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2017 Michigan advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/4/18

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2015 | 2016 | 2017

Michigan Wolverines (Big Ten East)

2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 8-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 8.8 (0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 27
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep vs. Florida 86 33-17 W 100% 33.9 93% 52% 96%
9-Sep Cincinnati 102 36-14 W 99% 20.4 84% 44% 88%
16-Sep Air Force 100 29-13 W 98% 19.9 84% 42% 93%
23-Sep at Purdue 41 28-10 W 100% 23.9 89% 73% 73%
7-Oct Michigan State 19 10-14 L 41% -2.0 46% 14% 82%
14-Oct at Indiana 51 27-20 W 90% 11.8 75% 46% 80%
21-Oct at Penn State 4 13-42 L 3% -16.9 20% 37% 12%
28-Oct Rutgers 110 35-14 W 99% 20.8 84% 90% 72%
4-Nov Minnesota 97 33-10 W 100% 24.9 89% 70% 87%
11-Nov at Maryland 114 35-10 W 100% 24.0 86% 62% 93%
18-Nov at Wisconsin 6 10-24 L 28% -5.4 38% 13% 85%
25-Nov Ohio State 2 20-31 L 23% -6.8 35% 36% 49%
1-Jan vs. South Carolina 60 19-26 L 5% -15.5 19% 18% 48%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 26.4 86 18.7 10
Points Per Game 27.3 85 20.4 13
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 38.4% 109 30.6% 1 40.3%
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.18 58 1.30 112 1.17
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 32.1 16 28.1 29 29.6
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.44 69 4.25 49 4.42
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED 5.2 25 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.54
ACTUAL -4 90
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 120.2 14 130.5 8 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 41.4% 79 33.3% 5 42.2%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.00 29 1.08 123 0.92
Adj. Line Yards 114.2 20 132.8 1 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.6% 90 34.3% 26 38.5%
Power Success Rate 79.5% 7 46.7% 3 67.7%
Stuff Rate 18.1% 47 28.9% 1 19.3%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Karan Higdon RB 5'10, 190 JR 164 994 11 6.1 7.0 37.2% 2 (2)
Chris Evans RB 5'11, 206 SO 135 685 6 5.1 6.8 35.6% 1 (1)
Ty Isaac RB 6'3, 228 SR 88 548 2 6.2 5.9 45.5% 1 (1)
John O'Korn QB 6'4, 211 SR 23 101 0 4.4 2.0 52.2% 5 (1)
Kareem Walker RB 6'1, 211 SO 20 68 1 3.4 4.2 25.0% 0 (0)
Khalid Hill FB 6'2, 265 SR 17 34 3 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Brandon Peters QB 6'5, 220 SO 10 21 0 2.1 1.3 20.0% 2 (2)
Eddie McDoom WR 6'0, 181 SO 8 43 0 5.4 2.4 50.0% 0 (0)
O'Maury Samuels RB 5'10, 192 FR 8 13 0 1.6 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 94.5 87 137.5 3 100.0
Passing Success Rate 34.7% 109 27.7% 1 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.44 68 1.57 97 1.48
Adj. Sack Rate 69.7 117 173.6 2 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
John O'Korn 6'4, 211 SR 84 157 973 2 6 53.5% 21 11.8% 4.6
Brandon Peters 6'5, 220 SO 57 108 672 4 2 52.8% 7 6.1% 5.3
Wilton Speight 6'6, 240 SR 44 81 581 3 2 54.3% 8 9.0% 5.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Donovan Peoples-Jones WR 6'2, 199 FR 52 22 277 0 12.6 5.3 42.3% 28.8% 15.7%
Grant Perry WR 6'0, 191 JR 48 25 307 1 12.3 6.4 52.1% 39.6% 14.5%
Sean McKeon TE 6'5, 248 SO 46 31 301 3 9.7 6.5 67.4% 41.3% 13.9%
Kekoa Crawford WR 6'2, 187 SO 34 17 243 1 14.3 7.2 50.0% 29.4% 10.3%
Zach Gentry TE 6'7, 248 JR 26 17 303 2 17.8 11.7 65.4% 65.4% 7.9%
Eddie McDoom WR 6'0, 181 SO 23 11 81 0 7.4 3.5 47.8% 21.7% 6.9%
Chris Evans RB 5'11, 206 SO 20 16 157 1 9.8 7.9 80.0% 55.0% 6.0%
Tarik Black WR 6'3, 206 FR 17 11 149 1 13.6 8.8 64.7% 35.3% 5.1%
Karan Higdon RB 5'10, 190 JR 14 8 131 0 16.4 9.4 57.1% 57.1% 4.2%
Khalid Hill FB 6'2, 265 SR 14 5 62 0 12.4 4.4 35.7% 21.4% 4.2%
Nico Collins WR 6'4, 206 FR 7 3 27 0 9.0 3.9 42.9% 28.6% 2.1%
Tyrone Wheatley TE 6'6, 265 JR 6 3 26 0 8.7 4.3 50.0% 50.0% 1.8%
Nate Schoenle WR 6'2, 192 SO 5 4 41 0 10.3 8.2 80.0% 40.0% 1.5%
Henry Poggi FB 6'4, 244 SR 4 2 21 0 10.5 5.3 50.0% 50.0% 1.2%
Maurice Ways WR 6'3, 215 SR 4 3 7 0 2.3 1.8 75.0% 25.0% 1.2%
Nick Eubanks TE 6'5, 240 SO 3 2 61 0 30.5 20.3 66.7% 66.7% 0.9%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 103.3 56 128.6 5 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 43.4% 108 35.3% 2 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.00 90 1.21 120 1.07
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.97 57 2.18 3 2.92
SD Sack Rate 8.4% 118 9.8% 3 5.3%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 115.1 30 140.4 5 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.3% 91 22.6% 3 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.72 19 1.52 73 1.53
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.48 41 2.63 18 3.22
PD Sack Rate 10.3% 104 12.6% 5 7.8%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 106.7 48 135.0 10
Q2 S&P+ 113.2 35 121.5 21
Q3 S&P+ 94.0 91 125.7 14
Q4 S&P+ 90.6 103 113.6 18
1st Down S&P+ 101.2 62 114.6 21
2nd Down S&P+ 106.9 47 123.5 12
3rd Down S&P+ 93.5 93 138.7 6
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 64.2% 36 60.0%
Pass Downs Run Rate 37.7% 48 35.3%
Adj. Pace +2.3 111 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 76.8% 44 73.8%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.9% 62 59.9%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 36.9% 44 35.0%
Overall Havoc Rate 23.7% 1 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 7.3% 16 4.9%
LB Havoc Rate 5.6% 30 4.4%
DB Havoc Rate 10.7% 1 6.5%
PD to INC 37.5% 25 33.9%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles TFL (Sacks) Run Stuffs* Int (PBU) FF Succ. Rate**
Devin Bush LB 5'11, 222 SO 70.0 9.5 (5) 18 1 (8) 0 31.0%
Mike McCray LB 6'4, 242 SR 64.5 17 (5) 17 0 (1) 1 26.5%
Khaleke Hudson DB 6'0, 205 SO 62.5 17 (8) 19 2 (9) 2 40.0%
Tyree Kinnel DB 5'11, 201 JR 54.0 4.5 (1) 6 2 (7) 0 65.7%
Chase Winovich DL 6'3, 253 SR 53.5 18.5 (8) 24 0 (0) 2 11.7%
Rashan Gary DL 6'5, 281 SO 45.0 12 (6) 16 0 (0) 1 17.9%
Maurice Hurst DL 6'2, 280 SR 42.5 13.5 (5) 22 0 (2) 1 11.7%
Josh Metellus DB 6'0, 199 SO 36.5 0.5 (0) 0 0 (5) 1 68.8%
Noah Furbush LB 6'5, 240 SR 21.5 2.5 (1) 4 1 (1) 0 32.1%
Lavert Hill DB 5'11, 177 SO 20.0 5 (0) 6 2 (7) 0 48.0%
David Long DB 5'11, 187 SO 17.5 2 (0.5) 2 2 (6) 0 59.1%
Brandon Watson DB 5'11, 200 SR 15.5 1.5 (0) 2 0 (5) 0 75.0%
Aubrey Solomon DL 6'3, 297 FR 11.5 2 (0) 4 0 (0) 0 11.8%
Jordan Glasgow DB 6'1, 210 JR 9.0 0 (0) 0 0 (1) 0 100.0%
Michael Wroblewski LB 6'2, 237 SR 7.0 0 (0) 1 0 (0) 1 25.0%
J'Marick Woods DB 6'3, 203 FR 6.5 0.5 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 60.0%
Ambry Thomas DB 6'0, 179 FR 6.5 0.5 (0) 0 0 (0) 1 50.0%
Nate Schoenle WR 6'2, 192 SO 5.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Bryan Mone DL 6'4, 325 SR 5.0 1 (0) 5 0 (1) 0 10.0%
Devin Gil LB 6'2, 220 SO 4.0 0 (0) 1 0 (0) 0 25.0%
Joe Hewlett RB 6'0, 196 SR 3.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Josh Ross LB 6'2, 229 FR 3.5 0 (0) 0 (0) 0
Josh Uche LB 6'3, 226 SO 3.0 1 (1) 0 0 (0) 0 0.0%
Lawrence Marshall DL 6'4, 285 SR 3.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 20.0%
Benjamin St-Juste DB 6'3, 193 FR 3.0 0 (0) 0 0 (0) 0 100.0%

* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.

** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.

Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ 0.1 58
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.25 28
Punt Success Rate 51.9% 98
Kickoff Success Rate 91.3% 9
Punt Return Success Rate 43.9% 76
Kick Return Success Rate 22.6% 128
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Quinn Nordin 6'1, 195 SO 35-38 19-24 79.2%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Brad Robbins 6'2, 181 FR 64 40.4 4 23 22 70.3%
Will Hart 6'3, 196 SO 13 37.7 1 5 4 69.2%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
James Foug 5'11, 178 SR 69 62.8 32 46.4% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Donovan Peoples-Jones 6'2, 199 FR 40 8.0 1 18 2 (1)
Josh Metellus 6'0, 199 SO 1 8.0 0 0 0 (0)
Grant Perry 6'0, 191 JR 0 0.0 0 3 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Ambry Thomas 6'0, 179 FR 20 19.8 0 0 0 (0)
Kekoa Crawford 6'2, 187 SO 8 17.4 0 0 0 (0)
Brad Hawkins 6'2, 204 FR 3 14.0 0 0 0 (0)
Tackler Pos Ht, Wt Year ST Tackles PR Avg KR Avg
Jordan Glasgow DB 6'1, 210 JR 7.5 11.5 12.7
Nate Schoenle WR 6'2, 192 SO 5.5 0.5 11.6
J'Marick Woods DB 6'3, 203 FR 4.0 15.3
Michael Wroblewski LB 6'2, 237 SR 3.5 12.8
Josh Ross LB 6'2, 229 FR 3.5 18.5

Stats via SportSource Analytics