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2017 Michigan State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Michigan State Spartans (Big Ten East)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 10-3 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.7 (-0.3) | S&P+ Rk: 19
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Bowling Green 109 35-10 W 100% 41.2 93% 83% 97%
9-Sep Western Michigan 74 28-14 W 100% 42.1 95% 72% 99%
23-Sep Notre Dame 13 18-38 L 21% -7.5 34% 38% 36%
30-Sep Iowa 49 17-10 W 88% 10.8 73% 23% 93%
7-Oct at Michigan 27 14-10 W 59% 2.0 56% 18% 86%
14-Oct at Minnesota 97 30-27 W 86% 9.9 70% 69% 56%
21-Oct Indiana 51 17-9 W 97% 17.7 83% 17% 96%
28-Oct at Northwestern 46 31-39 L 65% 3.6 60% 75% 24%
4-Nov Penn State 4 27-24 W 60% 2.4 55% 63% 47%
11-Nov at Ohio State 2 3-48 L 0% -49.4 6% 1% 6%
18-Nov Maryland 114 17-7 W 100% 25.1 87% 38% 96%
25-Nov at Rutgers 110 40-7 W 98% 18.8 82% 79% NULL
28-Dec vs. Washington State 39 42-17 W 100% 26.7 91% 90% 70%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.8 91 17.2 4
Points Per Game 26.6 89 21.7 19
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.6% 81 36.0% 15 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.09 100 0.98 3 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 31.4 29 26.9 13 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.09 99 4.53 80 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.0 92 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+2.30
ACTUAL 3 45
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 100.7 66 137.6 4 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 38.9% 100 35.1% 13 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.90 67 0.67 3 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 99.3 80 115.4 23 100.0
Opportunity Rate 34.4% 108 33.2% 15 38.5%
Power Success Rate 65.2% 87 70.6% 84 67.7%
Stuff Rate 21.7% 103 20.1% 57 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
LJ Scott RB 6'1, 229 JR 201 898 8 4.5 4.4 31.8% 5 (4)
Brian Lewerke QB 6'3, 212 SO 109 665 5 6.1 5.8 45.9% 8 (2)
Madre London RB 6'1, 218 JR 86 304 3 3.5 3.7 27.9% 2 (1)
Gerald Holmes RB 6'1, 231 SR 79 287 1 3.6 2.8 27.8% 1 (1)
Darrell Stewart Jr. WR 6'2, 210 SO 20 140 0 7.0 11.4 40.0% 0 (0)
Damion Terry QB 6'4, 220 SR 7 31 1 4.4 1.7 57.1% 0 (0)
Cody White WR 6'3, 206 FR 4 19 0 4.8 1.5 50.0% 2 (1)
Hunter Rison WR 5'11, 200 FR 3 11 0 3.7 2.9 33.3% 1 (1)
Connor Heyward RB 6'0, 219 FR 3 10 0 3.3 1.5 33.3% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 119.0 17 110.0 30 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.6% 43 36.6% 32 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.30 115 1.20 3 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 149.6 19 101.2 67 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brian Lewerke 6'3, 212 SO 246 417 2793 20 7 59.0% 18 4.1% 6.1
Damion Terry 6'4, 220 SR 0 4 0 0 1 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Felton Davis III WR 6'4, 195 JR 97 55 776 9 14.1 8.0 56.7% 53.6% 23.7%
Darrell Stewart Jr. WR 6'2, 210 SO 79 50 501 2 10.0 6.3 63.3% 48.1% 19.3%
Cody White WR 6'3, 206 FR 63 35 490 4 14.0 7.8 55.6% 42.9% 15.4%
Matt Sokol TE 6'6, 250 JR 37 21 222 1 10.6 6.0 56.8% 40.5% 9.0%
Hunter Rison WR 5'11, 200 FR 29 19 224 0 11.8 7.7 65.5% 55.2% 7.1%
Trishton Jackson WR 6'1, 179 SO 25 12 143 0 11.9 5.7 48.0% 32.0% 6.1%
LJ Scott RB 6'1, 229 JR 24 20 146 1 7.3 6.1 83.3% 41.7% 5.9%
Gerald Holmes RB 6'1, 231 SR 11 8 80 1 10.0 7.3 72.7% 54.5% 2.7%
Madre London RB 6'1, 218 JR 11 9 62 1 6.9 5.6 81.8% 45.5% 2.7%
Cam Chambers WR 6'2, 211 FR 9 5 66 0 13.2 7.3 55.6% 55.6% 2.2%
Laress Nelson WR 5'8, 179 FR 6 3 29 0 9.7 4.8 50.0% 33.3% 1.5%
Noah Davis TE 6'4, 248 FR 4 3 22 0 7.3 5.5 75.0% 50.0% 1.0%
Matt Dotson TE 6'5, 234 FR 4 2 19 0 9.5 4.8 50.0% 50.0% 1.0%
Connor Heyward RB 6'0, 219 FR 4 4 13 1 3.3 3.3 100.0% 25.0% 1.0%
Matt Seybert TE 6'4, 242 SO 3 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Brian Lewerke QB 6'3, 212 SO 2 1 5 0 5.0 2.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 100.2 68 119.6 11 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 43.3% 110 41.3% 19 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.00 94 0.84 2 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.71 97 2.54 23 2.92
SD Sack Rate 3.0% 20 5.7% 51 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 130.8 9 123.7 15 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 34.2% 29 25.8% 16 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.36 107 1.41 32 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.67 116 2.96 42 3.22
PD Sack Rate 5.8% 41 8.5% 38 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 116.9 34 121.4 23
Q2 S&P+ 112.6 38 143.2 3
Q3 S&P+ 91.3 102 111.7 34
Q4 S&P+ 99.3 79 116.8 12
1st Down S&P+ 98.5 68 124.4 10
2nd Down S&P+ 100.0 72 122.0 15
3rd Down S&P+ 125.8 12 117.9 20
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 65.3% 31 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 30.5% 87 35.3%
Adj. Pace +2.1 107 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 65.9% 120 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 51.0% 125 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 27.9% 121 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.9% 50 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 5.5% 46 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 4.2% 71 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 7.2% 39 6.5%
PD to INC 32.4% 82 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Joe Bachie LB 6'2, 233 SO 73.0 8.5 (3.5) 15 3 (2) 2 31.3%
Khari Willis S 6'0, 215 JR 55.0 5.5 (4) 3 2 (3) 1 60.0%
Kenny Willekes DE 6'4, 244 SO 54.0 14.5 (7) 14 0 (2) 1 23.3%
Andrew Dowell LB 6'1, 222 JR 52.0 2.5 (1) 4 0 (4) 1 52.1%
David Dowell S 6'1, 191 SO 42.0 0 (0) 0 5 (4) 0 66.0%
Chris Frey LB 6'2, 238 SR 40.0 4.5 (4) 8 0 (2) 1 35.2%
Justin Layne CB 6'3, 180 SO 32.0 0.5 (0) 1 1 (8) 1 52.4%
Antjuan Simmons LB 6'0, 217 FR 27.0 1.5 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 50.0%
Matt Morrissey S 6'3, 209 JR 25.5 1.5 (0) 2 0 (4) 0 59.4%
Josiah Scott CB 5'10, 173 FR 25.5 1 (0) 1 2 (10) 1 75.9%
Raequan Williams DT 6'4, 300 SO 22.0 6 (2.5) 8 0 (0) 0 16.1%
Demetrius Cooper DE 6'6, 249 SR 21.5 5.5 (2.5) 9 0 (1) 2 27.6%
Mike Panasiuk DT 6'4, 294 SO 17.5 2.5 (0) 7 0 (0) 0 28.0%
Jacub Panasiuk DE 6'3, 266 FR 11.0 3 (1) 3 0 (0) 0 33.3%
Josh Butler CB 6'0, 186 SO 9.5 0.5 (0.5) 0 0 (3) 0 60.0%
Dominique Long S 6'2, 185 FR 9.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Byron Bullough LB 6'1, 228 JR 9.0 1 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 14.3%
Shane Jones LB 6'1, 236 SR 8.5 0 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 42.9%
Naquan Jones DT 6'4, 328 FR 7.5 2 (0) 3 0 (1) 0 15.4%
Gerald Owens DL 6'2, 312 JR 7.5 1 (1) 1 0 (0) 0 9.1%
Kyonta Stallworth DL 6'3, 289 SO 7.5 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 27.3%
Grayson Miller S 6'3, 208 JR 7.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Tyriq Thompson LB 6'1, 239 SO 6.5 0.5 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 30.0%
Matt Sokol TE 6'6, 250 JR 4.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Brandon Randle DE 6'2, 231 FR 4.0 1 (1) 1 0 (1) 0 20.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.5 24
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.19 42
Punt Success Rate 60.3% 53
Kickoff Success Rate 67.7% 89
Punt Return Success Rate 33.3% 104
Kick Return Success Rate 65.6% 6
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Matt Coghlin 5'9, 188 FR 38-38 15-19 78.9%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jake Hartbarger 6'4, 201 JR 69 42.0 11 21 28 71.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Brett Scanlon 5'11, 210 SR 62 61.1 14 22.6% 0 1 1 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Laress Nelson 5'8, 179 FR 7 4.9 0 6 1 (0)
Cody White 6'3, 206 FR 7 3.1 0 15 1 (0)
Darrell Stewart Jr. 6'2, 210 SO 6 3.3 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Connor Heyward 6'0, 219 FR 20 21.8 0 0 0 (0)
Darrell Stewart Jr. 6'2, 210 SO 6 25.3 0 0 0 (0)
Andre Welch 5'9, 175 FR 3 20.3 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Dominique Long S 6'2, 185 FR 9.5 -0.3 14.0
Antjuan Simmons LB 6'0, 217 FR 9.0 18.0
Grayson Miller S 6'3, 208 JR 5.0 -2.7 19.5
Byron Bullough LB 6'1, 228 JR 5.0 6.0 18.5
Matt Sokol TE 6'6, 250 JR 4.5 17.4

Stats via SportSource Analytics