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2016 Michigan State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Michigan State Spartans (Big Ten East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.0 (2.0) | S&P+ Rk: 57
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Furman N/A 28-13 W 99% 19.4 58% 19% 34%
17-Sep at Notre Dame 26 36-28 W 79% 6.4 81% 82% 52%
24-Sep Wisconsin 11 6-30 L 2% -15.9 41% 11% 72%
1-Oct at Indiana 53 21-24 L 13% -8.8 41% 47% 31%
8-Oct BYU 37 14-31 L 2% -15.8 30% 29% 39%
15-Oct Northwestern 49 40-54 L 54% 0.9 63% 97% 13%
22-Oct at Maryland 87 17-28 L 32% -3.7 39% 48% 33%
29-Oct Michigan 3 23-32 L 6% -11.9 63% 85% 46%
5-Nov at Illinois 95 27-31 L 31% -3.9 32% 39% 25%
12-Nov Rutgers 114 49-0 W 100% 46.6 94% 83% 72%
19-Nov Ohio State 5 16-17 L 83% 7.5 91% 79% 78%
26-Nov at Penn State 8 12-45 L 0% -28.4 23% 30% 19%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 29.3 66 26.3 41
Points Per Game 24.1 103 27.8 61
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.28 58 1.22 41 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.5% 86 42.9% 69 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 28.1 102 30.1 84 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.06 102 4.58 74 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -5.33 109 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.14
ACTUAL -5 97
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 104.7 55 103.7 49 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.5% 87 41.9% 56 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.06 63 1.05 55 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 111.4 27 103.2 54 100.0
Opportunity Rate 41.5% 44 35.2% 29 39.7%
Power Success Rate 62.9% 96 64.4% 40 67.9%
Stuff Rate 19.4% 76 21.9% 30 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
LJ Scott RB 6'1, 230 SO 184 994 6 5.4 5.3 40.8% 2 (2)
Gerald Holmes RB 6'0, 222 JR 91 431 5 4.7 6.3 33.0% 1 (0)
Tyler O'Connor QB 6'3, 228 SR 42 194 0 4.6 2.1 47.6% 4 (2)
Madre London RB 6'1, 206 SO 28 120 2 4.3 3.5 39.3% 0 (0)
Damion Terry QB 6'4, 232 JR 23 93 1 4.0 2.1 52.2% 2 (0)
Brian Lewerke QB 6'3, 202 FR 18 169 0 9.4 5.8 72.2% 0 (0)
R.J. Shelton WR 5'11, 202 SR 18 121 0 6.7 6.3 50.0% 0 (0)
Donnie Corley WR 6'2, 186 FR 8 44 0 5.5 6.2 37.5% 0 (0)
Delton Williams RB 6'1, 228 SR 7 21 0 3.0 1.3 28.6% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 107.7 47 84.4 120 100.0
Passing Success Rate 39.3% 79 44.2% 99 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.55 40 1.42 38 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 107.9 46 49.9 124 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyler O'Connor 6'3, 228 SR 154 262 1970 16 9 58.8% 21 7.4% 6.5
Brian Lewerke 6'3, 202 FR 31 57 381 2 1 54.4% 3 5.0% 6.0
Damion Terry 6'4, 232 JR 22 46 253 1 1 47.8% 3 6.1% 5.0
Colar Kuhns 6'2, 211 SO 1 1 5 0 0 100.0% 0 0.0% 5.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
R.J. Shelton WR 5'11, 202 SR 85 53 789 5 14.9 9.3 62.4% 44.7% 23.9%
Donnie Corley WR 6'2, 186 FR 64 33 453 3 13.7 7.1 51.6% 46.9% 18.0%
Monty Madaris WR 6'1, 207 SR 52 24 310 1 12.9 6.0 46.2% 36.5% 14.6%
Josiah Price TE 6'4, 248 SR 50 38 387 5 10.2 7.7 76.0% 50.0% 14.0%
Felton Davis III WR 6'4, 192 SO 29 12 150 1 12.5 5.2 41.4% 41.4% 8.1%
Gerald Holmes RB 6'0, 222 JR 16 11 48 0 4.4 3.0 68.8% 25.0% 4.5%
LJ Scott RB 6'1, 230 SO 15 10 147 1 14.7 9.8 66.7% 40.0% 4.2%
Jamal Lyles TE 6'3, 257 SR 15 12 145 1 12.1 9.7 80.0% 53.3% 4.2%
Trishton Jackson WR 6'3, 190 FR 8 5 89 1 17.8 11.1 62.5% 37.5% 2.2%
Darrell Stewart Jr. WR 6'1, 207 FR 6 3 29 0 9.7 4.8 50.0% 33.3% 1.7%
Delton Williams RB 6'1, 228 SR 4 3 47 1 15.7 11.8 75.0% 50.0% 1.1%
Prescott Line FB 6'0, 253 SR 4 3 18 0 6.0 4.5 75.0% 25.0% 1.1%
Matt Sokol TE 6'5, 250 SO 3 2 26 0 13.0 8.7 66.7% 66.7% 0.8%
Damion Terry QB 6'4, 232 JR 1 1 15 0 15.0 15.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.3%
Madre London RB 6'1, 206 SO 1 1 15 0 15.0 15.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Justin Layne WR 6'2, 180 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 111.6 30 96.9 76 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 46.8% 75 46.3% 50 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.13 58 1.09 55 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.00 67 2.62 23 2.98
SD Sack Rate 2.7% 16 2.9% 107 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 95.2 90 87.6 109 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 29.0% 89 35.5% 113 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.70 80 1.58 14 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 2.68 109 3.13 55 3.24
PD Sack Rate 9.6% 96 4.4% 115 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 104.0 61 115.1 25
Q2 S&P+ 105.1 59 97.5 79
Q3 S&P+ 121.1 20 100.8 59
Q4 S&P+ 108.8 40 84.3 117
1st Down S&P+ 110.3 37 104.6 50
2nd Down S&P+ 106.0 51 98.5 71
3rd Down S&P+ 103.6 69 88.4 105
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 67.8% 22 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 28.6% 100 34.6%
Adj. Pace -1.7 74 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 62.7% 124 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.0% 27 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 38.2% 24 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 12.8% 110 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 3.6% 96 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.8% 71 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 4.8% 115 6.4%
PD to INC 30.6% 91 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Chris Frey LB 6'2, 227 JR 68.0 11.0% 4.0 0.5 0 0 1
Montae Nicholson S 6'2, 219 JR 62.5 10.1% 2.0 0.0 1 2 0
Riley Bullough LB 6'2, 227 SR 48.0 7.8% 6.5 0.0 0 0 0
Andrew Dowell LB 6'1, 218 SO 45.0 7.3% 3.0 1.0 1 3 0
Demetrious Cox DB 6'1, 197 SR 38.0 6.2% 1.5 0.0 1 5 0
Vayante Copeland CB 5'11, 190 SO 28.0 4.5% 0.0 0.0 1 2 0
Malik McDowell DL 6'6, 276 JR 27.0 4.4% 7.0 1.5 0 0 0
Khari Willis S 5'11, 211 SO 23.0 3.7% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Darian Hicks CB 5'11, 184 SR 22.5 3.6% 1.0 0.0 2 8 0
Raequan Williams DL 6'4, 295 FR 19.5 3.2% 5.0 2.0 0 1 1
Demetrius Cooper DE 6'5, 253 JR 18.5 3.0% 6.0 2.5 0 0 0
Shane Jones LB 6'1, 221 JR 18.5 3.0% 3.5 1.0 0 0 1
Matt Morrissey S 6'2, 201 SO 16.0 2.6% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Grayson Miller S 6'3, 208 SO 16.0 2.6% 0.0 0.0 0 2 0
Kevin Williams DT 6'2, 281 SR 15.5 2.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Justin Layne WR 6'2, 180 FR 14.5 2.4% 1.5 0.0 1 1 0
Ed Davis LB 6'2, 237 SR 11.0 1.8% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Tyson Smith CB 5'11, 170 SO 11.0 1.8% 1.5 0.0 0 4 0
Evan Jones DE 6'5, 251 SR 11.0 1.8% 1.0 1.0 0 1 0
Mike Panasiuk DT 6'3, 309 FR 11.0 1.8% 0.5 0.5 0 0 0
Jon Reschke LB 6'2, 227 JR 10.0 1.6% 1.0 0.0 1 0 1
Joe Bachie LB 6'2, 232 FR 7.5 1.2% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Robert Bowers DE 6'4, 244 SO 7.0 1.1% 1.5 0.5 0 0 0
David Dowell S 6'1, 185 FR 7.0 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Josh King DE 6'6, 267 FR 6.0 1.0% 1.5 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.4 46
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.29 32
Punt Success Rate 54.7% 77
Kickoff Success Rate 71.0% 74
Punt Return Success Rate 52.6% 52
Kick Return Success Rate 36.7% 97
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Michael Geiger 5'9, 185 SR 30-30 15-19 78.9%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jake Hartbarger 6'4, 206 SO 54 40.9 3 16 17 61.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Kevin Cronin 6'2, 220 SR 61 59.8 23 37.7% 0 6 1 0
Jake Hartbarger 6'4, 206 SO 1 42.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brandon Sowards 6'0, 189 SO 15 6.3 0 16 1 (0)
R.J. Shelton 5'11, 202 SR 2 9.5 0 5 0 (0)
Donnie Corley 6'2, 186 FR 1 -1.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
R.J. Shelton 5'11, 202 SR 21 21.3 0 0 0 (0)
Darrell Stewart Jr. 6'1, 207 FR 5 21.4 0 0 0 (0)
Delton Williams 6'1, 228 SR 4 16.5 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics