGIN	EXPECTED	6.2	21	Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.60
	ACTUAL	0	64	Turnover Luck (PPG): -2.60

Rushing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+	94.2	94	88.8	106	100.0
Rushing Success Rate	43.7%	54	49.4%	122	42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP	0.82	95	0.93	74	0.92
Adj. Line Yards	100.1	70	84.7	123	100.0
Opportunity Rate	36.9%	84	43.1%	114	38.5%
Power Success Rate	67.2%	70	75.0%	107	67.7%
Stuff Rate	17.8%	40	15.0%	119	19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Rushes	Yards	TD	Yards/ Carry	Hlt Yds/ Opp.	Opp. Rate	Fumbles (Lost)
Phillip Lindsay	TB	5'8, 190	SR	303	1474	14	4.9	4.8	34.3%	0 (0)
Steven Montez	QB	6'5, 225	SO	99	566	3	5.7	4.3	49.5%	3 (1)
Beau Bisharat	TB	6'2, 215	SO	21	61	0	2.9	1.5	23.8%	0 (0)
Michael Adkins II	TB	5'10, 210	SR	11	25	0	2.3	3.4	18.2%	1 (1)
Devin Ross	WR	5'11, 185	SR	3	21	0	7.0	2.3	66.7%	0 (0)
K.D. Nixon	WR	5'8, 190	FR	3	20	0	6.7	2.5	66.7%	0 (0)
Sam Noyer	QB	6'4, 210	FR	3	14	0	4.7	5.5	33.3%	1 (0)
Laviska Shenault Jr.	WR	6'1, 215	FR	2	4	0	2.0	0.0	0.0%	0 (0)
Kyle Evans	TB	5'7, 175	JR	2	2	0	1.0	0.0	0.0%	0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.

Passing

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+	101.0	65	104.7	42	100.0
Passing Success Rate	42.4%	46	41.6%	76	40.3%
Passing IsoPPP	1.32	110	1.44	63	1.48
Adj. Sack Rate	81.2	96	65.5	112	100

Individual Passing Stats

Player	Ht, Wt	Year	Comp	Att	Yards	TD	INT	Comp Rate	Sacks	Sack Rate	Yards/ Att.
Steven Montez	6'5, 225	SO	228	377	2975	18	9	60.5%	35	8.5%	6.7
Sam Noyer	6'4, 210	FR	13	27	119	0	0	48.1%	4	12.9%	3.0
Casey Marksberry	6'3, 185	FR	2	3	20	0	0	66.7%	0	0.0%	6.7
T.J. Patterson	6'3, 185	SR	0	1	0	0	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player	Pos.	Ht, Wt	Year	Targets	Catches	Yards	TD	Yds/ Catch	Yds/ Target	Catch Rate	Success Rate	Target Rate
Bryce Bobo	WR	6'2, 205	SR	96	62	693	5	11.2	7.2	64.6%	51.0%	24.6%
Shay Fields	WR	5'11, 185	SR	81	46	623	4	13.5	7.7	56.8%	39.5%	20.7%
Devin Ross	WR	5'11, 185	SR	76	43	508	2	11.8	6.7	56.6%	46.1%	19.4%
Jay MacIntyre	WR	5'10, 185	JR	43	28	396	2	14.1	9.2	65.1%	58.1%	11.0%
Phillip Lindsay	TB	5'8, 190	SR	34	23	257	1	11.2	7.6	67.6%	41.2%	8.7%
Juwann Winfree	WR	6'3, 210	JR	28	21	325	2	15.5	11.6	75.0%	60.7%	7.2%
Laviska Shenault Jr.	WR	6'1, 215	FR	9	7	168	0	24.0	18.7	77.8%	77.8%	2.3%
Chris Bounds	TE	6'4, 240	SO	9	7	102	2	14.6	11.3	77.8%	66.7%	2.3%
K.D. Nixon	WR	5'8, 190	FR	3	2	17	0	8.5	5.7	66.7%	33.3%	0.8%
Kyle Evans	TB	5'7, 175	JR	3	1	6	0	6.0	2.0	33.3%	33.3%	0.8%
George Frazier	TE	6'2, 290	SR	2	1	9	0	9.0	4.5	50.0%	50.0%	0.5%
Steven Montez	QB	6'5, 225	SO	1	1	11	1	11.0	11.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.3%
Beau Bisharat	TB	6'2, 215	SO	1	1	6	0	6.0	6.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.3%
Michael Adkins II	TB	5'10, 210	SR	1	1	4	0	4.0	4.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.3%
James Stefanou	PK	6'1, 185	FR	1	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%
Jared Poplawski	TE	6'4, 230	FR	1	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%

Standard Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+	98.5	75	100.4	63	100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate	48.6%	41	48.7%	93	46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP	0.98	101	1.07	78	1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry	3.11	38	3.28	112	2.92
SD Sack Rate	6.7%	95	2.4%	119	5.3%

Passing Downs

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk	Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+	94.2	84	85.9	115	100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate	30.7%	68	38.7%	123	30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP	1.36	110	1.38	23	1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry	2.96	94	3.99	123	3.22
PD Sack Rate	10.0%	101	6.0%	95	7.8%

Situational

	Offense		Defense
	Avg.	Rk	Avg.	Rk
Q1 S&P+	95.0	83	97.2	76
Q2 S&P+	90.1	107	98.6	75
Q3 S&P+	100.7	68	96.8	81
Q4 S&P+	97.3	86	94.5	95
1st Down S&P+	93.6	96	101.3	60
2nd Down S&P+	101.7	64	86.3	113
3rd Down S&P+	93.2	94	102.2	61

Offensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	62.4%	41	60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate	24.7%	120	35.3%
Adj. Pace	-2.8	19	+0.0
% of Solo Tackles	79.1%	19	73.8%

Defensive Footprint

	Team	Rk	Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate	61.6%	44	59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate	30.9%	99	35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate	14.8%	84	16.0%
DL Havoc Rate	2.1%	121	4.9%
LB Havoc Rate	4.5%	61	4.4%
DB Havoc Rate	7.9%	21	6.5%
PD to INC	37.8%	22	33.9%

Individual Defensive Stats

Name	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	Tackles	TFL (Sacks)	Run Stuffs*	Int (PBU)	FF	Succ. Rate**
Drew Lewis	ILB	6'2, 230	JR	75.0	5.5 (2)	8	0 (2)	0	52.7%
Evan Worthington	DB	6'2, 200	JR	72.0	6.5 (1)	6	3 (6)	1	73.6%
Rick Gamboa	ILB	6'0, 240	JR	69.0	2.5 (1)	8	0 (5)	0	49.5%
Afolabi Laguda	DB	6'1, 205	SR	53.5	6 (0)	3	1 (3)	2	66.7%
Ryan Moeller	DB	6'1, 215	SR	52.0	1 (0)	4	0 (3)	0	45.5%
Derek McCartney	OLB	6'3, 240	SR	43.5	5.5 (4)	3	0 (5)	0	52.8%
Leo Jackson III	DE	6'3, 275	SR	41.0	8 (3.5)	10	0 (0)	0	25.5%
Trey Udoffia	DB	6'0, 185	FR	35.0	0.5 (0)	1	1 (5)	0	68.6%
Dante Wigley	DB	6'1, 180	SO	33.5	0.5 (0)	1	0 (6)	0	79.4%
Chris Mulumba	DE	6'4, 280	JR	27.0	1.5 (0.5)	5	0 (0)	0	18.2%
Isaiah Oliver	DB	6'1, 195	JR	23.0	0 (0)	1	2 (13)	0	65.4%
Nick Fisher	DB	6'0, 190	JR	21.5	1.5 (0)	1	1 (6)	0	70.8%
Javier Edwards	NT	6'3, 350	JR	18.5	2.5 (1)	4	0 (0)	1	35.7%
Nate Landman	ILB	6'3, 215	FR	13.0	4 (0)	6	0 (2)	1	8.3%
Jase Franke	DT	6'3, 280	JR	11.5	2.5 (1)	2	0 (1)	0	22.2%
Terran Hasselbach	OLB	6'1, 235	JR	8.5	1 (0)	3	0 (1)	1	50.0%
Beau Bisharat	TB	6'2, 215	SO	8.0	0 (0)		0 (0)	0
George Frazier	TE	6'2, 290	SR	7.5	1 (1)	0	0 (0)	0	14.3%
Lyle Tuiloma	DT	6'3, 310	SO	7.5	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	50.0%
Jacob Callier	OLB	6'2, 240	FR	7.0	1 (1)	0	0 (1)	0	42.9%
Michael Mathewes	OLB	6'4, 240	JR	6.0	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	62.5%
Derrion Rakestraw	DB	6'2, 175	FR	5.5	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	0	0.0%
Daniel Talley	DB	6'2, 215	JR	5.0	1 (1)	0	0 (0)	0	0.0%
Timothy Coleman	DE	6'3, 255	SR	4.0	1 (1)	0	0 (1)	0	50.0%
Akil Jones	ILB	6'0, 215	FR	4.0	0 (0)	0	0 (0)	2	0.0%

_{* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.}

_{** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.}

Special Teams

	Rating	Rank
Special Teams S&P+	0.7	12

Category	Rate	Rank
FG Value (per kick)	0.31	21
Punt Success Rate	65.5%	29
Kickoff Success Rate	83.1%	27
Punt Return Success Rate	55.6%	40
Kick Return Success Rate	40.7%	83

Place-Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	PAT	FG	Pct
James Stefanou	6'1, 185	FR	35-35	17-22	77.3%
Chris Graham	6'3, 235	SR	1-1	0-0	#DIV/0!

Punter	Ht, Wt	Year	Punts	Avg	TB	FC	I20	FC/I20 Ratio
Alex Kinney	6'1, 205	JR	56	43.8	3	20	24	78.6%

Kicker	Ht, Wt	Year	Kickoffs	Avg	TB	TB%	OOB	Fair Catches	Onside Att	Onside Success
Davis Price	6'2, 190	SO	64	63.8	40	62.5%	0	1	0	0
Chris Graham	6'3, 235	SR	1	46.0	0	0.0%	0	0	0	0
James Stefanou	6'1, 185	FR	0	0.0	0	0.0%	0	0	1	0

Punt Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Ronnie Blackmon	5'10, 175	FR	12	8.0	0	5	1 (0)
Isaiah Oliver	6'1, 195	JR	5	3.2	0	10	1 (0)
Nate Landman	6'3, 215	FR	1	21.0	0	0	0 (0)

Kick Returner	Ht, Wt	Year	Returns	Avg.	TD	Fair Catch	Fumbles (Lost)
Ronnie Blackmon	5'10, 175	FR	15	21.0	0	0	0 (0)
K.D. Nixon	5'8, 190	FR	11	23.7	0	0	0 (0)
Kyle Evans	5'7, 175	JR	1	9.0	0	0	0 (0)

Tackler	Pos	Ht, Wt	Year	ST Tackles	PR Avg	KR Avg
Beau Bisharat	TB	6'2, 215	SO	8.0	6.0	17.3
Derrion Rakestraw	DB	6'2, 175	FR	4.5		22.0
Daniel Talley	DB	6'2, 215	JR	4.0		19.0
Ryan Moeller	DB	6'1, 215	SR	3.0		17.3
Nate Landman	ILB	6'3, 215	FR	2.0		27.0

_{Stats via SportSource Analytics}