Updated on 1/3/18
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
Georgia State Panthers (Sun Belt)
2017 Schedule & Results
| Record: 7-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.9 (-1.1) | S&P+ Rk: 96 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 31-Aug | Tennessee State | N/A | 10-17 | L | 32% | -4.3 | 42% | 23% | 73% |
| 16-Sep | at Penn State | 4 | 0-56 | L | 0% | -47.9 | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| 23-Sep | at Charlotte | 124 | 28-0 | W | 99% | 22.5 | 85% | 32% | 95% |
| 7-Oct | at Coastal Carolina | 111 | 27-21 | W | 35% | -3.5 | 40% | 28% | 61% |
| 14-Oct | at UL-Monroe | 105 | 47-37 | W | 99% | 23.3 | 87% | 92% | 46% |
| 21-Oct | Troy | 31 | 10-34 | L | 0% | -26.2 | 12% | 14% | 21% |
| 26-Oct | South Alabama | 98 | 21-13 | W | 72% | 5.3 | 61% | 23% | 86% |
| 4-Nov | at Georgia Southern | 120 | 21-17 | W | 44% | -1.5 | 44% | 22% | 73% |
| 11-Nov | at Texas State | 117 | 33-30 | W | 73% | 5.6 | 61% | 70% | 42% |
| 25-Nov | Appalachian State | 18 | 10-31 | L | 1% | -23.7 | 14% | 10% | 38% |
| 2-Dec | Idaho | 99 | 10-24 | L | 50% | 0.0 | 49% | 43% | 60% |
| 16-Dec | vs. Western Kentucky | 83 | 27-17 | W | 83% | 8.9 | 72% | 52% | 71% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 23.0 | 110 | 26.9 | 58 |
| Points Per Game | 22.2 | 110 | 27.0 | 54 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 41.0% | 73 | 39.3% | 46 | 40.3% |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.15 | 73 | 1.16 | 63 | 1.17 |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 29.6 | 76 | 28.8 | 48 | 29.6 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 3.26 | 129 | 4.49 | 75 | 4.42 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -2.0 | 85 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.85 |
||
| ACTUAL | -4 | 90 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 78.6 | 130 | 108.7 | 41 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 35.7% | 121 | 34.7% | 10 | 42.2% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.80 | 111 | 0.96 | 86 | 0.92 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 82.1 | 126 | 90.5 | 103 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 31.2% | 129 | 32.7% | 12 | 38.5% |
| Power Success Rate | 69.4% | 49 | 69.7% | 81 | 67.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 25.8% | 128 | 16.9% | 94 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Glenn Smith | RB | 6'1, 200 | SR | 170 | 594 | 3 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 29.4% | 2 (1) |
| Kyler Neal | RB | 5'11, 215 | SR | 66 | 184 | 5 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 18.2% | 2 (2) |
| Taz Bateman | RB | 5'8, 190 | JR | 53 | 176 | 0 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 26.4% | 3 (2) |
| Conner Manning | QB | 6'1, 205 | SR | 43 | 250 | 1 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 53.5% | 3 (2) |
| Demarcus Kirk | RB | 6'0, 210 | JR | 25 | 145 | 2 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 52.0% | 1 (1) |
| Aaron Winchester | QB | 6'2, 190 | SO | 17 | 101 | 0 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 41.2% | 1 (1) |
| Devin Gentry | WR | 5'10, 190 | SO | 12 | 82 | 1 | 6.8 | 7.8 | 41.7% | 0 (0) |
| Tra Barnett | RB | 5'10, 185 | SO | 8 | 45 | 0 | 5.6 | 11.8 | 25.0% | 0 (0) |
| Penny Hart | WR | 5'8, 180 | SO | 6 | 27 | 0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 33.3% | 1 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 98.1 | 75 | 87.9 | 110 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 45.8% | 18 | 43.4% | 94 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.40 | 80 | 1.31 | 22 | 1.48 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 114.4 | 47 | 69.7 | 107 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Conner Manning | 6'1, 205 | SR | 259 | 403 | 3146 | 14 | 7 | 64.3% | 21 | 5.0% | 7.1 |
| Aaron Winchester | 6'2, 190 | SO | 6 | 9 | 102 | 1 | 1 | 66.7% | 4 | 30.8% | 6.2 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Penny Hart | WR | 5'8, 180 | SO | 116 | 74 | 1121 | 8 | 15.2 | 9.7 | 63.8% | 54.3% | 29.1% |
| Glenn Smith | RB | 6'1, 200 | SR | 64 | 47 | 377 | 1 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 73.4% | 42.2% | 16.1% |
| Tamir Jones | WR | 6'0, 185 | FR | 48 | 33 | 396 | 0 | 12.0 | 8.3 | 68.8% | 52.1% | 12.1% |
| Todd Boyd | WR | 5'11, 185 | SR | 34 | 16 | 195 | 0 | 12.2 | 5.7 | 47.1% | 32.4% | 8.5% |
| Ari Werts | TE | 6'4, 235 | JR | 32 | 22 | 275 | 0 | 12.5 | 8.6 | 68.8% | 46.9% | 8.0% |
| Jonathan Ifedi | WR | 6'0, 195 | FR | 27 | 20 | 190 | 0 | 9.5 | 7.0 | 74.1% | 55.6% | 6.8% |
| Devin Gentry | WR | 5'10, 190 | SO | 18 | 12 | 259 | 3 | 21.6 | 14.4 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 4.5% |
| Kyler Neal | RB | 5'11, 215 | SR | 16 | 11 | 120 | 0 | 10.9 | 7.5 | 68.8% | 56.2% | 4.0% |
| Roger Carter | TE | 6'2, 245 | FR | 15 | 10 | 146 | 2 | 14.6 | 9.7 | 66.7% | 53.3% | 3.8% |
| Taz Bateman | RB | 5'8, 190 | JR | 14 | 13 | 148 | 1 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 92.9% | 71.4% | 3.5% |
| Tra Barnett | RB | 5'10, 185 | SO | 8 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 75.0% | 37.5% | 2.0% |
| Emiere Scaife | TE | 6'2, 230 | JR | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Jawan Nobles | WR | 6'3, 185 | SO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Kendrick Dorn | WR | 6'0, 205 | SR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Chandon Sullivan | CB | 5'11, 195 | SR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 91.3 | 110 | 101.2 | 56 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 46.4% | 69 | 42.9% | 31 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.05 | 63 | 1.05 | 67 | 1.07 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.62 | 107 | 2.73 | 46 | 2.92 |
| SD Sack Rate | 4.3% | 49 | 3.6% | 96 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 87.4 | 112 | 87.6 | 110 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 29.1% | 84 | 31.7% | 88 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.50 | 71 | 1.47 | 56 | 1.53 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.24 | 126 | 3.07 | 52 | 3.22 |
| PD Sack Rate | 5.5% | 38 | 6.9% | 79 | 7.8% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 94.8 | 84 | 108.1 | 38 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 81.1 | 123 | 91.3 | 100 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 101.5 | 65 | 89.7 | 98 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 88.9 | 107 | 98.6 | 70 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 86.1 | 123 | 95.8 | 87 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 89.3 | 106 | 107.4 | 46 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 100.9 | 67 | 88.8 | 105 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 53.2% | 100 | 60.0% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 35.7% | 55 | 35.3% |
| Adj. Pace | +1.0 | 86 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 77.1% | 40 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 53.1% | 120 | 59.9% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 35.3% | 64 | 35.0% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 13.1% | 111 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.2% | 78 | 4.9% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 4.6% | 57 | 4.4% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.4% | 124 | 6.5% |
| PD to INC | 29.3% | 107 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
| Trey Payne | LB | 6'0, 225 | SR | 53.0 | 4 (2.5) | 9 | 0 (1) | 0 | 36.5% |
| Chase Middleton | LB | 6'2, 235 | JR | 51.0 | 3 (1.5) | 5 | 1 (1) | 0 | 41.5% |
| Bryan Williams | S | 6'3, 212 | SR | 50.5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 4 (2) | 0 | 68.3% |
| Michael Shaw | OLB | 6'4, 230 | JR | 44.5 | 6 (1.5) | 8 | 0 (4) | 1 | 29.1% |
| Chandon Sullivan | CB | 5'11, 195 | SR | 43.5 | 1 (0) | 0 | 1 (5) | 0 | 69.0% |
| DeAndre Applin | S | 6'1, 210 | JR | 39.0 | 2.5 (0) | 5 | 1 (3) | 1 | 46.5% |
| Jerome Smith | CB | 5'10, 180 | JR | 35.0 | 1 (0) | 1 | 1 (4) | 0 | 58.3% |
| James Traylor | OLB | 6'3, 230 | SR | 31.5 | 1 (1) | 3 | 0 (1) | 1 | 52.8% |
| Antreal Allen | S | 5'11, 195 | SR | 31.5 | 0.5 (0) | 1 | 1 (3) | 0 | 70.3% |
| Victor Heyward | OLB | 6'2, 215 | FR | 30.5 | 5 (3) | 5 | 0 (2) | 0 | 32.4% |
| Ed Curney | LB | 5'11, 225 | SO | 30.0 | 1.5 (0) | 6 | 0 (0) | 0 | 28.2% |
| Trajan Stephens-McQueen | ILB | 6'1, 225 | FR | 27.0 | 2 (0) | 5 | 0 (2) | 0 | 34.3% |
| Marterious Allen | DE | 6'2, 270 | JR | 20.0 | 5 (4) | 4 | 0 (0) | 0 | 23.1% |
| Julien Laurent | NG | 6'4, 295 | SR | 19.0 | 6.5 (0) | 10 | 0 (1) | 0 | 4.2% |
| Dontae Wilson | DL | 6'0, 285 | FR | 19.0 | 5.5 (4.5) | 2 | 0 (0) | 1 | 20.8% |
| Terry Thomas | DL | 6'3, 265 | SO | 16.0 | 2 (1.5) | 8 | 0 (0) | 1 | 11.5% |
| Hardrick Willis | DE | 6'3, 235 | FR | 15.5 | 2.5 (1.5) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 33.3% |
| Remy Lazarus | S | 6'0, 190 | FR | 15.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 60.0% |
| Malik Ricks | DE | 6'1, 240 | SR | 10.0 | 1 (1) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 60.0% |
| Mackendy Cheridor | DE | 6'5, 275 | SR | 9.5 | 4 (3) | 1 | 0 (2) | 2 | 23.1% |
| Khai Anderson | CB | 5'10, 185 | SO | 7.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 100.0% |
| B.J. Clay | CB | 6'0, 190 | SR | 6.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (3) | 0 | 71.4% |
| Ronald Peterkin | S | 6'0, 185 | JR | 5.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 100.0% |
| Kendrec Grady | OLB | 6'2, 215 | FR | 5.0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 33.3% |
| Cedric Stone | CB | 5'10, 185 | SO | 2.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 33.3% |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.8 | 126 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.46 | 112 |
| Punt Success Rate | 46.8% | 111 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 74.1% | 63 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 33.3% | 104 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 40.0% | 87 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Brandon Wright | 5'10, 180 | SO | 28-30 | 12-23 | 52.2% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Oliver Holdenson | 5'11, 195 | SO | 32 | 38.3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 56.3% |
| Brandon Wright | 5'10, 180 | SO | 27 | 44.4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 25.9% |
| Jeff Hollingsworth | 5'7, 175 | FR | 2 | 31.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Barry Brown | 6'4, 190 | FR | 33 | 60.8 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Wright | 5'10, 180 | SO | 20 | 64.5 | 14 | 70.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Taz Bateman | 5'8, 190 | JR | 7 | 3.7 | 0 | 2 | 0 (0) |
| Penny Hart | 5'8, 180 | SO | 6 | 7.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 (0) |
| Cedric Stone | 5'10, 185 | SO | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Glenn Smith | 6'1, 200 | SR | 17 | 23.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Devin Gentry | 5'10, 190 | SO | 8 | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Penny Hart | 5'8, 180 | SO | 2 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
| Khai Anderson | CB | 5'10, 185 | SO | 7.0 | 16.3 | 12.2 |
| Hardrick Willis | DE | 6'3, 235 | FR | 6.0 | 21.3 | |
| Remy Lazarus | S | 6'0, 190 | FR | 6.0 | 7.5 | 16.8 |
| Ronald Peterkin | S | 6'0, 185 | JR | 4.5 | 17.2 | |
| Chandon Sullivan | CB | 5'11, 195 | SR | 4.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics