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2017 Penn State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/3/2018

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Penn State Nittany Lions (Big Ten East)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 11-2 | Second-order wins (diff.): 10.6 (-0.4) | S&P+ Rk: 4
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep Akron 112 52-0 W 100% 51.4 94% 94% 99%
9-Sep Pittsburgh 82 33-14 W 100% 30.2 92% 76% 94%
16-Sep Georgia State 96 56-0 W 100% 47.9 96% 98% 96%
23-Sep at Iowa 49 21-19 W 87% 10.2 72% 61% 75%
30-Sep Indiana 51 45-14 W 63% 3.1 57% 53% 62%
7-Oct at Northwestern 46 31-7 W 100% 36.2 95% 70% 97%
21-Oct Michigan 27 42-13 W 97% 16.9 83% 88% 63%
28-Oct at Ohio State 2 38-39 L 3% -17.8 19% 45% 9%
4-Nov at Michigan State 19 24-27 L 40% -2.4 46% 53% 37%
11-Nov Rutgers 110 35-6 W 100% 42.5 93% 68% 98%
18-Nov Nebraska 103 56-44 W 98% 19.1 81% 95% 23%
25-Nov at Maryland 114 66-3 W 100% 36.7 92% 93% 93%
30-Dec vs. Washington 5 35-28 W 77% 6.8 65% 75% 46%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 37.6 10 20.0 12
Points Per Game 44.5 6 17.8 8
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 47.1% 8 35.6% 12 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.31 19 1.08 24 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 33.6 7 25.9 6 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 5.08 14 3.98 27 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 10.7 3 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.48
ACTUAL 12 11
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 133.4 4 120.1 18 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 46.9% 22 35.4% 15 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.09 11 0.83 25 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 101.8 63 106.6 45 100.0
Opportunity Rate 43.9% 9 33.7% 20 38.5%
Power Success Rate 65.0% 89 71.1% 90 67.7%
Stuff Rate 21.3% 95 22.4% 34 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Saquon Barkley RB 5'11, 230 JR 217 1271 18 5.9 8.3 39.2% 0 (0)
Trace McSorley QB 6'0, 195 JR 117 629 11 5.4 4.2 47.0% 2 (1)
Miles Sanders RB 5'11, 215 SO 31 191 2 6.2 6.4 45.2% 1 (0)
Tommy Stevens QB 6'5, 228 SO 25 207 4 8.3 4.1 76.0% 1 (0)
Andre Robinson RB 5'9, 223 SO 9 55 1 6.1 12.6 33.3% 1 (0)
Mark Allen RB 5'6, 180 JR 9 38 0 4.2 1.3 44.4% 0 (0)
Nick Eury RB 5'9, 207 FR 1 4 0 4.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
DaeSean Hamilton WR 6'1, 206 SR 1 2 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 131.3 6 118.9 13 100.0
Passing Success Rate 47.3% 11 35.7% 23 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.48 51 1.27 9 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 109 56 113.4 45 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Trace McSorley 6'0, 195 JR 284 427 3570 28 10 66.5% 27 5.9% 7.6
Tommy Stevens 6'5, 228 SO 14 27 158 3 0 51.9% 2 6.9% 4.9
Billy Fessler 5'11, 181 JR 1 2 8 0 0 50.0% 0 0.0% 4.0

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
DaeSean Hamilton WR 6'1, 206 SR 82 53 878 9 16.6 10.7 64.6% 61.0% 18.6%
Juwan Johnson WR 6'4, 226 SO 79 54 701 1 13.0 8.9 68.4% 59.5% 18.0%
Mike Gesicki TE 6'6, 250 SR 76 57 563 9 9.9 7.4 75.0% 48.7% 17.3%
Saquon Barkley RB 5'11, 230 JR 68 54 611 3 11.3 9.0 79.4% 47.1% 15.5%
DeAndre Thompkins WR 5'11, 187 JR 40 28 443 3 15.8 11.1 70.0% 62.5% 9.1%
Saeed Blacknall WR 6'3, 217 SR 35 17 289 2 17.0 8.3 48.6% 42.9% 8.0%
Brandon Polk WR 5'9, 175 SO 16 10 130 1 13.0 8.1 62.5% 50.0% 3.6%
Tommy Stevens QB 6'5, 228 SO 14 12 60 2 5.0 4.3 85.7% 42.9% 3.2%
Miles Sanders RB 5'11, 215 SO 12 6 30 0 5.0 2.5 50.0% 8.3% 2.7%
Irvin Charles WR 6'4, 217 SO 5 1 4 0 4.0 0.8 20.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Tom Pancoast TE 6'3, 242 SR 4 4 27 1 6.8 6.8 100.0% 75.0% 0.9%
Jonathan Holland TE 6'4, 248 SO 4 3 16 0 5.3 4.0 75.0% 50.0% 0.9%
Andre Robinson RB 5'9, 223 SO 3 1 5 0 5.0 1.7 33.3% 33.3% 0.7%
Nick Bowers TE 6'4, 268 SO 1 1 15 1 15.0 15.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Cody Hodgens WR 5'7, 173 SR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 122.0 6 114.7 19 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 49.6% 30 41.4% 20 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.18 22 0.99 31 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.68 101 2.63 36 2.92
SD Sack Rate 3.5% 30 5.0% 69 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 155.9 2 120.6 20 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 41.5% 3 25.6% 14 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.67 25 1.31 11 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.22 69 3.13 60 3.22
PD Sack Rate 10.3% 104 8.9% 33 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 155.9 2 121.7 21
Q2 S&P+ 131.2 6 128.2 12
Q3 S&P+ 138.0 3 126.5 13
Q4 S&P+ 124.5 8 90.6 106
1st Down S&P+ 129.3 6 112.9 24
2nd Down S&P+ 142.5 3 129.4 6
3rd Down S&P+ 150.3 2 101.0 67
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 51.9% 109 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 26.4% 110 35.3%
Adj. Pace +1.1 89 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 77.6% 30 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 52.0% 124 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 29.6% 108 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 20.0% 11 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 7.4% 14 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 3.5% 92 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 8.9% 8 6.5%
PD to INC 37.4% 27 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Jason Cabinda LB 6'1, 234 SR 60.5 6.5 (2.5) 11 0 (3) 2 30.7%
Marcus Allen S 6'2, 207 SR 58.0 4 (1) 5 1 (3) 2 54.9%
Troy Apke S 6'1, 198 SR 45.5 3 (0) 3 1 (5) 0 60.0%
Brandon Smith LB 6'0, 231 SR 40.5 2.5 (0) 9 0 (0) 0 29.8%
Christian Campbell CB 6'1, 194 SR 37.0 2 (1) 0 1 (12) 2 53.3%
Manny Bowen LB 6'1, 226 JR 36.5 3.5 (1.5) 5 0 (1) 1 44.0%
Koa Farmer LB 6'1, 237 JR 33.5 5.5 (1) 9 0 (1) 0 47.9%
Grant Haley CB 5'9, 190 SR 33.5 3 (2) 2 2 (9) 0 47.4%
Shareef Miller DE 6'5, 257 SO 28.5 11 (5) 10 0 (0) 0 13.5%
Nick Scott S 5'11, 199 JR 25.0 1.5 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 58.3%
Cam Brown LB 6'5, 227 SO 23.5 1.5 (0.5) 1 0 (1) 0 41.7%
Amani Oruwariye CB 6'1, 209 JR 23.5 0 (0) 0 4 (8) 0 51.9%
Lamont Wade CB 5'9, 196 FR 22.5 0 (0) 1 0 (3) 1 65.0%
Parker Cothren DT 6'4, 304 SR 17.5 2.5 (1.5) 5 0 (1) 0 18.5%
Kevin Givens DT 6'1, 287 SO 16.0 4 (3.5) 9 0 (2) 1 4.3%
Shaka Toney DE 6'3, 233 FR 14.0 6.5 (4) 5 0 (0) 2 25.0%
Tyrell Chavis DT 6'3, 308 SR 13.0 6.5 (3) 5 0 (2) 0 21.1%
Ayron Monroe S 5'11, 207 SO 13.0 1.5 (0.5) 1 0 (1) 0 63.6%
Ryan Buchholz DE 6'6, 275 SO 12.5 2.5 (2) 6 0 (0) 1 11.1%
Robert Windsor DT 6'4, 303 SO 12.5 2.5 (2) 5 0 (0) 1 15.8%
Shane Simmons DE 6'3, 250 FR 11.5 4.5 (1) 4 0 (0) 0 20.0%
Curtis Cothran DT 6'5, 301 SR 11.0 4 (3.5) 5 0 (0) 0 6.7%
Yetur Gross-Matos DE 6'5, 248 FR 11.0 2 (1.5) 3 0 (0) 0 29.4%
Tariq Castro-Fields CB 6'0, 185 FR 9.5 2 (0) 2 1 (3) 1 66.7%
Jan Johnson LB 6'2, 234 SO 9.0 1 (0) 2 0 (0) 0 66.7%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.3 88
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.76 124
Punt Success Rate 72.7% 10
Kickoff Success Rate 75.3% 59
Punt Return Success Rate 70.4% 14
Kick Return Success Rate 45.2% 65
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Tyler Davis 5'11, 183 SR 71-71 9-17 52.9%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Blake Gillikin 6'2, 195 SO 52 43.2 3 16 21 71.2%
Daniel Pasquariello 6'1, 201 SR 1 45.0 0 0 1 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Tyler Davis 5'11, 183 SR 87 62.3 33 37.9% 0 5 0 0
Alex Barbir 5'9, 193 FR 6 61.2 0 0.0% 0 2 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
DeAndre Thompkins 5'11, 187 JR 24 13.3 1 25 1 (0)
Zech McPhearson 5'11, 182 FR 1 -3.0 0 0 1 (1)
Mark Allen 5'6, 180 JR 1 10.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Saquon Barkley 5'11, 230 JR 15 28.4 2 0 0 (0)
Miles Sanders 5'11, 215 SO 5 15.2 0 0 0 (0)
Koa Farmer 6'1, 237 JR 4 23.0 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Josh McPhearson RB 5'10, 197 SR 8.5 17.9
Lamont Wade CB 5'9, 196 FR 8.0 18.6
Garrett Taylor S 6'0, 197 SO 8.0 5.3 13.0
Nick Scott S 5'11, 199 JR 7.0 -7.0 20.1
Ayron Monroe S 5'11, 207 SO 6.5 5.0 17.8

Stats via SportSource Analytics